Coffee Prices Soar as Brazil Harvest Slows and Inventories Tighten

Source: Barchart / Rich Asplund
Author: Qahwa World
Date: August 24, 2026

Coffee Prices Soar as Brazil Harvest Slows and Inventories Tighten

  • Arabica surged 4.62% to a 6.75-month high.
  • Robusta rose 2.64% as supply remains tight.
  • Brazil’s harvest is 90% complete, behind 97% last year and the 94% five-year average.
  • ICE arabica inventories fell to a 2.75-year low of 227,992 bags.
  • ICE robusta inventories climbed to an 8.75-month high of 4,831 lots.
  • Colombia’s earthquake still affects supplies despite partial export resumption.
  • El Niño concerns support prices with potential rainfall delays in Brazil.

Coffee prices surged sharply today. Arabica jumped 4.62% to a 6.75-month high. Robusta rose 2.64% as supply remains tight. The slow pace of Brazil’s coffee harvest is underpinning prices.

Brazil’s Cooxupe co-op reported 81.1% of the harvest was complete as of August 14. This is up 7 points from the prior week but still down from 86.1% a year earlier. Safras & Mercado reported on August 14 that Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest was 90% complete as of August 12, behind 97% last year and the 94% five-year average. Arabica harvest was 86% complete, behind last year’s 95%.

Inventory Trends: Arabica at 2.75-Year Low

Falling inventories are bullish for arabica prices. ICE arabica inventories fell to a 2.75-year low of 227,992 bags last Friday. By contrast, rising inventories are bearish for robusta. ICE robusta inventories climbed to an 8.75-month high of 4,831 lots today.

ICE Coffee Inventory Levels
Category Latest Level Status
Arabica inventories 227,992 bags 2.75-year low
Robusta inventories 4,831 lots 8.75-month high

Brazil Coffee Harvest Progress
Indicator Value
Cooxupe harvest (as of Aug 14) 81.1%
Cooxupe year-earlier pace 86.1%
Brazil overall (as of Aug 12) 90%
Previous year (Aug 12) 97%
Five-year average (Aug 12) 94%
Arabica harvest (as of Aug 12) 86%
Arabica harvest previous year 95%
Rainfall in Minas Gerais (week ended Aug 16) 0.6 mm (11% of average)

Colombia Earthquake Still Affecting Supplies

Prices also have support from the devastating earthquake earlier this month in Colombia. Colombia is the world’s second-largest producer of arabica beans. Among the areas hit by the 7.4 magnitude quake were the coffee-growing provinces of Caldas and Risaralda, which account for about a quarter of Colombia’s production.

Colombia has partially resumed coffee exports through Buenaventura port, which handles most of its coffee exports. However, traffic through the port remains intermittent and limited. According to a Bloomberg report, the earthquake caused no significant damage to coffee processing and milling facilities.

El Niño Concerns Support Prices

Concerns about an El Niño weather pattern are bullish for prices. Coffee trader Commercial warned that El Niño may delay rains in Brazil this September and October, when tree flowering normally occurs. Any delay could hurt Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee crop. On July 8, the US Climate Prediction Center issued a warning. The El Niño pattern that emerged across the equatorial Pacific last month will likely be one of the strongest in more than 75 years, setting the stage for possible floods, droughts, and temperature fluctuations that could hinder coffee production in Asia and South America.

Below-Normal Rainfall May Speed Up Harvest

Below-normal rainfall in Brazil should allow the harvest pace to speed up, a bearish factor for prices. Somar Meteorologia reported last Monday that 0.6 mm of rain, or 11% of the historical average, fell in the week ended August 16 in Minas Gerais, the country’s main arabica-growing region.

Vietnam Exports Continue to Surge

Soaring coffee exports from Vietnam are bearish for robusta prices. On August 2, Vietnam’s National Statistics Office reported that Vietnam’s 2026 coffee exports from January to July rose 21.1% year-on-year to 1.31 million metric tons. Vietnam’s 2025 coffee exports jumped 17.5% to 1.58 million metric tons. Production for 2025/26 is projected to climb 6% to a four-year high of 1.76 million metric tons (29.4 million bags).

USDA Forecast: Record Production

The latest USDA biannual forecast was bearish for coffee prices. On July 22, the USDA forecast that global coffee output in the 2026/27 season will rise by 6.0% to a record 189.7 million bags, mainly due to improved growing conditions in Brazil. The USDA expects global arabica production to rise 12% year-on-year, although robusta production is expected to fall by 0.7%. World ending stocks are expected to rise by 1.9 million bags to 26.3 million bags.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did coffee prices rise today?Arabica surged 4.62% to a 6.75-month high, and robusta rose 2.64%.

What is the status of Brazil’s coffee harvest?Brazil’s harvest is 90% complete as of August 12, behind 97% last year and the 94% five-year average.

What are ICE coffee inventory levels?Arabica inventories fell to a 2.75-year low of 227,992 bags, while robusta inventories climbed to an 8.75-month high of 4,831 lots.

How did Colombia’s earthquake affect coffee supplies?The quake hit Caldas and Risaralda (25% of production). Exports have partially resumed through Buenaventura but remain limited.

How does El Niño affect coffee prices?El Niño could delay rainfall during Brazil’s critical flowering period in September-October, potentially reducing crop yields and supporting prices.

What does the USDA forecast say?USDA forecasts record global production of 189.7 million bags for 2026/27, up 6% from the previous year.

Workplace Coffee Machines May Raise Bad Cholesterol

Source: Uppsala University / Chalmers University of Technology / Nutrition, Metabolism and Cardiovascular Diseases journal
Author: Qahwa World
Date: August 24, 2026

Swedish Study: Workplace Coffee Machines May Raise Bad Cholesterol

  • Swedish study reveals workplace coffee machines may produce natural compounds that raise bad cholesterol.
  • The main compounds are cafestol and kahweol, belonging to the diterpene group.
  • Traditional machines with metal filters produced elevated levels of these compounds.
  • Machines using liquid coffee concentrate recorded low levels similar to filtered coffee.
  • Paper-filtered and instant coffee contain very low levels of these compounds.
  • Researchers recommend those drinking several cups daily choose paper-filtered or instant coffee.

A recent Swedish scientific study has found that some common workplace coffee machines produce elevated levels of natural fatty compounds. These compounds may contribute to higher levels of bad cholesterol in the blood.

The study was published in the journal Nutrition, Metabolism and Cardiovascular Diseases. It was led by a team from Uppsala University in collaboration with Chalmers University of Technology, under the direction of researcher David Iggman.

What Are the Compounds That Raise Cholesterol?

The researchers focused on two natural compounds found in coffee: cafestol and kahweol. These belong to a group known as diterpenes. It has long been known that these compounds are present in higher amounts in unfiltered or boiled coffee. They can raise levels of LDL or “bad” cholesterol while slightly lowering HDL or “good” cholesterol. Elevated LDL is linked to an increased risk of cardiovascular disease over time.

How Was the Study Conducted?

The team analyzed samples from 14 coffee machines located in different workplaces, mostly healthcare facilities. Samples were collected over multiple days and compared with other common brewing methods, including paper-filtered drip coffee, French press, espresso, and boiled coffee.

Cafestol and Kahweol Levels by Brewing Method
Brewing Method Compound Level
Traditional machines with metal filters (ground coffee) High
Machines using liquid coffee concentrate Low (similar to filtered)
Paper-filtered drip coffee Very low
Instant coffee Very low
French press High
Espresso Relatively high
Boiled coffee High

Key Findings

Results showed that traditional machines using ground coffee beans and metal filters produced significantly higher amounts of these compounds than paper-filtered coffee. In contrast, machines using liquid coffee concentrate recorded much lower levels, similar to those found in well-filtered coffee.

Lead researcher David Iggman noted that the impact of these compounds depends largely on the amount of coffee consumed daily. He emphasized that coffee remains a beverage associated with several health benefits. Proper filtration, he added, plays a crucial role in reducing the presence of these substances.

Researcher Recommendations

The researchers recommended that people who drink several cups a day opt for paper-filtered coffee or instant coffee. Both contain very low levels of these compounds.

