Kenya Launches National Coffee Flavor Map Project

Author: Qahwa World – Nairobi
Source: Kenya Coffee Flavor Map Press Release
Date: October 28, 2026

Kenya Launches National Coffee Flavor Map Project

Executive Summary

  • Kenya’s coffee producers, cooperatives, researchers, and sensory professionals are building a national coffee flavor atlas.
  • The project will analyze approximately 500 samples from 34 coffee-growing counties.
  • Organizers aim to recruit 300 Kenyan and international cuppers to participate.
  • The launch event takes place from November 14 to 16, 2026, at Shamba Events Centre in Loresho, Nairobi.
  • Professional blind sensory evaluations will be held on November 15 and 16.
  • The findings will be made freely available, with a full atlas planned for 2027.
  • Applications are free with no fixed deadline. The project is presented by the Government of Kenya, the Coffee Board of Kenya, and the FAO, in partnership with the Kenya Coffee Platform and UNIDO.

Kenya has launched an ambitious project to document the diverse flavors of its coffee. The Kenya Coffee Flavor Map brings together producers, cooperatives, researchers, and sensory professionals from across the country.

The initiative aims to build a national coffee flavor atlas. It will draw on approximately 500 samples collected from 34 coffee-growing counties. The project is recruiting both Kenyan and international cuppers to help with the analysis.

The goal is to bring together 300 participants. Together, they will document the relationships between flavor, regional origins, cultivated varieties, and production practices. The findings will be made freely available to the public.

Event Details and Program

The main gathering will take place from November 14 to 16, 2026, at the Shamba Events Centre in Loresho, Nairobi. Professional blind sensory evaluations will be held on November 15 and 16.

The Flavor Map is the central sensory project within the Kenya Coffee Flavor & Origin Expo. Across all three days, the Expo’s exhibition and trade area will feature stands for Kenyan producers, cooperatives, coffee brands, and local entrepreneurs. These stands will connect them with international buyers, roasters, equipment suppliers, and other industry partners.

Running alongside the Expo, Creative Coffee Week will add public cupping sessions, barista demonstrations, and cultural activities. Visitors will also have opportunities to explore Kenya’s coffee origins.

The Expo is presented by the Government of Kenya, the Coffee Board of Kenya, and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) in Kenya. Partners include the Kenya Coffee Platform and UNIDO. Sponsors and supporters include the Nairobi Coffee Exchange (NCE), Ecotact, Bideli Roasters, and Torch Coffee. Creative Coffee Events and Coffee Magazine are media and organizing partners.

On November 14, the Kenya Coffee Origin Conference will bring together academics, scientists, producers, baristas, roasters, and entrepreneurs. The educational program will connect the Flavor Map’s investigation of regional coffee identities with questions facing the entire value chain. Sessions will cover topics such as regenerative agriculture, women in coffee, and international marketing. Practical demonstrations will cover biochar and vermicomposting.

The welcome session and the Flavor Map introduction on November 14 are free to attend. Other sessions in the accompanying program are ticketed.

Table 1: Key Facts at a Glance

Item Detail
Event Dates November 14-16, 2026
Venue Shamba Events Centre, Loresho, Nairobi
Samples Approximately 500 from 34 counties
Target Cuppers 300 Kenyan and international participants
Evaluation Dates November 15-16, 2026
Atlas Publication Planned for 2027
Application Free, no fixed deadline

Methodology and the 2027 Atlas

Kenyan scientists, researchers, producers, and technical professionals will work alongside Kenyan and international cuppers. They will connect sensory observations with geographic, environmental, and production data.

Each coffee will be evaluated blind by multiple cuppers. Standardized preparation and blind evaluation will ensure consistency. The combined records will inform the atlas. Further methodological details are available in the official project handbook.

The resulting atlas, planned for publication in 2027, will combine regional profiles, visual maps, and a sensory database. The map and supporting information are intended to be freely available for download and use. This will support producers, cooperatives, buyers, roasters, researchers, educators, and consumers.

The atlas can also support marketing as a form of education. It will give producers, roasters, and cafes information to explain regional differences, production practices, and the people behind Kenyan coffee to buyers and consumers.

Marty Pollack, co-founder of Torch Coffee, explains the philosophy behind the project. “Kenyan professionals are the hosts,” he says. “International cuppers bring their own experience and have a chance to learn from the people who know these coffees at source. That is how new relationships start.”

Torch Coffee’s Kenyan operation is the project’s technical partner. The company has worked with Kenyan professionals and research institutions since 2023. It reports training more than 15,000 students across its international network.

The framework builds on four annual editions of Torch’s Yunnan Coffee Flavor Map in China, from 2021 to 2024. The 2023 edition brought together 760 Q Graders who profiled more than 23,000 cups. That project produced downloadable regional flavor maps, demonstrating how collective sensory evaluation can generate practical references for producers, buyers, and educators.

Kenya’s Growing Domestic Coffee Culture

Kenya’s commercial coffee industry grew under British colonial rule within an export-oriented production system. The Flavor Map builds on Kenyan research and regional knowledge to document a diversity of coffees beyond the country’s best-known origins.

The Ministry of Agriculture’s Coffee Development and Marketing Strategy 2024-2029 reports that about 95% of Kenyan coffee was exported in green form in 2020/21. Imported instant coffee has also been part of the domestic market.

Over the past decade, Kenyan roasters, cafe owners, trainers, and baristas have helped more people experience locally grown coffee at home. The Agriculture and Food Authority recorded an increase in coffee shops from 231 in 2019 to 791 in 2023.

“Our cafes are full of people who would have ordered tea ten years ago,” says Ritesh Doshi, owner and CEO of Nairobi-based Spring Valley Coffee. “When coffee is roasted, branded and served in Kenya, the jobs, the skills and the margin stay in Kenya.”

Edwin Wanjiru, a Kenyan coffee professional and Q Grader, adds: “Coffee is part of Kenya’s identity, rooted in our land, our people, and generations of hard work. That is changing as more Kenyans discover, prepare and share the coffees we grow.”

Call for Cuppers and Exhibitors

Professional cuppers are invited to apply free of charge through the official application form. Selection considers professional experience and geographic representation. Selected participants will join the sensory evaluations on November 15 and 16.

Applicants may qualify through recognized sensory or cupping credentials, national cupper certification, Cup of Excellence jury experience, or at least two years of hands-on professional cupping experience.

Exhibitors are also invited. Producers, cooperatives, coffee brands, equipment manufacturers, service providers, and international roasters can contact [email protected]. Priority is given to producer cooperatives, county-level grower groups, and smallholder organizations.

Visitors can contact the organizing team for information on public activities, conference access, and tickets. International participants should consult the Kenya Travel Brief for accommodation and transport information.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kenya Coffee Flavor Map?

It is a national project to document the diverse flavors of Kenyan coffee through sensory evaluation and data collection, creating a publicly available atlas.

When and where does the event take place?

November 14-16, 2026, at Shamba Events Centre, Loresho, Nairobi.

How many samples and cuppers are involved?

About 500 samples from 34 counties. Organizers aim to recruit 300 Kenyan and international cuppers.

Is there a cost to participate?

Applications for cuppers are free with no fixed deadline. The welcome session and Flavor Map introduction on November 14 are free to attend. Other sessions are ticketed.

When will the atlas be published?

The full atlas is planned for publication in 2027 and will be freely available.

Who is organizing the project?

The Expo is presented by the Government of Kenya, the Coffee Board of Kenya, and the FAO in Kenya, in partnership with the Kenya Coffee Platform and UNIDO. Torch Coffee is the technical partner.


