Garfield Kerr: Coffee is the World’s Premier and Most Definitive Functional Beverage

DUBAI – Ali Alzakary

Mr. Garfield Kerr, CEO of Mokha 1450, a leading specialty coffee chain in Dubai and the UAE, confirmed that coffee is the world’s premier and most definitive functional beverage.

Speaking to Hospitality News ME magazine in issue no. 157, published for the period from May to July 2026, Mr. Garfield said that modern scientific research has settled the decades-long debate surrounding coffee and dispelled old myths. Furthermore, he affirmed its role as the first, most versatile, and most effective functional beverage in history.

He explained that coffee’s roots as a functional beverage date back to 15th-century Yemen, where Sufi communities consumed coffee to maintain focus and alertness during long hours of prayer.

He added that claims circulating in the mid-20th century regarding coffee’s negative health impacts, such as stunted growth or irritability, were based on inaccurate studies flawed by small sample sizes and methodological errors.

However, he noted that comprehensive meta-analyses emerging in the 1990s and 2000s shifted this perception and uncovered coffee’s immense health benefits.

Mr. Garfield clarified that what places coffee at the forefront of functional beverages is its richness in plant-based and bioactive compounds.

He confirmed that caffeine belongs to the methylxanthine class. This class contributes to stimulating the central nervous system and increasing alertness by blocking adenosine receptors. Additionally, it inhibits phosphodiesterase enzymes.

He added that coffee contains antioxidant compounds such as chlorogenic acids and polyphenols. These compounds work to reduce oxidative stress, protect the liver and kidneys, and inhibit the growth of harmful bacteria in the digestive tract.

Mr. Garfield stated that black coffee provides immediate advantages for athletes and fitness enthusiasts, as it contributes to enhancing cardiovascular performance, accelerating muscle glycogen resynthesis, and stimulating fat oxidation at rest and during exercise.

Additionally, he added that it lowers perceived exertion and elevates pain thresholds during physical activity. Moreover, it elevates mood and suppresses appetite.

He reviewed the scientific evidence confirming coffee’s long-term health benefits, confirming that it significantly reduces the risks of heart attack, stroke, and heart failure. In addition, it lowers the risk of type 2 diabetes, liver cirrhosis, and pancreatic and liver cancers.

He added that coffee provides neuroprotection against diseases such as Parkinson’s, Alzheimer’s, and dementia. Besides, it lowers rates of depression and the overall risk of mortality.

He noted that these functional properties of coffee gain added significance alongside the growth of the global functional beverage market. Currently, this market is valued at approximately $130 billion and projected to reach $200 billion by 2030.

Mr. Garfield emphasized that black coffee remains the safest and most effective option compared to synthetic alternatives, such as energy drinks packed with sugar and unstudied additives.

He explained that the safe consumption rate of coffee, ranging between three to five cups per day, falls within normal limits for most consumers. Thus, its abuse is rare.

Mr. Garfield concluded his discussion by highlighting the future horizons of coffee science, pointing to ongoing research regarding coffee’s impact on the gut microbiome in collaboration with food chemistry researcher Aysenur Santaroğlu.

He confirmed that coffee is a complex chemical system rich in compounds such as melanoidins, diterpenes, and polyphenols, noting that the interaction of these compounds with gut bacteria could open new doors in preventative medicine and longevity enhancement, ensuring this beverage remains the most ubiquitous and effective functional drink throughout history.

ICO and FAO Renew Commitment to Sustainable Coffee Sector

Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO)
Author: Qahwa World Editorial Team
Date: July 22, 2026

ICO and FAO Renew Commitment to Sustainable Coffee Sector

  • ICO and FAO signed a new Memorandum of Understanding reaffirming their commitment to coffee sector sustainability.
  • The renewed partnership builds on years of successful collaboration between the two organizations.
  • Key areas include sustainable production, climate resilience, market transparency, and inclusive value chains.
  • The agreement also covers innovation, digital technologies, and knowledge exchange.
  • A special focus will be on empowering coffee-growing communities and smallholder farmers.
  • Both organizations aim to build a more inclusive and resilient coffee sector for future generations.

The International Coffee Organization and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations have renewed their commitment to a more sustainable coffee sector. Executive Director of ICO and FAO Director-General QU Dongyu signed a new Memorandum of Understanding today.

The agreement reaffirms their shared commitment to supporting the sustainable development of the global coffee sector. It builds on years of successful collaboration between the two organizations.

Key Areas of Cooperation

The renewed partnership will strengthen cooperation in several key areas. These include sustainable coffee production and sourcing. Climate resilience and adaptation are also priorities. Market transparency and access to information will be enhanced.

Other areas include inclusive and sustainable value chains. Innovation and digital technologies will play a crucial role. Knowledge exchange between stakeholders is another focus. The agreement also emphasizes empowering coffee-growing communities. Special attention will be given to smallholder and family farmers.

ICO-FAO Renewed Partnership – Key Cooperation Areas
Area Focus
Sustainable Production Sustainable coffee production and sourcing
Climate Action Climate resilience and adaptation
Market Transparency Market transparency and access to information
Value Chains Inclusive and sustainable value chains
Innovation Innovation, digital technologies and knowledge exchange
Community Empowerment Empowering coffee-growing communities, particularly smallholder farmers

The Importance of Coffee

Coffee supports the livelihoods of millions of people worldwide. It plays a vital role in advancing sustainable development. The sector faces numerous challenges. These include climate change, market volatility, and social inequality.

Through this renewed framework, ICO and FAO will continue working together. Their goal is to ensure the coffee sector becomes more inclusive and resilient. They aim to prepare it for the challenges of the future. The partnership will benefit producers, consumers, and future generations.

About ICO and FAO

The International Coffee Organization is the only intergovernmental organization dedicated to coffee. It enhances the sustainability of the coffee sector for both exporting and importing countries. The ICO provides official statistics and facilitates technical cooperation projects.

The Food and Agriculture Organization is a specialized agency of the United Nations. It leads international efforts to defeat hunger. FAO supports sustainable agriculture and rural development. Together, ICO and FAO bring complementary expertise to the coffee sector.

“A renewed commitment to a more sustainable and resilient coffee sector.”

— International Coffee Organization

Future Outlook

The renewed partnership signals a strong commitment to coffee sustainability. Both organizations look forward to building an even stronger partnership. The focus remains on practical outcomes for coffee producers and communities. Innovation and knowledge sharing will drive progress.

Together, ICO and FAO aim to create lasting positive change. The goal is a coffee sector that is inclusive, resilient, and prepared for future challenges. Producers, consumers, and future generations will all benefit from this collaboration.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did ICO and FAO announce?ICO and FAO signed a new Memorandum of Understanding renewing their commitment to a sustainable coffee sector.

What are the key areas of cooperation?Key areas include sustainable production, climate resilience, market transparency, inclusive value chains, innovation, and empowering smallholder farmers.

Why is this partnership important?The partnership combines the expertise of two major organizations to address challenges facing the global coffee sector.

How does coffee support sustainable development?Coffee supports the livelihoods of millions worldwide and plays a vital role in advancing sustainable development goals.

Who will benefit from this agreement?Coffee producers, consumers, and future generations will benefit from a more inclusive and resilient coffee sector.

What is the role of ICO?ICO is the only intergovernmental organization dedicated to coffee, providing statistics and facilitating technical cooperation.

Coffee Drinkers Shift to Whole Beans as Prices Soar

Source: Qahwa World / Lavazza Group
Author: Editorial Team
Date: July 21, 2026

Coffee Drinkers Shift to Whole Beans as Prices Soar

  • Consumers are buying less but better coffee as global prices remain elevated.
  • Whole bean demand surged 46% year-over-year, according to consumer data.
  • Home brewing equipment sales jumped: drip coffee makers up 66%, espresso machines up 50%.
  • Lavazza reported strong 2025 revenue of €3.9 billion, up 15.7%.
  • Lavazza plans to launch Tablì, a sustainable single-serve system using compressed coffee tablets.
  • Nielsen data shows whole bean sales outpacing overall coffee category across UK and Europe.
  • Price volatility is expected to persist, with no retail price cuts in sight.

Global coffee prices have remained elevated for four consecutive years. Consumers are adapting by buying less but better. This trend toward whole bean coffee and bean-to-cup machines represents a significant market shift.