The findings highlight the importance of brewing method, particularly in workplace settings where many people rely on automatic coffee machines on a daily basis.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are cafestol and kahweol?They are natural compounds found in coffee, belonging to the diterpene group. They are present in higher amounts in unfiltered coffee and can raise LDL cholesterol.

Which type of coffee is safest for cholesterol?Paper-filtered coffee and instant coffee contain the lowest levels of these compounds, making them the best choice for those concerned about cholesterol levels.

Are workplace coffee machines dangerous to health?Not necessarily, but the study suggests that some machines using metal filters may produce higher levels of cholesterol-raising compounds. Paper filtration significantly reduces these compounds.

Should I stop drinking coffee?No. The study confirms that coffee remains a beverage associated with multiple health benefits. The solution is to choose a brewing method that reduces these compounds, such as paper filtration or instant coffee.

How much coffee is considered safe?The impact of these compounds depends on daily consumption. Researchers recommend those drinking several cups daily choose paper-filtered or instant coffee to minimize risk.

Does instant coffee contain cafestol?No, instant coffee does not contain cafestol or kahweol, making it a safe choice regarding cholesterol.

Arabica Prices Rise as Colombian Earthquake Disrupts Supplies

Source: Barchart / Rich Asplund
Author: Qahwa World
Date: August 11, 2026

Arabica Prices Rise as Colombian Earthquake Disrupts Supplies

  • September arabica surged 1.04% to a 5-week high on Tuesday.
  • A 7.4 magnitude earthquake hit Colombia’s coffee-growing provinces on Monday.
  • Caldas and Risaralda, accounting for 25% of Colombia’s production, were affected.
  • Maersk temporarily suspended terminal operations in Buenaventura port.
  • ICE arabica inventories fell to a 2.5-year low of 241,838 bags.
  • ICE robusta inventories climbed to a 4.75-month high of 4,352 lots.
  • USDA forecasts record global production of 189.7 million bags for 2026/27.

Arabica coffee settled sharply higher on Tuesday. September arabica closed up 3.45 cents, gaining 1.04% to a 5-week nearest-futures high. September robusta closed down 24 points, a decline of 0.63%. Prices settled mixed as diverging factors drove the two markets in opposite directions.

Arabica rallied on Tuesday amid concerns that a massive earthquake that hit Colombia on Monday will disrupt coffee supplies from the country. Colombia is the world’s second-largest producer of arabica coffee beans.

Colombian Earthquake Disrupts Coffee Production

Among the areas hit by Monday’s 7.4 magnitude quake were the coffee-growing provinces of Caldas and Risaralda. These provinces account for about a quarter of Colombia’s production. The earthquake has raised concerns about damage to coffee infrastructure and potential supply disruptions.

Shipping firm Maersk said Tuesday that terminal operations in Buenaventura have been “temporarily suspended.” Buenaventura handles most of Colombia’s coffee exports. Additionally, inland road closures and traffic restrictions due to the earthquake may impact cargo movements.

Key Factors Driving Arabica Price Rally
Factor Impact
Colombian earthquake (7.4 magnitude) Affected Caldas & Risaralda (25% of production)
Buenaventura port operations Suspended by Maersk
Inland road closures Impact on cargo movements
ICE arabica inventories 2.5-year low (241,838 bags)
Brazil harvest pace 67.3% vs 74.2% last year

Inventory Trends: Arabica Low, Robusta High

Rising inventories are bearish for robusta coffee. ICE robusta inventories climbed to a 4.75-month high of 4,352 lots on Tuesday. By contrast, a bullish factor for arabica coffee prices was that ICE arabica inventories fell to a 2.5-year low of 241,838 bags on Tuesday. This tight supply situation provides strong support for arabica prices.

ICE Coffee Inventory Levels
Category Latest Level Status
Arabica inventories 241,838 bags 2.5-year low
Robusta inventories 4,352 lots 4.75-month high

Brazil Harvest and Weather

Arabica also has support due to the slow pace of Brazil’s coffee harvest. The harvest among members of Cooxupe co-op was 67.3% complete as of July 31. This is behind the year-earlier pace of 74.2%. On July 17, Safras & Mercado reported Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee harvest was 64% complete as of July 15. This compares with 77% at the same time last year. The five-year average stands at 70%.

Below-normal rainfall in Brazil should allow for the harvest pace to speed up. Somar Meteorologia reported on Monday that 5.8 mm of rain, or 92% of the historical average, fell in the week ended August 9 in Brazil’s Minas Gerais. This is the country’s main arabica-growing region.

Brazil Coffee Harvest Progress
Indicator Value
Cooxupe harvest (as of July 31) 67.3%
Cooxupe year-earlier pace 74.2%
Brazil overall (as of July 15) 64%
Previous year (July 15) 77%
Five-year average (July 15) 70%
Rainfall in Minas Gerais (week ended Aug 9) 5.8 mm (92% of avg)

USDA Forecast: Record Production

The latest USDA biannual forecast was bearish for coffee prices. On July 22, the USDA forecast that global coffee output in the 2026/27 season will rise by 6.0% to a record 189.7 million bags. The increase is mainly due to improved growing conditions in Brazil. The USDA expects global arabica production to rise 12% year-on-year. However, robusta production is expected to fall by 0.7%. World ending stocks are expected to rise by 1.9 million bags to 26.3 million bags.

El Niño Concerns Support Prices

Concerns about an El Niño weather pattern are bullish for prices. Coffee trader Commercial warned that El Niño may delay rains in Brazil. This September and October is when tree flowering normally occurs. Any delay could hurt Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee crop. On July 8, the US Climate Prediction Center issued a warning. The El Niño pattern that emerged across the equatorial Pacific last month will likely be one of the strongest in more than 75 years. This sets the stage for possible floods, droughts, and temperature fluctuations later this year. These conditions could hinder coffee production in Asia and South America.

Vietnam Exports Continue to Surge

Soaring coffee exports from Vietnam are bearish for robusta prices. On August 2, Vietnam’s National Statistics Office reported Vietnam’s 2026 coffee exports from January to July rose 21.1% year-on-year to 1.31 million metric tons. Vietnam’s 2025 coffee exports jumped 17.5% to 1.58 million metric tons. Production for 2025/26 is projected to climb 6% to a four-year high of 1.76 million metric tons (29.4 million bags).

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did arabica coffee prices rise on Tuesday?Arabica surged 1.04% to a 5-week high as a 7.4 magnitude earthquake hit Colombia’s coffee-growing provinces, disrupting supply from the world’s second-largest arabica producer.

What areas of Colombia were affected by the earthquake?The coffee-growing provinces of Caldas and Risaralda were hit, accounting for about 25% of Colombia’s coffee production.

How did the earthquake affect coffee exports?Maersk suspended terminal operations in Buenaventura port, which handles most of Colombia’s coffee exports. Inland road closures may also impact cargo movements.

What are ICE coffee inventory levels?Arabica inventories fell to a 2.5-year low of 241,838 bags, while robusta inventories climbed to a 4.75-month high of 4,352 lots.

What does the USDA forecast say?USDA forecasts record global production of 189.7 million bags for 2026/27, up 6% from the previous year, led by Brazil’s recovery.

How does El Niño affect coffee prices?El Niño could delay rainfall during Brazil’s critical flowering period in September-October, potentially reducing crop yields and supporting prices.

Coffee Not a Heart Risk: AHA Sets Safe Caffeine Limit

Source: American Heart Association / Circulation journal
Author: Qahwa World
Date: August 10, 2026

Coffee Not a Heart Risk: AHA Sets Safe Caffeine Limit

  • AHA recommends up to 400mg of caffeine daily for most adults.
  • That equals about 5 cups of brewed coffee (8 oz per cup).
  • Plain black coffee linked to lower risk of type 2 diabetes.
  • Filtered coffee better for cholesterol; unfiltered may raise LDL.
  • Energy drinks are not like coffee and may cause BP spikes and arrhythmias.
  • Pregnant women and those with palpitations or uncontrolled BP should consult doctors.

Cardiologists have long treated coffee with caution. The reason was caffeine’s temporary effect on heart rate and blood pressure. However, this position is beginning to change.

According to a new scientific statement from the American Heart Association, moderate caffeine consumption appears safe for most adults. This applies especially to coffee. It may even be linked to cardiovascular benefits for some people.