Author: Qahwa World – Nairobi | Source: Kenya Coffee Flavor Map Press Release | Date: October 28, 2026

Coffee Prices Fall 8.7% as Brazil’s Record Crop Arrives

Author: Qahwa World – London
Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO) – Coffee Market Report, September 2026
Date: October 2026

Coffee Prices Fall 8.7% as Brazil’s Record Crop Arrives

Executive Summary

  • The ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged 262.18 US cents/lb in September 2026, down 8.7% from August.
  • All four ICO group indicators declined, with Brazilian Naturals falling the most at 9.9%.
  • Brazil’s record crop reaching the market increased availability and weighed on prices.
  • Low certified Arabica stocks and El Niño uncertainty provided some support but could not halt the decline.
  • Global green bean exports rose 15.6% to 10.94 million bags in August, driven by Robustas and Brazilian Naturals.
  • For the first time on record, the Arabica share of cumulative green bean exports fell below 60% for the first 11 months of a coffee year.
  • The ICO launched a new Coffee Market Intelligence Platform (data.ico.org) to make market data more accessible.

The ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged 262.18 US cents per pound in September 2026. This was an 8.7% decrease from August 2026.

Prices ranged between 248.44 and 279.85 US cents/lb. The month opened at its high and closed at 261.60 US cents/lb on September 30, which was 7.0% below the August close of 281.15.

The decline was broad-based. Every ICO group indicator fell by between 7.3% and 9.9%. The largest fall was in Brazilian Naturals, the group most directly exposed to Brazil’s harvest.

Increased availability from Brazil’s record crop and expectations of ample supply weighed on prices. Low certified Arabica stocks and uncertainty surrounding El Niño provided some support. However, these factors were not enough to reverse the downward trend.

Price Movements Across Groups

Brazilian Naturals prices fell 9.9% to 290.19 US cents/lb. Colombian Milds declined 8.1% to 356.15 US cents/lb. Other Milds dropped 8.8% to 329.44 US cents/lb.

Robustas declined 7.3% to 167.49 US cents/lb. On the futures markets, London ICE Robusta prices fell 8.0% to 154.28 US cents/lb. New York ICE Arabica prices dropped 10.4% to 280.68 US cents/lb.

The arbitrage between the London and New York futures markets narrowed 13.2% to 126.40 US cents/lb. Every Arabica-Robusta differential narrowed. This reflects the larger percentage declines in Arabica prices as Brazil’s much larger Arabica crop of 46.3 million bags reached the market.

Meanwhile, CONAB’s lower Robusta estimate and the early-month resilience of Robusta cushioned its prices. Brazil’s Robusta crop is estimated at a record 25.1 million bags, up 11.1%.

Volatility also declined. The I-CIP volatility was 10.0% in September, 3.7 percentage points below August’s 13.7%. New York and London futures volatility stood at 13.4% and 9.7% respectively.

Certified Stocks Rise Modestly

US certified Arabica stocks rose to 0.27 million bags at the end of September. This was up from 0.24 million bags at the end of August.

London certified Robusta stocks rose to a 10-month high of 0.87 million bags. This was up from 0.83 million bags at the end of August.

Despite these increases, Arabica stocks remain historically low. The modest recovery did not offset the broader bearish sentiment driven by Brazil’s record crop.

Exports: Strong August Growth

Global green bean exports totaled 10.94 million bags in August 2026. This was a 15.6% increase from 9.46 million bags in August 2025.

The August upturn was in sharp contrast to the usual seasonal decline between July and August. This helped explain the double-digit growth rate.

Robusta green bean exports increased 22.4% to 4.36 million bags. Brazilian Naturals rose 21.3% to 3.57 million bags. Other Milds increased 6.6% to 1.91 million bags.

Colombian Milds were the only group to record a decline. Exports fell 5.6% to 1.09 million bags. This marked the group’s 10th month of negative growth in the current coffee year.

Total Arabica exports increased to 6.58 million bags, up 11.6% from 5.89 million bags in August 2025. Despite this, the Arabica share of cumulative green bean exports fell to 59.6% from 63.5% a year earlier.

This marked the first time on record that the Arabica share fell below 60% for the volume shipped in the first 11 months of a coffee year.

Robusta’s share of world production is estimated to have risen to 43.1% of total output in 2025/26. This is up from an average of 41.7% in 2023/24 to 2024/25. This larger share and changing tastes among some coffee drinkers may help explain the shift in export composition.

Table 1: Green Bean Exports by Coffee Group (million 60 kg bags)

Coffee Group August 2025 August 2026 Change
Robustas 3.57 4.36 +22.4%
Brazilian Naturals 2.94 3.57 +21.3%
Other Milds 1.79 1.91 +6.6%
Colombian Milds 1.16 1.09 -5.6%

Exports by Region

Global exports of all forms of coffee rose 14.6% to 12.55 million bags in August 2026. This was up from 10.95 million bags in August 2025.

South America was the main driver of the August upturn. Exports rose 20.2% to 5.98 million bags. Brazil led with a 34.5% increase to 4.28 million bags. This was Brazil’s fifth consecutive month of positive growth.

Asia & Oceania exports rose 23.1% to 4.03 million bags. Vietnam led with a 48.0% increase to 2.24 million bags.

Africa’s exports fell 1.8% to 1.74 million bags. This marked the sixth consecutive month of negative growth. Uganda drove the decline with an 8.8% drop to an estimated 0.78 million bags.

The Caribbean, Mexico & Central America fell 14.3% to 0.79 million bags. This was the fourth consecutive month of negative growth, driven mainly by Nicaragua and Mexico.

Soluble coffee exports rose 8.1% to 1.56 million bags. Vietnam was the largest exporter with 0.43 million bags. Roasted bean exports were unchanged at 0.05 million bags.

New Market Intelligence Platform

In September, the ICO launched the Coffee Market Intelligence Platform at data.ico.org. It is a free-to-view interactive tool combining daily market indicators with data on monthly trade, annual production and consumption.

The platform’s basic dashboards are available free of charge to all users. They provide visibility of current-year prices and stock data, as well as aggregated trade and production statistics for the current and previous years.

ICO Members also have free access to historical data dating back to 1963. Commercial organizations requiring detailed historical data or bulk datasets can purchase an annual statistical subscription.

The platform was unveiled at a press conference in Geneva during the 142nd Session of the International Coffee Council. The launch came ahead of the first UN-recognized International Coffee Day on 1 October.

The aim is to make coffee market data more accessible. The platform will run in parallel to the existing ICO World Coffee Statistical Database for a few months before the latter is phased out.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did coffee prices fall in September 2026?

The ICO composite price fell 8.7% to 262.18 US cents/lb, down from 287.29 US cents/lb in August.

What caused the decline?

Increased availability from Brazil’s record crop and expectations of ample supply weighed on prices. Low certified Arabica stocks and El Niño uncertainty provided only limited support.

How did the different coffee groups perform?

All four groups declined. Brazilian Naturals fell 9.9%, Other Milds 8.8%, Colombian Milds 8.1%, and Robustas 7.3%.

What happened to the Arabica share of exports?

The Arabica share of cumulative green bean exports fell to 59.6% from 63.5%. This was the first time on record it fell below 60% for the first 11 months of a coffee year.

How did certified stocks change?

US certified Arabica stocks rose modestly to 0.27 million bags. London certified Robusta stocks rose to a 10-month high of 0.87 million bags.

What is the new ICO platform?

The Coffee Market Intelligence Platform (data.ico.org) is a free-to-view interactive tool combining daily market indicators with monthly trade, annual production and consumption data.


