Study Finds Ants May Help Suppress Coffee Berry Borer

Posted on August 2, 2026August 2, 2026 by Qahwa World

Source: University of Michigan / Ecology journal
Author: Qahwa World
Date: August 2, 2026

Study Finds Ants May Help Suppress Coffee Berry Borer

Small ants evict coffee berry borers from coffee fruits and use their cavities for reproduction.
This reproductive benefit may support more diverse ant communities on coffee plants.
Large ants eat the borers, while small ants root them out of their homes in coffee berries.
The discovery was made by Jonathan Morris during graduate research in Chiapas, Mexico.
The study highlights the importance of observational science in ecological discovery.
Findings published in The Scientific Naturalist section of the journal Ecology.
Research conducted at a farm station established by University of Michigan ecologists.

Ants are known allies in the fight against coffee berry borers. These pests cause significant damage to coffee crops worldwide. However, a new discovery reveals a previously unknown dimension of this natural pest control.

Jonathan Morris, a postdoctoral researcher at the National Autonomous University of Mexico, made the discovery while studying coffee plants in Chiapas, Mexico. He observed that small ants evict borers from coffee fruits and then use the borer-made cavities to rear their own young.

A New Dimension of Pest Control

Ecologists have long known that large ants eat coffee berry borers. They also know that these ants stymie the pests’ efforts to colonize coffee plants. Small ants can root the borers out of their homes in the coffee fruits. However, what happens next was unknown until now.

Morris discovered that small ant species then use the habitats in the fruits for their own reproduction. This is the first documented evidence of ants taking advantage of the niche construction created by the berry borer.

“In terms of pest control, this is primarily a good thing because it’s benefiting the ants in terms of their populations and fitness. The ants gain this reproductive benefit that’s originally created by the coffee pest. And this might actually help to maintain more diverse ant communities directly on the coffee plants.”

— Jonathan R. Morris, Postdoctoral Researcher, UNAM

From Field Samples to Evidence

Morris started this project in 2016. At the time, he was working at a research station in Chiapas, Mexico. The station was established by professors Ivette Perfecto and John Vandermeer from the University of Michigan. Perfecto has been studying agricultural ecosystems on coffee farms in Central America for 25 years.

While conducting research for a different project, Morris collected samples of coffee berries. These berries had been infiltrated by borers and then evicted by ants. He kept the ants in vials and thought about studying them later. Years later, he realized that this behavior had never been documented before.

“I had all these ants in vials that I had found nesting in coffee fruits and told myself, ‘Maybe I’ll do something with this at some point,'” Morris said. “Then, years later, I got to thinking about it and, as far as I know, this is the first time anyone’s documented or reported the ants taking advantage of the niche construction by the berry borer and using it to reproduce themselves.”

**Study Overview**
Element	Details
Lead Researcher	Jonathan R. Morris (UNAM, formerly U-M)
Study Location	Chiapas, Mexico
Research Started	2016
Photographic Evidence	2025
Publication	Ecology journal (The Scientific Naturalist section)
Key Finding	Small ants use borer-made cavities for reproduction
Broader Impact	May support diverse ant communities on coffee plants

Observation Still Drives Discovery

The study has implications beyond ecology and pest control. It also underscores the importance of being in nature and observing what it is doing. This is especially relevant in the age of data science and artificial intelligence.

Morris noted that funders currently emphasize AI and big data. However, before these tools existed, scientists made discoveries by going out into nature and observing. He cited Charles Darwin and Alexander von Humboldt as examples of this tradition.

“But if it wasn’t for having funding for basic science and doing these types of observations, I wouldn’t be sitting here talking about them,” Morris said.

Implications for Coffee Farming

The discovery has significant implications for coffee farming. Coffee berry borers are among the most destructive pests affecting coffee crops. They cause millions of dollars in damage annually.

Ants are already valued as natural allies in pest control. This new evidence suggests their role may be even more important than previously understood. Encouraging diverse ant communities on coffee farms could enhance natural pest suppression and reduce reliance on chemical pesticides.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did the study discover about ants and coffee berry borers?Small ants evict coffee berry borers from coffee fruits and then use the borer-made cavities to rear their own young.

Why is this discovery important?It shows that ants gain a reproductive benefit from the pests, which may support more diverse and stable ant communities on coffee plants.

Where was the research conducted?The research was conducted in Chiapas, Mexico, at a research station established by University of Michigan ecologists.

Who led the study?Jonathan R. Morris, now a postdoctoral researcher at UNAM, led the study while he was a graduate student at the University of Michigan.

How does this help coffee farmers?It highlights the importance of maintaining diverse ant communities on coffee farms to enhance natural pest control and reduce pesticide use.

Where were the findings published?The findings were published in The Scientific Naturalist section of the journal Ecology.

Optimal Coffee Amount by Age: What Large Scientific Studies Say

Posted on August 1, 2026August 1, 2026 by Qahwa World

Source: UK Biobank, Nurses’ Health Study, American Heart Association
Author: Qahwa World
Date: August 1, 2026This article explores coffee consumption by age based on major health studies.

Optimal Coffee Amount by Age: What Large Scientific Studies Say

Large observational studies link moderate coffee consumption to lower risk of chronic diseases.
These findings are associations, not proof of causation, and vary by age, health, and genetics.
After 30: 3-5 cups daily associated with lower risk of liver cirrhosis and liver cancer.
After 40: 3 small cups daily linked to “healthy aging” for midlife women.
After 50: 3-5 cups (400 mg caffeine) safe for most healthy adults, may reduce heart failure risk.
After 60: Coffee linked to lower risk of physical frailty and cellular renewal processes.
Individual response varies based on genetics, health status, and additives (sugar and cream).

Coffee is no longer just a morning wake-up drink. Over the past two decades, large observational studies have gathered consistent evidence that moderate consumption may be linked to lower risk of several chronic diseases.

These potential benefits include liver disease, dementia, and certain aspects of healthy aging. However, these remain associations, not proof of causation. Benefits and risks vary significantly by age, health status, genetics, and individual caffeine sensitivity.

**Practical Summary: Optimal Amount by Age Group**
Age Group	Optimal Amount (cups/day)	Key Potential Benefits	Main Sources
After 30	2-5	Liver protection (cirrhosis, cancer)	UK Biobank (355k participants)
After 40	2-3 (women)	Healthy aging	Nurses’ Health Study (47.5k)
After 50	3-5	Heart health (heart failure, stroke)	American Heart Association
After 60	2-4	Reduced frailty, cellular renewal	Observational studies on elderly

After 30: Potential Liver and Brain Protection

Long-term risk factors begin to form during this stage. A massive recent study from UK Biobank involving about 355,000 participants found coffee consumption linked to lower risk of liver cirrhosis, liver cancer, and liver-related deaths.

Benefits appeared starting from one to two cups daily. They increased with quantity and were strongest at 3-5 cups or more. Interestingly, the positive effect was also observed with decaffeinated coffee. This suggests that other compounds (like polyphenols) play an important role alongside caffeine.

For the brain, multiple studies link 2-3 cups daily to lower risk of dementia or cognitive decline in later life. Proposed mechanisms include anti-inflammatory effects, improved insulin sensitivity, and reduced accumulation of harmful proteins.

After 40: Potential Benefits for Midlife Women

Perimenopause involves significant hormonal changes affecting physical and cognitive health. The Harvard Nurses’ Health Study, which followed about 47,500 women for over three decades, found that women consuming about three small cups of caffeinated coffee in midlife were more likely to reach age 70 with “healthy aging.”

This includes freedom from major chronic diseases, preserved physical function, mental health, and absence of cognitive impairment. Decaffeinated coffee and tea did not show the same association as strongly. At this stage, some women may become more sensitive to caffeine. If coffee causes anxiety, palpitations, or sleep disruption, reducing the amount is advisable.

After 50: Heart Health and Safety of Moderate Consumption

Old beliefs linking coffee to inevitable heart damage are no longer supported by modern evidence. Recent reviews and meta-analyses, including data from the American Heart Association, indicate that most healthy adults can safely consume up to 3-5 cups (or about 400 mg caffeine) daily.

This level is often linked to lower risk of certain cardiovascular diseases like heart failure and stroke in observational studies. However, the optimal amount remains highly individual. It depends on sleep quality, blood pressure, and personal physician recommendations.