Giuseppe Lavazza, Chairman of the Lavazza Group, called it the sector’s most important trend. “People are looking for beans,” he said. “They enjoy replicating the coffee shop experience at home. Maybe they prefer to consume a little less but of better quality.”

The Trend Emerged in 2024

This shift did not appear overnight. Early indicators were visible in 2024, well before the price peaks of 2025 intensified the movement. Pattern, a consumer demand analysis firm, reported whole bean coffee demand surged 46% year-over-year. This growth was accompanied by strong increases in home brewing equipment.

Drip coffee makers rose 66%. Espresso machines increased 50%. Accessories such as bean storage also grew 20%. The report highlighted a broader move toward serious at-home coffee preparation. Whole beans serve as the starting point for better freshness and flavor.

Multiple National Coffee Association surveys showed sustained high levels of at-home coffee consumption. Around 81% of past-day drinkers consumed coffee at home in some periods. Out-of-home consumption recovered post-pandemic, but the at-home habit remained strong. Consumers continued seeking premium experiences and better value.

2024 Early Indicators – Consumer Demand Growth
Category Growth
Whole bean coffee demand +46%
Drip coffee makers +66%
Espresso machines +50%
Bean storage accessories +20%

Current Reality: Price Surge Accelerates Change

Record-high coffee prices in 2025 pushed the trend into the mainstream. Poor harvests in Brazil and Vietnam drove the price surge. Climate change impacts, geopolitical disruptions, and financial speculation also contributed.

Nielsen data for the year to May 2026 shows the shift clearly. In the United Kingdom, whole-bean sales rose 20.3% by volume. This far outpaced the overall at-home coffee category, which grew just 2.8%. Value sales jumped 36.8%, while bean-to-cup machine sales increased 33.5%.

In Europe, France saw 35% growth by value. Italy recorded 33% growth. Germany, Europe’s largest coffee market, saw 31.2% growth. Whole beans have now surpassed traditional roast-and-ground coffee in volume in Germany.

In the United States, the shift was more modest but consistent. Whole-bean unit sales rose 3.2% over 52 weeks to June 2026. Meanwhile, pod sales fell 4.9% and ground coffee declined 3.9%.

Nielsen Data – Whole Bean Sales Growth (Year to May 2026)
Market Growth
United Kingdom (volume) +20.3%
United Kingdom (value) +36.8%
France (value) +35.0%
Italy (value) +33.0%
Germany (value) +31.2%
United States (unit sales) +3.2%

Why Prices Soared

The coffee market has faced four years of upheaval. Adverse weather and weak harvests in Brazil and Vietnam were key factors. Climate change impacts, including El Niño risks, added pressure. Geopolitical disruptions, higher shipping costs, and financial speculation in futures markets also played a role.

In the UK, at-home coffee prices rose another 6.3% in the year to May 2026. Roasters found it harder to manage costs by blending cheaper Robusta with Arabica. Both varieties hit record levels simultaneously.

Lavazza noted that futures prices have eased from 2025 peaks. However, the market remains too volatile for widespread retail price cuts. “We think there is not time to think about a possible cut in prices,” he said. “The possibility of another increase is not totally over.” At least two strong harvests in Brazil and Vietnam will be needed to rebuild global inventories.

Lavazza’s Performance and Strategic Response

Despite industry challenges, Lavazza reported strong 2025 results. Revenue reached €3.9 billion, up 15.7%. EBITDA rose 8.8% to €340 million. The company is innovating to stay ahead.

Lavazza plans to launch Tablì in the UK in September 2026. This is a single-serve system using compressed coffee tablets. It addresses waste and recycling concerns associated with plastic and aluminum pods. “Capsule is over,” Lavazza declared. “This is a new benchmark.”

Broader Implications and Future Outlook

Consumer behavior is evolving. Coffee remains recession-resistant. However, buyers are trading down in volume while trading up in quality and experience. The “less but better” philosophy reflects economic pressure and a desire for premium at-home rituals.

The pandemic-initiated home-brewing boom has become structural. Demand for whole beans rewards freshness, flavor complexity, and better value per cup. Persistent climate risks, cautious buying by roasters, and farmers holding stock in hope of higher prices continue to shape the market.

Volatility is now “the new constant,” according to Lavazza. Opportunities remain in premium home equipment, sustainable packaging innovations, and single-origin and specialty offerings.

“People are looking for beans and they enjoy maybe to replicate at home the experience of the coffee shop. Maybe they prefer to consume a little less but of better quality.”

— Giuseppe Lavazza, Chairman, Lavazza Group

Conclusion

What began as a noticeable trend in 2024 has evolved into a major market shift in 2026. Soaring prices amplified the movement. Consumers are not abandoning coffee. They are redefining how they enjoy it. As Lavazza observed, this represents a “fundamental transformation in terms of supply and demand.”

For roasters, retailers, and consumers alike, the message is clear. Quality, freshness, and thoughtful preparation are winning out in an era of higher costs and greater awareness.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the “less but better” coffee trend?Consumers are buying less coffee in volume but choosing higher quality whole beans and premium home brewing equipment to replicate café experiences at home.

How much did whole bean demand surge?Whole bean coffee demand surged 46% year-over-year, according to consumer demand analysis from Pattern.

What are the key market data highlights?In the UK, whole-bean sales rose 20.3% by volume. France saw 35% value growth, Italy 33%, and Germany 31.2%.

Why are coffee prices so high?Poor harvests in Brazil and Vietnam, climate change, geopolitical disruptions, and financial speculation have driven prices to record levels.

What is Lavazza’s new Tablì product?Tablì is a single-serve system using compressed coffee tablets instead of plastic or aluminum pods, addressing waste and recycling concerns.

Will coffee prices come down soon?Lavazza says prices remain too volatile for retail cuts. At least two strong harvests in Brazil and Vietnam are needed to rebuild inventories.

Delays to Brazil’s Harvest Push Coffee Prices Higher

Source: Barchart / Rich Asplund
Author: Qahwa World
Date: July 20, 2026

Delays to Brazil’s Harvest Push Coffee Prices Higher

  • September arabica rose 1.33% and robusta gained 0.18% on Monday.
  • Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest is only 64% complete, behind last year’s 77% and the 70% average.
  • ICE robusta inventories climbed to a 3.75-month high of 4,239 lots.
  • Arabica inventories fell to a 2.25-year low of 329,870 bags.
  • Heavy rains in Brazil have disrupted fieldwork and may have lowered crop quality.
  • El Niño concerns continue to support prices with potential impacts on Brazil’s flowering.
  • Only 0.2 mm of rain fell in Minas Gerais last week, 20% of the historical average.

Coffee prices moved higher on Monday. September arabica closed up 4.25 cents, gaining 1.33%. September robusta closed up 7 points, a rise of 0.18%. The gains came amid delays in Brazil’s coffee harvest.

Safras & Mercado reported the harvest is 64% complete as of July 15. This compares with 77% at the same time last year. The five-year average stands at 70%. The slow pace continues to support prices.

Harvest Delays Drive Coffee Prices Higher

Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee harvest is progressing slowly. Heavy rains have disrupted fieldwork. These rains may have also lowered crop quality. Brazilian farmers are holding back on sales. They hope prices will rise further. They are also bracing for potential El Niño impacts.

On July 6, arabica soared to a 5.75-month high. On July 7, robusta also hit a 5.75-month high. However, prices have since whipsawed in a wide range. Trading conditions remain illiquid. This has led to volatile price moves.

Brazil Coffee Harvest Progress (as of July 15)
Period Completion
Current year (2026/27) 64%
Previous year (2025/26) 77%
Five-year average 70%

Margin Hikes Reduce Liquidity

ICE raised margin requirements for coffee futures recently. This action has dried up liquidity. Many commodity funds have closed their positions. The result has been excessive one-way price moves. Volatility has been amplified by the illiquid conditions.

This has created a challenging trading environment. Prices have moved sharply in both directions. Market participants should expect continued volatility in the near term.

Inventory Trends Support Prices

ICE coffee inventories have trended lower over the past three months. This is supportive for coffee prices. ICE arabica inventories fell to a 2.25-year low of 329,870 bags on Monday. Meanwhile, ICE robusta inventories fell to a 2-year low on May 15. However, they have since risen to a 3.75-month high of 4,239 lots on Monday.

