Tag: ICO

Coffee Prices Fall 8.7% as Brazil’s Record Crop Arrives

Posted on by Qahwa World

Author: Qahwa World – London
Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO) – Coffee Market Report, September 2026
Date: October 2026

Coffee Prices Fall 8.7% as Brazil’s Record Crop Arrives

Executive Summary

  • The ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged 262.18 US cents/lb in September 2026, down 8.7% from August.
  • All four ICO group indicators declined, with Brazilian Naturals falling the most at 9.9%.
  • Brazil’s record crop reaching the market increased availability and weighed on prices.
  • Low certified Arabica stocks and El Niño uncertainty provided some support but could not halt the decline.
  • Global green bean exports rose 15.6% to 10.94 million bags in August, driven by Robustas and Brazilian Naturals.
  • For the first time on record, the Arabica share of cumulative green bean exports fell below 60% for the first 11 months of a coffee year.
  • The ICO launched a new Coffee Market Intelligence Platform (data.ico.org) to make market data more accessible.

The ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged 262.18 US cents per pound in September 2026. This was an 8.7% decrease from August 2026.

Prices ranged between 248.44 and 279.85 US cents/lb. The month opened at its high and closed at 261.60 US cents/lb on September 30, which was 7.0% below the August close of 281.15.

The decline was broad-based. Every ICO group indicator fell by between 7.3% and 9.9%. The largest fall was in Brazilian Naturals, the group most directly exposed to Brazil’s harvest.

Increased availability from Brazil’s record crop and expectations of ample supply weighed on prices. Low certified Arabica stocks and uncertainty surrounding El Niño provided some support. However, these factors were not enough to reverse the downward trend.

Price Movements Across Groups

Brazilian Naturals prices fell 9.9% to 290.19 US cents/lb. Colombian Milds declined 8.1% to 356.15 US cents/lb. Other Milds dropped 8.8% to 329.44 US cents/lb.

Robustas declined 7.3% to 167.49 US cents/lb. On the futures markets, London ICE Robusta prices fell 8.0% to 154.28 US cents/lb. New York ICE Arabica prices dropped 10.4% to 280.68 US cents/lb.

The arbitrage between the London and New York futures markets narrowed 13.2% to 126.40 US cents/lb. Every Arabica-Robusta differential narrowed. This reflects the larger percentage declines in Arabica prices as Brazil’s much larger Arabica crop of 46.3 million bags reached the market.

Meanwhile, CONAB’s lower Robusta estimate and the early-month resilience of Robusta cushioned its prices. Brazil’s Robusta crop is estimated at a record 25.1 million bags, up 11.1%.

Volatility also declined. The I-CIP volatility was 10.0% in September, 3.7 percentage points below August’s 13.7%. New York and London futures volatility stood at 13.4% and 9.7% respectively.

Certified Stocks Rise Modestly

US certified Arabica stocks rose to 0.27 million bags at the end of September. This was up from 0.24 million bags at the end of August.

London certified Robusta stocks rose to a 10-month high of 0.87 million bags. This was up from 0.83 million bags at the end of August.

Despite these increases, Arabica stocks remain historically low. The modest recovery did not offset the broader bearish sentiment driven by Brazil’s record crop.

Exports: Strong August Growth

Global green bean exports totaled 10.94 million bags in August 2026. This was a 15.6% increase from 9.46 million bags in August 2025.

The August upturn was in sharp contrast to the usual seasonal decline between July and August. This helped explain the double-digit growth rate.

Robusta green bean exports increased 22.4% to 4.36 million bags. Brazilian Naturals rose 21.3% to 3.57 million bags. Other Milds increased 6.6% to 1.91 million bags.

Colombian Milds were the only group to record a decline. Exports fell 5.6% to 1.09 million bags. This marked the group’s 10th month of negative growth in the current coffee year.

Total Arabica exports increased to 6.58 million bags, up 11.6% from 5.89 million bags in August 2025. Despite this, the Arabica share of cumulative green bean exports fell to 59.6% from 63.5% a year earlier.

This marked the first time on record that the Arabica share fell below 60% for the volume shipped in the first 11 months of a coffee year.

Robusta’s share of world production is estimated to have risen to 43.1% of total output in 2025/26. This is up from an average of 41.7% in 2023/24 to 2024/25. This larger share and changing tastes among some coffee drinkers may help explain the shift in export composition.

Table 1: Green Bean Exports by Coffee Group (million 60 kg bags)

Coffee Group August 2025 August 2026 Change
Robustas 3.57 4.36 +22.4%
Brazilian Naturals 2.94 3.57 +21.3%
Other Milds 1.79 1.91 +6.6%
Colombian Milds 1.16 1.09 -5.6%

Exports by Region

Global exports of all forms of coffee rose 14.6% to 12.55 million bags in August 2026. This was up from 10.95 million bags in August 2025.

South America was the main driver of the August upturn. Exports rose 20.2% to 5.98 million bags. Brazil led with a 34.5% increase to 4.28 million bags. This was Brazil’s fifth consecutive month of positive growth.

Asia & Oceania exports rose 23.1% to 4.03 million bags. Vietnam led with a 48.0% increase to 2.24 million bags.

Africa’s exports fell 1.8% to 1.74 million bags. This marked the sixth consecutive month of negative growth. Uganda drove the decline with an 8.8% drop to an estimated 0.78 million bags.

The Caribbean, Mexico & Central America fell 14.3% to 0.79 million bags. This was the fourth consecutive month of negative growth, driven mainly by Nicaragua and Mexico.

Soluble coffee exports rose 8.1% to 1.56 million bags. Vietnam was the largest exporter with 0.43 million bags. Roasted bean exports were unchanged at 0.05 million bags.

New Market Intelligence Platform

In September, the ICO launched the Coffee Market Intelligence Platform at data.ico.org. It is a free-to-view interactive tool combining daily market indicators with data on monthly trade, annual production and consumption.

The platform’s basic dashboards are available free of charge to all users. They provide visibility of current-year prices and stock data, as well as aggregated trade and production statistics for the current and previous years.

ICO Members also have free access to historical data dating back to 1963. Commercial organizations requiring detailed historical data or bulk datasets can purchase an annual statistical subscription.

The platform was unveiled at a press conference in Geneva during the 142nd Session of the International Coffee Council. The launch came ahead of the first UN-recognized International Coffee Day on 1 October.

The aim is to make coffee market data more accessible. The platform will run in parallel to the existing ICO World Coffee Statistical Database for a few months before the latter is phased out.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did coffee prices fall in September 2026?

The ICO composite price fell 8.7% to 262.18 US cents/lb, down from 287.29 US cents/lb in August.

What caused the decline?

Increased availability from Brazil’s record crop and expectations of ample supply weighed on prices. Low certified Arabica stocks and El Niño uncertainty provided only limited support.

How did the different coffee groups perform?

All four groups declined. Brazilian Naturals fell 9.9%, Other Milds 8.8%, Colombian Milds 8.1%, and Robustas 7.3%.

What happened to the Arabica share of exports?

The Arabica share of cumulative green bean exports fell to 59.6% from 63.5%. This was the first time on record it fell below 60% for the first 11 months of a coffee year.

How did certified stocks change?

US certified Arabica stocks rose modestly to 0.27 million bags. London certified Robusta stocks rose to a 10-month high of 0.87 million bags.

What is the new ICO platform?

The Coffee Market Intelligence Platform (data.ico.org) is a free-to-view interactive tool combining daily market indicators with monthly trade, annual production and consumption data.

Author: Qahwa World – London | Source: International Coffee Organization – Coffee Market Report, September 2026 | Date: October 2026

ICO Launches Interactive Coffee Market Data Platform

Posted on by Qahwa World

Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO)
Author: Qahwa World
Date: October 3, 2026

ICO Launches Interactive Coffee Market Data Platform

  • The ICO launched the Coffee Market Intelligence Platform at data.ico.org.
  • The free interactive tool combines daily market indicators, trade, production, and consumption data.
  • Data is presented on an interactive 3D globe rather than static tables.
  • The launch took place during the 142nd Session of the International Coffee Council in Geneva.
  • It precedes the first UN-recognized International Coffee Day on October 1.
  • ICO Members gain free access to historical data dating back to 1963.
  • Coffee supports livelihoods for at least 12.5 million families worldwide.

The International Coffee Organization launched its Coffee Market Intelligence Platform on September 30, 2026. The platform is a free-to-view interactive tool available at data.ico.org. It combines daily market indicators with data on monthly trade, annual production, and consumption.

Producers, traders, policymakers, journalists, and other stakeholders can now explore the key elements of the global coffee market together. Relevant statistics are all available in one place.

Launch at the International Coffee Council

The platform was unveiled at a press conference in Geneva, Switzerland. The event took place during the 142nd Session of the International Coffee Council. It came ahead of the first UN-recognized International Coffee Day on October 1.

The launch took place alongside a presentation of the ICO’s “Coffee Is Part of the Solution” campaign. This campaign highlights progress on sustainability in the coffee sector.

Making Coffee Market Information More Accessible

Coffee market information has traditionally been dispersed across different publications, databases, and commercial services. The new platform addresses this fragmentation by bringing key datasets together.

It includes the daily ICO Composite Indicator Price and its four group indicators. It also features New York and London futures prices, monthly exchange-certified stocks, detailed trade data, and country-by-country trade flows. Annual production and consumption data are included as well.

“Good data cannot eliminate volatility, but it can reduce uncertainty. When stakeholders work from a shared and credible evidence base, they can make better decisions about production, investment, trade, risk management and sustainability.”