After 60: Supporting Muscle Function and Reducing Frailty Risk

With advancing age, the risk of losing muscle mass and physical frailty increases. Recent observational studies on elderly individuals link higher coffee consumption to lower likelihood of frailty, including weight loss, muscle weakness, exhaustion, slow walking speed, and low physical activity.

Mechanistically, animal studies show that coffee stimulates autophagy—a natural cellular renewal process that removes damaged components—in muscles, liver, and heart. This may contribute to preserving muscle tissue, though human evidence remains indirect.

What Makes Coffee Beneficial? How Does Response Vary?

Potential benefits come from a combination of caffeine and its effects on the nervous system and metabolism, antioxidants and polyphenols (such as chlorogenic acid), and other compounds affecting inflammation, insulin, and cellular renewal processes.

However, individual response varies greatly. Genetics (such as variations in the CYP1A2 enzyme) determine caffeine metabolism rate. Health status, additives (sugar and cream often reduce benefits), and preparation method also affect health impacts.

Practical Conclusion: No Universal Optimal Dose

There is no single “universal optimal dose” for everyone at every age. Current evidence suggests that moderate consumption (generally 2-4 cups daily for most healthy individuals) is linked to several potential benefits, especially for liver, brain, and healthy aging.

However, keep in mind that these are associations, not proof of causation. Those with anxiety disorders, insomnia, certain heart conditions, pregnant women, or those taking specific medications may need to limit or avoid coffee. It is always best to consider personal tolerance and consult a doctor if you have any chronic condition.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many cups of coffee are suitable for those over 30?The UK Biobank study suggests 3-5 cups daily are linked to lower liver cirrhosis and liver cancer risk, with benefits starting from two cups daily.

Is coffee beneficial for midlife women?Yes. The Nurses’ Health Study found that 3 small cups daily of caffeinated coffee were linked to greater odds of healthy aging after age 70.

Does coffee harm the heart?Modern evidence, including the American Heart Association, indicates that 3-5 cups daily (400 mg caffeine) are safe for most healthy adults and may reduce heart failure and stroke risk.

What are the benefits of coffee for seniors?Coffee is linked to lower risk of physical frailty (muscle loss and exhaustion) through stimulating cellular renewal processes (autophagy).

Is decaffeinated coffee also beneficial?Yes. In the liver study, the positive effect was also observed with decaffeinated coffee, suggesting a role for other compounds like polyphenols.

Is there an ideal dose that fits everyone?No. Individual response varies based on genetics, health status, and personal tolerance. It’s best to consult a doctor for chronic conditions.

ICP 25 Years: Building Resilience in Coffee Communities Worldwide

Posted on July 30, 2026July 30, 2026 by Qahwa World

Author: Qahwa World
Source: Hanns R. Neumann Stiftung (HRNS) – ICP 25th Anniversary Report
Date: July 23, 2026

ICP 25 Years: Building Resilience in Coffee Communities Worldwide

Executive Summary

Over the past 25 years, the International Coffee Partners(ICP) has shifted from working in many countries to building deeper, long-term engagement in six regions: Brazil, Ethiopia, Honduras, Indonesia, Tanzania and Uganda.
ICP has reached over 116,000 households across these regions, supported by more than 250 HRNS staff worldwide.
In Indonesia, 19,406 households have been reached. Farming households reached 77% of a living income in 2024, up from 39% in 2021.
In Uganda, 38,691 households have been reached. Women represent over 50% of training participants, and youth participation more than doubled from 10% to 26% in 2025.
In Ethiopia, the CAFE project reached 3,029 households, with productivity increasing nearly 70% between 2020 and 2025.
In Tanzania, 44,291 households have been reached. By 2025, 92% of farming families were food secure.
In Brazil, 4,760 households have been reached. In 2025, 76% adopted good agricultural practices and 72% kept farm records.
In Honduras, 9,892 households have been reached. Women hold 42% of cooperative leadership positions, and youth participation reached 33% in 2025.

The International Coffee Partners(ICP) is celebrating 25 years of working with coffee-farming families. Over this period, the program has shifted its approach significantly. It moved from working in many countries to building deeper, longer-term engagement in six key regions: Brazil, Ethiopia, Honduras, Indonesia, Tanzania and Uganda.

Hanns R. Neumann Stiftung (HRNS) implements and manages all ICP projects. The organization supports this work through country and regional offices. More than 250 staff worldwide provide the local presence needed to translate ICP’s long-term commitment into practical support on the ground.

Across these regions, ICP activities have taken different forms. The approach varies depending on local realities, priorities, and opportunities. However, one shared goal remains constant: strengthening the livelihoods of coffee-farming families.

Indonesia: From Second-Class Coffee to Stronger Coffee Systems

In South Sumatra, ICP has helped transform a region where coffee was once seen as second-class. When project activities began in 2014, productivity was low and few companies were willing to source directly from farmers or cooperatives.

Arman Ginting, Co-Country Manager at HRNS in Indonesia, describes the change: “Today, the situation has changed fundamentally.” He explains that ICP acts as an enabler of systemic change that works across the value chain. The program is driven by support for good agricultural practices, quality management, and market linkages.

Over time, farming families focused on improving existing land rather than expanding it. This approach has achieved higher yields and better quality. At the same time, diversification into fruit trees, chili, and other crops has strengthened household resilience.

Women’s economic role has become more visible. In 2025, women made up 46% of participants in ICP trainings in Indonesia. So far, ICP has reached 19,406 households in the country.

By 2025, 32% of farmers kept farm records. 29% had adopted good agricultural practices, and 33% were applying climate-smart practices. As a result, farming households reached an average of 77% of a living income in 2024, up from 39% in 2021.

Uganda: Change Begins at Household Level

In Uganda, ICP’s work has shown how much can change when families plan and decide together. Since 2004, the focus has increasingly been on gender equality, youth empowerment, diversification, and climate resilience.

Victor Komakech, Climate Change Coordinator at HRNS Uganda, highlights one key achievement. The Gender Household Approach has been “one of the program’s most significant achievements.” By encouraging joint planning and decision-making, it has laid the foundation for more inclusive and sustainable household development.

This progress is also reflected in participation. In 2025, more than 50% of participants in ICP trainings in Uganda were women. This is the highest rate across all ICP regions.

At the same time, youth farmer field schools and innovation groups have helped young people build skills and start rural businesses. Youth participation in ICP projects more than doubled from 10% in 2024 to 26% in 2025. This was supported by the deliberate involvement of young people as demonstration plot holders and group leaders.

So far, ICP has reached 38,691 households in Uganda. By 2024, households had reached an average of 46% of a living income, up from 15% in 2021.

Ethiopia: An Integrated Approach to Stronger Livelihoods

In Ethiopia’s Amhara region, the CAFE (Coffee Alliances for Ethiopia) project demonstrates the power of integrated support. Since 2019, ICP has reached 3,029 households through an approach that combines better farming practices with climate adaptation, stronger cooperatives, gender equality, youth opportunities, and more diversified livelihoods.

Rahel Adugna, Co-Country Manager HRNS Ethiopia, explains the project’s significance. The CAFE project has “evolved into a pioneering initiative in the region” by bringing these elements together in one coherent framework.

By 2024, 95% of participants had adopted good agricultural and climate-smart practices. This contributed to an increase in productivity by nearly 70% between 2020 and 2025. At the same time, home gardens, nurseries, and other livelihood activities significantly improved food security and resilience.

Tanzania: From Shared Knowledge to Stronger Livelihoods

In Tanzania, ICP has helped turn knowledge-sharing into a lasting local resource. Since 2006, it has reached 44,291 households across northern and southern Tanzania.

Godfrey Wilgod, Climate Change and Agronomy Coordinator for ICP in Tanzania, points to a particular strength. “One particular strength has been the establishment of sustainable extension services.” Farmer-to-farmer approaches, such as Farmer Field Schools, have been especially effective.

In Mbeya and Songwe, this is reinforced by Youth Farmer Field Schools. These programs help young people build practical skills and shape the future of farming. Combined with climate-smart agriculture, agroforestry, women’s empowerment, and stronger farmer organizations, this has supported more resilient livelihoods.

By 2025, 92% of farming families were food secure. In 2024, farming households reached an average of 48% of a living income, up from 28% in 2022.

Brazil: From Producing More to Managing Better

In Brazil, ICP has helped many families move beyond a narrow focus on production. Since 2001, it has reached a total of 4,760 households.