Author: Qahwa World – London | Source: International Coffee Organization – Coffee Market Report, September 2026 | Date: October 2026

ICO Launches Interactive Coffee Market Data Platform

Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO)
Author: Qahwa World
Date: October 3, 2026

ICO Launches Interactive Coffee Market Data Platform

  • The ICO launched the Coffee Market Intelligence Platform at data.ico.org.
  • The free interactive tool combines daily market indicators, trade, production, and consumption data.
  • Data is presented on an interactive 3D globe rather than static tables.
  • The launch took place during the 142nd Session of the International Coffee Council in Geneva.
  • It precedes the first UN-recognized International Coffee Day on October 1.
  • ICO Members gain free access to historical data dating back to 1963.
  • Coffee supports livelihoods for at least 12.5 million families worldwide.

The International Coffee Organization launched its Coffee Market Intelligence Platform on September 30, 2026. The platform is a free-to-view interactive tool available at data.ico.org. It combines daily market indicators with data on monthly trade, annual production, and consumption.

Producers, traders, policymakers, journalists, and other stakeholders can now explore the key elements of the global coffee market together. Relevant statistics are all available in one place.

Launch at the International Coffee Council

The platform was unveiled at a press conference in Geneva, Switzerland. The event took place during the 142nd Session of the International Coffee Council. It came ahead of the first UN-recognized International Coffee Day on October 1.

The launch took place alongside a presentation of the ICO’s “Coffee Is Part of the Solution” campaign. This campaign highlights progress on sustainability in the coffee sector.

Making Coffee Market Information More Accessible

Coffee market information has traditionally been dispersed across different publications, databases, and commercial services. The new platform addresses this fragmentation by bringing key datasets together.

It includes the daily ICO Composite Indicator Price and its four group indicators. It also features New York and London futures prices, monthly exchange-certified stocks, detailed trade data, and country-by-country trade flows. Annual production and consumption data are included as well.

“Good data cannot eliminate volatility, but it can reduce uncertainty. When stakeholders work from a shared and credible evidence base, they can make better decisions about production, investment, trade, risk management and sustainability.”

— Vanúsia Nogueira, Executive Director of the ICO

Data Available on the Coffee Market Intelligence Platform
Category Data Included
Daily Indicators ICO Composite Indicator Price and four group indicators
Futures Prices New York and London futures prices
Stocks Monthly exchange-certified stocks
Trade Detailed trade data and country-by-country trade flows
Production Annual production data by country
Consumption Annual consumption data by country

An Interactive 3D Globe

Rather than presenting data in static tables, the platform displays it on an interactive 3D globe. This makes current-year statistics freely accessible. Anyone from cooperative managers to journalists can read the market as a single interconnected system. It functions as a one-stop shop for coffee data.

“Coffee provides livelihoods for at least 12.5 million families and supports a complex global value chain. Better access to credible information may also support farmers with investments in land or processing machines, for example,” added Vanusia.

Built on the ICO’s Own Statistical Record

Export data comes primarily from ICO Members. Under the International Coffee Agreement, exporting countries issue a Certificate of Origin for every shipment. They also report monthly export statistics to the Secretariat. Importing countries report imports, re-exports, and inventories.

These figures are cross-checked against partner-country customs data. For non-member countries, they are checked against published national records and international trade databases. Production and consumption figures combine official national estimates with the Secretariat’s own estimations. These are reconciled through a supply-demand balance so that each country’s figures are internally consistent. Where a country cannot yet supply a series, the ICO estimates it from Certificates of Origin, partner data, and industry sources.

Free Access and Membership Benefits

The platform’s dashboards are available free of charge to all users. They provide visibility of current-year prices and stock data, as well as aggregated trade and production statistics for the current and previous years.

ICO Members also have free access to historical data dating back to 1963. Relevant information may be provided to intergovernmental organizations and academic researchers upon request. Commercial organizations requiring detailed historical data or bulk datasets can purchase an annual statistical subscription.

Access Levels by User Type
User Type Access Level
All users Free access to current-year prices, stocks, aggregated trade and production
ICO Members Free access to historical data back to 1963
Intergovernmental organizations and academics Relevant information upon request
Commercial organizations Annual statistical subscription for bulk or detailed historical data

About the International Coffee Organization

The ICO is the only intergovernmental organization supporting exporting and importing countries to improve the sustainability of the coffee sector. It provides a high-level forum for all public and private stakeholders in the sector. The organization also provides official statistics on coffee production, trade, and consumption. Additionally, it supports the development and funding of technical cooperation projects and public-private partnerships.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Coffee Market Intelligence Platform?It is a free interactive tool launched by the ICO that combines daily market indicators with data on trade, production, and consumption, available at data.ico.org.

When was the platform launched?The platform was launched on September 30, 2026, during the 142nd Session of the International Coffee Council in Geneva, Switzerland.

What data does the platform include?It includes the ICO Composite Indicator Price, futures prices, certified stocks, detailed trade data, trade flows, and annual production and consumption data.

Is the platform free to use?Yes, the dashboards are free for all users. ICO Members also get free access to historical data dating back to 1963.

How is the data presented?The data is presented on an interactive 3D globe rather than in static tables, making current-year statistics easy to explore.

How many families depend on coffee?Coffee provides livelihoods for at least 12.5 million families and supports a complex global value chain.

Addis Ababa coffee capital

ADDIS ABABA — QAHWA WORLD

Ethiopian communications firm Adsolute Communications is launching “Addis Ababa: The World’s Coffee Capital”, a campaign highlighting the Ethiopian capital as a destination for experiencing the country’s coffee culture, from traditional coffee ceremonies and neighbourhood buna spots to cafés, roasters and emerging coffee experiences across the city.

The campaign will be presented at Oromia Tourism Week on 30 September, one day before International Coffee Day.

Coffee occupies a distinctive place in Ethiopian daily life and identity. In Addis Ababa, it is experienced not simply as a beverage, but through the social rituals, spaces and communities built around it.

“Addis doesn’t need to invent a coffee identity,” said Tewodros Balcha Mulisa, Founder and General Manager of Adsolute Communications. “It already has one. The opportunity is to make that experience more visible and easier for visitors to discover — and to connect the city’s coffee culture with the wider Ethiopian coffee story.”

The campaign proposes a tourism narrative built around this existing ecosystem, linking Addis Ababa’s coffee ceremonies, cafés, roasters and emerging attractions such as Coffee Park & planned Ethiopian coffee museum with Ethiopia’s wider coffee-growing landscape and origin story.

Adsolute has previously worked on coffee-focused initiatives in Ethiopia, including its COFE Fest/Coffee Origins Festival activities around International Coffee Day since 2024 presented at the annual Oromia Tourism Week. The company also continues to connect Ethiopian coffee stories with international audiences through its Buna Kurs coffee media desk.

The initiative is intended as a city-branding and tourism communications proposition, encouraging greater international attention to Addis Ababa and the people, businesses and destinations that shape its coffee scene.

“Coffee gives Addis something very tangible to invite the world into,” said Mulisa. “You can experience it right from the airport, in a home, on the street, in a café, at a roastery or through the landscapes where the coffee itself is grown. That range is part of the story.”

The campaign will be developed through media storytelling, digital content and partnerships designed to bring greater international visibility to Addis Ababa’s coffee scene and the wider destinations connected to it.

Coffee: Magic of Minds and Fuel of History

Dubai – Qahwa World celebrates International Coffee Day.

When we raise a warm cup of coffee to our lips each morning, we are not merely consuming a comforting beverage to dispel the vestiges of sleep; we are partaking in a rich human history shaped by passion, patience, and global interplay.

On this October 1, 2026, as the world gathers to celebrate the very first officially recognized United Nations International Coffee Day, we honor far more than a passing occasion.

We recognize a profound historical debt owed to a small, dark cherry that reshaped world trade, spurred intellectual revolutions, and formed a living bond connecting more than 12.5 million farming families across the Global South to millions of coffee lovers in every corner of the planet.