— Vanúsia Nogueira, Executive Director of the ICO

Data Available on the Coffee Market Intelligence Platform
Category Data Included
Daily Indicators ICO Composite Indicator Price and four group indicators
Futures Prices New York and London futures prices
Stocks Monthly exchange-certified stocks
Trade Detailed trade data and country-by-country trade flows
Production Annual production data by country
Consumption Annual consumption data by country

An Interactive 3D Globe

Rather than presenting data in static tables, the platform displays it on an interactive 3D globe. This makes current-year statistics freely accessible. Anyone from cooperative managers to journalists can read the market as a single interconnected system. It functions as a one-stop shop for coffee data.

“Coffee provides livelihoods for at least 12.5 million families and supports a complex global value chain. Better access to credible information may also support farmers with investments in land or processing machines, for example,” added Vanusia.

Built on the ICO’s Own Statistical Record

Export data comes primarily from ICO Members. Under the International Coffee Agreement, exporting countries issue a Certificate of Origin for every shipment. They also report monthly export statistics to the Secretariat. Importing countries report imports, re-exports, and inventories.

These figures are cross-checked against partner-country customs data. For non-member countries, they are checked against published national records and international trade databases. Production and consumption figures combine official national estimates with the Secretariat’s own estimations. These are reconciled through a supply-demand balance so that each country’s figures are internally consistent. Where a country cannot yet supply a series, the ICO estimates it from Certificates of Origin, partner data, and industry sources.

Free Access and Membership Benefits

The platform’s dashboards are available free of charge to all users. They provide visibility of current-year prices and stock data, as well as aggregated trade and production statistics for the current and previous years.

ICO Members also have free access to historical data dating back to 1963. Relevant information may be provided to intergovernmental organizations and academic researchers upon request. Commercial organizations requiring detailed historical data or bulk datasets can purchase an annual statistical subscription.

Access Levels by User Type
User Type Access Level
All users Free access to current-year prices, stocks, aggregated trade and production
ICO Members Free access to historical data back to 1963
Intergovernmental organizations and academics Relevant information upon request
Commercial organizations Annual statistical subscription for bulk or detailed historical data

About the International Coffee Organization

The ICO is the only intergovernmental organization supporting exporting and importing countries to improve the sustainability of the coffee sector. It provides a high-level forum for all public and private stakeholders in the sector. The organization also provides official statistics on coffee production, trade, and consumption. Additionally, it supports the development and funding of technical cooperation projects and public-private partnerships.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Coffee Market Intelligence Platform?It is a free interactive tool launched by the ICO that combines daily market indicators with data on trade, production, and consumption, available at data.ico.org.

When was the platform launched?The platform was launched on September 30, 2026, during the 142nd Session of the International Coffee Council in Geneva, Switzerland.

What data does the platform include?It includes the ICO Composite Indicator Price, futures prices, certified stocks, detailed trade data, trade flows, and annual production and consumption data.

Is the platform free to use?Yes, the dashboards are free for all users. ICO Members also get free access to historical data dating back to 1963.

How is the data presented?The data is presented on an interactive 3D globe rather than in static tables, making current-year statistics easy to explore.

How many families depend on coffee?Coffee provides livelihoods for at least 12.5 million families and supports a complex global value chain.

Author: Qahwa World (based on ICO press release)
Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO)
Publication Date: October 3, 2026

ICO Coffee Market Report August 2026: Prices Hold Steady

Posted on by Qahwa World

Author: Qahwa World – London
Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO) – Coffee Market Report, August 2026
Date: September 2026

ICO Coffee Market Report August 2026: Prices Hold Steady

Executive Summary

  • The ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged 287.29 US cents/lb in August 2026, effectively unchanged from July (287.26 US cents/lb).
  • A mid-month rally, driven by El Niño fears and tight Arabica supplies, was reversed by favorable rainfall in Brazil and expectations of increased supply.
  • Colombian Milds rose 1.1% to 387.46 US cents/lb, while Other Milds gained 0.7% to 361.31 US cents/lb. Robustas fell 2.2% to 180.63 US cents/lb.
  • US certified Arabica stocks fell to 0.24 million bags, the lowest level since 1999. London Robusta stocks rose 19.5% to 0.83 million bags, a nine-month high.
  • Global green bean exports rose 6.3% to 10.76 million bags in July, driven entirely by a 32% surge in Robusta shipments.
  • World coffee production is estimated to rise 4.4% to 183.6 million bags in 2025/26, while consumption is projected to decline 0.8%.
  • The global market is projected to record a surplus of 3.0 million bags in 2025/26, the first after four consecutive years of deficit.

The ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged 287.29 US cents per pound in August 2026. This was effectively unchanged from July 2026, when it averaged 287.26 US cents per pound.

The month followed an inverted V-shaped pattern. Prices softened early, then rallied from August 17 to 25. A sharp correction on August 26 and 27 brought the indicator back to its opening level.

The mid-month rally was driven by heightened expectations of a strong El Niño event. These concerns were compounded by historically low certified Arabica stocks. Prices eased toward the end of the month as favorable rainfall in Brazil and expectations of a substantial surplus reduced the risk premium.

Price Movements and Market Volatility

Colombian Milds and Other Milds recorded modest gains. Colombian Milds rose 1.1% to average 387.46 US cents/lb. Other Milds increased 0.7% to 361.31 US cents/lb. Brazilian Naturals edged up 0.5% to 322.24 US cents/lb.

In contrast, Robustas declined 2.2% to 180.63 US cents/lb. On the futures markets, London ICE Robusta prices fell 3.0% to 167.63 US cents/lb. New York ICE Arabica prices expanded 0.9% to 313.20 US cents/lb.

The arbitrage between the London and New York futures markets expanded 5.8% to 145.56 US cents/lb. The Colombian Milds-Other Milds differential widened 5.7% to 26.15 US cents/lb.

Volatility declined across most indicators. The intra-day volatility of the I-CIP stood at 13.7% in August, a 1.3 percentage point decrease from July. Colombian Milds volatility fell to 14.6%, while Other Milds dropped to 15.7%.

Brazilian Naturals volatility decreased 1.6 percentage points to 16.3%. Robusta volatility remained stable at 11.0%. At the New York and London futures markets, volatilities were 19.9% and 13.2%, respectively.

Diverging Certified Stocks

Certified stocks diverged sharply between the two futures markets. London certified Robusta stocks rose 19.5% to 0.83 million bags. This was their highest level in nine months.

In contrast, US certified Arabica stocks fell to 0.24 million bags. This was the lowest level since 1999. It is approximately 68% below the level held a year earlier.

Several factors drove this divergence. El Niño risks raised concerns about future Arabica supplies. At the same time, disruption in Colombia and slower harvesting in Brazil limited near-term availability. A magnitude 7.4 earthquake struck western Colombia on August 10, halting operations at the Pacific port of Buenaventura.

Brazil’s harvest also lagged behind its historical pace. Safras & Mercado reported that the 2026/27 harvest was 90% complete as of August 12, against 97% a year earlier and a five-year average of 94%.

Exports by Coffee Group

Global green bean exports totaled 10.76 million bags in July 2026. This was a 6.3% increase from 10.12 million bags in July 2025. It marked the fourth month of positive year-on-year growth in the first 10 months of 2025/26.

The increase was driven entirely by Robustas. Robusta green bean exports surged 32.0% to 4.98 million bags. Vietnam led the increase with a 87.4% jump to 2.4 million bags. Brazil also contributed, with its Robusta exports up 83.7% to 0.86 million bags.

In contrast, all Arabica groups recorded declines. Colombian Milds exports fell 11.1% to 1.04 million bags. Brazilian Naturals decreased 10.0% to 2.46 million bags. Other Milds fell 6.7% to 2.27 million bags.

Total Arabica exports decreased to 5.78 million bags in July 2026. This was down 8.9% from 6.35 million bags in July 2025. As a result, the Arabica share of cumulative green bean exports fell to 59.7% from 63.6% a year earlier.

Table 1: Green Bean Exports by Coffee Group (million 60 kg bags)

Coffee Group July 2025 July 2026 Change
Robustas 3.77 4.98 +32.0%
Colombian Milds 1.17 1.04 -11.1%
Other Milds 2.44 2.27 -6.7%
Brazilian Naturals 2.74 2.46 -10.0%

Exports by Region

Global exports of all forms of coffee rose 3.3% to 12.23 million bags in July 2026. Two of the four regions recorded increases. Asia & Oceania and South America posted gains, while Africa and the Caribbean, Mexico & Central America recorded declines.

Asia & Oceania led the upturn with a 17.6% increase to 4.38 million bags. Vietnam was the main driver, with exports up 43.7% to 2.83 million bags. The region’s year-to-date exports rose to 43.59 million bags.

South America’s exports increased 3.1% to 4.57 million bags. This was the third consecutive month of positive growth. Brazil drove the increase with a 10.9% rise to 3.06 million bags. However, Colombia partly offset this with a 14.7% decline to 1.01 million bags.

Africa’s exports decreased 6.7% to 1.90 million bags. Ethiopia and Uganda drove the decline, with combined exports falling 15.9% to an estimated 1.52 million bags. Uganda’s decline follows a record performance in 2024/25 and may reflect normalization from an exceptionally high benchmark.

The Caribbean, Mexico & Central America decreased 15.9% to 1.39 million bags. This was the third consecutive month of negative growth, driven mainly by Mexico and Nicaragua.

Soluble coffee exports decreased 16.7% to 1.4 million bags in July 2026. Roasted bean exports rose 70.6% to 0.07 million bags.

Global Supply and Demand Outlook

The ICO published updated supply and demand statistics on September 10, 2026. World coffee production increased 2.5% to 175.9 million bags in 2024/25. For 2025/26, production is estimated to rise 4.4% to 183.6 million bags.

Arabica production is projected to increase 2.8% to 104.4 million bags in 2025/26. This reflects the higher-yielding phase of the biennial cycle in South America. Robusta output is estimated to jump 6.5% to 79.2 million bags.