ICE Coffee Inventory Levels
Category Latest Level Status
Arabica inventories 329,870 bags 2.25-year low
Robusta inventories (May 15) 3,631 lots 2-year low
Robusta inventories (current) 4,239 lots 3.75-month high

El Niño Concerns Support Prices

Concerns about an El Niño weather pattern are bullish for prices. Coffee trader Commercial warned that El Niño may delay rains in Brazil. This September and October is when tree flowering normally occurs. Any delay could hurt Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee crop.

On July 8, the US Climate Prediction Center issued a warning. The El Niño pattern that emerged across the equatorial Pacific last month will likely be one of the strongest in more than 75 years. This sets the stage for possible floods, droughts, and temperature fluctuations. These conditions could hinder coffee production in Asia and South America.

Somar Meteorologia reported on Monday that only 0.2 mm of rain fell in Minas Gerais in the week through July 19. This is Brazil’s biggest coffee-growing region. This represents only 20% of the historical average. The dry conditions add to market concerns.

Bearish Factors to Consider

Despite the bullish momentum, several bearish factors exist. Recent strength in Brazil’s coffee exports is negative for prices. Last Wednesday, Cecafe reported Brazil’s June green coffee exports jumped 14.4% year-on-year to 2.64 million bags.

Vietnam’s soaring coffee exports are also bearish for robusta prices. On July 3, Vietnam’s National Statistics Office reported coffee exports from January to June rose 7.3% year-on-year to 1.05 million metric tons. Vietnam’s 2025 coffee exports jumped 17.5% to 1.58 million metric tons. Production for 2025/26 is projected to climb 6% to a four-year high of 1.76 million metric tons.

The USDA’s Foreign Agriculture Service projected record global production. World coffee production in 2025/26 is forecast to increase 2% to a record 178.848 million bags. Arabica production is expected to decline 4.7% to 95.515 million bags. Robusta production is projected to rise 10.9% to 83.333 million bags.

Global Supply Forecasts (USDA)
Category Forecast Change
World coffee production 2025/26 178.848 million bags +2.0%
Arabica production 95.515 million bags -4.7%
Robusta production 83.333 million bags +10.9%
Brazil 2025/26 production 63 million bags -3.1%
Vietnam 2025/26 output 30.8 million bags +6.2%
Ending stocks 2025/26 20.148 million bags -5.4%

Technical Perspective

On June 9, arabica coffee fell to a 20.5-month nearest-futures low. Robusta slid to a 3.5-month low. This occurred amid an outlook for a bumper coffee crop in Brazil. However, prices have since recovered significantly. The market remains highly volatile with significant upside potential.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did coffee prices rise on Monday?September arabica gained 1.33% and September robusta rose 0.18% on Monday, July 20.

What is the status of Brazil’s coffee harvest?Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest is 64% complete as of July 15, behind last year’s 77% and the 70% five-year average.

Why are ICE coffee inventories important?Low inventories reduce available supply and support higher prices. Arabica inventories recently hit a 2.25-year low.

How does El Niño affect coffee prices?El Niño can delay rainfall during Brazil’s critical flowering period in September-October, potentially reducing crop yields.

What was the rainfall in Minas Gerais last week?Only 0.2 mm of rain fell, representing just 20% of the historical average, raising concerns about dry conditions.

What is the global production forecast?USDA forecasts record global production of 178.848 million bags for 2025/26, with robusta up 10.9% and arabica down 4.7%.

AHA Says Five Cups of Coffee Daily Safe for Adults

Source: Qahwa World
Author: Qahwa World
Date: July 20, 2026

AHA Says Five Cups of Coffee Daily Safe for Adults

  • American Heart Association statement says up to five cups of coffee daily is safe for most adults.
  • Three to five 8-ounce cups (about 400 mg caffeine) linked to lower risk of heart disease and stroke.
  • The statement published in Circulation journal analyzed dozens of studies on coffee and heart health.
  • Coffee may help heart health through increased exercise, diuretic effects, and reduced inflammation.
  • Some decaf coffee studies also show benefits due to polyphenols acting as antioxidants.
  • Energy drinks contain higher caffeine levels and may pose health risks, researchers warn.
  • Sugar, syrups, and saturated-fat creamers can dilute or eliminate coffee’s benefits.

There is good news for coffee drinkers. Up to five cups of coffee daily are safe for most adults. The brew may even have benefits for heart health. This comes from a new scientific statement by the American Heart Association.

Drinking three to five 8-ounce cups daily is linked to lower health risks. These include heart disease, heart failure, stroke, and Type 2 diabetes. The statement was published Monday in the journal Circulation.

Mixed Research Gets Much-Needed Clarity

Research on coffee and caffeine has been very mixed. Some studies show benefits. Others show health risks. The new statement provides much-needed clarity.

Dr. Eugenia Gianos is a cardiologist at Northwell Health in New York. She was not involved in the statement. She noted that the public is confused. Many clinicians also do not know how to guide their patients. She added that it is great that coffee might even have benefits. “We could even be recommending soon that people have coffee,” she said.

What the Study Found

The statement’s authors analyzed dozens of studies. They looked at the impact of coffee and caffeine on heart health. Researchers came from the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health. George Washington University and other institutions also participated.

Dr. Gregory M. Marcus is the statement’s lead author. He is a cardiologist at UC San Francisco. He said evidence for coffee’s safety and benefits has been building over time. Most studies are observational. They cannot prove cause and effect. However, there have been more randomized controlled trials in recent years. These show that coffee consumption can be beneficial for heart health.

Key Findings from AHA Coffee Statement
Finding Detail
Safe daily intake Up to five 8-ounce cups (approx. 400 mg caffeine)
Health benefits linked Lower risk of heart disease, stroke, heart failure, Type 2 diabetes
Optimal range Two to four cups daily
Decaf benefits Also linked to lower diabetes and heart disease risk
Warning Sugar, syrups, creamers dilute benefits
Energy drinks Higher caffeine, potential health risks

Why Coffee Might Help the Heart

Scientists are still studying why caffeine might help the heart. People tend to exercise more on days they drink caffeinated coffee. Coffee acts as a diuretic and can lower blood pressure. Caffeine also blocks a substance that causes atrial fibrillation. This arrhythmia can lead to strokes.

Coffee contains other beneficial substances. These include polyphenols that act as antioxidants. They may reduce inflammation. This could explain why decaf coffee is also linked to lower risks of Type 2 diabetes and heart disease in some studies.

The Sweet Spot for Coffee Consumption

Research suggests the sweet spot for caffeinated coffee is two to four cups daily. This amount is enough to have a biological effect. It is not so much that it reaches toxic levels.

People have different responses to caffeine. Genetics and consumption habits play a role. “We all metabolize caffeine at different speeds,” Marcus said.

What to Avoid

The benefits of coffee can be diluted or eliminated by additives. Sugar, syrups, and creamers with saturated fat are problematic. The statement advises caution with these additions.

The AHA statement also examined other caffeine sources. Energy drinks often contain much higher caffeine levels than coffee. Some research has found they can lead to health problems. These include irregular heartbeats and high blood pressure. Marcus advises people to avoid energy drinks.

“Not only is the lay public confused about this topic, but many clinicians out there don’t know how to guide their patients. It is great that a drink so many people enjoy daily might even have benefits. We could even be recommending soon that people have coffee.”

— Dr. Eugenia Gianos, Northwell Health

“We all metabolize caffeine at different speeds.”

— Dr. Gregory M. Marcus, UC San Francisco

Implications for Public Health

The AHA statement offers clear guidance for consumers and clinicians. It suggests that moderate coffee consumption can be part of a heart-healthy lifestyle. The evidence supports coffee’s safety and potential benefits. However, individual responses vary. People should be mindful of additions like sugar and cream. Energy drinks should be avoided due to higher risks.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is it safe to drink five cups of coffee daily?Yes, according to the American Heart Association. Up to five 8-ounce cups daily (about 400 mg caffeine) are safe for most adults.

What are the health benefits of coffee?Moderate coffee consumption is linked to lower risk of heart disease, heart failure, stroke, and Type 2 diabetes.

What is the optimal number of cups per day?Research suggests the sweet spot is generally between two and four cups daily for cardiovascular benefits.

Is decaf coffee also beneficial?Yes, some studies show decaf coffee is also linked to lower risk of Type 2 diabetes and heart disease due to polyphenols.