A Journey Through Time: From Kaffa’s Canopy to Yemen’s Terraces

The story begins with the raw, earthy scent of the dense, tropical forests of the Kaffa region in the Ethiopian highlands. There, growing wild and untamed, the coffee tree first revealed its secrets to humanity. Early observers noticed that its vivid crimson cherries possessed a unique gift: they lightened the body, cleared the mind, and imparted an unmistakable surge of vitality. Yet, this wild botanical treasure was still awaiting the cultural craftsmanship that would elevate it from a remote forest plant into a refined global ritual.

That transformation found its destiny across the Red Sea, in the historic lands of Yemen.

In Yemen, coffee cultivation evolved from a simple agricultural task into a masterpiece of engineering and devotion. High up in the rugged mountains of Haraz, Sa’dah, and Manakhah, Yemeni farmers carved breathtaking stone terraces into steep cliffs. Here, they meticulously tended, harvested, and perfected the art of sun-drying and roasting the beans establishing the foundational methods of coffee preparation we still cherish today.

From the ancient port of Mokha, legendary ships laden with prized coffee beans set sail across oceans and continents, permanently embedding the port’s name into global culture as Mokha a universal synonym for fine coffee.

The Spark of the Enlightenment

Coffee never followed a quiet path; its trajectory was bound to human intellect and spiritual awakening. In its early days, it found a home in Sufi sanctuaries across Yemen, Mecca, Cairo, and Damascus, where scholars and mystics drank it to sustain long nights of contemplation, meditation, and spiritual clarity.

As coffee traveled across the Ottoman Empire, the world’s first coffeehouses sprang up in Istanbul. Known not merely as places of leisure, but as Mekteb-i ‘irfān (Schools of Knowledge), these spaces brought together poets, philosophers, scholars, and statesmen to debate ideas and exchange wisdom.

When coffee arrived on European shores in the seventeenth century, it sparked an intellectual awakening. Prior to its arrival, European daily life was heavily reliant on weak fermented beverages, leaving minds in a state of dull lethargy.

Coffee introduced unprecedented mental clarity and focus. In the bustling coffeehouses of London, Paris, and Venice, global financial institutions and insurance markets were born (such as Lloyd’s of London, which started in a coffeehouse), Enlightenment thinkers drafted foundational treatises, and composers penned enduring masterpieces. Coffee was no longer just a drink; it had become the liquid fuel of the Modern Age.

Geopolitics and Equity: Bringing Value Back to Origin

Today, coffee is more than a historical legacy it is a vast economic and human reality generating over $250 billion annually. Yet, for decades, the global supply chain was marked by a deep economic imbalance: green coffee left farms across Africa, Latin America, and Asia as an inexpensive raw commodity, while the vast majority of its financial value unlocked through roasting, branding, and retailing remained in importing nations.

Today, through concerted global initiatives led by the International Trade Centre (ITC) and the International Coffee Organization (ICO), that paradigm is undergoing a fundamental shift. The international community increasingly recognizes that true sustainability requires building local capacity from cupping and roasting to packaging and direct exporting right at origin.

When farmers in Ethiopia, Yemen, Kenya, Ghana, or Honduras can process, roast, and export their harvest as a premium finished product, they gain more than a fair economic return; they reclaim the dignity of their craft and their land. Ensuring full traceability, fair compensation, and environmental stewardship is no longer a luxury it is the vital cornerstone for preserving the future of coffee against climate change.

The Science of the Elixir: What Science Reveals About Coffee

Beyond its history and economics, a single cup of coffee contains a complex natural chemistry that explains its timeless appeal. Coffee is far more than a delivery system for caffeine; it is a rich matrix of bioactive compounds, most notably potent antioxidants like chlorogenic acid.

Modern clinical research affirms what human intuition has known for centuries:

Cognitive Enhancement and Neuroprotection: Caffeine stimulates the release of key neurotransmitters like dopamine and norepinephrine, heightening focus, alertness, and reaction time. Long-term observational studies suggest that regular, moderate coffee consumption is associated with a reduced risk of neurodegenerative conditions such as Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s disease.

Cardiovascular Health: Natural compounds in coffee support vascular health, help maintain endothelial function, and reduce systemic inflammation throughout the body.

Metabolic Support and Liver Health: Extensive research highlights coffee as one of the most effective natural dietary allies for liver health, offering protective benefits against fatty liver disease and fibrosis. Furthermore, it supports metabolic rate and insulin sensitivity (keeping added sugar minimal ideally under 2.5 grams ensures these protective health benefits remain fully intact).

One Cup to Connect the World

Every time you lift a warm cup of coffee and breathe in its rich aroma, you are touching an unbroken thread of human history. That journey begins in the soil with a farmer on the slopes of Ethiopia or the terraces of Yemen, travels through the hands of skilled roasters and baristas, and settles comfortably between your hands. Coffee has never been a simple commodity; it is a daily invitation to pause, reflect, and connect. It remains a testament to human culture a timeless ritual that reminds us that people from all walks of life can always gather, share a moment, and find common ground over a single cup.

ICO Coffee Market Report August 2026: Prices Hold Steady

Author: Qahwa World – London
Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO) – Coffee Market Report, August 2026
Date: September 2026

ICO Coffee Market Report August 2026: Prices Hold Steady

Executive Summary

  • The ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged 287.29 US cents/lb in August 2026, effectively unchanged from July (287.26 US cents/lb).
  • A mid-month rally, driven by El Niño fears and tight Arabica supplies, was reversed by favorable rainfall in Brazil and expectations of increased supply.
  • Colombian Milds rose 1.1% to 387.46 US cents/lb, while Other Milds gained 0.7% to 361.31 US cents/lb. Robustas fell 2.2% to 180.63 US cents/lb.
  • US certified Arabica stocks fell to 0.24 million bags, the lowest level since 1999. London Robusta stocks rose 19.5% to 0.83 million bags, a nine-month high.
  • Global green bean exports rose 6.3% to 10.76 million bags in July, driven entirely by a 32% surge in Robusta shipments.
  • World coffee production is estimated to rise 4.4% to 183.6 million bags in 2025/26, while consumption is projected to decline 0.8%.
  • The global market is projected to record a surplus of 3.0 million bags in 2025/26, the first after four consecutive years of deficit.

The ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged 287.29 US cents per pound in August 2026. This was effectively unchanged from July 2026, when it averaged 287.26 US cents per pound.

The month followed an inverted V-shaped pattern. Prices softened early, then rallied from August 17 to 25. A sharp correction on August 26 and 27 brought the indicator back to its opening level.

The mid-month rally was driven by heightened expectations of a strong El Niño event. These concerns were compounded by historically low certified Arabica stocks. Prices eased toward the end of the month as favorable rainfall in Brazil and expectations of a substantial surplus reduced the risk premium.

Price Movements and Market Volatility

Colombian Milds and Other Milds recorded modest gains. Colombian Milds rose 1.1% to average 387.46 US cents/lb. Other Milds increased 0.7% to 361.31 US cents/lb. Brazilian Naturals edged up 0.5% to 322.24 US cents/lb.

In contrast, Robustas declined 2.2% to 180.63 US cents/lb. On the futures markets, London ICE Robusta prices fell 3.0% to 167.63 US cents/lb. New York ICE Arabica prices expanded 0.9% to 313.20 US cents/lb.

The arbitrage between the London and New York futures markets expanded 5.8% to 145.56 US cents/lb. The Colombian Milds-Other Milds differential widened 5.7% to 26.15 US cents/lb.

Volatility declined across most indicators. The intra-day volatility of the I-CIP stood at 13.7% in August, a 1.3 percentage point decrease from July. Colombian Milds volatility fell to 14.6%, while Other Milds dropped to 15.7%.