South America remains the world’s largest producer, with an estimated output of 84.1 million bags. This represents 45.8% of global production. Asia & Oceania follows with 29.7%, then Africa with 13.6% and the Caribbean, Central America and Mexico with 10.8%.

World coffee consumption increased 4.3% to 182.2 million bags in 2024/25. Growth was mainly driven by North America and Europe. In 2025/26, consumption is estimated to decline 0.8%, partly reflecting normalization after unusually strong growth.

Europe remained the largest consuming region, accounting for 30.1% of global consumption in 2024/25. South America is estimated to overtake North America as the third-largest consuming region in 2025/26.

Following four consecutive years of deficit from 2021/22 to 2024/25, the global coffee market is projected to record a surplus of 3.0 million bags in 2025/26.

Table 2: World Supply, Demand and Balance (million 60 kg bags)

Item 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26
Arabica Production 101.1 101.6 104.4
Robusta Production 70.5 74.4 79.2
Total Production 171.6 175.9 183.6
Consumption 174.6 182.2 180.6
Balance -3.0 -6.3 +3.0

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the ICO composite price in August 2026?

The I-CIP averaged 287.29 US cents/lb in August 2026, effectively unchanged from July 2026 (287.26 US cents/lb).

What caused the mid-month price rally and subsequent correction?

A rally from August 17 to 25 was driven by El Niño fears and tight Arabica supplies. It was reversed by favorable rainfall in Brazil and expectations of a substantial surplus.

Why did certified coffee stocks diverge?

US Arabica stocks fell to 0.24 million bags (lowest since 1999) due to El Niño risks and supply disruptions. London Robusta stocks rose 19.5% to 0.83 million bags.

How did coffee exports perform in July 2026?

Global green bean exports rose 6.3% to 10.76 million bags. Robusta exports surged 32%, while all Arabica groups declined.

What is the global supply and demand outlook?

World production is estimated at 183.6 million bags in 2025/26 (+4.4%), with consumption at 180.6 million bags (-0.8%). This results in a surplus of 3.0 million bags.

What was the key development in certified stocks?

US certified Arabica stocks fell to their lowest level since 1999 at 0.24 million bags, while London Robusta stocks reached a nine-month high of 0.83 million bags.

Author: Qahwa World – London | Source: International Coffee Organization – Coffee Market Report, August 2026 | Date: September 2026

Coffee Prices Record Largest Monthly Surge Since 2021

Posted on by Qahwa World

Author: Qahwa World – London
Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO) – Coffee Market Report, July 2026
Date: August 2026According to recent reports, coffee prices experienced the largest monthly surge in 2026.

Coffee Prices Record Largest Monthly Surge Since 2021

Executive Summary

  • The ICO composite price surged 15.4% to 287.26 US cents/lb in July 2026, the largest monthly gain since 2021.
  • Arabica prices rose faster than Robusta: Colombian Milds +18.1%, Brazilian Naturals +17.9%, Robustas +9.1%.
  • Record daily gains of 8.2% (July 6) and 9.3% (July 9) marked the largest increases in 21 years.
  • El Niño probability reached 97% through early spring 2027, with 81% chance of a very strong event.
  • Brazil’s harvest was only 64% complete by July 15, below the 5‑year average of 70%, due to wet conditions.
  • US certified Arabica stocks fell 30% to 0.29 million bags, the lowest since January 2024.
  • London Robusta stocks rose 2.5% to 0.69 million bags, widening the price gap between the two varieties.

Global coffee prices recorded their largest monthly increase since 2021 in July 2026. The ICO Composite Indicator Price surged 15.4% to 287.26 US cents per pound.

Arabica prices rose faster than Robusta. Colombian Milds increased 18.1% to 383.39 US cents/lb. Brazilian Naturals rose 17.9% to 320.69 US cents/lb. Other Milds increased 16.5% to 358.65 US cents/lb. Robustas rose 9.1% to 184.78 US cents/lb.

The price rally was driven by several factors. Weather-related concerns in Brazil, a strengthening El Niño outlook, and tightening Arabica supplies all played a role.

On July 6, the composite price rose 8.2% in a single day. On July 9, it rose another 9.3%. These were the largest daily increases observed in 21 years.

El Niño fears intensified significantly. On July 9, the US Climate Prediction Center reported a 97% probability that El Niño would persist through early spring 2027. There was also an 81% probability of a very strong event during October-December 2026.

This outlook pointed to increased risks of regional rainfall and temperature anomalies. These could affect coffee production in Asia and South America in late 2026 and 2027.

Weather factors were a key driver. Unusually wet conditions in parts of Brazil disrupted harvesting and drying operations. On July 17, Safras & Mercado reported that Brazil’s harvest was only 64% complete as of July 15. This compared to 77% a year earlier and a five-year average of 70%.

Wet conditions also caused uneven maturation. Multiple flowering cycles led to cherries at different stages of ripeness. This required more selective picking and sorting, making harvesting slower and more costly.

US certified Arabica stocks fell 30% to 0.29 million bags in July. This was their lowest level since January 2024. The decline signaled significantly tighter immediately deliverable supplies of Arabica.

In contrast, London certified Robusta stocks rose 2.5% to 0.69 million bags. This divergence widened the price gap between Arabica and Robusta and increased the price differentials.

Combined ICE-certified stocks fell to 0.98 million bags on July 31. This signaled limited buffers against unforeseen supply disruptions.

Table 1: Key Price Movements (US cents/lb)

Indicator June 2026 July 2026 Change
ICO Composite 248.90 287.26 +15.4%
Colombian Milds 324.60 383.39 +18.1%
Brazilian Naturals 272.01 320.69 +17.9%
Robustas 169.39 184.78 +9.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did coffee prices rise in July 2026?

The ICO composite price surged 15.4% to 287.26 US cents/lb, the largest monthly gain since 2021.

What caused the price surge?

El Niño fears (97% probability), wet weather in Brazil slowing the harvest, and falling Arabica stocks were the main drivers.

How did Arabica and Robusta prices perform differently?

Arabica prices rose faster (+18.1% for Colombian Milds) while Robusta rose 9.1%, widening the price gap.

What happened to certified coffee stocks?

US Arabica stocks fell 30% to 0.29 million bags (lowest since Jan 2024), while London Robusta stocks rose 2.5% to 0.69 million bags.

What is the El Niño outlook?

There is a 97% probability of El Niño persisting through early spring 2027, with an 81% chance of a very strong event in late 2026.

Author: Qahwa World – London | Source: International Coffee Organization – Coffee Market Report, July 2026 | Date: August 2026

ICO Coffee Market Report July 2026: Prices Surge 15.4% on Supply Fears

Posted on by Qahwa World

Author: Qahwa World – London
Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO) – Coffee Market Report, July 2026
Date: August 2026

ICO Coffee Market Report July 2026: Prices Surge 15.4% on Supply Fears

Executive Summary

  • The ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged 287.26 US cents/lb in July 2026, up 15.4% from June, with Arabica prices outpacing Robusta.
  • Record daily gains of 8.2% on July 6 and 9.3% on July 9 marked the largest increases in 21 years.
  • Colombian Milds rose 18.1% to 383.39 US cents/lb; Brazilian Naturals rose 17.9% to 320.69 US cents/lb; Robustas rose 9.1% to 184.78 US cents/lb.
  • US certified Arabica stocks fell 30% to 0.29 million bags, the lowest since January 2024, tightening immediately deliverable supplies.
  • ICE margin requirements for Coffee “C” futures surged from $5,685 to over $21,000 in early July, reducing liquidity and amplifying volatility.
  • El Niño probability reached 97% through early spring 2027, with 81% chance of a very strong event, heightening supply concerns.
  • Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest was only 64% complete by July 15, below the 5‑year average of 70%, due to wet conditions.
  • Global green bean exports rose 0.8% to 10.48 million bags in June, driven by Brazilian Naturals (+7.1%).

The ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged 287.26 US cents per pound in July 2026. This was a 15.4% increase from June 2026, the largest monthly gain since 2021.

Arabica prices rose faster than Robusta prices. The Colombian Milds increased 18.1% to 383.39 US cents/lb. The Brazilian Naturals rose 17.9% to 320.69 US cents/lb. The Other Milds increased 16.5% to 358.65 US cents/lb. Robustas rose 9.1% to 184.78 US cents/lb.

The widening price gap was reflected in higher differentials. The arbitrage between New York and London futures markets expanded by 36.4% to 137.61 US cents/lb.

Volatility also rose sharply. On July 6, the I-CIP rose 8.2% in a single day. On July 9, it rose another 9.3%. Together, these were the largest daily increases observed in 21 years.

Several factors contributed to the price surge. Weather-related concerns in Brazil, a strengthening El Niño outlook, and tightening Arabica supplies all played a role. US certified Arabica stocks fell 30% to 0.29 million bags, the lowest level since January 2024.

ICE Margin Requirements and Market Liquidity

In response to heightened market risk, ICE Futures U.S. increased margin requirements for Coffee “C” futures multiple times in early July. The margin rate for the September 2026 contract rose from $5,685 before July to $14,715 on July 6, and then to $21,116 on July 9.

It was subsequently reduced to $14,606 on July 24. However, it remained well above its pre-July level. These adjustments affected financing requirements, market participation, and liquidity.

Higher margins require participants to provide more collateral. This reduces leverage and may discourage highly leveraged positions. It also strengthens protection against losses if a participant defaults.

However, it may also force positions to be closed. This reduces liquidity and can temporarily amplify price movements. The sharp price increases on July 6 and 9 may have been amplified by these liquidity effects.

Systematic and momentum-driven buying also played a role. Short covering, fueled by concerns over declining ICE-certified stocks, reinforced the upward price pressure. Thin liquidity made the market more susceptible to sharp movements.

Weather and El Niño Concerns

Weather factors were a key driver of July’s price movements. Unusually wet conditions in parts of Brazil disrupted harvesting and drying operations. This raised concerns about coffee quality.