Can additives reduce coffee’s benefits?Yes, sugar, syrups, and creamers with saturated fat can dilute or eliminate the health benefits of coffee.

Are energy drinks safe?Researchers advise avoiding energy drinks. They often contain much higher caffeine levels and have been linked to irregular heartbeats and high blood pressure.

Harar: Where Coffee, Faith and Footsteps Meet

Harar blends centuries of coffee heritage, Islamic history and warm hospitality. The inaugural Great Harar Run offers visitors a new way to discover one of Ethiopia’s most remarkable cities.

By Tewodros Balcha | Exclusive for Qahwa World

Thousands of runners passed through the ancient gates of Harar today, transforming one of Africa’s oldest living cities into the newest stage of Ethiopia’s celebrated running culture.

The inaugural Ethio Telecom Great Harar Run was more than a sporting event. It was an invitation to experience a city where coffee, faith and hospitality have shaped everyday life for centuries.

Long before the starter’s whistle echoed through the narrow streets of Harar Jugol, generations of traders, scholars and pilgrims had followed these same paths. Today, athletes from Ethiopia and abroad joined that long procession, discovering a city whose history is inseparable from the story of coffee itself.

A City Built on Faith and Exchange

Perched in the eastern highlands of Ethiopia, Harar has been a crossroads between Africa and the Arabian Peninsula for centuries. According to local tradition, the city traces its origins to the 10th century and the arrival of Sheikh Abadir Umar ar-Rida, whose legacy remains deeply woven into Harar’s religious identity.

Known as Madinat al-Awliya, or the City of Saints, Harar is home to an extraordinary concentration of historic mosques, shrines and Islamic schools within its centuries-old walls. In 2006, Harar Jugol was inscribed as a UNESCO World Heritage Site, recognized for its unique urban heritage and cultural significance.

For generations, merchants crossed these gates carrying coffee, spices, textiles and ideas, linking Ethiopia with the Red Sea, Arabia and beyond.

Where Coffee Became a Tradition

Coffee’s wild origins lie in Ethiopia’s forests, but Harar played a defining role in transforming coffee from a native plant into one of the world’s earliest traded agricultural products.

For centuries, the region became one of Ethiopia’s most important coffee-growing and trading centers. Caravans carried Harar’s beans across ancient trade routes to the ports of the Red Sea, where Arab merchants introduced Ethiopian coffee to markets throughout the Middle East before it eventually reached Europe.

Today, Harar remains one of Ethiopia’s most celebrated coffee origins. Its naturally processed coffees are prized for their distinctive character, often revealing notes of blueberry, dried fruit, spice, chocolate and floral aromas. Long before the term “specialty coffee” existed, generations of farmers in Harar had already developed traditions of careful cultivation, harvesting and natural drying that continue to define the region’s reputation.

More Than a Cup

In Harar, coffee is not simply served.

It is prepared.

Guests are welcomed with freshly roasted beans, their aroma filling the room before the coffee is carefully brewed and shared. The ceremony unfolds without haste, turning every cup into an expression of hospitality rather than a simple refreshment.

Visitors from across the Arab world often find something familiar in this ritual. While traditions differ from one region to another, the values are instantly recognizable: generosity, conversation and the belief that welcoming a guest begins with coffee.

A Living Heritage

Walking through Harar Jugol is unlike visiting an open-air museum.

Its narrow alleyways remain full of daily life. Children play beneath centuries-old walls. Markets continue to trade much as they have for generations. Historic houses, colorful courtyards and neighborhood mosques remain part of a living city rather than preserved exhibits.

Arabic manuscripts copied by generations of scholars helped establish Harar as an important center of Islamic learning in the Horn of Africa. The city’s traditions continue to be passed from one generation to the next, making Harar a place where history is experienced rather than observed.

Running Through History

The Ethio Telecom Great Harar Run added a new chapter to that living history.

As the final stop of this year’s Discover Ethiopia Classics series, the event attracted thousands of participants, including elite athletes, local residents and visitors from nine countries.

Organized by the internationally respected Great Ethiopian Run, the event brought one of Africa’s leading road-racing organizations to one of Ethiopia’s oldest cities. Known globally for staging the annual Great Ethiopian Run in Addis Ababa, the organization has helped establish Ethiopia as one of the world’s premier destinations for distance running.

Yet in Harar, the route itself became part of the experience.

Runners passed through the ancient gates of Jugol, wound through historic neighborhoods and emerged into streets where coffee ceremonies welcomed visitors at every turn. As evening approached, the city’s famous hyena feeders prepared for another night of a tradition that has fascinated visitors for generations.

In Harar, even a road race becomes an encounter with history.

More Than a Destination

Every generation believes it has discovered authentic travel.

Harar has never needed to reinvent itself.

Visitors who arrive a day before the race can wander through the old city at their own pace, explore nearby coffee farms, watch naturally processed coffee drying beneath the Ethiopian sun and experience ceremonies that remain central to everyday life.

The race offers a reason to come.

The city offers every reason to stay.

Some places are remembered for their monuments.

Harar is remembered for its people, its coffee and the quiet generosity with which it welcomes every visitor.

Some cities you visit.

Harar is one you carry with you.

Coffee Prices Jump on Slow Brazil Harvest

Source: Barchart
Author: Qahwa World
Date: July 17, 2026

Coffee Prices Jump on Slow Brazil Harvest

  • September arabica rose 2.46% and robusta gained 2.11% on Friday.
  • Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest is only 64% complete, behind last year’s 77% and the 70% average.
  • ICE raised margin requirements twice last week, reducing liquidity and amplifying volatility.
  • Heavy rains in Brazil have disrupted fieldwork and may have lowered crop quality.
  • ICE arabica inventories fell to a 2.25-year low of 332,945 bags.
  • El Niño concerns continue to support prices with potential impacts on Brazil’s flowering.
  • Brazil’s June green coffee exports jumped 14.4% year-on-year to 2.64 million bags.

Coffee prices settled sharply higher on Friday. September arabica closed up 7.70 cents, gaining 2.46%. September robusta closed up 80 points, a rise of 2.11%. The rally came amid delays in Brazil’s coffee harvest.

Safras & Mercado reported the harvest is 64% complete as of July 15. This compares with 77% at the same time last year. The five-year average stands at 70%. The slow pace continues to support prices.

Harvest Delays Drive Coffee Prices Higher

Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee harvest is progressing slowly. Heavy rains have disrupted fieldwork. These rains may have also lowered crop quality. Brazilian farmers are holding back on sales. They hope prices will rise further. They are also bracing for potential El Niño impacts.

Last Monday, arabica soared to a 5.5-month high. Last Tuesday, robusta also hit a 5.5-month high. However, prices have since whipsawed in a wide range. Trading conditions remain illiquid. This has led to volatile price moves.

Brazil Coffee Harvest Progress (as of July 15)
Period Completion
Current year (2026/27) 64%
Previous year (2025/26) 77%
Five-year average 70%

Margin Hikes Reduce Liquidity

ICE raised margin requirements for coffee futures twice last week. This action has dried up liquidity. Many commodity funds have closed their positions. The result has been excessive one-way price moves. Volatility has been amplified by the illiquid conditions.

This has created a challenging trading environment. Prices have moved sharply in both directions. Market participants should expect continued volatility in the near term.

Inventory Trends Support Coffee Prices

ICE coffee inventories have trended lower over the past three months. This is supportive for coffee prices. ICE arabica inventories fell to a 2.25-year low of 332,945 bags on Friday. Meanwhile, ICE robusta inventories fell to a 2-year low on May 15. However, they have since risen to a 3.5-month high of 4,220 lots.

ICE Coffee Inventory Levels
Category Latest Level Status
Arabica inventories 332,945 bags 2.25-year low
Robusta inventories (May 15) 3,631 lots 2-year low
Robusta inventories (current) 4,220 lots 3.5-month high

El Niño Concerns Support Prices

Concerns about an El Niño weather pattern are bullish for prices. Coffee trader Commercial warned that El Niño may delay rains in Brazil. This September and October is when tree flowering normally occurs. Any delay could hurt Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee crop.