Francyelly Lasmar Balduino, Co-Country Manager at HRNS in Brazil, emphasizes the mindset shift. “Many families have learned to look at their farms differently, not only in terms of producing more, but also in managing costs, reducing climate risks, improving coffee quality, and improving their overall quality of life.”

By 2025, 76% of households had adopted good agricultural practices. 72% kept farm records, showing how strongly farm management has become part of everyday practice.

This shift has also made farms more resilient through diversification, regenerative practices, and better risk management. Women and young people now have more voice. In 2025, women made up 36% of participants in ICP trainings, and 19% of farm households had one young person engaged in a community group.

Honduras: Strong Organizations, New Generations

In Honduras, one of ICP’s most important achievements has been its long-term support for farmer organizations.

Pablo Ruiz, Co-Regional Manager at HRNS Central America, reflects on this success. “When I think about ICP’s work over the last decades, the first success that comes to my mind is the investment in farmer organizations.” This sustained engagement has helped farmers build organizations that have improved access to markets, services, and support.

Programs such as Climate Pioneers have reinforced this by encouraging young people to take a more active role in coffee-growing communities. In 2025, Honduras recorded ICP’s highest youth participation rate in projects at 33%.

Another notable result is the role of women. In 2025, they accounted for 49% of participants in ICP trainings and held 42% of cooperative leadership positions.

So far, ICP has reached 9,892 households in the region. Between 2024 and 2025, the share of farmers adopting good agricultural practices rose from 58% to 76%, and climate-smart practices from 37% to 56%.

A Shared Lesson Across Regions

These regional developments and results show that progress in coffee farming is never just about coffee alone. It is also about stronger families, more resilient livelihoods, better local structures, and new opportunities for the next generation.

After 25 years, ICP’s work across regions makes one thing clear. Lasting change happens where support is long-term, locally rooted, and shaped by the realities of farming families.

Table 1: ICP Regional Impact at a Glance

Region	Households Reached	Women in Training (2025)	Youth Participation (2025)	Living Income (latest)
Indonesia	19,406	46%	n/a	77% (2024)
Uganda	38,691	50%+	26%	46% (2024)
Ethiopia	3,029	n/a	n/a	Productivity +70%
Tanzania	44,291	n/a	n/a	48% (2024)
Brazil	4,760	36%	19%	GAP 76%
Honduras	9,892	49%	33%	Women in leadership 42%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the International Coffee Partners(ICP)?

ICP is a long-term initiative that works with coffee-farming families to strengthen their livelihoods. It is implemented by Hanns R. Neumann Stiftung (HRNS) and operates in six regions: Brazil, Ethiopia, Honduras, Indonesia, Tanzania and Uganda.

How many households has ICP reached?

ICP has reached over 116,000 households across all six regions, supported by more than 250 HRNS staff worldwide.

What are the main focus areas of ICP?

ICP focuses on good agricultural practices, climate resilience, gender equality, youth empowerment, farmer organizations, diversification, and improving household living incomes.

Which region has the highest women’s participation in trainings?

Uganda has the highest rate, with over 50% of ICP training participants being women in 2025.

What is the CAFE project in Ethiopia?

CAFE (Coffee Alliances for Ethiopia) is an ICP project in the Amhara region that combines coffee production improvements with climate adaptation, cooperatives, gender equality, youth opportunities, and livelihood diversification.

What has been ICP’s impact on living incomes?

In Indonesia, households reached 77% of a living income in 2024, up from 39% in 2021. In Uganda, it rose from 15% to 46%, and in Tanzania from 28% to 48%.

Author: Qahwa World | Source: Hanns R. Neumann Stiftung – ICP 25th Anniversary Report | Date: July 23, 2026

Over 3,000 Gallons of Coffee Recalled Due to Botulism Risk

Posted on July 29, 2026July 29, 2026 by Qahwa World

Source: FDA / EatingWell / Danielle DeAngelis
Author: Qahwa World
Date: July 27, 2026

Over 3,000 Gallons of Coffee Recalled Due to Botulism Risk

FDA announced a recall of approximately 3,408 gallons of cold brew coffee.
The recall affects Brooklyn Roasting Company Pasteurized Cold Brew Concentrate.
Products were distributed in New Jersey and New York from April 1 through June 20, 2026.
Containers are 2.5-gallon bottles with best-by dates through September 30, 2026.
Risk of Clostridium botulinum contamination can cause botulism, a serious illness.
Consumers should dispose of affected products or return them for a refund.
The FDA classified this as a Class II recall on July 21, 2026.

The Food and Drug Administration announced a recall on approximately 3,408 gallons of cold brew coffee. The recall is due to a Clostridium botulinum bacterial contamination risk. The affected product is Brooklyn Roasting Company Pasteurized Cold Brew Concentrate.

The cold brew was distributed and sold in New Jersey and New York. Sales occurred from April 1 through June 20, 2026. The product was sold in 2.5-gallon bottles with best-by dates ranging from June 30 through September 30, 2026.

Check Your Cold Brew

Consumers should check their cold brew immediately. If the product matches the recall information, dispose of it. Alternatively, return it to the place of purchase for a potential refund.

The product may have been stored at room temperature during the distribution process. This makes it susceptible to Clostridium botulinum toxin formation. The FDA has issued this warning to protect public health.

**Brooklyn Roasting Company Cold Brew Recall Details**
Detail	Information
Product	Brooklyn Roasting Company Pasteurized Cold Brew Concentrate
Total volume recalled	Approximately 3,408 gallons
Container size	2.5-gallon bottles
Distribution area	New Jersey and New York
Sales period	April 1 through June 20, 2026
Best-by dates	June 30 through September 30, 2026
Recall reason	Clostridium botulinum contamination risk
FDA classification	Class II (July 21, 2026)

Health Risks of Botulism

Exposure to Clostridium botulinum can cause botulism. This is a serious and sometimes deadly illness. Botulism attacks the nervous system. Symptoms include bloating, constipation, and muscle weakness. Other symptoms include dizziness, double vision, trouble speaking or swallowing, and difficulty breathing.

Seek immediate medical attention if you show signs of botulism after consuming the recalled product. The illness can progress rapidly and requires prompt treatment.

FDA Classification

On July 21, the FDA classified this recall as a Class II alert. This means the product may cause minor, temporary health concerns. However, botulism can be serious, and consumers should take this recall seriously. For questions, contact the FDA at 1-888-INFO-FDA (1-888-463-6332).

What Consumers Should Do

Consumers who purchased the affected product should take immediate action. First, check the label for the product name and best-by date. Second, if it matches the recall, do not consume the product. Third, dispose of the product safely or return it to the store for a refund.

If you have consumed the product and experience any symptoms, seek medical help immediately. Early treatment is critical for botulism. The FDA and the company are working together to ensure consumer safety.

Frequently Asked Questions

What product is being recalled?Brooklyn Roasting Company Pasteurized Cold Brew Concentrate sold in 2.5-gallon bottles.

How much coffee is affected?Approximately 3,408 gallons of cold brew coffee are being recalled.

Where was the product sold?The product was distributed and sold in New Jersey and New York.

What are the best-by dates of the recalled product?The best-by dates range from June 30 through September 30, 2026.

What are the symptoms of botulism?Symptoms include bloating, constipation, muscle weakness, dizziness, double vision, trouble speaking or swallowing, and difficulty breathing.

What should I do if I have the recalled product?Dispose of it or return it to the place of purchase for a refund. Seek medical help if you experience symptoms.

Doctor Explains the “Coffee Belly” Myth

Posted on July 29, 2026 by Qahwa World

Source: SM-Clinic / Gastroenterologist Natalya Rusantsova
Author: Qahwa World
Date: July 29, 2026

Doctor Explains the “Coffee Belly” Myth

“Coffee belly” is widely discussed on social media.
A gastroenterologist explains that coffee itself does not cause fat deposits.
Caffeine temporarily raises cortisol—a normal physiological response.
Risk arises when coffee is combined with stress, poor sleep, and unhealthy eating.
Drinking coffee on an empty stomach can lead to overeating later.
Lattes, raf, mocha, and other add-ins contain hundreds of calories.
3-4 cups of coffee daily are safe for most adults.