On July 17, Safras & Mercado reported that Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee harvest was only 64% complete as of July 15. This compared to 77% a year earlier and a five-year average of 70%.

Wet conditions also caused uneven maturation. Multiple flowering cycles led to cherries at different stages of ripeness. This required more selective picking and sorting, making harvesting slower and more costly.

Meanwhile, the El Niño outlook strengthened significantly. On July 9, the US Climate Prediction Center reported a 97% probability that El Niño would persist through early spring 2027.

There was also an 81% probability of a very strong event during October-December 2026. This could rank among the most intense El Niño events recorded since 1950.

This outlook pointed to increased risks of regional rainfall and temperature anomalies. These could affect coffee production in Asia and South America in late 2026 and 2027.

Certified Stocks and Supply Tightness

London certified Robusta stocks rose 2.5% to 0.69 million bags in July. In contrast, US certified Arabica stocks fell 30% to 0.29 million bags. This was their lowest level since January 2024.

This divergence indicated significantly tighter immediately deliverable supplies of Arabica. This supported higher Arabica prices relative to Robusta. It also contributed to the widening differentials between the two markets.

Combined ICE-certified stocks fell to 0.98 million bags on July 31. This decline signaled limited buffers against unforeseen supply disruptions. It amplified the market’s response to weather and El Niño concerns.

Table 1: ICO Indicator Prices and Futures (US cents/lb)

Indicator June 2026 July 2026 Change
ICO Composite 248.90 287.26 +15.4%
Colombian Milds 324.60 383.39 +18.1%
Other Milds 307.83 358.65 +16.5%
Brazilian Naturals 272.01 320.69 +17.9%
Robustas 169.39 184.78 +9.1%
New York ICE (Arabica) 256.75 310.34 +20.9%
London ICE (Robusta) 155.90 172.73 +10.8%

Green Bean Exports: Mixed Performance by Group

Global green bean exports totaled 10.48 million bags in June 2026. This was a 0.8% increase compared to 10.4 million bags in June 2025.

Brazilian Naturals exports rose 7.1% to 2.76 million bags. This was the first month of positive growth after 15 consecutive months of decline. The increase was driven by Brazil, where exports rose from 1.82 million to 2.01 million bags.

Colombian Milds exports increased 1.2% to 1.09 million bags. This was the group’s first positive growth in the current coffee year. Kenya was the main driver, with exports rising 39.2% to 0.11 million bags.

Other Milds exports fell 1.3% to 2.66 million bags. Nicaragua and Mexico were the main drivers of the decline, with combined exports falling 42.9% to 0.34 million bags.

Robusta exports fell 2.1% to 3.97 million bags. This was only the second instance of negative growth in the first nine months of the coffee year. Indonesia and Uganda drove the decline, with combined exports falling 36.1% to 0.98 million bags.

Total Arabica exports rose 2.5% to 6.51 million bags. However, the Arabicas’ share of cumulative green bean exports fell to 60.4% from 63.7% a year earlier.

Table 2: Green Bean Exports by Group (million 60‑kg bags)

Coffee Group June 2025 June 2026 Change
Robustas 4.05 3.97 -2.1%
Colombian Milds 1.08 1.09 +1.2%
Other Milds 2.70 2.66 -1.3%
Brazilian Naturals 2.57 2.76 +7.1%

Exports by Region: South America Leads

Global exports of all forms of coffee rose 0.3% to 11.88 million bags in June 2026. Exports declined in three of the four regions. South America recorded the only increase.

South America’s exports rose 17.3% to 4.8 million bags. Brazil led the increase, with exports up 17.4% to 3.09 million bags. Peru also contributed, with exports rising 50% to 0.49 million bags.

Asia & Oceania exports fell 2.4% to 3.63 million bags. Indonesia led the decline, with exports falling 33.3% to 0.58 million bags. However, India and Vietnam partly offset this with increases of 14.6% and 6.1% respectively.

Africa’s exports fell 13.5% to 1.79 million bags. Uganda was the main driver, with exports falling 30.6% to an estimated 0.7 million bags.

The Caribbean, Mexico & Central America fell 15.3% to 1.66 million bags. Mexico and Nicaragua drove the decline, with combined exports falling 44% to 0.41 million bags.

Soluble coffee exports fell 1.3% to 1.35 million bags. Roasted bean exports fell 32.3% to 0.05 million bags.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the ICO composite price in July 2026?

The I-CIP averaged 287.26 US cents/lb in July 2026, a 15.4% increase from June 2026, the largest monthly gain since 2021.

What caused the record daily price gains in July?

On July 6 and 9, the I-CIP rose 8.2% and 9.3% respectively, marking the largest daily increases in 21 years. This was driven by El Niño fears, falling stocks, wet weather in Brazil, and ICE margin hikes affecting liquidity.

How did ICE margin requirements affect the market?

ICE raised margin requirements for Coffee “C” futures from $5,685 to over $21,000 in early July. This reduced liquidity, forced position closures, and amplified price volatility.

What happened to certified coffee stocks in July?

US certified Arabica stocks fell 30% to 0.29 million bags, the lowest since January 2024. London Robusta stocks rose slightly to 0.69 million bags. The divergence tightened Arabica supplies.

What is the El Niño outlook?

There is a 97% probability of El Niño persisting through early spring 2027, with 81% chance of a very strong event during October-December 2026, potentially one of the most intense on record.

How is Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest progressing?

As of July 15, the harvest was only 64% complete, compared to 77% a year earlier and a five-year average of 70%, due to wet conditions that slowed harvesting and drying.

Author: Qahwa World – London | Source: International Coffee Organization – Coffee Market Report, July 2026 | Date: August 2026

ICO and FAO Renew Commitment to Sustainable Coffee Sector

Posted on by Qahwa World

Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO)
Author: Qahwa World Editorial Team
Date: July 22, 2026

ICO and FAO Renew Commitment to Sustainable Coffee Sector

  • ICO and FAO signed a new Memorandum of Understanding reaffirming their commitment to coffee sector sustainability.
  • The renewed partnership builds on years of successful collaboration between the two organizations.
  • Key areas include sustainable production, climate resilience, market transparency, and inclusive value chains.
  • The agreement also covers innovation, digital technologies, and knowledge exchange.
  • A special focus will be on empowering coffee-growing communities and smallholder farmers.
  • Both organizations aim to build a more inclusive and resilient coffee sector for future generations.

The International Coffee Organization and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations have renewed their commitment to a more sustainable coffee sector. Executive Director of ICO and FAO Director-General QU Dongyu signed a new Memorandum of Understanding today.

The agreement reaffirms their shared commitment to supporting the sustainable development of the global coffee sector. It builds on years of successful collaboration between the two organizations.

Key Areas of Cooperation

The renewed partnership will strengthen cooperation in several key areas. These include sustainable coffee production and sourcing. Climate resilience and adaptation are also priorities. Market transparency and access to information will be enhanced.

Other areas include inclusive and sustainable value chains. Innovation and digital technologies will play a crucial role. Knowledge exchange between stakeholders is another focus. The agreement also emphasizes empowering coffee-growing communities. Special attention will be given to smallholder and family farmers.

ICO-FAO Renewed Partnership – Key Cooperation Areas
Area Focus
Sustainable Production Sustainable coffee production and sourcing
Climate Action Climate resilience and adaptation
Market Transparency Market transparency and access to information
Value Chains Inclusive and sustainable value chains
Innovation Innovation, digital technologies and knowledge exchange
Community Empowerment Empowering coffee-growing communities, particularly smallholder farmers

The Importance of Coffee

Coffee supports the livelihoods of millions of people worldwide. It plays a vital role in advancing sustainable development. The sector faces numerous challenges. These include climate change, market volatility, and social inequality.

Through this renewed framework, ICO and FAO will continue working together. Their goal is to ensure the coffee sector becomes more inclusive and resilient. They aim to prepare it for the challenges of the future. The partnership will benefit producers, consumers, and future generations.

About ICO and FAO

The International Coffee Organization is the only intergovernmental organization dedicated to coffee. It enhances the sustainability of the coffee sector for both exporting and importing countries. The ICO provides official statistics and facilitates technical cooperation projects.

The Food and Agriculture Organization is a specialized agency of the United Nations. It leads international efforts to defeat hunger. FAO supports sustainable agriculture and rural development. Together, ICO and FAO bring complementary expertise to the coffee sector.

“A renewed commitment to a more sustainable and resilient coffee sector.”

— International Coffee Organization

Future Outlook

The renewed partnership signals a strong commitment to coffee sustainability. Both organizations look forward to building an even stronger partnership. The focus remains on practical outcomes for coffee producers and communities. Innovation and knowledge sharing will drive progress.

Together, ICO and FAO aim to create lasting positive change. The goal is a coffee sector that is inclusive, resilient, and prepared for future challenges. Producers, consumers, and future generations will all benefit from this collaboration.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did ICO and FAO announce?ICO and FAO signed a new Memorandum of Understanding renewing their commitment to a sustainable coffee sector.

What are the key areas of cooperation?Key areas include sustainable production, climate resilience, market transparency, inclusive value chains, innovation, and empowering smallholder farmers.

Why is this partnership important?The partnership combines the expertise of two major organizations to address challenges facing the global coffee sector.

How does coffee support sustainable development?Coffee supports the livelihoods of millions worldwide and plays a vital role in advancing sustainable development goals.

Who will benefit from this agreement?Coffee producers, consumers, and future generations will benefit from a more inclusive and resilient coffee sector.

What is the role of ICO?ICO is the only intergovernmental organization dedicated to coffee, providing statistics and facilitating technical cooperation.