Last Wednesday, the US Climate Prediction Center issued a warning. The El Niño pattern that emerged across the equatorial Pacific last month will likely be one of the strongest in more than 75 years. This sets the stage for possible floods, droughts, and temperature fluctuations. These conditions could hinder coffee production in Asia and South America.

Somar Meteorologia reported no rain fell in Minas Gerais in the week through July 5. This is Brazil’s biggest coffee-growing region. The dry conditions add to market concerns.

Bearish Factors to Consider

Despite the bullish momentum, several bearish factors exist. Recent strength in Brazil’s coffee exports is negative for prices. On Thursday, Cecafe reported Brazil’s June green coffee exports jumped 14.4% year-on-year to 2.64 million bags.

Fund positioning also poses risks. Last Friday’s COT data showed funds boosted their long positions in robusta by 5,607 contracts in the week ended July 7. This brought net-long positions to 44,195, the most in more than two years. Such concentrated long positions can accelerate price declines if investors begin to unwind.

Vietnam’s soaring coffee exports are also bearish for robusta prices. On July 3, Vietnam’s National Statistics Office reported coffee exports from January to June rose 7.3% year-on-year to 1.05 million metric tons. Vietnam’s 2025 coffee exports jumped 17.5% to 1.58 million metric tons. Production for 2025/26 is projected to climb 6% to a four-year high of 1.76 million metric tons.

The USDA’s Foreign Agriculture Service projected record global production. World coffee production in 2025/26 is forecast to increase 2% to a record 178.848 million bags. Arabica production is expected to decline 4.7% to 95.515 million bags. Robusta production is projected to rise 10.9% to 83.333 million bags.

Global Supply Forecasts (USDA)
Category Forecast Change
World coffee production 2025/26 178.848 million bags +2.0%
Arabica production 95.515 million bags -4.7%
Robusta production 83.333 million bags +10.9%
Brazil 2025/26 production 63 million bags -3.1%
Vietnam 2025/26 output 30.8 million bags +6.2%
Ending stocks 2025/26 20.148 million bags -5.4%

Technical Perspective

On June 9, arabica coffee fell to a 20.25-month nearest-futures low. Robusta slid to a 3.25-month low. This occurred amid an outlook for a bumper coffee crop in Brazil. However, prices have since recovered significantly. The market remains highly volatile with significant upside potential.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did coffee prices rise on Friday?September arabica gained 2.46% and September robusta rose 2.11% on Friday, July 17.

What is the status of Brazil’s coffee harvest?Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest is 64% complete as of July 15, behind last year’s 77% and the 70% five-year average.

Why are ICE coffee inventories important?Low inventories reduce available supply and support higher prices. Arabica inventories recently hit a 2.25-year low.

How does El Niño affect coffee prices?El Niño can delay rainfall during Brazil’s critical flowering period in September-October, potentially reducing crop yields.

What is the fund positioning in robusta coffee?Funds held 44,195 net-long positions as of July 7, the highest level in more than two years, increasing downside risk.

What is the global production forecast?USDA forecasts record global production of 178.848 million bags for 2025/26, with robusta up 10.9% and arabica down 4.7%.

Coffee Returns to Bullish Mode After 49% Rally

Source: Barchart / Andrew Hecht
Author: Qahwa World
Date: July 14, 2026

Coffee Returns to Bullish Mode After 49% Rally

  • ICE Arabica coffee futures surged 49.5% in one month, erasing four months of declines.
  • The rally followed a 37.8% drop from January to June, with prices bottoming at $2.3885 per pound.
  • Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest is behind schedule due to heavy rain disrupting operations.
  • ICE Arabica exchange inventories reached a two-year low of 366,756 bags.
  • Emerging El Niño weather patterns could damage Brazil’s flowering and crop.
  • Brazilian farmers are withholding beans, storing them for sale at higher prices.
  • Key resistance is at the October 2025 record high of $4.3795 per pound.

Coffee futures are back in bullish mode. ICE Arabica coffee surged 49.5% over the past month. The rally erased four months of declines. Prices bottomed at $2.3885 per pound on June 9. On July 6, they reached $3.5700 per pound.

The volatility has been extreme. Coffee futures fell 37.8% from January to June. Then they made up all those losses in under one month. The market remains highly volatile with significant upside potential.

Why Is Coffee Back in Bullish Mode?

Several factors are driving the rally. First, Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest is behind schedule. Heavy rain has disrupted harvesting operations. This has increased concerns about coffee bean quality. The prospects for lower Brazilian output have been bullish for prices.

Second, global inventories are low. ICE Arabica exchange inventories reached a two-year low of 366,756 bags. This creates the potential for supply squeezes. Third, production costs are rising due to stubborn global inflation.

Top Coffee Producers (2025)
Country Share of Global Production
Brazil 37.08%
Vietnam 16.54%
Colombia 8.44%
Ethiopia ~4%
Indonesia ~4%

Brazil’s Dominance and Harvest Issues

Brazil is the world’s leading coffee producer. It accounts for 37.08% of global production. This is nearly as much as the next four countries combined. Vietnam, Colombia, Ethiopia, and Indonesia produce a combined 37.41%.

Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest is behind schedule. Heavy rain disrupted the harvest. This increased concerns that coffee bean quality had declined. The prospects for lower Brazilian output have been bullish for ICE Arabica coffee futures prices.

El Niño Risks and Farmer Stockpiling

The emerging El Niño weather pattern could trigger extreme temperature shifts. Irregular precipitation could damage coffee tree flowering. This could negatively impact the overall Brazilian crop. These concerns are pushing prices higher.

Brazilian farmers have begun withholding beans. They are storing them for sale when prices rise. This behavior further tightens supply. It also adds upward pressure on prices.

Technical Levels to Watch

The coffee futures market has clear technical levels. The record high stands at $4.3795 per pound from October 2025. This is the key resistance level. Technical support sits at the May 2025 low of $2.3885 per pound.

At $3.16 per pound on July 7, coffee futures were below the midpoint. However, they had traded above it on July 6. There is significant room for volatile price swings between these levels.

Key Technical Levels for Arabica Coffee
Level Price (per pound)
Record High (October 2025) $4.3795
Current Price (July 7, 2026) $3.16
Recent Low (June 9, 2026) $2.3885
Historical Support (May 2019) $0.876

Futures and Options Trading

There are no ETFs that track coffee prices. Participation is limited to ICE futures and futures options. Each futures contract contains 37,500 pounds of Arabica coffee. At $3.28 per pound, the contract value is $123,000.

Traders can control this value with an original margin deposit of $23,227. This represents 18.9% of the contract value. Recent volatility caused margin requirements to rise from 7.9% of contract value. The exchange can change margin requirements based on market volatility. Wider price swings lead to higher margin requirements.

ICE offers put and call options on Arabica coffee futures. Long options involve paying a premium and are not subject to margin requirements. Short options require margin. The leverage is significant for market participants.

Risk Management Is Essential

Coffee is back in bullish mode in July 2026. This will likely increase trading activity. It could also lead to wide price swings. Any risk position in ICE Arabica coffee requires a risk-reward plan. Traders should use stops and profit horizons. This protects capital and establishes reasonable odds of success.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is coffee in bullish mode?Brazil harvest delays, low inventories, El Niño risks, and rising production costs are driving coffee futures higher.

How much did coffee futures rise in July 2026?ICE Arabica coffee futures surged 49.5% in one month, erasing four months of declines.

What is Brazil’s share of global coffee production?Brazil accounts for 37.08% of global coffee production, nearly as much as the next four countries combined.

What are the key technical levels for coffee?Resistance is at the October 2025 record high of $4.3795 per pound. Support is at the May 2025 low of $2.3885 per pound.

Are there ETFs that track coffee prices?No. The only soft commodity ETF is Teucrium Sugar ETF (CANE). Coffee participation is limited to ICE futures and options.

What is the margin requirement for coffee futures?The original margin deposit is $23,227 per contract, representing 18.9% of the contract value. Margin requirements can change based on volatility.

NCA Applauds Coffee Exemption from Section 301 Tariffs

Source: National Coffee Association (NCA)
Author: Qahwa World
Date: July 16, 2026

NCA Applauds Coffee Exemption from Section 301 Tariffs

  • USTR announced exemption of coffee from Section 301 tariffs on Brazil.
  • Exemption includes unflavored instant coffee for the first time.
  • Two-thirds of American adults drink coffee daily.
  • NCA President Bill Murray thanked the administration for the decision.
  • The exemption recognizes coffee’s unique benefit to the US economy.
  • The US cannot grow coffee to meet domestic demand.
  • The decision eases cost-of-living pressures for American consumers.