Dr. Kelley Chen interventional cardiologist at Henry Ford Health’s Genesis Heart Center, noted that caffeine has long had a bad reputation when it comes to heart health.

What Is the Safe Amount for Most Adults?

The statement sets 400mg of caffeine daily as a typical upper limit for most healthy adults. This equals about five 8-ounce cups of regular brewed coffee. However, caffeine content varies depending on coffee type, preparation method, and cup size.

Regular brewed coffee contains about 9.4 to 20.6mg of caffeine per fluid ounce. This means the amount can vary significantly. The evidence reviewed suggests the clearest results are linked to coffee itself. But adding large amounts of sugar and flavored syrups may reduce any potential health benefits.

Recommended Caffeine Limits by Source
Source Approximate Caffeine Note
Daily upper limit 400 mg For most healthy adults
Brewed coffee (8 oz) 75 – 165 mg Varies by type and preparation
Instant coffee (8 oz) 30 – 90 mg Lower caffeine than brewed
Espresso (single shot) 45 – 75 mg Higher concentration per ounce
Energy drinks (can) Varies widely May contain very high doses

Blood Pressure: Different Effects by Consumption Level

Coffee can raise blood pressure in the short term. However, long-term consumption results appear more complex. The statement cites research finding that one to three cups of caffeinated coffee daily was linked to increased hypertension risk among people with ideal blood pressure. In contrast, drinking more than three cups daily was linked to lower hypertension risk in some studies.

Type 2 Diabetes: Black Coffee Showed Strongest Link

For type 2 diabetes, the statement reviews evidence linking black caffeinated coffee consumption to lower diabetes risk. This applies when consumed without cream, sweeteners, or flavorings. However, caffeine may reduce insulin sensitivity in the short term. Therefore, researchers caution that the protective association may come from other compounds in coffee, not caffeine alone.

Cholesterol: Filtered Coffee Appears Better

Brewing method matters for cholesterol too. Randomized trial data indicates that cafestol, a compound in coffee, can raise LDL cholesterol levels. Cafestol is found in unfiltered coffee like espresso, French press, Turkish coffee, and boiled coffee. Most of this compound is removed when using paper filters. It is also absent from instant coffee, according to the statement.

Heart Rhythm: No Increase in Atrial Fibrillation, But a Note

The AHA statement indicates that research analyses found one to three cups of caffeinated coffee daily were not linked to increased risk of atrial fibrillation or heart rhythm disorders. However, randomized trials also found a link between coffee caffeine and increased premature ventricular contractions. These are extra heartbeats generally not dangerous. However, they may cause palpitations or anxiety in some people.

The Most Important Warning: Energy Drinks Are Not Like Coffee

A large portion of research focuses on coffee as the world’s most consumed caffeinated beverage. However, caffeinated energy drinks have not received the same level of study. Therefore, caffeine recommendations for coffee should not necessarily apply to all caffeine sources.

The AHA also warns that some concentrated energy shots may contain much higher caffeine per ounce than regular coffee. Their consumption has been linked to increased risk of high blood pressure and heart rhythm disorders.

Conclusion: What This Means for Coffee Lovers

For most adults, the AHA indicates that up to 400mg of caffeine daily is generally safe. Coffee consumption may be linked to lower risk of heart disease, stroke, and heart failure in some people. The potential benefits are more strongly associated with unsweetened coffee. Sugar and high-calorie additives can change the nutritional profile.

People with heart palpitations, sleep disorders, pregnant women, and those with uncontrolled high blood pressure should discuss appropriate caffeine amounts with their doctor.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the safe daily caffeine limit?AHA recommends 400mg of caffeine daily as an upper limit for most healthy adults, equal to about 5 cups of brewed coffee.

Is coffee good for blood pressure?Coffee may temporarily raise blood pressure, but studies suggest drinking over 3 cups daily may be linked to lower long-term hypertension risk.

What’s the difference between filtered and unfiltered coffee for cholesterol?Unfiltered coffee contains cafestol, which may raise LDL cholesterol. Paper filters remove most of it, and instant coffee contains none.

Are energy drinks as safe as coffee?No. Energy drinks contain much higher caffeine per ounce and have been linked to high blood pressure and heart rhythm disorders. They are not a substitute for coffee.

Does coffee cause heart palpitations?Coffee may cause premature ventricular contractions in some people. These extra beats are generally not dangerous but may cause palpitations or anxiety.

Who should consult a doctor about coffee?Pregnant women, people with palpitations, sleep disorders, or uncontrolled high blood pressure should discuss appropriate caffeine intake with their doctor.

Arabica Coffee Surges on Dollar Weakness and Tight ICE Inventories

Source: Barchart / Rich Asplund
Author: Qahwa World
Date: August 7, 2026

Arabica Coffee Surges on Dollar Weakness and Tight ICE Inventories

  • September arabica surged 4.32% on Friday to a 1-week high.
  • September robusta eased 0.29% as ICE robusta inventories climbed to a 4.5-month high.
  • The dollar index fell to a 7-week low, providing bullish support for coffee prices.
  • ICE arabica inventories fell to a 2.5-year low of 244,172 bags on Friday.
  • Brazil’s coffee harvest is behind schedule, with Cooxupe at 67.3% vs 74.2% last year.
  • No rain fell in Minas Gerais in the week ended August 2.
  • USDA forecasts record global production of 189.7 million bags for 2026/27.

Arabica coffee surged sharply higher on Friday. September arabica closed up 13.90 cents, gaining 4.32% to a 1-week high. September robusta closed down 11 points, a decline of 0.29%. Prices settled mixed as diverging inventory trends drove the two markets in opposite directions.

Friday’s decline in the dollar index to a 7-week low provided strong bullish support for coffee prices. A weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated commodities more attractive to foreign buyers. Additionally, arabica supplies continue to tighten as ICE-monitored inventories fell to a 2.5-year low.

Dollar Weakness and Inventory Trends

The dollar index ($DXY) fell to a 7-week low on Friday. This is bullish for coffee prices. A weaker dollar boosts demand from international buyers. It also supports higher prices across commodity markets.

Arabica coffee supplies continue to tighten. ICE-monitored arabica inventories fell to a 2.5-year low of 244,172 bags on Friday. This tight supply situation provides strong support for arabica prices. In contrast, robusta inventories climbed to a 4.5-month high of 4,261 lots on Friday. This has weighed on robusta prices.

ICE Coffee Inventory Levels
Category Latest Level Status
Arabica inventories 244,172 bags 2.5-year low
Robusta inventories 4,261 lots 4.5-month high

Brazil Harvest Delays

Arabica prices have support from the slow pace of Brazil’s coffee harvest. The harvest among members of Cooxupe co-op was 67.3% complete as of July 31. This is behind the year-earlier pace of 74.2%. On July 17, Safras & Mercado reported Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee harvest was 64% complete as of July 15. This compares with 77% at the same time last year. The five-year average stands at 70%.

On Monday, Somar Meteorologia reported that no rain fell in the week ended August 2 in Brazil’s Minas Gerais. This is the country’s main arabica-growing region. Dry conditions may help the harvest pace improve.

Brazil Coffee Harvest Progress
Indicator Value
Cooxupe harvest (as of July 31) 67.3%
Cooxupe year-earlier pace 74.2%
Brazil overall (as of July 15) 64%
Previous year (July 15) 77%
Five-year average (July 15) 70%
Rainfall in Minas Gerais (week ended Aug 2) 0 mm

USDA Forecast: Record Production

The latest USDA biannual forecast was bearish for coffee prices. On July 22, the USDA forecast that global coffee output in the 2026/27 season will rise by 6.0% to a record 189.7 million bags. The increase is mainly due to improved growing conditions in Brazil. The USDA expects global arabica production to rise 12% year-on-year. However, robusta production is expected to fall by 0.7%. World ending stocks are expected to rise by 1.9 million bags to 26.3 million bags.

El Niño Concerns Support Prices

Concerns about an El Niño weather pattern are bullish for prices. Coffee trader Commercial warned that El Niño may delay rains in Brazil. This September and October is when tree flowering normally occurs. Any delay could hurt Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee crop. On July 8, the US Climate Prediction Center issued a warning. The El Niño pattern that emerged across the equatorial Pacific last month will likely be one of the strongest in more than 75 years. This sets the stage for possible floods, droughts, and temperature fluctuations later this year. These conditions could hinder coffee production in Asia and South America.