Author: Qahwa World Editorial Team (based on ICO press release)
Source: International Coffee Organization
Publication Date: July 22, 2026

Global Leaders Unite to Advance Coffee Education

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Source: Fondazione Ernesto Illy ETS / UNIDO / SCA / ICO
Author: Editorial Team
Date: July 15, 2026

Global Leaders Unite to Advance Coffee Education

  • Global coffee leaders convened at World of Coffee Brussels for a landmark panel discussion on education.
  • The event celebrated 15 years of the Master in Coffee Economics and Science – Ernesto Illy.
  • The Ernesto Illy Master Alumni Community was officially launched as a global professional network.
  • Panelists explored collaborative frameworks for workforce development in African producing countries.
  • UNIDO’s ACT Coffee Programme and Coffee Training Centres were highlighted as key capacity-building platforms.
  • Ethiopia’s Coffee Training Centre has already certified hundreds of professionals across Africa.
  • Speakers emphasized education as the most sustainable investment in coffee’s future.

Global leaders in coffee, education, and international development convened at World of Coffee Brussels 2026. The event featured a landmark panel discussion on education’s role in shaping the coffee sector’s future. Organized by Fondazione Ernesto Illy ETS, UNIDO, SCA, and ICO, the event marked 15 years of the Master in Coffee Economics and Science.

The panels celebrated the program’s legacy and launched its Alumni Community. Participants also explored collaborative frameworks for workforce development in African producing countries. The message was clear: education is the most sustainable investment in coffee’s future.

Panel I: 15 Years of the Ernesto Illy Master

The first session celebrated 15 editions of the Master in Coffee Economics and Science. It is the only international first-level Master’s programme taught in English. The panel featured founding faculty members, industry partners, and alumni from Costa Rica and Ethiopia.

Speakers included Anna Illy, Sunalini Menon, Eliana Cossio, Daniel Sanchez, and Addisu Dulacha Gobana. The session culminated in the official launch of the Ernesto Illy Master Alumni Community. This global professional network extends the programme’s impact beyond the classroom.

Panel I Speakers – 15 Years of the Ernesto Illy Master
Speaker Affiliation
Anna Illy Chair, Fondazione Ernesto Illy ETS
Sunalini Menon President, CoffeeLab Limited
Eliana Cossio Chief Research Officer, SCA
Daniel Sanchez Alumni 2018, Costa Rica
Addisu Dulacha Gobana Alumni 2019, Ethiopia

“The Master in Coffee Economics and Science – Ernesto Illy was born from a bold vision: to recognize coffee not just as a product, but as a field of knowledge bringing together science, economics, culture, and sustainability in a truly multidisciplinary and international dialogue. Fifteen editions later, it has grown into much more than an academic program: it is a global community of 300 passionate professionals who share a deeper understanding of coffee from plant to cup. With the launch of the Ernesto Illy Master Alumni Community, this shared knowledge becomes an even stronger force: connecting people, inspiring ideas and shaping the future of coffee.”

— Anna Illy, Chair, Fondazione Ernesto Illy ETS

Panel II: Innovation for Capacity Building

The second session examined how international organisations, governments, and the private sector can strengthen human capital. Focus areas included UNIDO/ACT Programme Coffee Training Centres. These are skills platforms across East African countries. The panel also discussed SCA Coffee Education Systems and new collaboration models for Africa.

Ethiopia’s Coffee Training Centre experience was presented by Dr. Adugna Debela, Director General of ECTA. Speakers included Vanusia Nogueira, Iannis Apostolopoulos, Providence Mavubi, Stijn De Lameilliere, and Wouter Cools.

Panel II Speakers – Innovation for Capacity Building
Speaker Affiliation
Vanusia Nogueira Executive Director, ICO
Iannis Apostolopoulos CEO, Specialty Coffee Association
Providence Mavubi Director, Agribusiness, UNIDO
Dr. Adugna Debela Director General, ECTA
Stijn De Lameilliere GPE/WB
Wouter Cools ILO

Shared Conviction: Skills Advancement is Key

Across both panels, a shared conviction emerged. Sustainable transformation requires investing in the enabling environment for skills advancement. This includes robust institutions and accessible training pathways. Internationally recognised certification frameworks are also essential. They allow local professionals to compete, innovate, and lead.

Coffee Training Centres play a crucial role. They equip local actors with technical skills. They link them to advanced training opportunities. This lays the foundation for inclusive value chain participation. It also increases local value addition.

Leadership Perspectives

“For decades, the ICO has recognized that education, skill development, and the transfer of innovation and technology are essential to building a more resilient, sustainable, and prosperous coffee sector. Partnerships are the catalyst for this change, connecting local talent with global expertise, strong institutions, and internationally recognized training and certification pathways. Together, we can transform capacity building into lasting economic and social progress for coffee-producing countries.”

— Vanusia Nogueira, Executive Director, ICO

“Education is not merely a tool for knowledge transfer – it is a foundational investment in the long-term resilience and inclusiveness of the coffee sector. Through its ACT Coffee Programme, UNIDO is committed to building the enabling environment in which skills advancement can take root and thrive. Coffee Training Centres across Africa are proof that when we invest in people, we invest in the entire value chain.”

— Providence Mavubi, Director, Agribusiness and Infrastructure Development, UNIDO

“The Ethiopia Coffee Training Centre demonstrates what becomes possible when local expertise meets international standards. Our producers and professionals are not only learning – they are leading.”

— Dr. Adugna Debela, Director General, ECTA

“Building a more equitable coffee sector begins with creating more access for the people within our industry. SCA is proud to be part of a growing ecosystem of organizations that recognize education as the foundation of a resilient, inclusive value chain. When local professionals have access to internationally recognized pathways, everyone in coffee benefits.”

— Yannis Apostolopoulos, CEO, SCA

Spotlight: Ethiopia’s Coffee Training Centre

The Ethiopian Coffee and Tea Authority hosts the Coffee Training Centre within its premises in Addis Ababa. It was established with AICS funding and UNIDO technical support. Partners include Illycaffè and the Ernesto Illy Foundation.

The centre is equipped with roasting, brewing, and sensory laboratories. It delivers internationally standardized training across the post-harvest coffee value chain. The centre has already certified hundreds of professionals from across Africa.

About the Organizations

Fondazione Ernesto Illy ETS was established to preserve and promote the legacy of Ernesto Illy. It focuses on scientific research, education, and sustainability projects for coffee value chains. The Foundation’s core value is Ethics.

UNIDO is the UN’s specialized agency for inclusive and sustainable industrial development. It supports sustainable supply chains and strengthens agribusinesses. Its ACT Coffee Programme enhances climate resilience and local value addition in Africa.

The International Coffee Organization is the only intergovernmental organization dedicated to coffee sector sustainability. It provides official statistics and facilitates technical cooperation projects.

The Specialty Coffee Association is the global stage for specialty coffee. It brings together diverse voices across the value chain to spark dialogue and fuel innovation.

Frequently Asked Questions

What event took place at World of Coffee Brussels?Global coffee leaders convened for a panel discussion on education, celebrating 15 years of the Master in Coffee Economics and Science and launching its Alumni Community.

What is the Ernesto Illy Master program?It is the only international first-level Master’s programme in Coffee Economics and Science taught in English. It brings together science, economics, culture, and sustainability.

What is the Ernesto Illy Master Alumni Community?It is a global professional network and digital platform launched to extend the programme’s impact beyond the classroom, connecting 300 professionals worldwide.

What are Coffee Training Centres?They are skills platforms across East African countries supported by UNIDO’s ACT Coffee Programme, providing internationally standardized training.

What is the Ethiopia Coffee Training Centre?It is a training centre in Addis Ababa equipped with roasting, brewing, and sensory laboratories, delivering standardized training across the coffee value chain.

How many professionals has the Ethiopia CTC trained?The centre has already certified hundreds of professionals from across Africa since its establishment.

Author: Editorial Team (based on Fondazione Ernesto Illy ETS announcement)
Source: Fondazione Ernesto Illy ETS / UNIDO / SCA / ICO
Publication Date: July 15, 2026

ICO Coffee Market Report June 2026: Prices Rebound on El Niño Fears

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Author: Qahwa World – London
Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO) – Coffee Market Report, June 2026
Date: July 2026

ICO Coffee Market Report June 2026: Prices Rebound on El Niño Fears

Executive Summary

  • The ICO Composite Indicator Price (I‑CIP) averaged 248.90 US cents/lb in June 2026, down 2.8% from May. However, prices rebounded sharply by 17.4% from a two-year low on June 9 to a two-month high at month-end.
  • Super El Niño fears (67% confidence) and excessive rainfall in Brazil (1,956% above average in Minas Gerais) slowed the harvest and raised quality concerns, reversing the downward trend.
  • Robusta prices rose 1.7% to 169.39 US cents/lb, while Brazilian Naturals fell 7.4% to 272.01 US cents/lb.
  • US certified Arabica stocks fell 13.3% to 0.41 million bags, the lowest since February 2024. London Robusta stocks rose 4.8% to 0.68 million bags.
  • Global green bean exports fell 4.1% to 10.8 million bags in May 2026, driven by a 17.2% drop in Brazilian Naturals. Robusta exports rose 4.8%.
  • The Strait of Hormuz closure added 10-14 days to shipping routes, raising fuel costs 68% and fertilizer prices 25%.
  • The USDA forecast a record Brazilian 2026/27 crop at 71.9 million bags (+14%), while Rabobank raised its global Arabica surplus estimate by 35.7%.

The ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged 248.90 US cents per pound in June 2026. This was a 2.8% decrease from May 2026.

Prices continued their downward trend in early June. They fell to 231.96 US cents/lb on June 9, the lowest level in nearly two years. However, prices then rebounded sharply by 17.4%.

They reached a two-month high of 272.39 US cents/lb at the end of the month. Weather emerged as the principal driver of coffee price dynamics in June.

The Colombian Milds and Robustas recorded modest gains. The Colombian Milds rose 0.4% to 324.60 US cents/lb. Robustas increased 1.7% to 169.39 US cents/lb.