“Coffee belly” is increasingly discussed on social media. Many believe that regular coffee consumption leads to belly fat accumulation. However, doctors note that coffee itself is not the cause of weight gain.

Gastroenterologist Natalya Rusantsova from SM-Clinic explained that coffee cannot directly cause fat deposition. If it did, the problem would be observed in every coffee lover.

Caffeine and Cortisol: A Normal Response

Caffeine temporarily raises cortisol levels—the stress hormone. For healthy individuals, this is a normal physiological reaction. Hormone levels return to normal shortly after. For most people, this effect poses no danger.

However, risk arises when coffee consumption is combined with chronic stress, lack of sleep, disrupted eating patterns, and low physical activity. In such conditions, cortisol levels can remain elevated for much longer. This contributes to the accumulation of visceral fat around internal organs.

Coffee on an Empty Stomach and Overeating

Many people drink coffee on an empty stomach or replace a full breakfast with it. After a temporary decrease in appetite, a strong feeling of hunger often arises. This leads to overeating and the consumption of high-calorie foods.

**Factors Contributing to “Coffee Belly”**
Factor	Effect
Caffeine + chronic stress	Prolonged cortisol elevation, visceral fat accumulation
Coffee on an empty stomach	Appetite suppression, followed by strong hunger and overeating
Coffee drinks with additives	Lattes, raf, mocha contain hundreds of calories per serving
Lack of sleep	Enhanced stress response, metabolic disruption
Low physical activity	Slowed metabolism, fat accumulation

Coffee Drinks with Additives: Hidden Calories

Coffee drinks with additives play a separate role. Lattes, raf, mocha, and other drinks with cream, syrups, and sugar can contain several hundred kilocalories in a single serving. In this case, the cause of weight gain is the additional ingredients, not the coffee itself.

Doctor’s Recommendations

The doctor recommends that people experiencing weight gain first pay attention to their lifestyle, sleep patterns, diet, and physical activity. In the absence of contraindications, consuming 3-4 cups of coffee per day is considered safe for most adults.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does “coffee belly” actually exist?Coffee itself does not cause fat deposits. “Coffee belly” is a myth. Weight gain is related to lifestyle, stress, and coffee additives.

How does caffeine affect cortisol?Caffeine temporarily raises cortisol levels. This is a normal reaction for healthy individuals. Hormone levels quickly return to normal.

When can coffee contribute to weight gain?When combined with chronic stress, lack of sleep, disrupted eating patterns, and low physical activity. Also when drinking coffee on an empty stomach.

Why is coffee on an empty stomach harmful?It temporarily suppresses appetite but later causes strong hunger. This leads to overeating and consumption of high-calorie foods.

Which coffee drinks are most caloric?Lattes, raf, mocha, and other drinks with cream, syrups, and sugar. They can contain hundreds of calories per serving.

How much coffee is safe to drink?In the absence of contraindications, 3-4 cups of coffee per day are considered safe for most adults.

Cotti Coffee Expands to 35+ Australian Locations

Posted on July 28, 2026 by Qahwa World

Source: Industry Report / Cotti Coffee
Author: Qahwa World
Date: July 28, 2026

Cotti Coffee Expands to 35+ Australian Locations

Cotti Coffee opens three new Australian stores in July, bringing total to more than 35 locations.
New stores opened in Frankston (Victoria), Green Square (Sydney), and St Kilda (Melbourne).
The brand now has locations across New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland, Western Australia, and South Australia.
Internationally, Cotti Coffee reports more than 18,000 venues in 33 countries.
The company was founded in 2022 by co-founders of Luckin Coffee.
Cotti Coffee specializes in fresh coffee, teas, and signature drinks.
New app customers receive their first three drinks for $3.95.

Chinese coffee chain Cotti Coffee continues its rapid Australian expansion. The brand opened three more venues in July. This brings its total Australian locations to more than 35.

New stores opened in Frankston, Victoria, and Green Square, Sydney. These followed a new outlet in St Kilda, Melbourne, at the end of June. The franchise-format group shows no signs of slowing down.

Expansion Timeline

Cotti Coffee’s first Australian venue opened in Cabramatta, Sydney, on January 31, 2024. By September 2025, the brand had 16 locations in Sydney, two in Perth, one on the Gold Coast, and one in Melbourne. The pace of expansion has accelerated significantly since then.

**Cotti Coffee Australian Locations by State**
State	Locations
New South Wales (Sydney area)	Multiple (Cabramatta, Manly Beach, North Sydney, Eastwood, Bondi Junction, Waterloo, Rosebery, Gadigal, Green Square, and more)
Victoria (Melbourne area)	Multiple (St Kilda, South Yarra, Carlton, CBD, Springvale, Exhibition Street, Glenferrie, Clayton, Frankston)
Queensland	Brisbane, Inala, Gold Coast
Western Australia	Perth (2 locations)
South Australia	Adelaide

Recent Openings

According to the brand’s Instagram page, Cotti Coffee has launched seven additional stores in New South Wales. These include Manly Beach, North Sydney, Eastwood, Bondi Junction, Waterloo, Rosebery, and Gadigal. The brand has also opened seven more stores in Victoria: South Yarra, Carlton, CBD, Springvale, Exhibition Street, Glenferrie, and Clayton.

In Queensland, the brand now has stores in Brisbane and Inala, in addition to the Gold Coast. Its first South Australian store opened in Adelaide. The brand’s presence now spans five Australian states.

Global Footprint

Internationally, Cotti Coffee reports having more than 18,000 venues in 33 countries. This rapid global expansion has made the brand one of the fastest-growing coffee chains in the world. The company was founded in 2022 by Lu Zhengyao and Qian Zhiya. They were two of the original co-founders of coffee giant Luckin Coffee.

Cotti Coffee specializes in fresh coffee, teas, and signature drinks. The brand is known for its competitive pricing and aggressive expansion strategy. As part of its launch initiative, it offers new app customers their first three drinks for $3.95. This promotion helps attract new customers and build brand loyalty.

Australian Coffee Market Context

Australia has a sophisticated and competitive coffee market. The country has a strong café culture with high consumer expectations. International chains have found success by adapting to local tastes and preferences.

Cotti Coffee’s expansion demonstrates the growing appetite for international coffee brands in Australia. The brand’s affordability and quality proposition appeal to a wide range of consumers. Its rapid growth suggests strong demand for its offerings.

What This Means for the Industry

Cotti Coffee’s expansion reflects broader trends in the global coffee industry. Chinese coffee brands are increasingly expanding internationally. They bring unique business models and value propositions to new markets.

For Australian consumers, the arrival of Cotti Coffee offers more choice and competition. This can drive innovation and value across the market. Established players may need to adapt their strategies to maintain market share.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many Cotti Coffee locations are in Australia?As of July 2026, Cotti Coffee has more than 35 locations across Australia.

Where are the new stores located?New stores opened in Frankston (Victoria), Green Square (Sydney), and St Kilda (Melbourne).

When did Cotti Coffee arrive in Australia?The first Australian venue opened in Cabramatta, Sydney, on January 31, 2024.

How many stores does Cotti Coffee have globally?The brand reports more than 18,000 venues in 33 countries worldwide.

Who founded Cotti Coffee?The company was founded in 2022 by Lu Zhengyao and Qian Zhiya, co-founders of Luckin Coffee.

What does Cotti Coffee offer?Cotti Coffee specializes in fresh coffee, teas, and signature drinks, with a competitive pricing strategy.

Dutch Bros Over-Indexes on Coffee and Energy Boost Ritual

Posted on July 28, 2026 by Qahwa World

Source: Morning Consult / Bill Pink
Author: Editorial Team
Date: July 27, 2026

Dutch Bros Over-Indexes on Coffee and Energy Boost Ritual

Dutch Bros holds 2.0 mental market share against 2.2 market share, a near-perfect match.
The brand over-indexes on morning coffee (+9.3), energy boost (+9.1), and coffee to share with coworkers (+10.0).
Dutch Bros ranks fourth on raw coffee association at ~21%, behind Starbucks, Dunkin’, and McDonald’s.
Mental market share among 18-to-34 adults is 3.2, compared to just 1.2 among 65+.
The brand’s reach is the real constraint: 51.8% of category buyers bring Dutch Bros to mind.
Dutch Bros under-indexes on sit-down occasions like family breakfast (-7.1) and weekend brunch (-5.7).
Emotional connection stands at 2.8, offering room for deeper customer loyalty.