Vietnam Exports Continue to Surge

Soaring coffee exports from Vietnam are bearish for robusta prices. On Sunday, Vietnam’s National Statistics Office reported Vietnam’s 2026 coffee exports from January to July rose 21.1% year-on-year to 1.31 million metric tons. Vietnam’s 2025 coffee exports jumped 17.5% to 1.58 million metric tons. Production for 2025/26 is projected to climb 6% to a four-year high of 1.76 million metric tons (29.4 million bags).

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did arabica coffee surge on Friday?Arabica surged 4.32% as the dollar index fell to a 7-week low and ICE inventories hit a 2.5-year low.

What happened to robusta coffee prices?September robusta eased 0.29% as ICE robusta inventories climbed to a 4.5-month high of 4,261 lots.

What is the dollar index level?The dollar index fell to a 7-week low on Friday, providing bullish support for coffee prices.

What is the status of Brazil’s coffee harvest?Brazil’s harvest is 67.3% complete through Cooxupe, behind last year’s 74.2% pace.

What does the USDA forecast say?USDA forecasts record global production of 189.7 million bags for 2026/27, up 6% from the previous year.

How does El Niño affect coffee prices?El Niño could delay rainfall during Brazil’s critical flowering period in September-October, potentially reducing crop yields and supporting prices.

Tanzania 2026 Harvest Update: Arabica and Robusta Progress

Source: Sucafina / Cotacof (Sucafina Tanzania)
Author: Qahwa World
Date: August 5, 2026

Tanzania 2026 Harvest Update: Arabica and Robusta Progress

  • Tanzania’s 2026 coffee crop is expected to be 4-5% larger than last season.
  • New plantations entering production and improved farm management drive the growth.
  • Arabica harvest is approximately 40% complete, with peak picking over the next 2-3 weeks.
  • Robusta harvest is 80-90% complete, with 25-30% commercialized so far.
  • Processing infrastructure faces pressure from higher volumes, with washing stations at full capacity.
  • Sucafina works with 15 AMCOS cooperatives through its Loyalty Program in Tanzania.
  • Community projects include hospital upgrades and school improvements.

Tanzania’s 2026 coffee harvest is in full swing. Arabica and Robusta crops are progressing in line with expectations. Stronger volumes are testing processing infrastructure. However, quality remains stable.

New plantations are maturing and entering production. Established farms are also improving yields. These factors contribute to a larger crop volume this season.

Arabica Outlook

Tanzania’s Arabica harvest is currently around 40% complete. Most farms are approaching peak picking over the next two to three weeks. Volumes are tracking slightly above last season.

Overall production is expected to increase by 4-5%. This aligns with our forecast. New plantations are reaching their first and second harvests. Older farms have improved yields over the past three years. The market rally incentivized better farm management.

Early quality assessments suggest a profile consistent with expectations. “What we’ve analyzed so far looks similar to last season’s. There are no red flags, and we expect the crop to deliver decent quality overall,” says Kihara Victor, Trading Manager at Cotacof (Sucafina in Tanzania).

Tanzania 2026 Harvest Progress
Crop Progress Notes
Arabica ~40% complete Peak picking in next 2-3 weeks
Robusta 80-90% complete 25-30% commercialized
Overall Volume +4-5% vs last season Driven by new plantations and improved yields

Robusta Outlook

The Robusta harvest is more advanced. It is currently 80-90% complete. However, only 25-30% has been commercialized so far. The main focus now is on drying the coffee to be ready for auctions.

Quality is expected to remain consistent with last year. This depends on maintaining processing timelines. Drying capacity must also keep pace with incoming cherry.

Processing Capacity: Challenges and Opportunities

Higher volumes are creating pressure across the supply chain. Producers face labor shortages during peak harvest. Processors are running washing stations around the clock. They are also building more drying tables.

“The standout of this year’s harvest is the scale,” Kihara says. “Cooperatives are running washing stations at full capacity – and some are over capacity. This is something we haven’t seen to this extent in Tanzania before, even with steady volume growth in recent years. It reflects the combined impact of new plantations coming online, alongside improving yields on older farms.”

Support from the Tanzania Coffee Board and exporters is enabling cooperatives to expand their drying capacity. This helps manage throughput and maintain quality. “It’s a real signal that infrastructure investment will need to keep pace with production growth in coming seasons,” Kihara notes.

Processing and Quality Indicators
Indicator Status
Washing stations Running at full capacity, some over capacity
Drying capacity Expanding with support from Coffee Board
Arabica quality Consistent with last season
Robusta quality Expected consistent with last year
Labor availability Shortages during peak harvest

Strengthening Resilience in Coffee Communities

Sucafina continues to invest in projects that help farmers, cooperatives, and communities build resilience. The company now works with 15 AMCOS through its Loyalty Program. This program incentivizes improvements in yield, quality, and farming practices.

Sucafina launched a new pilot project with a partner. The project supports four AMCOS with prefinancing for inputs and working capital during the season. “The aim is to help cooperatives strengthen their operations, improve access to finance, and ensure they can continue to purchase coffee from farmers and run washing stations to the highest standards,” Kihara explains. “The funds are already being distributed, and we plan to expand this project.”

In 2026, Sucafina partnered with five AMCOS in the Loyalty Program to fund key community projects. These initiatives include upgrades to hospital beds and improvements to local schools, including building bathrooms. These projects help enhance community wellbeing.

To ensure continued access to responsibly sourced coffees, Sucafina expects to complete IMPACT re-verification this year. This includes Rainforest Alliance and C.A.F.E. Practices verification.

Outlook and Next Steps

Tanzania’s 2026 harvest reflects a sector in transition. Rising production is placing demands on supply chain infrastructure. Early indications suggest these challenges are being managed effectively. Quality is expected to remain stable.

If you are planning to book coffees from Tanzania or support sustainability initiatives, now is a good time to reach out to your trader. Discuss availability and booking options.

Frequently Asked Questions

How large is Tanzania’s 2026 coffee crop expected to be?The 2026 crop is expected to be 4-5% larger than last season, driven by new plantations and improved farm management.

What is the progress of the Arabica harvest?The Arabica harvest is approximately 40% complete, with peak picking expected over the next two to three weeks.

What is the progress of the Robusta harvest?The Robusta harvest is 80-90% complete, with 25-30% commercialized so far.

How is quality expected to compare to last season?Both Arabica and Robusta quality are expected to remain consistent with last season, provided processing timelines are maintained.

What is Sucafina’s involvement in Tanzania?Sucafina works with 15 AMCOS cooperatives through its Loyalty Program, supporting yield improvements, quality, community projects, and sustainability verification.

What community projects are being supported?Projects include upgrades to hospital beds and improvements to local schools, including building bathrooms, to enhance community wellbeing.

Police Raid Starbucks Korea Headquarters Over Tank Day Scandal

Source: CNN / Yonhap / Reuters / BBC
Author: Qahwa World
Date: August 5, 2026

Police Raid Starbucks Korea Headquarters Over Tank Day Scandal

  • South Korean police raided Starbucks Korea headquarters on August 5, 2026.
  • The raid is linked to the “Tank Day” marketing campaign that evoked the 1980 Gwangju Uprising.
  • Around 40 investigators from the Seoul Metropolitan Police conducted the search.
  • The campaign sparked nationwide backlash, boycotts, and a sharp sales decline.
  • Starbucks Korea’s CEO was fired the day after the campaign launched.
  • The company shut all stores for mandatory historical awareness training in June.
  • Sales fell approximately 26% following the controversy.

South Korean police raided the headquarters of Starbucks Korea on Wednesday. The raid is part of an ongoing investigation into a controversial marketing campaign. The campaign evoked painful memories of the 1980 Gwangju Uprising. The Seoul Metropolitan Police confirmed the search but declined to share further details[reference:0].

Approximately 40 investigators were dispatched to the Starbucks Korea headquarters in Gangnam-gu, Seoul[reference:1]. The raid lasted about 10 hours[reference:2]. It is the latest development in a scandal that has engulfed the coffee chain for months.