In contrast, the Other Milds declined 2.4% to 307.83 US cents/lb. The Brazilian Naturals fell 7.4% to 272.01 US cents/lb. London Robusta stocks rose 4.8% to 0.68 million bags.

US certified Arabica stocks fell 13.3% to 0.41 million bags. This was the lowest level since February 2024. The market became increasingly nervous as inventories tightened.

Super El Niño Fears Drive Rebound

Market sentiment shifted abruptly in June. Growing confidence that El Niño would develop into a Super El Niño halted the downward price movement on June 9.

The Japan Meteorological Agency and NOAA released reports on June 10 and 11. They indicated 67% confidence in a Super El Niño event, the highest confidence level on record.

These forecasts raised concerns about the potential impact on the 2026/27 coffee harvest. The effects vary across regions and seasons.

Reduced rainfall is expected in the Caribbean, Central America, and Mexico. Raised temperatures and reduced rainfall are forecast for northern Brazil and parts of South America.

Increased rainfall is expected in southern Brazil and Bolivia. More erratic rainfall and flooding are forecast for East Africa. Drought conditions are expected in Southeast Asia.

On June 17 and 24, Safras & Mercado reported that Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee harvest was progressing slowly. The harvest reached 39% and 44% completion, respectively.

The delay was concentrated in Arabica areas. Excess rainfall disrupted harvesting and drying operations, particularly in Minas Gerais. The 44% completion figure on June 24 was below the 51% recorded a year earlier and the five-year average of 47%.

On June 29, Somar Meteorologia measured 31.3 mm of rainfall in Minas Gerais. This was equivalent to 1,956% of the historical average for the period. The unusually high precipitation occurred during the normally dry season. It delayed harvesting and drying operations and raised concerns over bean quality.

Strait of Hormuz Disruptions Add Supply Pressure

The Strait of Hormuz was effectively closed from February 28. This forced Asia-Europe shipping routes to divert via the Cape of Good Hope. Transit times increased by 10 to 14 days.

Bunker fuel prices were up 68% from mid-to-late February. Container spot rates roughly doubled. Fertilizer prices increased 25%.

A gradual reopening occurred on June 22-23 following the U.S.-Iran agreement on June 17. This pushed Robusta prices to a one-week low. However, attacks on the Ever Lovely on June 25 and the Kiku on June 27 renewed geopolitical tensions within days. The associated premiums returned quickly.

Combined ICE-certified stocks fell to 1.09 million bags on June 30. This was the lowest level since February 2024. The decline signaled tighter availability of deliverable stocks. The market was left with limited buffers against unforeseen supply disruptions.

Supply Fundamentals and Bearish Factors

On June 1, the USDA forecast Brazil’s 2026/27 crop at a record level. The forecast was 14% above the previous season. Rabobank raised its 2026/27 global Arabica surplus estimate by 35.7%.

These forecasts reinforced previous positive reports. CONAB’s official second survey projected Brazil’s total crop at 66.7 million bags. Safras & Mercado projected a total crop increase of 13.4%.

In late May, the USDA revised its estimate of Vietnam’s 2025/26 output upwards to 31.7 million bags. It forecast production at 32.5 million bags for 2026/27. The dollar index stood at 101.6 during the week of June 22. This was close to a 15-month high, creating a headwind for coffee prices.

The arbitrage between the London and New York futures markets contracted by 13.3% to 100.86 US cents/lb in June 2026. Intra-day volatility of the I-CIP decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 8.6%.

Exports: Arabica Declines, Robusta Gains

Global green bean exports totalled 10.8 million bags in May 2026. This was a 4.1% decline compared to 11.26 million bags in May 2025. All coffee groups recorded declines except Robustas.

Robusta exports were up 4.8% to 4.34 million bags. This was driven mainly by Brazil, where exports surged by 195.6% to 0.61 million bags. The sharp rise reflects differences in harvest timing between the current and previous Robusta harvests.

Colombian Milds exports fell by 1.7% to 0.98 million bags. This marked the seventh consecutive month of negative growth. Other Milds shipments fell by 2.8% to 2.75 million bags. This was the first negative growth observed in coffee year 2025/26.

Brazilian Naturals exports fell by 17.2% to 2.73 million bags. This marked the 15th consecutive month of negative growth. The declines were primarily driven by Brazil and Ethiopia.

Total Arabica exports decreased to 6.46 million bags in May 2026. This was a 9.3% drop from 7.12 million bags in May 2025. As a result, Arabica’s share of total green bean exports fell to 60.2% from 64.0% a year earlier.

Table 1: Green Bean Exports by Coffee Group (million 60‑kg bags)

Coffee Group May 2025 May 2026 Change
Robustas 4.14 4.34 +4.8%
Colombian Milds 0.99 0.98 -1.7%
Other Milds 2.82 2.75 -2.8%
Brazilian Naturals 3.30 2.73 -17.2%

Exports by Region: Mixed Performance

Global exports of all forms of coffee decreased by 3.2% to 12.38 million bags in May 2026. The dynamics across the four regions were mixed.

Exports from Asia & Oceania were up 0.4% to 4.32 million bags. India led the growth with exports increasing 33.7% to 0.74 million bags. However, this was largely offset by decreases in Indonesia and Vietnam.

Africa’s exports decreased by 24.1% to 1.63 million bags. The contraction was driven largely by Ethiopia and Uganda. Their combined exports fell to an estimated 1.31 million bags from 1.77 million bags in May 2025.

South America’s exports increased by 4.3% to 4.29 million bags. This was the first monthly increase in 18 months. The upturn was driven mainly by Brazil, whose exports were up 4.3%.

The Caribbean, Mexico & Central America decreased by 3.8% to 2.14 million bags. This was the first negative growth in coffee year 2025/26, driven mainly by Nicaragua.

Soluble coffee exports increased by 3.6% to 1.51 million bags. Vietnam, Brazil, and India were the largest exporters. Roasted bean exports were up 10.8% to 0.07 million bags.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the ICO composite price in June 2026?

The I-CIP averaged 248.90 US cents/lb in June 2026, a 2.8% decrease from May. However, prices rebounded sharply from a two-year low on June 9 to a two-month high by month-end.

What caused the price rebound in June?

Super El Niño fears (67% confidence) and excessive rainfall in Brazil (1,956% above average in Minas Gerais) slowed the harvest and raised quality concerns, reversing the downward trend.

How did coffee stocks perform in June?

US certified Arabica stocks fell 13.3% to 0.41 million bags, the lowest since February 2024. London Robusta stocks rose 4.8% to 0.68 million bags. Combined ICE-certified stocks fell to 1.09 million bags.

How did the Strait of Hormuz closure affect coffee prices?

The closure added 10-14 days to shipping routes, raising bunker fuel costs 68%, container spot rates by about 100%, and fertilizer prices 25%.

What were the export trends in May 2026?

Global green bean exports fell 4.1% to 10.8 million bags. Robusta exports rose 4.8%, while Brazilian Naturals fell 17.2%. Total Arabica exports were down 9.3%.

What was Brazil’s harvest outlook in June?

The USDA forecast a record 2026/27 Brazilian crop at 71.9 million bags (+14%). However, excessive rainfall in June slowed harvesting, with only 44% completed by June 24, below the five-year average of 47%.

Author: Qahwa World – London | Source: International Coffee Organization – Coffee Market Report, June 2026 | Date: July 2026

International Coffee Organization Releases Coffee Market Report for May 2026

Posted on by Qahwa World

Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO) – May 2026 Report |
Author: Qahwa World |
Date: June 13, 2026

International Coffee Organization Releases Coffee Market Report for May 2026

Key Takeaways:

  • The ICO Composite Indicator Price (I‑CIP) averaged 256.05 US cents/lb in May 2026, down 3.8% from April.
  • Brazilian Naturals fell 6.4% to 293.73 US cents/lb, while Robustas rose 1.1% to 166.51 US cents/lb.
  • ICE‑certified Arabica stocks fell 13.5% to 0.48 million bags – a multi‑month low.
  • CONAB raised its Brazil 2026/27 production forecast to a record 66.7 million bags, with Arabica up 28% y/y.
  • Global green bean exports declined 1.9% in April 2026 to 10.51 million bags, while Robusta exports rose 11.2%.
  • Vietnam’s April 2026 exports jumped 12.1% to 3.41 million bags – the country’s largest April volume on record.
  • The New York–London futures arbitrage narrowed 13.1% to 116.39 US cents/lb, reflecting improved Brazil arabica prospects.

The International Coffee Organization (ICO) published its monthly coffee market report for May 2026, showing a continued downward drift in prices as expectations of ample supply strengthened. The ICO Composite Indicator Price (I‑CIP) averaged 256.05 US cents/lb in May 2026, a 3.8% decrease from April 2026. The market continued to react to an improved supply outlook, reinforced by CONAB’s reaffirmation of a record outlook for Brazil’s production in crop year 2026/27.

Despite the decline, prices remain relatively elevated by historical standards. The drop reflects growing market expectations of a possible global surplus in coffee year 2026/27, combined with harvest pressure from Brazil and persistent backwardation in financial markets.

Group Indicator Performance: Arabicas Decline, Robustas Edge Up

Colombian Milds averaged 323.45 US cents/lb in May 2026, down 3.3% from April. Other Milds fell 4.8% to 315.42 US cents/lb. Brazilian Naturals dropped 6.4% to 293.73 US cents/lb – the steepest decline among the groups. In contrast, Robustas rose 1.1% to 166.51 US cents/lb.

On the futures markets, New York arabica futures fell 5.8% to 268.18 US cents/lb, while London robusta futures gained 0.8% to 151.79 US cents/lb. The arbitrage between the two futures markets contracted by 13.1% to 116.39 US cents/lb, highlighting in particular the improving prospects for arabica production in Brazil.