Dutch Bros has built a national brand identity. However, its actual footprint remains concentrated in the West and Sun Belt. At 2.0 mental market share, it is a fraction of Starbucks or Dunkin’ in raw scale. Yet on the occasions that define the category’s center, it punches well above its weight.

These occasions include morning coffee, the energy boost, and coffee shared with coworkers. The ceiling is not relevance; it is reach. With mental market share and converted share nearly identical, this is not a conversion problem. It is a distribution story — an emerging regional brand whose differentiation is genuinely strong.

The Category Entry Points Dutch Bros Wins

Dutch Bros’ Mental Advantage profile reads like a coffee-led brand several times its size. The relative signal is real, even where the absolute reach is not yet there. The brand over-indexes on the coffee and energy boost ritual.

**Dutch Bros Mental Advantage on Key Occasions**
Occasion	Mental Advantage
Bringing coffee to share with coworkers	+10.0
Picking up a coffee to start my day	+9.3
Need to boost energy/focus before a demanding morning	+9.1
Grabbing breakfast on the way to work	−1.0
Meeting someone for coffee and conversation	+2.0
Treating myself to something special to start the day	+4.0

Given its size, Dutch Bros over-performs on these daily coffee occasions. These sit at the heart of the category. Dutch Bros leans into them more than its footprint would predict. Its identity is coherent and correctly pointed at the occasions that generate frequency.

The Reach Constraint: Fourth Place in Raw Association

Absolute reach on these same occasions is a distant fourth. On each of these coffee occasions, Dutch Bros ranks fourth on raw association at roughly 21 percent. This is well behind Starbucks (around 40 to 48 percent), Dunkin’, and McDonald’s.

The relative strength is genuine, and it is important not to overread it. Dutch Bros over-indexes because it is small and focused. It is not challenging the leaders for these occasions today. The lean is a foundation to grow from rather than a position of strength to defend. Scale context matters here too. The three chains ahead of it operate many times Dutch Bros’ store count. The national sample includes large regions where the brand has no locations at all.

The Right Absences to Have

Dutch Bros is absent from the sit-down occasions, which is the right absence to have. The brand under-indexes on family breakfast with a Mental Advantage of −7.1. It also under-indexes on weekend brunch at −5.7. For a drive-thru coffee brand, these are the correct occasions to cede. The absences are consistent with a focused coffee proposition rather than a sign of missing breadth.

Mind and Market Are Already Matched

Dutch Bros holds 2.0 mental market share against 2.2 market share. The gap of negative 0.2 is essentially even. Unlike brands whose share runs ahead of or behind their mental availability, Dutch Bros converts the mental availability it has almost exactly. There is no conversion inefficiency to fix and no share running ahead of memory to defend. What limits the brand is the raw size of its mental footprint.

**Dutch Bros: Mental vs Market Share**
Metric	Value
Mental Market Share	2.0
Market Share	2.2
Gap	−0.2 (essentially even)
Category Buyers who think of Dutch Bros	51.8%
Network Size	6.5
Emotional Connection	2.8

Penetration is the ceiling. Dutch Bros is brought to mind by 51.8 percent of category buyers. This is far below the coffee leaders. Its associative Network Size is 6.5, narrower than the national chains. The brand’s problem is not what people think of it. It is that too few people think of it at all. Every occasion it over-indexes on is capped by this reach ceiling.

A Distinctly Younger Base

Dutch Bros’ mental market share is 3.2 among 18-to-34 adults. This compares to just 1.2 among the 65-plus group. This is the sharpest young skew of any brand in its size class. Its strength is generational, concentrated in the audience forming its coffee habits now and most open to a newer brand. This is the most valuable possible profile for a small brand with room to grow.

**Dutch Bros Mental Market Share by Age Group**
Age Group	Mental Market Share
18-34	3.2
35-64	~2.0
65+	1.2

What to Do About It

Dutch Bros has the rare combination of a focused, correctly-aimed identity and a young base. It is held back almost entirely by how few people it reaches. The strategy is expansion of mental availability on the occasions the brand already fits, without repositioning.

Grow penetration on the coffee occasions it already over-indexes on. The morning coffee, the energy boost, and coffee for coworkers are where Dutch Bros’ Mental Advantage is strongest. Building raw awareness on exactly these occasions, instead of diversifying into new ones, compounds an existing strength and moves the brand up from its fourth-place absolute standing.

Lead with the young base. The 3.2 mental market share among 18-to-34 adults is the brand’s most valuable asset. Concentrating reach-building where the brand already skews is more efficient than competing head-on with the national chains for older or broader audiences.

Continue to deepen emotional connection as reach grows. With emotional connection at 2.8, Dutch Bros should pair awareness growth with reasons to feel loyalty that go beyond recognition. For a brand this size, converting new awareness into genuine attachment on the coffee ritual is what will eventually let its mental market share climb past the specialist tier.

About the Research

Morning Consult conducts over 30,000 daily proprietary surveys in 45 countries. The research covers more than 5,000 brands and 50 economic indicators. The category advantage research measures both mental availability and emotional closeness. It uncovers Category Entry Points and pinpoints growth opportunities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Dutch Bros’ mental market share?Dutch Bros holds 2.0 mental market share, compared to 2.2 market share, making the gap essentially even.

On which occasions does Dutch Bros over-index?Dutch Bros over-indexes on morning coffee (+9.3), energy boost (+9.1), and coffee to share with coworkers (+10.0).

Why is Dutch Bros ranked fourth in raw association?At roughly 21% association, Dutch Bros ranks fourth behind Starbucks (~40-48%), Dunkin’, and McDonald’s due to its smaller footprint.

What is the brand’s reach limitation?Only 51.8% of category buyers bring Dutch Bros to mind, limiting its growth potential across all occasions.

How does Dutch Bros perform among younger consumers?Mental market share among 18-to-34 adults is 3.2, compared to just 1.2 among 65+, showing a strong generational skew.

What is the strategic recommendation for Dutch Bros?Expand mental availability on existing coffee occasions, lead with the young base, and deepen emotional connection as reach grows.

Coffee Prices Sharply Higher as Brazil’s Harvest Is Delayed

Posted on July 28, 2026 by Qahwa World

Source: Barchart / Rich Asplund
Author: Qahwa Wold
Date: July 27, 2026

Coffee Prices Sharply Higher as Brazil’s Harvest Is Delayed

September arabica rose 3.43% and robusta gained 1.12% on Monday.
32.4 mm of rain fell in Minas Gerais last week—2,700% above the historical average.
Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest is only 64% complete, behind last year’s 77% and the 70% average.
ICE arabica inventories fell to a 2.5-year low of 292,810 bags.
USDA forecasts record global production of 189.7 million bags for 2026/27.
El Niño risks continue to support prices with potential impacts on Brazil’s flowering.
ICE robusta inventories climbed to a 4.25-month high of 4,254 lots.

Coffee prices settled sharply higher on Monday. September arabica closed up 10.75 cents, gaining 3.43%. September robusta closed up 42 points, a rise of 1.12%. The surge came amid concerns that heavy rain in Brazil will further disrupt the coffee harvest.

Somar Meteorologia reported 32.4 mm of rain in Minas Gerais for the week ended July 26. This represents 2,700% of the historical average. Minas Gerais is Brazil’s biggest coffee-growing region.

Harvest Delays Support Coffee Prices

The slow pace of Brazil’s coffee harvest is supporting prices. Harvest among members of Cooxupe co-op was 47.3% complete as of July 17. This is behind the year-earlier pace of 59%. On July 17, Safras & Mercado reported Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee harvest was 64% complete as of July 15. This compares with 77% at the same time last year. The five-year average stands at 70%.

Heavy rainfall in recent weeks has disrupted harvesting operations. Coffee quality may also be affected. Brazilian farmers continue to hold back sales, hoping for higher prices.

**Brazil Coffee Harvest Progress**
Indicator	Value
Cooxupe harvest (as of July 17)	47.3%
Cooxupe year-earlier pace	59%
Brazil overall (as of July 15)	64%
Previous year (July 15)	77%
Five-year average (July 15)	70%
Rainfall in Minas Gerais (week ended July 26)	32.4 mm (2,700% of average)

USDA Forecast and Market Reaction

Last Friday, coffee prices tumbled to 3-week lows. This followed the USDA’s forecast last Wednesday that global coffee output in the 2026/27 season will rise by 6.0% to a record 189.7 million bags. The increase is mainly due to improved growing conditions in Brazil.