The National Coffee Association issued a statement today. It responded to the USTR’s announcement on coffee tariffs. The USTR confirmed that coffee will be exempted from Section 301 tariffs on Brazil. The exemption includes unflavored instant coffee.

NCA President and CEO William “Bill” Murray thanked the administration. He praised the decision to maintain previous coffee exemptions. He also welcomed the addition of unflavored instant coffee. The move recognizes coffee’s unique benefit to US consumers and companies.

NCA Statement: Coffee Exemption Protects Consumers

“Two-thirds of American adults drink coffee each day – more than any other beverage, including water – and today they can do so with confidence that new tariffs will not affect the largest source of their favorite beverage.

The United States can’t grow coffee to meet our needs, so the administration’s strategic exemptions make critical contributions to easing cost-of-living pressures and enabling coffee’s continued enormous contributions to U.S. jobs, manufacturing, and the economy.”

— William “Bill” Murray, President and CEO, National Coffee Association

Impact on US Consumers

Two-thirds of American adults drink coffee each day. This is more than any other beverage, including water. The exemption ensures that consumers can enjoy their coffee without tariff-related price increases. This is particularly important given current cost-of-living pressures.

The United States cannot grow coffee to meet domestic demand. Therefore, imports are essential. The strategic exemption helps maintain affordable coffee prices for millions of Americans.

Economic Significance of Coffee

Coffee makes enormous contributions to the US economy. It supports jobs across the supply chain. This includes roasting, manufacturing, and retail. The exemption enables these contributions to continue without disruption.

The NCA emphasized that coffee is uniquely important. It is not just a beverage but a critical part of American daily life. The administration’s decision reflects this understanding.

Key Facts About Coffee in the US
Fact Detail
Daily coffee drinkers Two-thirds of American adults
Rank among beverages Most consumed, ahead of water
US coffee production Cannot meet domestic demand
Tariff exemption Includes unflavored instant coffee
Economic impact Supports jobs, manufacturing, and economy

About the Section 301 Investigation

The USTR conducted a Section 301 investigation into various policies and practices of Brazil. As a result, tariffs were imposed on certain goods. However, coffee has been exempted from these tariffs. This decision recognizes the unique position of coffee in the US market.

The NCA has advocated for this exemption. The association represents the US coffee industry. Its members include roasters, retailers, and importers. The exemption benefits the entire industry and consumers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did the USTR announce regarding coffee tariffs?The USTR announced that coffee, including unflavored instant coffee, will be exempted from Section 301 tariffs on Brazil.

Why is this exemption important?The exemption protects consumers from price increases and supports the US coffee industry, which cannot meet domestic demand through local production.

How many Americans drink coffee daily?Two-thirds of American adults drink coffee each day, making it the most consumed beverage in the country.

What did NCA President Bill Murray say?He thanked the administration for the decision and highlighted coffee’s unique benefit to US consumers, companies, and the economy.

Does the exemption include instant coffee?Yes, the exemption includes unflavored instant coffee for the first time, in addition to previously exempted coffee products.

Why can’t the US produce its own coffee?The US climate is not suitable for commercial coffee cultivation, making imports essential to meet domestic demand.

Global Leaders Unite to Advance Coffee Education

Source: Fondazione Ernesto Illy ETS / UNIDO / SCA / ICO
Author: Editorial Team
Date: July 15, 2026

Global Leaders Unite to Advance Coffee Education

  • Global coffee leaders convened at World of Coffee Brussels for a landmark panel discussion on education.
  • The event celebrated 15 years of the Master in Coffee Economics and Science – Ernesto Illy.
  • The Ernesto Illy Master Alumni Community was officially launched as a global professional network.
  • Panelists explored collaborative frameworks for workforce development in African producing countries.
  • UNIDO’s ACT Coffee Programme and Coffee Training Centres were highlighted as key capacity-building platforms.
  • Ethiopia’s Coffee Training Centre has already certified hundreds of professionals across Africa.
  • Speakers emphasized education as the most sustainable investment in coffee’s future.

Global leaders in coffee, education, and international development convened at World of Coffee Brussels 2026. The event featured a landmark panel discussion on education’s role in shaping the coffee sector’s future. Organized by Fondazione Ernesto Illy ETS, UNIDO, SCA, and ICO, the event marked 15 years of the Master in Coffee Economics and Science.

The panels celebrated the program’s legacy and launched its Alumni Community. Participants also explored collaborative frameworks for workforce development in African producing countries. The message was clear: education is the most sustainable investment in coffee’s future.

Panel I: 15 Years of the Ernesto Illy Master

The first session celebrated 15 editions of the Master in Coffee Economics and Science. It is the only international first-level Master’s programme taught in English. The panel featured founding faculty members, industry partners, and alumni from Costa Rica and Ethiopia.

Speakers included Anna Illy, Sunalini Menon, Eliana Cossio, Daniel Sanchez, and Addisu Dulacha Gobana. The session culminated in the official launch of the Ernesto Illy Master Alumni Community. This global professional network extends the programme’s impact beyond the classroom.

Panel I Speakers – 15 Years of the Ernesto Illy Master
Speaker Affiliation
Anna Illy Chair, Fondazione Ernesto Illy ETS
Sunalini Menon President, CoffeeLab Limited
Eliana Cossio Chief Research Officer, SCA
Daniel Sanchez Alumni 2018, Costa Rica
Addisu Dulacha Gobana Alumni 2019, Ethiopia

“The Master in Coffee Economics and Science – Ernesto Illy was born from a bold vision: to recognize coffee not just as a product, but as a field of knowledge bringing together science, economics, culture, and sustainability in a truly multidisciplinary and international dialogue. Fifteen editions later, it has grown into much more than an academic program: it is a global community of 300 passionate professionals who share a deeper understanding of coffee from plant to cup. With the launch of the Ernesto Illy Master Alumni Community, this shared knowledge becomes an even stronger force: connecting people, inspiring ideas and shaping the future of coffee.”

— Anna Illy, Chair, Fondazione Ernesto Illy ETS

Panel II: Innovation for Capacity Building

The second session examined how international organisations, governments, and the private sector can strengthen human capital. Focus areas included UNIDO/ACT Programme Coffee Training Centres. These are skills platforms across East African countries. The panel also discussed SCA Coffee Education Systems and new collaboration models for Africa.

Ethiopia’s Coffee Training Centre experience was presented by Dr. Adugna Debela, Director General of ECTA. Speakers included Vanusia Nogueira, Iannis Apostolopoulos, Providence Mavubi, Stijn De Lameilliere, and Wouter Cools.

Panel II Speakers – Innovation for Capacity Building
Speaker Affiliation
Vanusia Nogueira Executive Director, ICO
Iannis Apostolopoulos CEO, Specialty Coffee Association
Providence Mavubi Director, Agribusiness, UNIDO
Dr. Adugna Debela Director General, ECTA
Stijn De Lameilliere GPE/WB
Wouter Cools ILO

Shared Conviction: Skills Advancement is Key

Across both panels, a shared conviction emerged. Sustainable transformation requires investing in the enabling environment for skills advancement. This includes robust institutions and accessible training pathways. Internationally recognised certification frameworks are also essential. They allow local professionals to compete, innovate, and lead.

Coffee Training Centres play a crucial role. They equip local actors with technical skills. They link them to advanced training opportunities. This lays the foundation for inclusive value chain participation. It also increases local value addition.

Leadership Perspectives

“For decades, the ICO has recognized that education, skill development, and the transfer of innovation and technology are essential to building a more resilient, sustainable, and prosperous coffee sector. Partnerships are the catalyst for this change, connecting local talent with global expertise, strong institutions, and internationally recognized training and certification pathways. Together, we can transform capacity building into lasting economic and social progress for coffee-producing countries.”

— Vanusia Nogueira, Executive Director, ICO

“Education is not merely a tool for knowledge transfer – it is a foundational investment in the long-term resilience and inclusiveness of the coffee sector. Through its ACT Coffee Programme, UNIDO is committed to building the enabling environment in which skills advancement can take root and thrive. Coffee Training Centres across Africa are proof that when we invest in people, we invest in the entire value chain.”