Brazilian Naturals volatility decreased 1.6 percentage points to 16.3%. Robusta volatility remained stable at 11.0%. At the New York and London futures markets, volatilities were 19.9% and 13.2%, respectively.

Diverging Certified Stocks

Certified stocks diverged sharply between the two futures markets. London certified Robusta stocks rose 19.5% to 0.83 million bags. This was their highest level in nine months.

In contrast, US certified Arabica stocks fell to 0.24 million bags. This was the lowest level since 1999. It is approximately 68% below the level held a year earlier.

Several factors drove this divergence. El Niño risks raised concerns about future Arabica supplies. At the same time, disruption in Colombia and slower harvesting in Brazil limited near-term availability. A magnitude 7.4 earthquake struck western Colombia on August 10, halting operations at the Pacific port of Buenaventura.

Brazil’s harvest also lagged behind its historical pace. Safras & Mercado reported that the 2026/27 harvest was 90% complete as of August 12, against 97% a year earlier and a five-year average of 94%.

Exports by Coffee Group

Global green bean exports totaled 10.76 million bags in July 2026. This was a 6.3% increase from 10.12 million bags in July 2025. It marked the fourth month of positive year-on-year growth in the first 10 months of 2025/26.

The increase was driven entirely by Robustas. Robusta green bean exports surged 32.0% to 4.98 million bags. Vietnam led the increase with a 87.4% jump to 2.4 million bags. Brazil also contributed, with its Robusta exports up 83.7% to 0.86 million bags.

In contrast, all Arabica groups recorded declines. Colombian Milds exports fell 11.1% to 1.04 million bags. Brazilian Naturals decreased 10.0% to 2.46 million bags. Other Milds fell 6.7% to 2.27 million bags.

Total Arabica exports decreased to 5.78 million bags in July 2026. This was down 8.9% from 6.35 million bags in July 2025. As a result, the Arabica share of cumulative green bean exports fell to 59.7% from 63.6% a year earlier.

Table 1: Green Bean Exports by Coffee Group (million 60 kg bags)

Coffee Group July 2025 July 2026 Change
Robustas 3.77 4.98 +32.0%
Colombian Milds 1.17 1.04 -11.1%
Other Milds 2.44 2.27 -6.7%
Brazilian Naturals 2.74 2.46 -10.0%

Exports by Region

Global exports of all forms of coffee rose 3.3% to 12.23 million bags in July 2026. Two of the four regions recorded increases. Asia & Oceania and South America posted gains, while Africa and the Caribbean, Mexico & Central America recorded declines.

Asia & Oceania led the upturn with a 17.6% increase to 4.38 million bags. Vietnam was the main driver, with exports up 43.7% to 2.83 million bags. The region’s year-to-date exports rose to 43.59 million bags.

South America’s exports increased 3.1% to 4.57 million bags. This was the third consecutive month of positive growth. Brazil drove the increase with a 10.9% rise to 3.06 million bags. However, Colombia partly offset this with a 14.7% decline to 1.01 million bags.

Africa’s exports decreased 6.7% to 1.90 million bags. Ethiopia and Uganda drove the decline, with combined exports falling 15.9% to an estimated 1.52 million bags. Uganda’s decline follows a record performance in 2024/25 and may reflect normalization from an exceptionally high benchmark.

The Caribbean, Mexico & Central America decreased 15.9% to 1.39 million bags. This was the third consecutive month of negative growth, driven mainly by Mexico and Nicaragua.

Soluble coffee exports decreased 16.7% to 1.4 million bags in July 2026. Roasted bean exports rose 70.6% to 0.07 million bags.

Global Supply and Demand Outlook

The ICO published updated supply and demand statistics on September 10, 2026. World coffee production increased 2.5% to 175.9 million bags in 2024/25. For 2025/26, production is estimated to rise 4.4% to 183.6 million bags.

Arabica production is projected to increase 2.8% to 104.4 million bags in 2025/26. This reflects the higher-yielding phase of the biennial cycle in South America. Robusta output is estimated to jump 6.5% to 79.2 million bags.

South America remains the world’s largest producer, with an estimated output of 84.1 million bags. This represents 45.8% of global production. Asia & Oceania follows with 29.7%, then Africa with 13.6% and the Caribbean, Central America and Mexico with 10.8%.

World coffee consumption increased 4.3% to 182.2 million bags in 2024/25. Growth was mainly driven by North America and Europe. In 2025/26, consumption is estimated to decline 0.8%, partly reflecting normalization after unusually strong growth.

Europe remained the largest consuming region, accounting for 30.1% of global consumption in 2024/25. South America is estimated to overtake North America as the third-largest consuming region in 2025/26.

Following four consecutive years of deficit from 2021/22 to 2024/25, the global coffee market is projected to record a surplus of 3.0 million bags in 2025/26.

Table 2: World Supply, Demand and Balance (million 60 kg bags)

Item 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26
Arabica Production 101.1 101.6 104.4
Robusta Production 70.5 74.4 79.2
Total Production 171.6 175.9 183.6
Consumption 174.6 182.2 180.6
Balance -3.0 -6.3 +3.0

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the ICO composite price in August 2026?

The I-CIP averaged 287.29 US cents/lb in August 2026, effectively unchanged from July 2026 (287.26 US cents/lb).

What caused the mid-month price rally and subsequent correction?

A rally from August 17 to 25 was driven by El Niño fears and tight Arabica supplies. It was reversed by favorable rainfall in Brazil and expectations of a substantial surplus.

Why did certified coffee stocks diverge?

US Arabica stocks fell to 0.24 million bags (lowest since 1999) due to El Niño risks and supply disruptions. London Robusta stocks rose 19.5% to 0.83 million bags.

How did coffee exports perform in July 2026?

Global green bean exports rose 6.3% to 10.76 million bags. Robusta exports surged 32%, while all Arabica groups declined.

What is the global supply and demand outlook?

World production is estimated at 183.6 million bags in 2025/26 (+4.4%), with consumption at 180.6 million bags (-0.8%). This results in a surplus of 3.0 million bags.

What was the key development in certified stocks?

US certified Arabica stocks fell to their lowest level since 1999 at 0.24 million bags, while London Robusta stocks reached a nine-month high of 0.83 million bags.


Author: Qahwa World – London | Source: International Coffee Organization – Coffee Market Report, August 2026 | Date: September 2026

Ethiopia’s Golden Opportunity in the Global Coffee Market

Source: Coffee Market Analysis / Ethiopian Coffee and Tea Authority
Author: Qahwa World
Date: September 8, 2026

Ethiopia’s Golden Opportunity in the Global Coffee Market

  • Brazil’s coffee quality is declining due to unexpected rains, creating a golden opportunity for Ethiopia.
  • New York arabica coffee prices dropped by 5.5% to 6.2% last week.
  • This price drop reflects increased Brazilian production volume, not improved quality.
  • Ethiopia’s specialty coffee has a strong opportunity to sell at premium prices.
  • Farmers, processors, and exporters must focus on quality to seize this opportunity.
  • The global market winner will be those who supply quality, not just quantity.

The global coffee market appears to be at a crossroads. Brazil has delivered high production volumes, but quality is declining. This could create significant price volatility and market uncertainty.

Last week, New York arabica coffee prices dropped by 5.5% to 6.2%, causing market turbulence. However, behind this price drop lies a real opportunity for Ethiopian farmers and exporters.

Reason for the Price Drop

The price drop is attributed to a temporary supply surplus due to increased Brazilian coffee production and a 9.9% rise in exports. However, the market has realized the bigger truth: this is about quantity, not quality improvement.

Brazil’s Coffee Quality Decline

Unexpected rains in Brazil have severely reduced coffee quality. The 2026/27 production season may be one of the lowest quality years in recent history.