The USDA expects global arabica production to rise 12% year-on-year. However, robusta production is expected to fall by 0.7%. World ending stocks are expected to rise by 1.9 million bags to 26.3 million bags. On June 3, the USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service forecast a record Brazil coffee crop of 71.9 million bags for 2026/27, up 14% year-on-year.

**Key Price Drivers for Coffee**
Factor	Impact	Details
Brazil rainfall	Bullish	32.4 mm rain, 2,700% above average, disrupting harvest
Harvest progress	Bullish	64% complete vs. 77% last year and 70% average
Arabica inventories	Bullish	2.5-year low of 292,810 bags
USDA production forecast	Bearish	Record 189.7 million bags globally
Robusta inventories	Bearish	4.25-month high of 4,254 lots
El Niño risks	Bullish	Potential impact on flowering in September-October

Inventory Trends Support Arabica, Weigh on Robusta

Rising inventories are weighing on robusta coffee. ICE robusta inventories climbed to a 4.25-month high of 4,254 lots last Wednesday. They were mildly below that level at 4,228 lots on Monday.

By contrast, a bullish factor for arabica coffee prices was that ICE arabica coffee inventories fell to a 2.5-year low of 292,810 bags on Monday. This tight supply situation supports higher arabica prices.

El Niño Concerns Support Prices

Concerns about an El Niño weather pattern are bullish for prices. Coffee trader Commercial warned that El Niño may delay rains in Brazil. This September and October is when tree flowering normally occurs. Any delay could hurt Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee crop.

On July 8, the US Climate Prediction Center issued a warning. The El Niño pattern that emerged across the equatorial Pacific last month will likely be one of the strongest in more than 75 years. This sets the stage for possible floods, droughts, and temperature fluctuations later this year. These conditions could hinder coffee production in Asia and South America.

Bearish Factors to Consider

Despite the bullish momentum, several bearish factors exist. Soaring coffee exports from Vietnam are bearish for robusta prices. On July 3, Vietnam’s National Statistics Office reported Vietnam’s 2026 coffee exports from January to June rose 7.3% year-on-year to 1.05 million metric tons. Vietnam’s 2025 coffee exports jumped 17.5% to 1.58 million metric tons. Production for 2025/26 is projected to climb 6% to a four-year high of 1.76 million metric tons.

The USDA’s record production forecast also weighs on the market. However, the supply tightening due to harvest delays and El Niño risks may offset these bearish factors.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did coffee prices rise on Monday?September arabica gained 3.43% and September robusta rose 1.12% on Monday, July 27.

What is driving the price increase?Heavy rain in Brazil’s Minas Gerais region—32.4 mm, 2,700% above average—is disrupting the coffee harvest and tightening supplies.

What is the status of Brazil’s coffee harvest?Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest is 64% complete as of July 15, behind last year’s 77% and the 70% five-year average.

What are ICE coffee inventory levels?Arabica inventories fell to a 2.5-year low of 292,810 bags, while robusta inventories climbed to a 4.25-month high of 4,254 lots.

What does the USDA forecast say?USDA forecasts record global production of 189.7 million bags for 2026/27, up 6% from the previous year, led by Brazil’s recovery.

How does El Niño affect coffee prices?El Niño could delay rainfall during Brazil’s critical flowering period in September-October, potentially reducing crop yields and supporting prices.

Spent Coffee Grounds Converted Into Raw Material for Biofuels

Posted on July 27, 2026 by Qahwa World

Source: Universitat Rovira i Virgili / Biomass and Bioenergy journal
Author: Qahwa World
Date: July 27, 2026

Spent Coffee Grounds Converted Into Raw Material for Biofuels

Researchers developed an efficient method to extract oil from spent coffee grounds for biodiesel production.
Optimal conditions: 45°C for 60 minutes with 35 ml hexane per gram of dry residue.
The process recovers approximately 90% of available oils from coffee grounds.
The extracted oil has very low impurity content of 0.3% compared to 3.9% in traditional methods.
The remaining lignocellulosic material can be used for bioethanol, lactic acid, and sustainable aviation fuel.
Global coffee production generates approximately 10 million tonnes of waste annually.
The process supports circular economy and renewable fuel development for hard-to-electrify sectors.

Spent coffee grounds can have a second life. They are typically thrown away after brewing. However, researchers have found a way to extract oil from them efficiently. This oil can serve as a raw material for producing biodiesel.

A study by the Universitat Rovira i Virgili has evaluated how to extract oil from coffee grounds. The process preserves the rest of the plant material. This allows it to be utilized in other processes as well.

The Research Study

The research was published in Biomass and Bioenergy journal. It focuses on spent coffee grounds as an abundant waste product. Global coffee bean production stands at around 10 million tonnes per year. Only a small proportion ends up in the brewed coffee. The remainder becomes solid waste in the form of coffee grounds.

Coffee grounds contain approximately 15% lipids. These fats can serve as a basis for producing biodiesel. The research team studied how three key factors influence oil extraction: temperature, processing time, and solvent-to-coffee-grounds ratio. They used n-hexane as the solvent and applied an experimental design to analyze the combined effects.

**Optimal Conditions for Oil Extraction from Coffee Grounds**
Parameter	Optimal Value
Temperature	45°C
Processing Time	60 minutes
Solvent-to-Coffee Ratio	35 ml hexane per gram of dry residue
Oil Recovery	Approximately 90% of available oils
Oil Impurity Content	0.3%

Key Findings

The research team, comprising Jorge F. Romero, Alberto Tampieri, Daniel Montané, Magdalena Constantí, and Francesc Medina, found optimal conditions at 45°C for 60 minutes. The ratio of 35 millilitres of hexane per gram of dry residue proved most effective. With these parameters, the process recovers approximately 90% of the oil that can be obtained with Soxhlet extraction.

Soxhlet is a laboratory technique widely used as a reference. It offers high yields but requires more time and energy. It is not as suitable for industrial applications. The optimized process yields oil with very low impurity content of 0.3%. In contrast, Soxhlet yields oil with 3.9% impurities. The fatty acid profile remained stable under different test conditions. It was dominated by linoleic and palmitic acids. These components indicate the oil’s potential for biodiesel production.

Beyond Oil: Preserving the Lignocellulosic Matrix

“In our study, we also demonstrate that extracting the oil does not mean that the rest of the material cannot be used for something else,” pointed out Francesc Medina. One of the research objectives was to preserve the lignocellulosic matrix. This matrix is made up of components such as cellulose, hemicellulose, and lignin.

These ingredients can be used to obtain other products. These include bioethanol, lactic acid, polyhydroxyalkanoates, precursors for sustainable aviation fuels, and phenolic compounds. The extraction process not only recovers oils but also acts as a pretreatment. The fats in the residue can prevent solvents or catalysts from accessing the rest of the biomass. Removing this barrier leaves the fat-free residue in a better state for subsequent use.

Comparison with Other Methods

The research team compared their method with ultrasound- and microwave-assisted extraction. These alternatives can accelerate the initial extraction. However, they do not offer a sufficient advantage in terms of oil quality, overall efficiency, energy demand, and scalability. The batch process with n-hexane under moderate conditions appears to be a better, more balanced option. It is more suitable for integration into a biorefining strategy.

Circular Economy and Renewable Fuels

The research forms part of efforts to develop techniques for a circular economy. It addresses the need to develop renewable fuels for hard-to-electrify sectors, such as heavy transport. By using every part of the coffee grounds, the researchers transform a typically underused waste product into various energy vectors and bio-based chemical products. This reduces the environmental impact associated with its accumulation.

Daniel Montané explained that this approach paves the way for the sustainable production of biofuels. The research demonstrates how coffee waste can become a valuable resource rather than an environmental burden.

Implications for the Coffee Industry

This research has significant implications for the coffee industry. It offers a way to reduce waste and generate additional value from coffee production. Coffee roasters, coffee shops, and instant coffee producers could potentially benefit from this technology. The process can be scaled for industrial applications, turning waste into a revenue stream.

The circular economy approach aligns with growing consumer demand for sustainable practices. Coffee companies could enhance their sustainability credentials by adopting such technologies. The research also contributes to reducing the environmental impact of coffee production.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are spent coffee grounds?Spent coffee grounds are the solid waste left over after brewing coffee. They contain approximately 15% lipids that can be extracted for biodiesel production.