Group May 2026 (US cents/lb) Change vs April
ICO Composite 256.05 -3.8%
Colombian Milds 323.45 -3.3%
Other Milds 315.42 -4.8%
Brazilian Naturals 293.73 -6.4%
Robustas 166.51 +1.1%

Certified Stocks at Multi‑Month Lows

ICE‑certified robusta stocks fell 0.1% from April to May 2026, closing the month at 0.64 million bags. US‑certified arabica stocks also declined, dropping 13.5% to 0.48 million bags – the lowest level in months. The continued drawdown in certified stocks suggests persistent market uncertainty, as nearby contract premiums are not yet high enough to incentivize deliveries into certified warehouses.

CONAB Forecast: Record Brazil 2026/27 Crop

In mid‑May, Brazil’s National Supply Company (CONAB) released its second crop survey. It raised the total 2026/27 production forecast by about 0.5 million bags to a record 66.7 million bags. Arabica production was increased by 1.67 million bags to 45.8 million bags (+28% y/y). Robusta production was cut by about 1.2 million bags to 20.9 million bags (still a +0.8% y/y increase). CONAB also reported a 3.9% increase in coffee area to 2.34 million hectares, with yields rising to 34.4 bags per hectare. However, CONAB noted that carry‑over stocks remain low and highlighted continued growth in global demand, which tempered some of the market’s bearish sentiment.

Green Bean Exports: Overall Decline, Robusta Growth

Total global green bean exports reached 10.51 million bags in April 2026, down 1.9% from 10.71 million bags in April 2025. All coffee groups recorded declines except Robustas. Details:

  • Colombian Milds: down 14.0% to 0.78 million bags.
  • Other Milds: down 1.1% to 2.31 million bags.
  • Brazilian Naturals: down 14.8% to 2.91 million bags.
  • Robustas: up 11.2% to 4.50 million bags.

As a result, the Arabicas’ share of total green bean exports for the first seven months of coffee year 2025/26 fell to 60.4%, down from 64.2% in the same period a year earlier.

Group April 2026 (million bags) Change vs April 2025
Colombian Milds 0.78 -14.0%
Other Milds 2.31 -1.1%
Brazilian Naturals 2.91 -14.8%
Robustas 4.50 +11.2%

Regional Performance: Asia & Oceania Lead Growth

Total exports of all forms of coffee (green, soluble, roasted) fell 0.9% to 12.05 million bags in April 2026 compared with 12.17 million bags in April 2025. Regional dynamics were mixed:

  • Asia & Oceania: Up 7.3% to 4.64 million bags, led by Vietnam. Vietnamese exports jumped 12.1% to 3.41 million bags – the country’s largest April export volume on record.
  • Africa: Down 22.1% to 1.54 million bags, driven by sharp declines in Ethiopia and Uganda.
  • South America: Down 1.2% to 3.99 million bags, with Colombia recording its fifth consecutive monthly decline.
  • Caribbean, Mexico & Central America: Up 3.3% to 1.88 million bags, led by Honduras (+23.0%).

Price Volatility and El Niño Risks

The intra‑day volatility of the I‑CIP averaged 8.8% in May 2026, down 0.2 percentage points from April. Volatility for Brazilian Naturals and Robustas also declined, while Colombian Milds volatility increased slightly. On the futures markets, New York arabica volatility stood at 10.2%, and London robusta volatility at 10.1%.

The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) estimates an 82% probability that El Niño conditions will emerge between May and July, with a 67% chance of a “Super El Niño”. Such a pattern could delay Brazil’s September‑October 2026 flowering rains, potentially damaging the 2026/27 crop. However, the impact of El Niño in Brazil is complex – it can be positive or negative depending on region, intensity, and timing.

Frequently Asked Questions About the ICO May 2026 Coffee Market Report

Q: What is the ICO Composite Indicator Price?

A: It is a weighted average of the four ICO group indicator prices (Colombian Milds, Other Milds, Brazilian Naturals, and Robustas).

Q: Why did arabica prices fall while robusta prices rose in May 2026?

A: Arabica fell due to record Brazil crop expectations, while robusta demand remained strong amid Red Sea shipping disruptions.

Q: What do falling certified stocks indicate?

A: They suggest that nearby contract premiums are not high enough to encourage deliveries into warehouses, reflecting persistent market uncertainty despite surplus expectations.

Q: How could El Niño affect coffee prices?

A: A “Super El Niño” could delay flowering rains in Brazil and damage next year’s crop, which would support higher prices. But the effect varies by region.

Q: What is the expected global coffee surplus for 2026/27?

A: CONAB’s record Brazil crop points to a significant surplus, but low carry‑over stocks and strong demand may limit its size.

The global coffee market remains caught between large surplus expectations on one hand, and low inventories, El Niño risks, and supply chain disruptions on the other. The ICO’s May 2026 report confirms that 2026 will be a pivotal year for the world’s coffee balance.

Prepared and edited by: Qahwa World – Based on the International Coffee Organization (ICO) market report for May 2026 (CMR-0526).

All rights reserved. Republication with attribution permitted.

Publication date: June 13, 2026

How the Blockage of the Strait of Hormuz Impacts the Coffee Sector

Posted on by Qahwa World
Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO)
Author: Coffee World – Dubai
Date: May 20, 2026

Executive Summary

  • Reduced shipping flows through the Strait of Hormuz since March threaten global coffee supply chains.
  • Brent crude prices jumped 63% from $72.29/barrel in February to $118.03/barrel in April.
  • Urea fertilizer prices rose 47% from $465.45/ton to $684.75/ton over the same period.
  • One-quarter to one-third of global fertilizer trade passes through the Strait, with Qatar supplying 14% of the world’s urea.
  • Fertilizer accounts for 23% of production costs in Brazil and 26% in Vietnam, hitting smallholders hard.
  • The Middle East imports 8.6 million bags of coffee annually (4.5% of global imports), making regional demand vulnerable to instability.

The Strait of Hormuz: A Global Oil Artery Under Pressure

The International Coffee Organization warns that geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could generate significant ripple effects across global commodity markets, and coffee is no exception. The Strait of Hormuz is one of the most critical chokepoints in global trade, with around one-fifth of the world’s oil supply passing through it. Since March, shipping flows through the strait have been reduced, triggering higher oil prices, increased fuel costs, and greater volatility in freight markets.

Brent crude prices increased from $72.29 per barrel on February 27 to a high of $118.03 per barrel on April 29 – a jump of more than 63%. This directly affects coffee transport costs, inland logistics, and fertilizer prices, all central elements of production and export economics.

Fertilizer: The Weak Link in the Chain

Fertilizers are essential for coffee production. Between one-quarter and one-third of the global fertilizer trade – and up to one-third of nitrogen fertilizers (urea) – transits through the Strait of Hormuz. The Gulf region is a major fertilizer producer, with the Qatar Fertiliser Company (QAFCO), considered the world’s largest urea supplier, alone providing 14% of global urea.

As a result, the price of urea fertilizer rose from $465.45 per ton to $684.75 per ton over the same period – a 47% increase. For coffee-producing countries like Brazil and Vietnam, fertilizers represent a large share of production costs: 23% in Brazil and 26% in Vietnam. Smallholders, who operate on thin margins, are the most vulnerable to these increases.

Indicator Feb 27, 2026 Apr 29, 2026 Increase
Brent Crude (USD/barrel) 72.29 118.03 63%
Urea Fertilizer (USD/ton) 465.45 684.75 47%

The Middle East: A Strategic Consumer Region Under Pressure

The Middle East has become an increasingly important coffee-consuming region, with strong demand growth across Gulf countries over the past two decades. In 2024, imports to the Middle East reached 8.6 million bags, representing 4.5% of total world imports. Any regional instability may affect import demand, port operations, and re-export hubs such as the United Arab Emirates, which plays a strategic role in regional distribution and specialty coffee trade.

According to the European Coffee Federation, tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, combined with ongoing instability in the Red Sea, are pushing shipping lines to use longer alternative routings via the Cape of Good Hope. This leads to extended transit times, tighter vessel capacity, higher fuel costs, and additional security-related surcharges – especially for Ethiopia, which uses the port of Djibouti near the conflict zone.

Coffee Futures Markets: Extreme Sensitivity

Coffee futures markets are highly sensitive to macroeconomic uncertainty. Heightened geopolitical risk tends to strengthen the US dollar while intensifying speculative movements across commodities. For producing countries, whose local currencies are closely linked to export revenues, exchange-rate volatility can create both opportunities and risks, influencing farmgate prices and export competitiveness.

At this stage, the ICO considers it premature to draw conclusions or project specific market outcomes. However, it identifies several indicators the sector should monitor closely in the coming months: energy prices, freight rates, fertilizer costs, trade insurance premiums, currency volatility, and shifts in demand in key importing markets.

Conclusion: A Global Coffee Sector at Risk

Coffee is a deeply globalized sector, and its resilience depends on stable trade systems and international cooperation. In times of geopolitical uncertainty, transparency, market intelligence, and coordinated dialogue become even more important. The ICO will continue to monitor developments and provide timely analysis to support producing and consuming countries in managing potential risks to the sector.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. How much have oil prices increased since the Strait of Hormuz crisis began?

Brent crude prices rose 63%, from $72.29 per barrel on February 27 to $118.03 per barrel on April 29, 2026.

2. How does the Strait crisis affect fertilizer prices?

Urea fertilizer prices increased 47% over the same period because one-quarter to one-third of global fertilizer trade passes through the strait.

3. What is the fertilizer cost share for Brazil and Vietnam?

Fertilizer accounts for about 23% of production costs in Brazil and 26% in Vietnam, making them highly vulnerable.

4. How much coffee does the Middle East import annually?

The Middle East imported 8.6 million bags in 2024, which is 4.5% of total global coffee imports.