Brazil vs Ethiopia Coffee Comparison
Aspect Brazil Ethiopia
Production Volume High (71.9 million bags) Moderate (12.1 million bags)
Quality Declining due to rain High (Specialty Grade)
Market Focus Volume-driven Quality-driven
Price Premium Standard Premium Price
Natural Advantage High weather impact Diverse climate conditions

Opportunity for Ethiopian Farmers and Exporters

International coffee buyers will inevitably seek high-quality coffee that meets specialty grade standards. This is great news for Ethiopia, which is naturally endowed with unique flavors and aromas.

Quality Commands Higher Prices

As the global market is flooded with lower-quality coffee, Ethiopia’s high-quality specialty coffee will have an exceptional opportunity to sell at premium prices. International buyers and importers will turn their attention to Ethiopia, allowing the country to dominate the quality gap in the market.

What Needs to Be Done?

Farmers: Pay special attention to quality from plant care to harvesting (picking only the best red cherries) and drying processes. Focusing on producing standard-quality coffee will be more profitable than focusing only on quantity.

Processors and Washing Station Owners: Maintain cleanliness in washing and drying stations, properly control moisture levels, and strictly monitor cupping standards.

Exporters: Understand the quality demand created by the global market’s quality decline, promote Ethiopia’s unique coffee flavor and grade, and negotiate for better prices.

Conclusion

In the coffee market, “more production doesn’t always mean better coffee!” In today’s market reality, the winners will not be those who export the most coffee, but those who supply the quality the market demands. Ethiopian farmers and exporters now have a golden opportunity to use their quality advantage to strengthen their competitiveness and profitability in the global market.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why has Brazil’s coffee quality declined?Unexpected rains in Brazil have lowered quality. The 2026/27 production season may be one of the lowest quality years in recent history.

Why does Ethiopia have a better opportunity?Ethiopia produces high-quality specialty coffee, and international buyers are increasingly seeking quality coffee.

What should farmers do?Farmers should focus on quality by picking only the best red cherries and maintaining proper processing and drying standards.

What should exporters do?Exporters should understand the global market’s quality demand, promote Ethiopia’s unique coffee profile, and negotiate for better prices.

Why did coffee prices drop?Prices dropped due to a temporary supply surplus caused by increased Brazilian production and a 9.9% rise in exports.

Can Ethiopian coffee sell at premium prices?Yes, the international market is willing to pay premium prices for high-quality specialty coffee.

Simonelli Group and UNICAM Present “Science Driven Coffee Cup” Conference

Source: Simonelli Group / University of Camerino / RICH
Author: Qahwa World
Date: September 6, 2026

Simonelli Group and UNICAM Present “Science Driven Coffee Cup” Conference

  • International scientific coffee conference in Italy on November 19-20, 2026.
  • Brings together researchers, industry experts, and professionals from around the world.
  • Fields include chemistry, biology, neuroscience, data science, and consumer research.
  • Organized by RICH in partnership with the University of Camerino.
  • Hosted at Simonelli Group Campus in Belforte del Chienti, Italy.
  • Celebrates the 10th anniversary of RICH (2016-2026).

The Research & Innovation Coffee Hub (RICH) and the University of Camerino (UNICAM) have announced the first edition of Science Driven Coffee Cup. This is an international scientific conference dedicated to innovation and interdisciplinary research in the coffee sector.

The event will take place on November 19-20, 2026, at the Simonelli Group Campus in Belforte del Chienti, Italy. Registration and further information are available at the dedicated conference website.

A Platform for Dialogue Between Academia and Industry

Science Driven Coffee Cup has been designed as a platform for dialogue and collaboration among academia, research institutions, industry, and the wider coffee community. The conference will bring together researchers, professionals, companies, and experts from different countries to advance knowledge about coffee through an integrated scientific approach.

Fields including chemistry, biology, neuroscience, data science, and consumer research will provide complementary perspectives on challenges and opportunities across the coffee value chain, from raw materials to the consumer experience.

Science Driven Coffee Cup Event Details
Item Details
Event Science Driven Coffee Cup 2026
Date November 19-20, 2026
Location Simonelli Group Campus, Belforte del Chienti, Italy
Organizers RICH and University of Camerino
Host Simonelli Group
Disciplines Chemistry, biology, neuroscience, data science, consumer research

Building a Bridge Between Science and Industry

Marco Feliziani, CEO of Simonelli Group, said: “Technological development cannot exist without scientific research and the continuous growth of knowledge. This is why we have been collaborating for decades with universities and international research centers active in a variety of scientific fields. The performance of our technologies is the clearest proof of this commitment.”

Feliziani noted that Simonelli Group and the University of Camerino established RICH in 2016 to contribute directly to coffee research and create a bridge between academia and industry. “The objective of RICH is to generate new knowledge and expand the scientific understanding of coffee, creating value across the entire supply chain.”

He added: “Science Driven Coffee Cup is the result of this vision: sharing research outcomes, encouraging dialogue among experts, and continuing to build the future of coffee on a solid scientific foundation.”

University of Camerino Leadership

Graziano Leoni, Rector of the University of Camerino, said the partnership demonstrates how cooperation between universities and industry can turn research and knowledge into innovation and value. “The role of a university is not only to generate new knowledge, but also to create the conditions for that knowledge to be shared, transferred, and translated into opportunities for development.”

He added that this is one of the core missions of UNICAM, supported through investment and practical initiatives. Leoni also thanked the UNICAM researchers involved in RICH, describing their expertise and engagement with the business community as a driving force behind knowledge transfer and innovation.

RICH 10th Anniversary

The conference will also mark the 10th anniversary of the Research & Innovation Coffee Hub. Established in 2016 by Simonelli Group in partnership with the University of Camerino, RICH focuses on coffee research from a scientific and multidisciplinary perspective. Its work covers coffee and coffee-based products, milk and alternative beverages, with activities including scientific publications, educational initiatives, and participation in conferences internationally.

A Forum for the Coffee Research Community

In addition to scientific sessions, the Science Driven Coffee Cup program will include networking opportunities, presentations on developments in coffee science, and exchanges with international experts from the disciplines represented at the conference. The organizers aim for the event to become a significant meeting point for both the scientific and professional coffee communities.

About the Organizers

Simonelli Group is a manufacturer of professional espresso machines, grinders, and filter coffee machines. The company operates in more than 130 countries and exports more than 95% of its production. Its portfolio includes three brands: Nuova Simonelli, Victoria Arduino, and 3TEMP.

RICH was established in 2016 to investigate coffee from a scientific and multidisciplinary perspective and to disseminate knowledge to support the development of the coffee industry.

The University of Camerino, founded in 1336, offers programs through five schools covering architecture and design, biosciences and veterinary medicine, law, pharmaceutical and health product sciences, and science and technology. The university emphasizes academic excellence, teaching innovation, scientific research, technology transfer, public engagement, and collaboration with industry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Science Driven Coffee Cup?An international scientific conference dedicated to innovation and interdisciplinary research in the coffee sector, held in Italy on November 19-20, 2026.

Who is organizing the conference?RICH in partnership with the University of Camerino, hosted by Simonelli Group at its campus in Belforte del Chienti.

What disciplines are represented?Chemistry, biology, neuroscience, data science, and consumer research.

What anniversary is being celebrated?The 10th anniversary of RICH (2016-2026).

Where will the conference take place?At the Simonelli Group Campus in Belforte del Chienti, Italy.

How can I register?Through the dedicated conference website: sdcc.unicam.it

Used Coffee Grounds Could Make Concrete Stronger, Study Finds

Source: RMIT University / Journal of Cleaner Production
Author: Qahwa World
Date: September 6, 2026New research reveals that using coffee grounds can make concrete stronger.