How much oil can be extracted from coffee grounds?The optimized process recovers approximately 90% of the available oils from spent coffee grounds.

What are the optimal extraction conditions?The optimal conditions are 45°C for 60 minutes with 35 ml of hexane per gram of dry residue.

What happens to the remaining coffee grounds after oil extraction?The remaining lignocellulosic material can be used to produce bioethanol, lactic acid, sustainable aviation fuels, and other valuable products.

How does this research support sustainability?It promotes a circular economy by turning coffee waste into valuable products, reducing environmental impact and supporting renewable fuel production.

How much coffee waste is generated globally?Global coffee production generates approximately 10 million tonnes of waste annually, with only a small portion ending up in the brewed coffee.

USDA Report: Record World Coffee Production in 2026/27

Posted on July 23, 2026 by Qahwa World

Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) – Coffee: World Markets and Trade
Author: Qahwa World
Date: July 23, 2026This article covers important findings from the world coffee market report 2026.

USDA Report: Record World Coffee Production in 2026/27

World coffee production forecast at a record 189.7 million bags in 2026/27, up 10.8 million from the previous year.
Brazil leads the surge with a record 71.9 million bags, driven by a 9.5 million bag Arabica rebound.
Global consumption rises to a record 179.7 million bags, with the European Union and United States leading gains.
World bean exports forecast at a record 131.4 million bags, up 11.9 million from 2025/26.
Ending stocks rise for a second consecutive year to 26.3 million bags.
Coffee prices have fallen 25% over the last seven months as additional supplies become available.
Vietnam, Colombia, Ethiopia, and Uganda all post production increases, while Indonesia declines.

The USDA Foreign Agricultural Service released its latest Coffee: World Markets and Trade report. Global coffee production for 2026/27 is forecast at a record 189.7 million bags. This represents an increase of 10.8 million bags from the previous year.

Record output in Brazil, Ethiopia, Uganda, and Vietnam drives this growth. These gains more than compensate for losses in India and Indonesia. World coffee bean exports are expected to reach a record 131.4 million bags. Global consumption is forecast to rise to a record 179.7 million bags.

World Production at Record High

World coffee production for 2026/27 is forecast 10.8 million bags higher than the previous year. Production is expected to reach a record 189.7 million bags. Brazil accounts for the largest share with a record 71.9 million bags. The rebound in Arabica production is particularly notable after five years of underperformance.

**World Coffee Production 2026/27 (Million 60-kg Bags)**
Category	2025/26	2026/27 Forecast	Change
Total Production	178.8	189.7	+10.8
Arabica Production	94.4	105.9	+11.4
Robusta Production	84.4	83.8	-0.6

Brazil: Record Production and Arabica Rebound

Brazil’s combined Arabica and Robusta harvest is forecast at a record 71.9 million bags in 2026/27. This represents an increase of 8.9 million bags from the previous year. Arabica output is expected to rebound 9.5 million bags to 47.5 million, ending a five-year period of underperformance due to adverse weather conditions.

Timely rainfall during flowering in September and October ensured favorable fruit development. Near-record yields were achieved in Minas Gerais, where over 70% of Arabica coffee is grown. Robusta production is forecast to retreat 600,000 bags to 24.4 million following last year’s record harvest. Cooler temperatures combined with elevated rainfall lowered yields in Espirito Santo, where approximately 70% of Robusta is grown.

Brazil accounts for nearly 40% of world production and exerts significant influence on global supplies and prices. Brazil’s role in Arabica markets is even more pronounced, typically supplying between 40% and 50% depending on the biennial crop production cycle.

**Brazil Coffee Production Outlook 2026/27**
Category	2025/26	2026/27 Forecast	Change
Arabica Production	38.0 million bags	47.5 million bags	+9.5 million
Robusta Production	25.0 million bags	24.4 million bags	-0.6 million
Total Production	63.0 million bags	71.9 million bags	+8.9 million
Bean Exports	34.0 million bags	45.0 million bags	+11.0 million
Ending Stocks	3.9 million bags	4.4 million bags	+0.5 million

Global Consumption and Trade

World coffee bean exports are forecast 11.9 million bags higher to a record 131.4 million bags. This is driven by higher output in major producing countries. Global consumption is expected to rise to a record 179.7 million bags. The largest gains are occurring in the European Union and the United States.

Ending stocks are expected to rise for a second consecutive year to 26.3 million bags. This follows a significant drawdown between 2020/21 and 2024/25, when global ending stocks fell 15.5 million bags. While stocks are recovering, they remain below the long-term average.

**World Coffee Summary 2026/27 (Million 60-kg Bags)**
Category	2025/26	2026/27 Forecast	Change
World Production	178.8	189.7	+10.8
World Bean Exports	119.5	131.4	+11.9
World Consumption	173.5	179.7	+6.3
Ending Stocks	24.4	26.3	+1.9

Country-by-Country Production Highlights

Vietnam production is forecast to increase 800,000 bags to a record 32.5 million. Expanding area and higher yields drive this growth. Recent high prices allowed growers to increase expenditures on fertilizers. Bean exports are forecast up 300,000 bags to 25.4 million. Domestic consumption is expected to reach a record 5.0 million bags.

Colombia output is expected to rise 900,000 bags to 13.4 million. Adequate soil moisture from last year’s excessive rains supports this growth. Increased utilization of fertilizers and pesticides also contributes. Bean exports, mostly to the United States and European Union, are forecast up 500,000 bags to 12.2 million.

Ethiopia is forecast to increase output by more than 500,000 bags to a record 12.1 million. Higher area and yield drive this growth. Over the last four years, growth has been driven by replacement of over half of the cultivated area with higher-yielding varieties. Bean exports are forecast up nearly 200,000 bags to 7.1 million.

Central America and Mexico production is forecast to rise nearly 600,000 bags to 17.7 million. Rebounding output in Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, and Panama contribute to this growth. Honduras is expected to account for nearly all the region’s growth, rebounding 500,000 bags to 6.0 million.

Indonesia production is forecast to drop 1.0 million bags to 11.4 million. Robusta output is expected to decrease 1.0 million bags to 10.0 million due to lower yields. Excessive rainfall disrupted flowering and cherry formation in Southern Sumatra and Java. Reduced output is expected to cut bean exports by over 800,000 bags to 7.0 million.

**Key Country Production 2026/27 (Million 60-kg Bags)**
Country	2025/26	2026/27 Forecast	Change
Brazil	63.0	71.9	+8.9
Vietnam	31.7	32.5	+0.8
Colombia	12.5	13.4	+0.9
Ethiopia	11.6	12.1	+0.5
Indonesia	12.4	11.4	-1.0
Honduras	5.5	6.0	+0.5
Uganda	7.1	7.2	+0.1

Price Impact of Rising Supplies

Coffee prices have dropped 25% over the last seven months as additional supplies became available. This is measured by the International Coffee Organization monthly composite price index. The improving supply situation reflects record production and rising ending stocks.

However, ending stocks remain below the long-term average. Weather developments in key producing regions, particularly Minas Gerais in Brazil, remain the primary indicator for world market conditions. The biennial production cycle in Brazil continues to shape global supply and price expectations.

Revisions to 2025/26 Estimates

World production is unchanged from the December 2025 estimate of 178.8 million bags. Vietnam is raised 900,000 bags to 31.7 million on higher yields. Peru is up nearly 600,000 bags to 4.8 million. Colombia is lowered 1.3 million bags to 12.5 million due to excessive rain and cloud cover. Guatemala is reduced nearly 400,000 bags to 3.2 million due to coffee cherry borer and coffee rust.

World bean exports are revised down 4.3 million bags to 119.5 million. Brazil is lowered 3.0 million bags to 34.0 million due to lower shipments to the EU and United States. Ethiopia is reduced over 800,000 bags to 6.9 million on higher-than-anticipated domestic consumption. Vietnam is up 500,000 bags to 25.1 million on higher output.

Key Takeaways for the Coffee Industry

Record global production is expected to boost supplies significantly. Brazil’s Arabica rebound after five years of underperformance is particularly notable. This could help replenish global inventories that were drawn down in previous years.