— Providence Mavubi, Director, Agribusiness and Infrastructure Development, UNIDO

“The Ethiopia Coffee Training Centre demonstrates what becomes possible when local expertise meets international standards. Our producers and professionals are not only learning – they are leading.”

— Dr. Adugna Debela, Director General, ECTA

“Building a more equitable coffee sector begins with creating more access for the people within our industry. SCA is proud to be part of a growing ecosystem of organizations that recognize education as the foundation of a resilient, inclusive value chain. When local professionals have access to internationally recognized pathways, everyone in coffee benefits.”

— Yannis Apostolopoulos, CEO, SCA

Spotlight: Ethiopia’s Coffee Training Centre

The Ethiopian Coffee and Tea Authority hosts the Coffee Training Centre within its premises in Addis Ababa. It was established with AICS funding and UNIDO technical support. Partners include Illycaffè and the Ernesto Illy Foundation.

The centre is equipped with roasting, brewing, and sensory laboratories. It delivers internationally standardized training across the post-harvest coffee value chain. The centre has already certified hundreds of professionals from across Africa.

About the Organizations

Fondazione Ernesto Illy ETS was established to preserve and promote the legacy of Ernesto Illy. It focuses on scientific research, education, and sustainability projects for coffee value chains. The Foundation’s core value is Ethics.

UNIDO is the UN’s specialized agency for inclusive and sustainable industrial development. It supports sustainable supply chains and strengthens agribusinesses. Its ACT Coffee Programme enhances climate resilience and local value addition in Africa.

The International Coffee Organization is the only intergovernmental organization dedicated to coffee sector sustainability. It provides official statistics and facilitates technical cooperation projects.

The Specialty Coffee Association is the global stage for specialty coffee. It brings together diverse voices across the value chain to spark dialogue and fuel innovation.

Frequently Asked Questions

What event took place at World of Coffee Brussels?Global coffee leaders convened for a panel discussion on education, celebrating 15 years of the Master in Coffee Economics and Science and launching its Alumni Community.

What is the Ernesto Illy Master program?It is the only international first-level Master’s programme in Coffee Economics and Science taught in English. It brings together science, economics, culture, and sustainability.

What is the Ernesto Illy Master Alumni Community?It is a global professional network and digital platform launched to extend the programme’s impact beyond the classroom, connecting 300 professionals worldwide.

What are Coffee Training Centres?They are skills platforms across East African countries supported by UNIDO’s ACT Coffee Programme, providing internationally standardized training.

What is the Ethiopia Coffee Training Centre?It is a training centre in Addis Ababa equipped with roasting, brewing, and sensory laboratories, delivering standardized training across the coffee value chain.

How many professionals has the Ethiopia CTC trained?The centre has already certified hundreds of professionals from across Africa since its establishment.

CQI and BSCA Partner to Expand Coffee Education in Brazil

Source: Coffee Quality Institute / Brazilian Specialty Coffee Association
Author: Editorial Team
Date: July 14, 2026

CQI and BSCA Partner to Expand Coffee Education in Brazil

  • CQI and BSCA signed an exclusive agreement to distribute CQI’s educational offerings in Brazil.
  • The partnership aims to make coffee education more affordable for Brazilian producers.
  • BSCA will coordinate all CQI educational activities in Brazil.
  • Both organizations will work to secure public and private funds to lower student costs.
  • The agreement was signed at World of Coffee Europe in Brussels.
  • CQI has operated in Brazil since 2014, but this deal deepens the partnership.
  • The goal is to improve coffee quality and producer livelihoods through enhanced training.

The Coffee Quality Institute has reached an agreement with the Brazilian Specialty Coffee Association. The agreement designates BSCA as the exclusive distributor of CQI’s educational offerings in Brazil. This collaboration aims to make coffee education more accessible to Brazilian producers.

The agreement was signed in Brussels at World of Coffee Europe. It advances CQI’s mission of improving coffee quality. It also supports BSCA’s goal of enhancing the value of Brazilian specialty coffee.

Deepening a Longstanding Partnership

CQI and BSCA have partnered since 2014. They have delivered coffee education in Brazil for over a decade. However, today’s agreement deepens that commitment significantly. It recognizes BSCA’s track record of leadership on coffee quality in Brazil.

Michael Sheridan, CEO of CQI, acknowledged the cost barrier. “We recognize that the cost of CQI courses has limited access to coffee education in Brazil,” he said. “We will work with BSCA to access local funds and reduce costs for students.”

How the Partnership Works

Under this exclusive partnership, BSCA will coordinate all CQI educational activities in Brazil. This ensures that classes are taught at the same high level. All courses will be delivered by authorized CQI Educators.

The agreement also stipulates that BSCA will work to secure public and private funds. The goal is to effectively lower student prices. This will make education more accessible to a wider range of producers.

Key Partnership Details
Element Description
Agreement Type Exclusive distribution of CQI educational offerings in Brazil
Duration Ongoing partnership (since 2014, now deepened)
BSCA Role Coordinate all CQI educational activities in Brazil
Funding Goal Secure public and private funds to lower student prices
Quality Standard Classes taught by authorized CQI Educators at high level
Signing Location World of Coffee Europe, Brussels

Leadership Perspectives

“CQI and BSCA have partnered since 2014 to deliver coffee education in Brazil, but today’s agreement deepens our longstanding commitment to BSCA in recognition of its track record of leadership on coffee quality in Brazil.”

— Michael Sheridan, CEO of CQI

“This partnership represents a significant step towards further strengthening the Brazilian coffee sector. The commitment of these organizations to promoting participation and increasing access will lead to increased coffee quality and ultimately improve the livelihoods of its producers through this enhanced education and training.”

— Vinicius Estrela, Executive Director of BSCA

What CQI Will Provide

CQI will support BSCA in several ways. First, it will provide access to its comprehensive catalog of educational offerings. Second, it will offer ongoing training for educators. Third, it will partner in securing funding for the programs.

Both organizations are committed to promoting high standards of coffee quality and education in Brazil. The partnership aims to create lasting impact for the Brazilian coffee sector.

About the Organizations

The Coffee Quality Institute is a non-profit that works globally. It improves the quality of coffee and the lives of the people who produce it. For thirty years, CQI has trained people in more than thirty coffee-growing countries.

The Brazilian Specialty Coffee Association unites producers, exporters, roasters, and coffee shops. It operates through three pillars: quality, traceability, and sustainability. The association fosters practices that transform each cup into a unique experience.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the new agreement between CQI and BSCA?CQI designated BSCA as the exclusive distributor of CQI’s educational offerings in Brazil, making coffee education more accessible and affordable.

Why is this partnership important?It reduces the cost barrier for coffee education in Brazil, enabling more producers to access high-quality training and improve their coffee quality.

How long have CQI and BSCA worked together?They have partnered since 2014, but this new agreement deepens and formalizes their relationship significantly.

Who will teach the CQI courses in Brazil?All courses will be taught by authorized CQI Educators to maintain the same high standard of instruction.

How will the partnership reduce costs for students?BSCA will work to secure public and private funds to effectively lower student prices for CQI courses.

What is the goal of this collaboration?The goal is to improve coffee quality and producer livelihoods in Brazil through enhanced education and training.

ICO Coffee Market Report June 2026: Prices Rebound on El Niño Fears

Author: Qahwa World – London
Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO) – Coffee Market Report, June 2026
Date: July 2026

ICO Coffee Market Report June 2026: Prices Rebound on El Niño Fears

Executive Summary

  • The ICO Composite Indicator Price (I‑CIP) averaged 248.90 US cents/lb in June 2026, down 2.8% from May. However, prices rebounded sharply by 17.4% from a two-year low on June 9 to a two-month high at month-end.
  • Super El Niño fears (67% confidence) and excessive rainfall in Brazil (1,956% above average in Minas Gerais) slowed the harvest and raised quality concerns, reversing the downward trend.
  • Robusta prices rose 1.7% to 169.39 US cents/lb, while Brazilian Naturals fell 7.4% to 272.01 US cents/lb.
  • US certified Arabica stocks fell 13.3% to 0.41 million bags, the lowest since February 2024. London Robusta stocks rose 4.8% to 0.68 million bags.
  • Global green bean exports fell 4.1% to 10.8 million bags in May 2026, driven by a 17.2% drop in Brazilian Naturals. Robusta exports rose 4.8%.
  • The Strait of Hormuz closure added 10-14 days to shipping routes, raising fuel costs 68% and fertilizer prices 25%.
  • The USDA forecast a record Brazilian 2026/27 crop at 71.9 million bags (+14%), while Rabobank raised its global Arabica surplus estimate by 35.7%.

The ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged 248.90 US cents per pound in June 2026. This was a 2.8% decrease from May 2026.

Prices continued their downward trend in early June. They fell to 231.96 US cents/lb on June 9, the lowest level in nearly two years. However, prices then rebounded sharply by 17.4%.

They reached a two-month high of 272.39 US cents/lb at the end of the month. Weather emerged as the principal driver of coffee price dynamics in June.

The Colombian Milds and Robustas recorded modest gains. The Colombian Milds rose 0.4% to 324.60 US cents/lb. Robustas increased 1.7% to 169.39 US cents/lb.

In contrast, the Other Milds declined 2.4% to 307.83 US cents/lb. The Brazilian Naturals fell 7.4% to 272.01 US cents/lb. London Robusta stocks rose 4.8% to 0.68 million bags.

US certified Arabica stocks fell 13.3% to 0.41 million bags. This was the lowest level since February 2024. The market became increasingly nervous as inventories tightened.

Super El Niño Fears Drive Rebound

Market sentiment shifted abruptly in June. Growing confidence that El Niño would develop into a Super El Niño halted the downward price movement on June 9.

The Japan Meteorological Agency and NOAA released reports on June 10 and 11. They indicated 67% confidence in a Super El Niño event, the highest confidence level on record.

These forecasts raised concerns about the potential impact on the 2026/27 coffee harvest. The effects vary across regions and seasons.

Reduced rainfall is expected in the Caribbean, Central America, and Mexico. Raised temperatures and reduced rainfall are forecast for northern Brazil and parts of South America.

Increased rainfall is expected in southern Brazil and Bolivia. More erratic rainfall and flooding are forecast for East Africa. Drought conditions are expected in Southeast Asia.

On June 17 and 24, Safras & Mercado reported that Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee harvest was progressing slowly. The harvest reached 39% and 44% completion, respectively.

The delay was concentrated in Arabica areas. Excess rainfall disrupted harvesting and drying operations, particularly in Minas Gerais. The 44% completion figure on June 24 was below the 51% recorded a year earlier and the five-year average of 47%.

On June 29, Somar Meteorologia measured 31.3 mm of rainfall in Minas Gerais. This was equivalent to 1,956% of the historical average for the period. The unusually high precipitation occurred during the normally dry season. It delayed harvesting and drying operations and raised concerns over bean quality.

Strait of Hormuz Disruptions Add Supply Pressure

The Strait of Hormuz was effectively closed from February 28. This forced Asia-Europe shipping routes to divert via the Cape of Good Hope. Transit times increased by 10 to 14 days.

Bunker fuel prices were up 68% from mid-to-late February. Container spot rates roughly doubled. Fertilizer prices increased 25%.

A gradual reopening occurred on June 22-23 following the U.S.-Iran agreement on June 17. This pushed Robusta prices to a one-week low. However, attacks on the Ever Lovely on June 25 and the Kiku on June 27 renewed geopolitical tensions within days. The associated premiums returned quickly.

Combined ICE-certified stocks fell to 1.09 million bags on June 30. This was the lowest level since February 2024. The decline signaled tighter availability of deliverable stocks. The market was left with limited buffers against unforeseen supply disruptions.

Supply Fundamentals and Bearish Factors

On June 1, the USDA forecast Brazil’s 2026/27 crop at a record level. The forecast was 14% above the previous season. Rabobank raised its 2026/27 global Arabica surplus estimate by 35.7%.

These forecasts reinforced previous positive reports. CONAB’s official second survey projected Brazil’s total crop at 66.7 million bags. Safras & Mercado projected a total crop increase of 13.4%.

In late May, the USDA revised its estimate of Vietnam’s 2025/26 output upwards to 31.7 million bags. It forecast production at 32.5 million bags for 2026/27. The dollar index stood at 101.6 during the week of June 22. This was close to a 15-month high, creating a headwind for coffee prices.

The arbitrage between the London and New York futures markets contracted by 13.3% to 100.86 US cents/lb in June 2026. Intra-day volatility of the I-CIP decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 8.6%.

Exports: Arabica Declines, Robusta Gains

Global green bean exports totalled 10.8 million bags in May 2026. This was a 4.1% decline compared to 11.26 million bags in May 2025. All coffee groups recorded declines except Robustas.

Robusta exports were up 4.8% to 4.34 million bags. This was driven mainly by Brazil, where exports surged by 195.6% to 0.61 million bags. The sharp rise reflects differences in harvest timing between the current and previous Robusta harvests.

Colombian Milds exports fell by 1.7% to 0.98 million bags. This marked the seventh consecutive month of negative growth. Other Milds shipments fell by 2.8% to 2.75 million bags. This was the first negative growth observed in coffee year 2025/26.

Brazilian Naturals exports fell by 17.2% to 2.73 million bags. This marked the 15th consecutive month of negative growth. The declines were primarily driven by Brazil and Ethiopia.

Total Arabica exports decreased to 6.46 million bags in May 2026. This was a 9.3% drop from 7.12 million bags in May 2025. As a result, Arabica’s share of total green bean exports fell to 60.2% from 64.0% a year earlier.

Table 1: Green Bean Exports by Coffee Group (million 60‑kg bags)

Coffee Group May 2025 May 2026 Change
Robustas 4.14 4.34 +4.8%
Colombian Milds 0.99 0.98 -1.7%
Other Milds 2.82 2.75 -2.8%
Brazilian Naturals 3.30 2.73 -17.2%

Exports by Region: Mixed Performance

Global exports of all forms of coffee decreased by 3.2% to 12.38 million bags in May 2026. The dynamics across the four regions were mixed.

Exports from Asia & Oceania were up 0.4% to 4.32 million bags. India led the growth with exports increasing 33.7% to 0.74 million bags. However, this was largely offset by decreases in Indonesia and Vietnam.

Africa’s exports decreased by 24.1% to 1.63 million bags. The contraction was driven largely by Ethiopia and Uganda. Their combined exports fell to an estimated 1.31 million bags from 1.77 million bags in May 2025.

South America’s exports increased by 4.3% to 4.29 million bags. This was the first monthly increase in 18 months. The upturn was driven mainly by Brazil, whose exports were up 4.3%.

The Caribbean, Mexico & Central America decreased by 3.8% to 2.14 million bags. This was the first negative growth in coffee year 2025/26, driven mainly by Nicaragua.

Soluble coffee exports increased by 3.6% to 1.51 million bags. Vietnam, Brazil, and India were the largest exporters. Roasted bean exports were up 10.8% to 0.07 million bags.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the ICO composite price in June 2026?

The I-CIP averaged 248.90 US cents/lb in June 2026, a 2.8% decrease from May. However, prices rebounded sharply from a two-year low on June 9 to a two-month high by month-end.

What caused the price rebound in June?

Super El Niño fears (67% confidence) and excessive rainfall in Brazil (1,956% above average in Minas Gerais) slowed the harvest and raised quality concerns, reversing the downward trend.

How did coffee stocks perform in June?

US certified Arabica stocks fell 13.3% to 0.41 million bags, the lowest since February 2024. London Robusta stocks rose 4.8% to 0.68 million bags. Combined ICE-certified stocks fell to 1.09 million bags.

How did the Strait of Hormuz closure affect coffee prices?

The closure added 10-14 days to shipping routes, raising bunker fuel costs 68%, container spot rates by about 100%, and fertilizer prices 25%.

What were the export trends in May 2026?

Global green bean exports fell 4.1% to 10.8 million bags. Robusta exports rose 4.8%, while Brazilian Naturals fell 17.2%. Total Arabica exports were down 9.3%.

What was Brazil’s harvest outlook in June?

The USDA forecast a record 2026/27 Brazilian crop at 71.9 million bags (+14%). However, excessive rainfall in June slowed harvesting, with only 44% completed by June 24, below the five-year average of 47%.


Author: Qahwa World – London | Source: International Coffee Organization – Coffee Market Report, June 2026 | Date: July 2026