Used Coffee Grounds Could Make Concrete Stronger, Study Finds

  • Australian researchers convert coffee waste into biochar that strengthens concrete. The discovery highlights how coffee grounds concrete stronger techniques may benefit the industry.
  • Replacing 15% of sand with biochar increased concrete strength by 29.3%, showing how coffee grounds concrete stronger when incorporated through this method.
  • Coffee grounds are heated to 350°C without oxygen to produce biochar, indicating part of the process that can help make coffee grounds concrete stronger in new construction practices.
  • Australia produces 75 million kg of coffee waste annually; globally, 10 billion kg.
  • Carbon emissions reduced by 26% when using 15% biochar instead of sand.
  • 50 billion tons of sand used annually in construction, threatening natural resources.

Researchers at RMIT University in Melbourne have found that waste coffee grounds can be converted into a biochar that strengthens concrete while reducing the amount of natural sand required. The research was published in the Journal of Cleaner Production in 2023. And so, using coffee grounds concrete stronger becomes a viable outcome for future applications.

The researchers heated used coffee grounds to 350 degrees Celsius in an oxygen-free process, turning them into a charcoal-like material known as biochar. They then used the biochar to replace part of the natural sand in a concrete mixture.

Key Results: 29% Stronger Concrete

The strongest result came when biochar replaced 15% of the sand by volume. The resulting concrete recorded a 29.3% increase in compressive strength compared with conventional concrete containing plain sand.

Raw coffee grounds cannot simply be added to concrete. They contain organic compounds that can interfere with the cement-setting process and weaken the resulting material. To overcome this problem, the RMIT team heated the grounds to 350 degrees Celsius without oxygen. This process chars the material rather than burning it, producing a porous, carbon-rich biochar that can be incorporated into concrete.

Results of Coffee Biochar in Concrete
Sand Replacement Compressive Strength Increase Carbon Emission Reduction
5% – 15%
10% – 23%
15% 29.3% 26%

Solving Two Environmental Problems at Once

The approach could address two environmental challenges at the same time: the disposal of organic waste and the growing demand for natural sand in construction. Australia produces an estimated 75 million kilograms of ground coffee waste each year, much of which ends up in landfill. The global figure is estimated at around 10 billion kilograms.

Although sand may appear abundant, the type required for concrete is increasingly under pressure. Desert sand is generally too smooth and rounded for effective use in concrete, meaning construction often relies on more angular sand extracted from rivers and other sources.

Why the Temperature Matters

The researchers found that the temperature used to produce the biochar affected its performance. Biochar produced at 350 degrees Celsius performed better than material produced at 500 degrees Celsius. Microscopic analysis showed that the biochar produced at the higher temperature was more porous and had extensive micro-cracking, which the researchers suggested resulted from greater thermal degradation.

Reducing Carbon Emissions and Fossil Fuel Use

A life-cycle assessment reported reductions in carbon emissions of 15%, 23% and 26% when biochar replaced 5%, 10% and 15% of the sand, respectively, along with lower fossil-fuel use.

Research Still at an Early Stage

The findings are promising, but they do not yet establish that coffee-ground biochar concrete is ready for widespread construction use. The research was conducted at laboratory scale, and compressive strength is only one of the properties engineers consider when assessing concrete.

Long-term durability remains an important question. Concrete used in real structures must withstand years of exposure to changing environmental conditions and repeated loading. The researchers need to establish how coffee biochar concrete performs over much longer periods and under real-world conditions.

The team has already moved beyond laboratory testing through a coffee-concrete footpath trial. Future research will need to examine long-term durability, variations in coffee ground properties, consistency during large-scale production, and whether the energy required to produce biochar remains environmentally and economically viable at scale.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is coffee ground turned into biochar?Coffee grounds are heated to 350°C in an oxygen-free process, transforming them into a porous, carbon-rich biochar.

What percentage of sand can be replaced with biochar?The best result came from replacing 15% of sand with biochar, achieving a 29.3% increase in compressive strength.

Can raw coffee grounds be added directly to concrete?No, raw coffee grounds contain organic compounds that interfere with cement setting and weaken concrete. They must first be converted to biochar.

How much coffee waste is produced globally?Approximately 10 billion kilograms of coffee waste are produced worldwide each year.

What are the environmental benefits of this technology?It recycles organic waste, reduces demand for natural sand, and lowers carbon emissions by up to 26%.

Is this technology ready for commercial use?Not yet. Research is still in early stages, with further study needed on long-term durability and large-scale production.

Coffee’s Effects on Sex Hormones in Men and Women

Source: University of Oulu / European Journal of Nutrition
Author: Qahwa World
Date: August 31, 2026

Finnish Study: Coffee’s Effects on Sex Hormones in Men and Women

  • Finnish study links regular coffee consumption to healthier body composition in both sexes.
  • Significant increase in total testosterone and SHBG in men.
  • Increased SHBG and decreased free androgens in women.
  • Lower levels of branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs) in both sexes.
  • Lower BCAAs indicate reduced risk of insulin resistance, diabetes, and heart disease.
  • The study included over 2,200 participants aged 46.

A new scientific study by researchers at the University of Oulu in Finland has found that regular coffee consumption is linked to healthier body composition. Coffee drinkers had lower stored fat and greater muscle mass compared to non-drinkers. The study also revealed surprising hormonal effects that differ between men and women.

The study was published in the European Journal of Nutrition. It analyzed data from over 2,200 participants aged 46. The research team examined the relationship between coffee consumption, heart health indicators, metabolic outcomes, and sex hormone levels.

A Hormonal Signature Linked to Coffee

The results revealed a “hormonal signature” linked to coffee. The strongest effects were seen in men. Coffee consumption was associated with improved glucose and insulin regulation. Men also showed higher levels of total testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG).

In women, coffee was linked to increased SHBG and decreased free androgens. These hormones are responsible for libido, mood, and the health of the body, hair, and bones.

Hormonal Effects of Coffee by Gender
Gender Hormonal Effect
Men Increased total testosterone, increased SHBG, improved glucose and insulin regulation
Women Increased SHBG, decreased free androgens

Hormonal Changes Independent of Lifestyle

Lead researcher Luca Viruisti, a nutrition specialist, explained that these hormonal changes remained significant even after excluding lifestyle factors and body mass index. This suggests coffee has a direct effect on the hormonal system, not just a result of other healthy habits.

Lower Branched-Chain Amino Acids (BCAAs)

The results showed lower levels of branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs) in the blood of coffee drinkers of both sexes. Researchers noted that lower levels of these amino acids are a positive indicator. Chronic elevation of BCAAs is linked to risks of insulin resistance, type 2 diabetes, heart disease, and declining liver health.

Benefits of Lower Branched-Chain Amino Acids (BCAAs)
Risks Linked to High BCAAs Benefits of Lower BCAAs
Insulin resistance Improved insulin sensitivity
Type 2 diabetes Lower diabetes risk
Heart disease Lower cardiovascular risk
Declining liver health Improved liver function

Conclusion: Coffee’s Divergent Hormonal Effects

The study confirms that coffee has hormonal effects that differ between men and women. For men, coffee appears supportive of testosterone levels and metabolic health. For women, it may be linked to hormonal changes that affect libido and mood.

On the positive side, coffee was linked to lower branched-chain amino acids in both sexes. This reduction may contribute to lowering the risks of insulin resistance, diabetes, and heart disease. Further studies are needed to understand the precise mechanisms behind these effects.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does coffee raise testosterone in men?Yes, the study showed significant increases in total testosterone and SHBG levels in men who regularly consume coffee.

How does coffee affect hormones in women?In women, coffee was linked to increased SHBG and decreased free androgens, which are responsible for libido, mood, and body, hair, and bone health.

What are branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs)?They are amino acids whose elevated levels are linked to risks of insulin resistance, diabetes, and heart disease. The study showed lower levels in coffee drinkers.