Ending stocks are forecast to rise for a second consecutive year. However, they remain below the long-term average. Weather developments in Minas Gerais remain the primary indicator for world market conditions. Coffee prices have fallen 25% in seven months, reflecting improved supply. Producers and traders should monitor Brazil’s production cycle closely, as it heavily influences global market conditions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the forecast for global coffee production in 2026/27?World production is forecast at a record 189.7 million bags, up 10.8 million from the previous year.

What is Brazil’s production forecast?Brazil is forecast at a record 71.9 million bags, driven by a 9.5 million bag Arabica rebound.

What is the global consumption forecast?Global consumption is expected to rise to a record 179.7 million bags, with the largest gains in the EU and US.

What are ending stocks expected to be?Ending stocks are expected to rise for a second consecutive year to 26.3 million bags.

How have coffee prices responded to increased supply?Coffee prices have dropped 25% over the last seven months as additional supplies became available.

Which countries are driving production growth?Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, Ethiopia, and Uganda are all posting production increases, while Indonesia declines.

Garfield Kerr: Coffee is the World’s Premier and Most Definitive Functional Beverage

Posted on July 23, 2026 by Qahwa World

DUBAI – Ali Alzakary

Mr. Garfield Kerr, CEO of Mokha 1450, a leading specialty coffee chain in Dubai and the UAE, confirmed that coffee is the world’s premier and most definitive functional beverage.

Speaking to Hospitality News ME magazine in issue no. 157, published for the period from May to July 2026, Mr. Garfield said that modern scientific research has settled the decades-long debate surrounding coffee and dispelled old myths. Furthermore, he affirmed its role as the first, most versatile, and most effective functional beverage in history.

He explained that coffee’s roots as a functional beverage date back to 15th-century Yemen, where Sufi communities consumed coffee to maintain focus and alertness during long hours of prayer.

He added that claims circulating in the mid-20th century regarding coffee’s negative health impacts, such as stunted growth or irritability, were based on inaccurate studies flawed by small sample sizes and methodological errors.

However, he noted that comprehensive meta-analyses emerging in the 1990s and 2000s shifted this perception and uncovered coffee’s immense health benefits.

Mr. Garfield clarified that what places coffee at the forefront of functional beverages is its richness in plant-based and bioactive compounds.

He confirmed that caffeine belongs to the methylxanthine class. This class contributes to stimulating the central nervous system and increasing alertness by blocking adenosine receptors. Additionally, it inhibits phosphodiesterase enzymes.

He added that coffee contains antioxidant compounds such as chlorogenic acids and polyphenols. These compounds work to reduce oxidative stress, protect the liver and kidneys, and inhibit the growth of harmful bacteria in the digestive tract.

Mr. Garfield stated that black coffee provides immediate advantages for athletes and fitness enthusiasts, as it contributes to enhancing cardiovascular performance, accelerating muscle glycogen resynthesis, and stimulating fat oxidation at rest and during exercise.

Additionally, he added that it lowers perceived exertion and elevates pain thresholds during physical activity. Moreover, it elevates mood and suppresses appetite.

He reviewed the scientific evidence confirming coffee’s long-term health benefits, confirming that it significantly reduces the risks of heart attack, stroke, and heart failure. In addition, it lowers the risk of type 2 diabetes, liver cirrhosis, and pancreatic and liver cancers.

He added that coffee provides neuroprotection against diseases such as Parkinson’s, Alzheimer’s, and dementia. Besides, it lowers rates of depression and the overall risk of mortality.

He noted that these functional properties of coffee gain added significance alongside the growth of the global functional beverage market. Currently, this market is valued at approximately $130 billion and projected to reach $200 billion by 2030.

Mr. Garfield emphasized that black coffee remains the safest and most effective option compared to synthetic alternatives, such as energy drinks packed with sugar and unstudied additives.

He explained that the safe consumption rate of coffee, ranging between three to five cups per day, falls within normal limits for most consumers. Thus, its abuse is rare.

Mr. Garfield concluded his discussion by highlighting the future horizons of coffee science, pointing to ongoing research regarding coffee’s impact on the gut microbiome in collaboration with food chemistry researcher Aysenur Santaroğlu.

He confirmed that coffee is a complex chemical system rich in compounds such as melanoidins, diterpenes, and polyphenols, noting that the interaction of these compounds with gut bacteria could open new doors in preventative medicine and longevity enhancement, ensuring this beverage remains the most ubiquitous and effective functional drink throughout history.

ICO and FAO Renew Commitment to Sustainable Coffee Sector

Posted on July 22, 2026 by Qahwa World

Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO)
Author: Qahwa World Editorial Team
Date: July 22, 2026

ICO and FAO Renew Commitment to Sustainable Coffee Sector

ICO and FAO signed a new Memorandum of Understanding reaffirming their commitment to coffee sector sustainability.
The renewed partnership builds on years of successful collaboration between the two organizations.
Key areas include sustainable production, climate resilience, market transparency, and inclusive value chains.
The agreement also covers innovation, digital technologies, and knowledge exchange.
A special focus will be on empowering coffee-growing communities and smallholder farmers.
Both organizations aim to build a more inclusive and resilient coffee sector for future generations.

The International Coffee Organization and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations have renewed their commitment to a more sustainable coffee sector. Executive Director of ICO and FAO Director-General QU Dongyu signed a new Memorandum of Understanding today.

The agreement reaffirms their shared commitment to supporting the sustainable development of the global coffee sector. It builds on years of successful collaboration between the two organizations.

Key Areas of Cooperation

The renewed partnership will strengthen cooperation in several key areas. These include sustainable coffee production and sourcing. Climate resilience and adaptation are also priorities. Market transparency and access to information will be enhanced.

Other areas include inclusive and sustainable value chains. Innovation and digital technologies will play a crucial role. Knowledge exchange between stakeholders is another focus. The agreement also emphasizes empowering coffee-growing communities. Special attention will be given to smallholder and family farmers.

**ICO-FAO Renewed Partnership – Key Cooperation Areas**
Area	Focus
Sustainable Production	Sustainable coffee production and sourcing
Climate Action	Climate resilience and adaptation
Market Transparency	Market transparency and access to information
Value Chains	Inclusive and sustainable value chains
Innovation	Innovation, digital technologies and knowledge exchange
Community Empowerment	Empowering coffee-growing communities, particularly smallholder farmers

The Importance of Coffee

Coffee supports the livelihoods of millions of people worldwide. It plays a vital role in advancing sustainable development. The sector faces numerous challenges. These include climate change, market volatility, and social inequality.

Through this renewed framework, ICO and FAO will continue working together. Their goal is to ensure the coffee sector becomes more inclusive and resilient. They aim to prepare it for the challenges of the future. The partnership will benefit producers, consumers, and future generations.

About ICO and FAO

The International Coffee Organization is the only intergovernmental organization dedicated to coffee. It enhances the sustainability of the coffee sector for both exporting and importing countries. The ICO provides official statistics and facilitates technical cooperation projects.

The Food and Agriculture Organization is a specialized agency of the United Nations. It leads international efforts to defeat hunger. FAO supports sustainable agriculture and rural development. Together, ICO and FAO bring complementary expertise to the coffee sector.

“A renewed commitment to a more sustainable and resilient coffee sector.”

— International Coffee Organization

Future Outlook

The renewed partnership signals a strong commitment to coffee sustainability. Both organizations look forward to building an even stronger partnership. The focus remains on practical outcomes for coffee producers and communities. Innovation and knowledge sharing will drive progress.

Together, ICO and FAO aim to create lasting positive change. The goal is a coffee sector that is inclusive, resilient, and prepared for future challenges. Producers, consumers, and future generations will all benefit from this collaboration.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did ICO and FAO announce?ICO and FAO signed a new Memorandum of Understanding renewing their commitment to a sustainable coffee sector.

What are the key areas of cooperation?Key areas include sustainable production, climate resilience, market transparency, inclusive value chains, innovation, and empowering smallholder farmers.

Why is this partnership important?The partnership combines the expertise of two major organizations to address challenges facing the global coffee sector.

How does coffee support sustainable development?Coffee supports the livelihoods of millions worldwide and plays a vital role in advancing sustainable development goals.

Who will benefit from this agreement?Coffee producers, consumers, and future generations will benefit from a more inclusive and resilient coffee sector.

What is the role of ICO?ICO is the only intergovernmental organization dedicated to coffee, providing statistics and facilitating technical cooperation.