The Tank Day Campaign That Sparked Outrage

The crisis began in May 2026. Starbucks Korea launched a “Tank Day” marketing campaign. The campaign promoted its “Tank” line of tumblers[reference:3]. It was unveiled on May 18. This date is the anniversary of the 1980 Gwangju Uprising. The uprising was a pro-democracy movement brutally suppressed by the military. Hundreds of civilians were killed[reference:4].

The campaign used the phrase: “Put it on the table with a sound of ‘Tak!'” The word “tank” evoked memories of military vehicles used to crush protesters[reference:5]. The public reacted with immediate fury. Many called for a boycott of Starbucks Korea[reference:6].

Fallout: CEO Fired, Sales Plummet

The backlash was swift and severe. Within hours, Shinsegae Group canceled the campaign and fired the CEO of Starbucks Korea[reference:7]. Son Jung-hyun was dismissed for the “inappropriate” promotional campaign[reference:8]. President Lee Jae Myung publicly condemned the campaign, saying he was “enraged”[reference:9].

Starbucks Korea issued a formal apology that day. Starbucks Global also apologized and launched an investigation[reference:10]. The damage, however, was already done. Sales fell significantly. Kiwoom Securities reported a drop of about 26% compared to pre-campaign levels[reference:11]. Bloomberg projected that the sales slump could persist[reference:12].

Starbucks Korea Tank Day Scandal – Key Events
Date Event
May 18, 2026 “Tank Day” campaign launched on Gwangju Uprising anniversary
May 18, 2026 Starbucks Korea apologizes; campaign canceled
May 19, 2026 CEO Son Jung-hyun fired by Shinsegae Group
June 22, 2026 All South Korea stores closed for mandatory history training
August 5, 2026 Police raid Starbucks Korea headquarters

Police Investigation and Raid

The police raid followed a complaint filed by a civic group. The group accused Shinsegae Group Chairman Chung Yong-jin of insult and defamation against uprising victims and their families[reference:13]. The search warrant specified charges including insult[reference:14].

The raid took place just days before Liberation Day. This public holiday marks Korea’s liberation from Japanese colonization. Police declined to comment on the timing[reference:15]. The investigation is ongoing. It is unclear if any charges will be filed.

Company Response and Damage Control

Shinsegae Group has been in damage control mode for months. On June 22, Starbucks Korea shut all its stores in the country at 3 p.m. for mandatory training[reference:16]. Staff underwent training on historical awareness and social sensitivity[reference:17]. The company also conducted internal audits[reference:18].

Despite these efforts, the brand’s reputation has suffered. Competitors have gained ground. Cumulative sales of rival coffee chains surpassed Starbucks in recent weeks[reference:19]. The company faces an uphill battle to regain consumer trust.

Broader Context: South Korea’s Sensitive History

The Gwangju Uprising remains a deeply sensitive topic in South Korea. The brutal crackdown lives in many people’s memories. The country has worked hard over decades to transition from authoritarianism to democracy. The public reacted swiftly when President Yoon Suk Yeol briefly declared martial law in December 2024. Hundreds of protesters, including some who had participated in the 1980 uprising, rushed to parliament[reference:20].

The Starbucks scandal tapped into this raw national memory. The company’s failure to understand the historical significance of the date proved costly.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did police raid Starbucks Korea?Police raided the headquarters as part of an investigation into a “Tank Day” marketing campaign that allegedly insulted victims of the 1980 Gwangju Uprising.

What was the Tank Day campaign?Starbucks Korea launched a promotion on May 18, 2026, offering discounts on “Tank” tumblers. The date and wording evoked memories of the military crackdown on pro-democracy protesters in 1980.

Who was fired over the scandal?Starbucks Korea CEO Son Jung-hyun was fired the day after the campaign launched for the “inappropriate” marketing.

How much did Starbucks Korea’s sales drop?Sales fell approximately 26% compared to pre-campaign levels, according to Kiwoom Securities.

What did Starbucks do to respond?Starbucks apologized, fired the CEO, and shut all stores for mandatory historical awareness training in June 2026.

What is the Gwangju Uprising?The Gwangju Uprising was a 1980 pro-democracy movement in South Korea brutally suppressed by the military, resulting in hundreds of civilian deaths.

Coffee Prices Climb on Unexpected Rain Forecasts for Brazil

Source: Barchart / Rich Asplund
Author: Qahwa World
Date: August 4, 2026

Coffee Prices Climb on Unexpected Rain Forecasts for Brazil

  • September arabica rose 0.91% and robusta gained 1.64% on Wednesday.
  • Unexpected rain forecast for Minas Gerais triggered short covering.
  • No rain fell in Minas Gerais in the week ended August 2.
  • Brazil’s harvest is 58.3% complete, behind last year’s 67% pace.
  • ICE arabica inventories fell to a 2.5-year low of 260,720 bags.
  • USDA forecasts record global production of 189.7 million bags.
  • Vietnam coffee exports (Jan-Jul) rose 21.1% year-on-year.

Coffee prices moved higher today. Short covering emerged after an unexpected chance of rain was forecast for Minas Gerais. Minas Gerais is Brazil’s largest coffee-growing region. Rain could further delay the country’s coffee harvest.

On Monday, coffee prices sold off sharply. Forecasts for drier conditions in Brazil’s coffee-growing regions had bolstered the outlook for the harvest pace to pick up. Somar Meteorologia reported no rain fell in Minas Gerais in the week ended August 2.

Harvest Progress Behind Schedule

The slow pace of Brazil’s coffee harvest is supportive of coffee prices. The harvest among members of Cooxupe co-op was 58.3% complete as of July 24. This is behind the year-earlier pace of 67%. On July 17, Safras & Mercado reported Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee harvest was 64% complete as of July 15. This compares with 77% at the same time last year. The five-year average stands at 70%.

Brazil Coffee Harvest Progress
Indicator Value
Cooxupe harvest (as of July 24) 58.3%
Cooxupe year-earlier pace 67%
Brazil overall (as of July 15) 64%
Previous year (July 15) 77%
Five-year average (July 15) 70%
Rainfall in Minas Gerais (week ended Aug 2) 0 mm

Inventory Trends: Arabica Low, Robusta High

Rising inventories are weighing on robusta coffee. ICE robusta inventories climbed to a 4.25-month high of 4,254 lots on July 22. They were mildly below that level at 4,207 lots today. By contrast, a bullish factor for arabica coffee prices was that ICE arabica inventories fell to a 2.5-year low of 260,720 bags on Monday.

ICE Coffee Inventory Levels
Category Latest Level Status
Arabica inventories 260,720 bags 2.5-year low
Robusta inventories (July 22) 4,254 lots 4.25-month high
Robusta inventories (current) 4,207 lots Mildly below high

USDA Forecast: Record Production

The latest USDA biannual forecast was bearish for coffee prices. On July 22, the USDA forecast that global coffee output in the 2026/27 season will rise by 6.0% to a record 189.7 million bags. The increase is mainly due to improved growing conditions in Brazil. The USDA expects global arabica production to rise 12% year-on-year. However, robusta production is expected to fall by 0.7%. World ending stocks are expected to rise by 1.9 million bags to 26.3 million bags. On June 3, the USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service forecast a record Brazil coffee crop of 71.9 million bags for 2026/27, up 14% year-on-year.

El Niño Concerns Support Prices

Concerns about an El Niño weather pattern are bullish for prices. Coffee trader Commercial warned that El Niño may delay rains in Brazil. This September and October is when tree flowering normally occurs. Any delay could hurt Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee crop. On July 8, the US Climate Prediction Center issued a warning. The El Niño pattern that emerged across the equatorial Pacific last month will likely be one of the strongest in more than 75 years. This sets the stage for possible floods, droughts, and temperature fluctuations later this year. These conditions could hinder coffee production in Asia and South America.

Vietnam Exports Continue to Surge

Soaring coffee exports from Vietnam are bearish for robusta prices. On Sunday, Vietnam’s National Statistics Office reported Vietnam’s 2026 coffee exports from January to July rose 21.1% year-on-year to 1.31 million metric tons. Vietnam’s 2025 coffee exports jumped 17.5% to 1.58 million metric tons. Production for 2025/26 is projected to climb 6% to a four-year high of 1.76 million metric tons (29.4 million bags).

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did coffee prices rise?September arabica rose 0.91% and robusta gained 1.64% on Wednesday, August 4.