5. What alternative shipping routes are being used?

Ships are taking the longer Cape of Good Hope route, increasing transit times, fuel costs, and congestion in Mediterranean ports.

6. Can the ICO predict precise market outcomes?

No. The ICO says it is premature to draw conclusions but urges monitoring of energy, freight, fertilizer, currency, and demand indicators.

Author: Coffee World – Dubai  |
Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO)  |
Publication date: May 20, 2026

International Coffee Organization Releases 2024/25 Annual Report

Posted on by Qahwa World

Author: Qahwa World – Dubai | Source: International Coffee Organization | Date: May 11, 2026The following article provides an overview of the International Coffee Organization annual report 2024 2025 and its key findings. Moreover, this analysis highlights the importance of the International Coffee Organization annual report 2024 2025 for industry professionals and stakeholders.

The International Coffee Organization has released its Annual Review for coffee year 2024/25, a comprehensive official document covering sector performance and institutional developments from October 2024 to September 2025. This Annual Review forms a core part of the International Coffee Organization annual report 2024 2025 series.

The report serves as the primary reference for policymakers, researchers, and coffee industry stakeholders, documenting key developments in the global coffee sector alongside the Organization achievements at both international and institutional levels.

annual-review-2024-2025-e.pdf – 22

Key Highlights from the Report

  • ICO composite indicator price rose 52 percent to 306.6 US cents per pound
  • Organization granted UN General Assembly observer status in December 2024
  • G7 recognized coffee as strategic sector for first time since 1970s
  • World coffee production estimated at 177.5 million bags, up 5.2 percent
  • Global consumption increased 1.4 percent to 175.1 million bags
  • ICO membership comprises 75 countries

Market Data

According to the report, the ICO composite indicator price averaged 306.6 US cents per pound during the coffee year, a 52 percent increase from the previous year. This average remains 118.3 percent higher than the ten-year average. Prices ranged between 250.5 and 354.4 US cents per pound during the period, as detailed in the International Coffee Organization annual report 2024 2025.

Brazilian Naturals saw the strongest growth among Arabica groups, rising 67 percent to 342.2 US cents per pound. Colombian Mids and Other Mids increased 57.9 percent and 58.9 percent respectively. The Robusta group indicator grew 29 percent to 225.7 US cents per pound.

World coffee production for 2024/25 is estimated at 177.5 million bags, up 5.2 percent. This comprises 102.1 million bags of Arabica and 75.4 million bags of Robusta. Global coffee consumption increased 1.4 percent to 175.1 million bags.

annual-review-2024-2025-e.pdf – 19

Institutional Achievements

In December 2024, the ICO was officially granted observer status in the UN General Assembly. Observer status recognizes the Organization relevance and enables it to contribute to international dialogue and policymaking while advocating for the global coffee sector at the highest level.

The G7 recognized coffee as a strategic sector during the Development Ministers Meeting in Pescara, Italy, in October 2024. This recognition will lead to the launch of a Global Coffee Fund aimed at leveraging blended finance solutions to catalyze private investments as outlined in the International Coffee Organization annual report 2024 2025.

Sustainability Initiatives

The Coffee Public-Private Task Force continued its work on living and prosperous income, developing a Process Guide to help Member countries understand coffee farmer incomes and implement collective action.

The Coffee Sustainability Support Database was relaunched in June 2025 with improved interface, currently tracking nearly 500 projects supporting coffee sustainability in areas including climate action, regenerative agriculture, and farmer prosperity.

annual-review-2024-2025-e.pdf – 19

2025/26 Priorities

The report identifies seven strategic priorities: strengthening governance, enhancing data transparency, promoting coffee as part of the solution to global challenges, advancing sustainability, scaling innovation, strengthening partnerships, and elevating coffee in global policy agendas including COP31.

ICO membership currently includes 75 countries, comprising 42 exporting members and 33 importing members. The Organization operates in four official languages: English, French, Spanish, and Portuguese.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the ICO Annual Report?
It is an official document published annually by the International Coffee Organization reviewing global coffee sector performance and institutional developments.

What period does the 2024/25 report cover?
It covers October 2024 to September 2025. The report was released in May 2026. For further context, refer to the International Coffee Organization annual report 2024 2025.

What was the average coffee price according to the report?
The ICO composite indicator averaged 306.6 US cents per pound, a 52 percent increase from the previous year.

What are the key institutional achievements documented?
UN General Assembly observer status and G7 recognition of coffee as a strategic sector.

How many countries are ICO members?
75 countries, including 42 exporting members and 33 importing members.

Author: Qahwa World – Dubai | Source: International Coffee Organization | Date: May 11, 2026

ICO and ITC Expand Training Programme to Strengthen Links Between Origin and Specialty Coffee Markets

Posted on by Qahwa World

Dubai – Qahwa World

The International Coffee Organization highlights a strategic direction focused on building stronger connections between origin and specialty markets, emphasizing that stronger links between origin and specialty markets mean stronger opportunities for coffee producers.

The organization expresses pride in its partnership with the International Trade Centre in supporting initiatives designed to bridge this gap, connect producers more directly with high value markets, promote value addition at origin, and strengthen knowledge across the coffee value chain. The shared objective is clearly defined as working towards a coffee sector that is more inclusive, transparent and sustainable for everyone.

This vision is further reflected in the initiative titled Bridging the gap between origin and specialty coffee markets, which brings together Ethiopia, Honduras and other producing countries through a structured training partnership.

The programme demonstrates how coffee producers and cooperatives are being guided to understand specialty markets, build skills to connect with the right buyers, and communicate their identity with confidence. The central idea is a shift in role, expressed in the objective to evolve from simply delivering their coffee to actively selling it.

The International Trade Centre has partnered with the Specialty Coffee Association and the International Coffee Organization to deliver a series of practical workshops under the banner Introduction to Specialty Coffee Markets. These workshops are implemented through ITC’s ACP Business-Friendly and CLEAR Supply Chains projects, and are designed to strengthen market readiness and commercial positioning for coffee producers across origin countries.

The training structure is consistent across sessions and focuses on three core areas. It begins with understanding what makes a coffee specialty and how farm level decisions shape quality. It continues with identifying the right market segment for a given coffee profile. It concludes with learning how to communicate effectively with buyers and telling the cooperative’s story in a way that resonates across cultures and commercial contexts.

The first edition took place on 3 February 2026 in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, bringing together 21 participants including cooperative representatives from Uganda. The session was delivered by Sara Yirga, a certified specialty coffee trainer and ITC consultant based in Ethiopia. A second edition followed on 19 March in San Pedro Sula, Honduras, with 32 participants consisting of 17 men and 15 women from cooperatives and producer organizations across the country, led by Andrés Montenegro, Specialty Coffee Association Sustainability Director. A third edition is planned ahead of World of Coffee Brussels which takes place on 24 June this year, with further editions planned across producing countries before year’s end.

The Honduras session brought together stakeholders from across the value chain including cooperatives, roasters and exporters. Participants described the training as a turning point in how they understand their position in the global specialty market. In Ethiopia, feedback highlighted immediate practical changes, including plans to approach different markets with greater specificity, tailor farm stories to buyer profiles, and engage more actively in the wider coffee world through events and social media.

  • Participant reflections illustrate the impact of the programme.

Karla María Cartagena from Cafico stated: “Participating in this workshop was a very enriching experience. It allowed us to strengthen our knowledge about specialty coffee markets and reaffirm the value of the work we do as an organization to position our coffee internationally.”

Orlin Alvarado from Proexo noted: “The training provided key tools for improving decision-making across the coffee value chain, from understanding intrinsic and extrinsic coffee attributes to learning how to strategically position our coffee in the specialty segment.”

Kristy Matamoros from Olanch Café said: “For Olanch Café, participating in this workshop reaffirms our commitment to excellence. A practical, dynamic, and enriching experience that broadened our strategic vision and motivates us to continue elevating our role within specialty coffee.”

Maira Lizzeth Gómez from COMIPRONIL Cooperative in Honduras shared: “It was our first time participating in a training on this topic. This learning motivates us to continue improving our processes and to identify new opportunities in the specialty coffee market. I am deeply grateful for these opportunities that strengthen our capabilities and contribute to the growth of our cooperative.”

From Ethiopia, Degaga Wakahum of Yedesta Buna Trading PLC said: “The introduction to the specialty marketing pilot programme was really good. It put everything in simple terms and made it easy to understand. Now I can easily compile information and put it in a way that the market can easily understand and aligned with the value attributes they want to focus on.”

Horom Teshome from Buunni Coffee added: “This training focused on three main areas: knowing the product, the market, and the right fit. It was a very insightful training. Especially for someone like me who’s very new to the coffee industry. It was practical, engaging, and experimental.”

The broader project framework is anchored in two major development initiatives. The ACP Business-Friendly Programme is funded by the European Union and the Organisation of African, Caribbean and Pacific States and jointly implemented by ITC’s Alliances for Action, the World Bank and UNIDO. It aims to improve the ability of agribusiness firms in ACP countries to compete, grow and prosper in domestic, regional, and international markets through inclusive and sustainable agricultural value chains that value all stakeholders from farm to shelf.

The CLEAR Supply Chains project, funded by the European Union, brings together the International Trade Centre, the International Labour Organization as the leading UN agency, the Food and Agricultural Organization, and the United Nations Children’s Fund. It focuses on addressing the root causes of child labour in supply chains, with a primary focus on coffee, while supporting farmer organizations, micro, small and medium enterprises, and value chain actors in strengthening commercial value, sustainability, Human Rights and Environmental Diligence alignment, and incomes for smallholder farmers in coffee producing countries including Uganda, Honduras, DRC and Vietnam.

Together, these efforts reflect a coordinated approach to strengthening origin capacity, improving market access, and building a more transparent and sustainable global coffee sector.