What is driving the price increase?An unexpected rain forecast for Minas Gerais triggered short covering, as rain could further delay the Brazil harvest.

What is the status of Brazil’s coffee harvest?Brazil’s harvest is 58.3% complete as of July 24, behind last year’s 67% and the five-year average.

What are ICE coffee inventory levels?Arabica inventories fell to a 2.5-year low of 260,720 bags, while robusta inventories are near a 4.25-month high.

What does the USDA forecast say?USDA forecasts record global production of 189.7 million bags for 2026/27, up 6% from the previous year.

How does El Niño affect coffee prices?El Niño could delay rainfall during Brazil’s critical flowering period in September-October, potentially reducing crop yields and supporting prices.

Study Finds Ants May Help Suppress Coffee Berry Borer

Source: University of Michigan / Ecology journal
Author: Qahwa World
Date: August 2, 2026

Study Finds Ants May Help Suppress Coffee Berry Borer

  • Small ants evict coffee berry borers from coffee fruits and use their cavities for reproduction.
  • This reproductive benefit may support more diverse ant communities on coffee plants.
  • Large ants eat the borers, while small ants root them out of their homes in coffee berries.
  • The discovery was made by Jonathan Morris during graduate research in Chiapas, Mexico.
  • The study highlights the importance of observational science in ecological discovery.
  • Findings published in The Scientific Naturalist section of the journal Ecology.
  • Research conducted at a farm station established by University of Michigan ecologists.

Ants are known allies in the fight against coffee berry borers. These pests cause significant damage to coffee crops worldwide. However, a new discovery reveals a previously unknown dimension of this natural pest control.

Jonathan Morris, a postdoctoral researcher at the National Autonomous University of Mexico, made the discovery while studying coffee plants in Chiapas, Mexico. He observed that small ants evict borers from coffee fruits and then use the borer-made cavities to rear their own young.

A New Dimension of Pest Control

Ecologists have long known that large ants eat coffee berry borers. They also know that these ants stymie the pests’ efforts to colonize coffee plants. Small ants can root the borers out of their homes in the coffee fruits. However, what happens next was unknown until now.

Morris discovered that small ant species then use the habitats in the fruits for their own reproduction. This is the first documented evidence of ants taking advantage of the niche construction created by the berry borer.

“In terms of pest control, this is primarily a good thing because it’s benefiting the ants in terms of their populations and fitness. The ants gain this reproductive benefit that’s originally created by the coffee pest. And this might actually help to maintain more diverse ant communities directly on the coffee plants.”

— Jonathan R. Morris, Postdoctoral Researcher, UNAM

From Field Samples to Evidence

Morris started this project in 2016. At the time, he was working at a research station in Chiapas, Mexico. The station was established by professors Ivette Perfecto and John Vandermeer from the University of Michigan. Perfecto has been studying agricultural ecosystems on coffee farms in Central America for 25 years.

While conducting research for a different project, Morris collected samples of coffee berries. These berries had been infiltrated by borers and then evicted by ants. He kept the ants in vials and thought about studying them later. Years later, he realized that this behavior had never been documented before.

“I had all these ants in vials that I had found nesting in coffee fruits and told myself, ‘Maybe I’ll do something with this at some point,'” Morris said. “Then, years later, I got to thinking about it and, as far as I know, this is the first time anyone’s documented or reported the ants taking advantage of the niche construction by the berry borer and using it to reproduce themselves.”

Study Overview
Element Details
Lead Researcher Jonathan R. Morris (UNAM, formerly U-M)
Study Location Chiapas, Mexico
Research Started 2016
Photographic Evidence 2025
Publication Ecology journal (The Scientific Naturalist section)
Key Finding Small ants use borer-made cavities for reproduction
Broader Impact May support diverse ant communities on coffee plants

Observation Still Drives Discovery

The study has implications beyond ecology and pest control. It also underscores the importance of being in nature and observing what it is doing. This is especially relevant in the age of data science and artificial intelligence.

Morris noted that funders currently emphasize AI and big data. However, before these tools existed, scientists made discoveries by going out into nature and observing. He cited Charles Darwin and Alexander von Humboldt as examples of this tradition.

“But if it wasn’t for having funding for basic science and doing these types of observations, I wouldn’t be sitting here talking about them,” Morris said.

Implications for Coffee Farming

The discovery has significant implications for coffee farming. Coffee berry borers are among the most destructive pests affecting coffee crops. They cause millions of dollars in damage annually.

Ants are already valued as natural allies in pest control. This new evidence suggests their role may be even more important than previously understood. Encouraging diverse ant communities on coffee farms could enhance natural pest suppression and reduce reliance on chemical pesticides.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did the study discover about ants and coffee berry borers?Small ants evict coffee berry borers from coffee fruits and then use the borer-made cavities to rear their own young.

Why is this discovery important?It shows that ants gain a reproductive benefit from the pests, which may support more diverse and stable ant communities on coffee plants.

Where was the research conducted?The research was conducted in Chiapas, Mexico, at a research station established by University of Michigan ecologists.

Who led the study?Jonathan R. Morris, now a postdoctoral researcher at UNAM, led the study while he was a graduate student at the University of Michigan.

How does this help coffee farmers?It highlights the importance of maintaining diverse ant communities on coffee farms to enhance natural pest control and reduce pesticide use.

Where were the findings published?The findings were published in The Scientific Naturalist section of the journal Ecology.

Optimal Coffee Amount by Age: What Large Scientific Studies Say

Source: UK Biobank, Nurses’ Health Study, American Heart Association
Author: Qahwa World
Date: August 1, 2026This article explores coffee consumption by age based on major health studies.

Optimal Coffee Amount by Age: What Large Scientific Studies Say

  • Large observational studies link moderate coffee consumption to lower risk of chronic diseases.
  • These findings are associations, not proof of causation, and vary by age, health, and genetics.
  • After 30: 3-5 cups daily associated with lower risk of liver cirrhosis and liver cancer.
  • After 40: 3 small cups daily linked to “healthy aging” for midlife women.
  • After 50: 3-5 cups (400 mg caffeine) safe for most healthy adults, may reduce heart failure risk.
  • After 60: Coffee linked to lower risk of physical frailty and cellular renewal processes.
  • Individual response varies based on genetics, health status, and additives (sugar and cream).

Coffee is no longer just a morning wake-up drink. Over the past two decades, large observational studies have gathered consistent evidence that moderate consumption may be linked to lower risk of several chronic diseases.

These potential benefits include liver disease, dementia, and certain aspects of healthy aging. However, these remain associations, not proof of causation. Benefits and risks vary significantly by age, health status, genetics, and individual caffeine sensitivity.

Practical Summary: Optimal Amount by Age Group
Age Group Optimal Amount (cups/day) Key Potential Benefits Main Sources
After 30 2-5 Liver protection (cirrhosis, cancer) UK Biobank (355k participants)
After 40 2-3 (women) Healthy aging Nurses’ Health Study (47.5k)
After 50 3-5 Heart health (heart failure, stroke) American Heart Association
After 60 2-4 Reduced frailty, cellular renewal Observational studies on elderly

After 30: Potential Liver and Brain Protection

Long-term risk factors begin to form during this stage. A massive recent study from UK Biobank involving about 355,000 participants found coffee consumption linked to lower risk of liver cirrhosis, liver cancer, and liver-related deaths.

Benefits appeared starting from one to two cups daily. They increased with quantity and were strongest at 3-5 cups or more. Interestingly, the positive effect was also observed with decaffeinated coffee. This suggests that other compounds (like polyphenols) play an important role alongside caffeine.

For the brain, multiple studies link 2-3 cups daily to lower risk of dementia or cognitive decline in later life. Proposed mechanisms include anti-inflammatory effects, improved insulin sensitivity, and reduced accumulation of harmful proteins.

After 40: Potential Benefits for Midlife Women

Perimenopause involves significant hormonal changes affecting physical and cognitive health. The Harvard Nurses’ Health Study, which followed about 47,500 women for over three decades, found that women consuming about three small cups of caffeinated coffee in midlife were more likely to reach age 70 with “healthy aging.”

This includes freedom from major chronic diseases, preserved physical function, mental health, and absence of cognitive impairment. Decaffeinated coffee and tea did not show the same association as strongly. At this stage, some women may become more sensitive to caffeine. If coffee causes anxiety, palpitations, or sleep disruption, reducing the amount is advisable.

After 50: Heart Health and Safety of Moderate Consumption

Old beliefs linking coffee to inevitable heart damage are no longer supported by modern evidence. Recent reviews and meta-analyses, including data from the American Heart Association, indicate that most healthy adults can safely consume up to 3-5 cups (or about 400 mg caffeine) daily.

This level is often linked to lower risk of certain cardiovascular diseases like heart failure and stroke in observational studies. However, the optimal amount remains highly individual. It depends on sleep quality, blood pressure, and personal physician recommendations.

After 60: Supporting Muscle Function and Reducing Frailty Risk

With advancing age, the risk of losing muscle mass and physical frailty increases. Recent observational studies on elderly individuals link higher coffee consumption to lower likelihood of frailty, including weight loss, muscle weakness, exhaustion, slow walking speed, and low physical activity.

Mechanistically, animal studies show that coffee stimulates autophagy—a natural cellular renewal process that removes damaged components—in muscles, liver, and heart. This may contribute to preserving muscle tissue, though human evidence remains indirect.

What Makes Coffee Beneficial? How Does Response Vary?

Potential benefits come from a combination of caffeine and its effects on the nervous system and metabolism, antioxidants and polyphenols (such as chlorogenic acid), and other compounds affecting inflammation, insulin, and cellular renewal processes.

However, individual response varies greatly. Genetics (such as variations in the CYP1A2 enzyme) determine caffeine metabolism rate. Health status, additives (sugar and cream often reduce benefits), and preparation method also affect health impacts.

Practical Conclusion: No Universal Optimal Dose

There is no single “universal optimal dose” for everyone at every age. Current evidence suggests that moderate consumption (generally 2-4 cups daily for most healthy individuals) is linked to several potential benefits, especially for liver, brain, and healthy aging.

However, keep in mind that these are associations, not proof of causation. Those with anxiety disorders, insomnia, certain heart conditions, pregnant women, or those taking specific medications may need to limit or avoid coffee. It is always best to consider personal tolerance and consult a doctor if you have any chronic condition.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many cups of coffee are suitable for those over 30?The UK Biobank study suggests 3-5 cups daily are linked to lower liver cirrhosis and liver cancer risk, with benefits starting from two cups daily.

Is coffee beneficial for midlife women?Yes. The Nurses’ Health Study found that 3 small cups daily of caffeinated coffee were linked to greater odds of healthy aging after age 70.

Does coffee harm the heart?Modern evidence, including the American Heart Association, indicates that 3-5 cups daily (400 mg caffeine) are safe for most healthy adults and may reduce heart failure and stroke risk.

What are the benefits of coffee for seniors?Coffee is linked to lower risk of physical frailty (muscle loss and exhaustion) through stimulating cellular renewal processes (autophagy).

Is decaffeinated coffee also beneficial?Yes. In the liver study, the positive effect was also observed with decaffeinated coffee, suggesting a role for other compounds like polyphenols.

Is there an ideal dose that fits everyone?No. Individual response varies based on genetics, health status, and personal tolerance. It’s best to consult a doctor for chronic conditions.

ICP 25 Years: Building Resilience in Coffee Communities Worldwide

Author: Qahwa World
Source: Hanns R. Neumann Stiftung (HRNS) – ICP 25th Anniversary Report
Date: July 23, 2026

ICP 25 Years: Building Resilience in Coffee Communities Worldwide

Executive Summary

  • Over the past 25 years, the International Coffee Partners(ICP) has shifted from working in many countries to building deeper, long-term engagement in six regions: Brazil, Ethiopia, Honduras, Indonesia, Tanzania and Uganda.
  • ICP has reached over 116,000 households across these regions, supported by more than 250 HRNS staff worldwide.
  • In Indonesia, 19,406 households have been reached. Farming households reached 77% of a living income in 2024, up from 39% in 2021.
  • In Uganda, 38,691 households have been reached. Women represent over 50% of training participants, and youth participation more than doubled from 10% to 26% in 2025.
  • In Ethiopia, the CAFE project reached 3,029 households, with productivity increasing nearly 70% between 2020 and 2025.
  • In Tanzania, 44,291 households have been reached. By 2025, 92% of farming families were food secure.
  • In Brazil, 4,760 households have been reached. In 2025, 76% adopted good agricultural practices and 72% kept farm records.
  • In Honduras, 9,892 households have been reached. Women hold 42% of cooperative leadership positions, and youth participation reached 33% in 2025.

The International Coffee Partners(ICP) is celebrating 25 years of working with coffee-farming families. Over this period, the program has shifted its approach significantly. It moved from working in many countries to building deeper, longer-term engagement in six key regions: Brazil, Ethiopia, Honduras, Indonesia, Tanzania and Uganda.

Hanns R. Neumann Stiftung (HRNS) implements and manages all ICP projects. The organization supports this work through country and regional offices. More than 250 staff worldwide provide the local presence needed to translate ICP’s long-term commitment into practical support on the ground.

Across these regions, ICP activities have taken different forms. The approach varies depending on local realities, priorities, and opportunities. However, one shared goal remains constant: strengthening the livelihoods of coffee-farming families.

Indonesia: From Second-Class Coffee to Stronger Coffee Systems

In South Sumatra, ICP has helped transform a region where coffee was once seen as second-class. When project activities began in 2014, productivity was low and few companies were willing to source directly from farmers or cooperatives.

Arman Ginting, Co-Country Manager at HRNS in Indonesia, describes the change: “Today, the situation has changed fundamentally.” He explains that ICP acts as an enabler of systemic change that works across the value chain. The program is driven by support for good agricultural practices, quality management, and market linkages.

Over time, farming families focused on improving existing land rather than expanding it. This approach has achieved higher yields and better quality. At the same time, diversification into fruit trees, chili, and other crops has strengthened household resilience.

Women’s economic role has become more visible. In 2025, women made up 46% of participants in ICP trainings in Indonesia. So far, ICP has reached 19,406 households in the country.

By 2025, 32% of farmers kept farm records. 29% had adopted good agricultural practices, and 33% were applying climate-smart practices. As a result, farming households reached an average of 77% of a living income in 2024, up from 39% in 2021.

Uganda: Change Begins at Household Level

In Uganda, ICP’s work has shown how much can change when families plan and decide together. Since 2004, the focus has increasingly been on gender equality, youth empowerment, diversification, and climate resilience.

Victor Komakech, Climate Change Coordinator at HRNS Uganda, highlights one key achievement. The Gender Household Approach has been “one of the program’s most significant achievements.” By encouraging joint planning and decision-making, it has laid the foundation for more inclusive and sustainable household development.

This progress is also reflected in participation. In 2025, more than 50% of participants in ICP trainings in Uganda were women. This is the highest rate across all ICP regions.

At the same time, youth farmer field schools and innovation groups have helped young people build skills and start rural businesses. Youth participation in ICP projects more than doubled from 10% in 2024 to 26% in 2025. This was supported by the deliberate involvement of young people as demonstration plot holders and group leaders.

So far, ICP has reached 38,691 households in Uganda. By 2024, households had reached an average of 46% of a living income, up from 15% in 2021.

Ethiopia: An Integrated Approach to Stronger Livelihoods

In Ethiopia’s Amhara region, the CAFE (Coffee Alliances for Ethiopia) project demonstrates the power of integrated support. Since 2019, ICP has reached 3,029 households through an approach that combines better farming practices with climate adaptation, stronger cooperatives, gender equality, youth opportunities, and more diversified livelihoods.

Rahel Adugna, Co-Country Manager HRNS Ethiopia, explains the project’s significance. The CAFE project has “evolved into a pioneering initiative in the region” by bringing these elements together in one coherent framework.

By 2024, 95% of participants had adopted good agricultural and climate-smart practices. This contributed to an increase in productivity by nearly 70% between 2020 and 2025. At the same time, home gardens, nurseries, and other livelihood activities significantly improved food security and resilience.

Tanzania: From Shared Knowledge to Stronger Livelihoods

In Tanzania, ICP has helped turn knowledge-sharing into a lasting local resource. Since 2006, it has reached 44,291 households across northern and southern Tanzania.

Godfrey Wilgod, Climate Change and Agronomy Coordinator for ICP in Tanzania, points to a particular strength. “One particular strength has been the establishment of sustainable extension services.” Farmer-to-farmer approaches, such as Farmer Field Schools, have been especially effective.

In Mbeya and Songwe, this is reinforced by Youth Farmer Field Schools. These programs help young people build practical skills and shape the future of farming. Combined with climate-smart agriculture, agroforestry, women’s empowerment, and stronger farmer organizations, this has supported more resilient livelihoods.

By 2025, 92% of farming families were food secure. In 2024, farming households reached an average of 48% of a living income, up from 28% in 2022.

Brazil: From Producing More to Managing Better

In Brazil, ICP has helped many families move beyond a narrow focus on production. Since 2001, it has reached a total of 4,760 households.

Francyelly Lasmar Balduino, Co-Country Manager at HRNS in Brazil, emphasizes the mindset shift. “Many families have learned to look at their farms differently, not only in terms of producing more, but also in managing costs, reducing climate risks, improving coffee quality, and improving their overall quality of life.”

By 2025, 76% of households had adopted good agricultural practices. 72% kept farm records, showing how strongly farm management has become part of everyday practice.

This shift has also made farms more resilient through diversification, regenerative practices, and better risk management. Women and young people now have more voice. In 2025, women made up 36% of participants in ICP trainings, and 19% of farm households had one young person engaged in a community group.

Honduras: Strong Organizations, New Generations

In Honduras, one of ICP’s most important achievements has been its long-term support for farmer organizations.

Pablo Ruiz, Co-Regional Manager at HRNS Central America, reflects on this success. “When I think about ICP’s work over the last decades, the first success that comes to my mind is the investment in farmer organizations.” This sustained engagement has helped farmers build organizations that have improved access to markets, services, and support.

Programs such as Climate Pioneers have reinforced this by encouraging young people to take a more active role in coffee-growing communities. In 2025, Honduras recorded ICP’s highest youth participation rate in projects at 33%.

Another notable result is the role of women. In 2025, they accounted for 49% of participants in ICP trainings and held 42% of cooperative leadership positions.

So far, ICP has reached 9,892 households in the region. Between 2024 and 2025, the share of farmers adopting good agricultural practices rose from 58% to 76%, and climate-smart practices from 37% to 56%.

A Shared Lesson Across Regions

These regional developments and results show that progress in coffee farming is never just about coffee alone. It is also about stronger families, more resilient livelihoods, better local structures, and new opportunities for the next generation.

After 25 years, ICP’s work across regions makes one thing clear. Lasting change happens where support is long-term, locally rooted, and shaped by the realities of farming families.

Table 1: ICP Regional Impact at a Glance

Region Households Reached Women in Training (2025) Youth Participation (2025) Living Income (latest)
Indonesia 19,406 46% n/a 77% (2024)
Uganda 38,691 50%+ 26% 46% (2024)
Ethiopia 3,029 n/a n/a Productivity +70%
Tanzania 44,291 n/a n/a 48% (2024)
Brazil 4,760 36% 19% GAP 76%
Honduras 9,892 49% 33% Women in leadership 42%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the International Coffee Partners(ICP)?

ICP is a long-term initiative that works with coffee-farming families to strengthen their livelihoods. It is implemented by Hanns R. Neumann Stiftung (HRNS) and operates in six regions: Brazil, Ethiopia, Honduras, Indonesia, Tanzania and Uganda.

How many households has ICP reached?

ICP has reached over 116,000 households across all six regions, supported by more than 250 HRNS staff worldwide.

What are the main focus areas of ICP?

ICP focuses on good agricultural practices, climate resilience, gender equality, youth empowerment, farmer organizations, diversification, and improving household living incomes.

Which region has the highest women’s participation in trainings?

Uganda has the highest rate, with over 50% of ICP training participants being women in 2025.

What is the CAFE project in Ethiopia?

CAFE (Coffee Alliances for Ethiopia) is an ICP project in the Amhara region that combines coffee production improvements with climate adaptation, cooperatives, gender equality, youth opportunities, and livelihood diversification.

What has been ICP’s impact on living incomes?

In Indonesia, households reached 77% of a living income in 2024, up from 39% in 2021. In Uganda, it rose from 15% to 46%, and in Tanzania from 28% to 48%.


Author: Qahwa World | Source: Hanns R. Neumann Stiftung – ICP 25th Anniversary Report | Date: July 23, 2026

Over 3,000 Gallons of Coffee Recalled Due to Botulism Risk

Source: FDA / EatingWell / Danielle DeAngelis
Author: Qahwa World
Date: July 27, 2026

Over 3,000 Gallons of Coffee Recalled Due to Botulism Risk

  • FDA announced a recall of approximately 3,408 gallons of cold brew coffee.
  • The recall affects Brooklyn Roasting Company Pasteurized Cold Brew Concentrate.
  • Products were distributed in New Jersey and New York from April 1 through June 20, 2026.
  • Containers are 2.5-gallon bottles with best-by dates through September 30, 2026.
  • Risk of Clostridium botulinum contamination can cause botulism, a serious illness.
  • Consumers should dispose of affected products or return them for a refund.
  • The FDA classified this as a Class II recall on July 21, 2026.

The Food and Drug Administration announced a recall on approximately 3,408 gallons of cold brew coffee. The recall is due to a Clostridium botulinum bacterial contamination risk. The affected product is Brooklyn Roasting Company Pasteurized Cold Brew Concentrate.

The cold brew was distributed and sold in New Jersey and New York. Sales occurred from April 1 through June 20, 2026. The product was sold in 2.5-gallon bottles with best-by dates ranging from June 30 through September 30, 2026.

Check Your Cold Brew

Consumers should check their cold brew immediately. If the product matches the recall information, dispose of it. Alternatively, return it to the place of purchase for a potential refund.

The product may have been stored at room temperature during the distribution process. This makes it susceptible to Clostridium botulinum toxin formation. The FDA has issued this warning to protect public health.

Brooklyn Roasting Company Cold Brew Recall Details
Detail Information
Product Brooklyn Roasting Company Pasteurized Cold Brew Concentrate
Total volume recalled Approximately 3,408 gallons
Container size 2.5-gallon bottles
Distribution area New Jersey and New York
Sales period April 1 through June 20, 2026
Best-by dates June 30 through September 30, 2026
Recall reason Clostridium botulinum contamination risk
FDA classification Class II (July 21, 2026)

Health Risks of Botulism

Exposure to Clostridium botulinum can cause botulism. This is a serious and sometimes deadly illness. Botulism attacks the nervous system. Symptoms include bloating, constipation, and muscle weakness. Other symptoms include dizziness, double vision, trouble speaking or swallowing, and difficulty breathing.

Seek immediate medical attention if you show signs of botulism after consuming the recalled product. The illness can progress rapidly and requires prompt treatment.

FDA Classification

On July 21, the FDA classified this recall as a Class II alert. This means the product may cause minor, temporary health concerns. However, botulism can be serious, and consumers should take this recall seriously. For questions, contact the FDA at 1-888-INFO-FDA (1-888-463-6332).

What Consumers Should Do

Consumers who purchased the affected product should take immediate action. First, check the label for the product name and best-by date. Second, if it matches the recall, do not consume the product. Third, dispose of the product safely or return it to the store for a refund.

If you have consumed the product and experience any symptoms, seek medical help immediately. Early treatment is critical for botulism. The FDA and the company are working together to ensure consumer safety.

Frequently Asked Questions

What product is being recalled?Brooklyn Roasting Company Pasteurized Cold Brew Concentrate sold in 2.5-gallon bottles.

How much coffee is affected?Approximately 3,408 gallons of cold brew coffee are being recalled.

Where was the product sold?The product was distributed and sold in New Jersey and New York.

What are the best-by dates of the recalled product?The best-by dates range from June 30 through September 30, 2026.

What are the symptoms of botulism?Symptoms include bloating, constipation, muscle weakness, dizziness, double vision, trouble speaking or swallowing, and difficulty breathing.

What should I do if I have the recalled product?Dispose of it or return it to the place of purchase for a refund. Seek medical help if you experience symptoms.