Are coffee’s hormonal effects dependent on lifestyle?No, the study showed that hormonal effects remained significant even after excluding lifestyle factors and body mass index.

How many participants were in the study?The study included over 2,200 participants aged 46, giving the results good statistical power.

Where was the study published?The study was published in the European Journal of Nutrition, a peer-reviewed scientific journal specializing in nutrition and health.

Coffee Prices Record Largest Monthly Surge Since 2021

Author: Qahwa World – London
Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO) – Coffee Market Report, July 2026
Date: August 2026According to recent reports, coffee prices experienced the largest monthly surge in 2026.

Coffee Prices Record Largest Monthly Surge Since 2021

Executive Summary

  • The ICO composite price surged 15.4% to 287.26 US cents/lb in July 2026, the largest monthly gain since 2021.
  • Arabica prices rose faster than Robusta: Colombian Milds +18.1%, Brazilian Naturals +17.9%, Robustas +9.1%.
  • Record daily gains of 8.2% (July 6) and 9.3% (July 9) marked the largest increases in 21 years.
  • El Niño probability reached 97% through early spring 2027, with 81% chance of a very strong event.
  • Brazil’s harvest was only 64% complete by July 15, below the 5‑year average of 70%, due to wet conditions.
  • US certified Arabica stocks fell 30% to 0.29 million bags, the lowest since January 2024.
  • London Robusta stocks rose 2.5% to 0.69 million bags, widening the price gap between the two varieties.

Global coffee prices recorded their largest monthly increase since 2021 in July 2026. The ICO Composite Indicator Price surged 15.4% to 287.26 US cents per pound.

Arabica prices rose faster than Robusta. Colombian Milds increased 18.1% to 383.39 US cents/lb. Brazilian Naturals rose 17.9% to 320.69 US cents/lb. Other Milds increased 16.5% to 358.65 US cents/lb. Robustas rose 9.1% to 184.78 US cents/lb.

The price rally was driven by several factors. Weather-related concerns in Brazil, a strengthening El Niño outlook, and tightening Arabica supplies all played a role.

On July 6, the composite price rose 8.2% in a single day. On July 9, it rose another 9.3%. These were the largest daily increases observed in 21 years.

El Niño fears intensified significantly. On July 9, the US Climate Prediction Center reported a 97% probability that El Niño would persist through early spring 2027. There was also an 81% probability of a very strong event during October-December 2026.

This outlook pointed to increased risks of regional rainfall and temperature anomalies. These could affect coffee production in Asia and South America in late 2026 and 2027.

Weather factors were a key driver. Unusually wet conditions in parts of Brazil disrupted harvesting and drying operations. On July 17, Safras & Mercado reported that Brazil’s harvest was only 64% complete as of July 15. This compared to 77% a year earlier and a five-year average of 70%.

Wet conditions also caused uneven maturation. Multiple flowering cycles led to cherries at different stages of ripeness. This required more selective picking and sorting, making harvesting slower and more costly.

US certified Arabica stocks fell 30% to 0.29 million bags in July. This was their lowest level since January 2024. The decline signaled significantly tighter immediately deliverable supplies of Arabica.

In contrast, London certified Robusta stocks rose 2.5% to 0.69 million bags. This divergence widened the price gap between Arabica and Robusta and increased the price differentials.

Combined ICE-certified stocks fell to 0.98 million bags on July 31. This signaled limited buffers against unforeseen supply disruptions.

Table 1: Key Price Movements (US cents/lb)

Indicator June 2026 July 2026 Change
ICO Composite 248.90 287.26 +15.4%
Colombian Milds 324.60 383.39 +18.1%
Brazilian Naturals 272.01 320.69 +17.9%
Robustas 169.39 184.78 +9.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did coffee prices rise in July 2026?

The ICO composite price surged 15.4% to 287.26 US cents/lb, the largest monthly gain since 2021.

What caused the price surge?

El Niño fears (97% probability), wet weather in Brazil slowing the harvest, and falling Arabica stocks were the main drivers.

How did Arabica and Robusta prices perform differently?

Arabica prices rose faster (+18.1% for Colombian Milds) while Robusta rose 9.1%, widening the price gap.

What happened to certified coffee stocks?

US Arabica stocks fell 30% to 0.29 million bags (lowest since Jan 2024), while London Robusta stocks rose 2.5% to 0.69 million bags.

What is the El Niño outlook?

There is a 97% probability of El Niño persisting through early spring 2027, with an 81% chance of a very strong event in late 2026.


Author: Qahwa World – London | Source: International Coffee Organization – Coffee Market Report, July 2026 | Date: August 2026

ICO Coffee Market Report July 2026: Prices Surge 15.4% on Supply Fears

Author: Qahwa World – London
Source: International Coffee Organization (ICO) – Coffee Market Report, July 2026
Date: August 2026

ICO Coffee Market Report July 2026: Prices Surge 15.4% on Supply Fears

Executive Summary

  • The ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged 287.26 US cents/lb in July 2026, up 15.4% from June, with Arabica prices outpacing Robusta.
  • Record daily gains of 8.2% on July 6 and 9.3% on July 9 marked the largest increases in 21 years.
  • Colombian Milds rose 18.1% to 383.39 US cents/lb; Brazilian Naturals rose 17.9% to 320.69 US cents/lb; Robustas rose 9.1% to 184.78 US cents/lb.
  • US certified Arabica stocks fell 30% to 0.29 million bags, the lowest since January 2024, tightening immediately deliverable supplies.
  • ICE margin requirements for Coffee “C” futures surged from $5,685 to over $21,000 in early July, reducing liquidity and amplifying volatility.
  • El Niño probability reached 97% through early spring 2027, with 81% chance of a very strong event, heightening supply concerns.
  • Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest was only 64% complete by July 15, below the 5‑year average of 70%, due to wet conditions.
  • Global green bean exports rose 0.8% to 10.48 million bags in June, driven by Brazilian Naturals (+7.1%).

The ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged 287.26 US cents per pound in July 2026. This was a 15.4% increase from June 2026, the largest monthly gain since 2021.

Arabica prices rose faster than Robusta prices. The Colombian Milds increased 18.1% to 383.39 US cents/lb. The Brazilian Naturals rose 17.9% to 320.69 US cents/lb. The Other Milds increased 16.5% to 358.65 US cents/lb. Robustas rose 9.1% to 184.78 US cents/lb.

The widening price gap was reflected in higher differentials. The arbitrage between New York and London futures markets expanded by 36.4% to 137.61 US cents/lb.

Volatility also rose sharply. On July 6, the I-CIP rose 8.2% in a single day. On July 9, it rose another 9.3%. Together, these were the largest daily increases observed in 21 years.

Several factors contributed to the price surge. Weather-related concerns in Brazil, a strengthening El Niño outlook, and tightening Arabica supplies all played a role. US certified Arabica stocks fell 30% to 0.29 million bags, the lowest level since January 2024.

ICE Margin Requirements and Market Liquidity

In response to heightened market risk, ICE Futures U.S. increased margin requirements for Coffee “C” futures multiple times in early July. The margin rate for the September 2026 contract rose from $5,685 before July to $14,715 on July 6, and then to $21,116 on July 9.

It was subsequently reduced to $14,606 on July 24. However, it remained well above its pre-July level. These adjustments affected financing requirements, market participation, and liquidity.

Higher margins require participants to provide more collateral. This reduces leverage and may discourage highly leveraged positions. It also strengthens protection against losses if a participant defaults.

However, it may also force positions to be closed. This reduces liquidity and can temporarily amplify price movements. The sharp price increases on July 6 and 9 may have been amplified by these liquidity effects.

Systematic and momentum-driven buying also played a role. Short covering, fueled by concerns over declining ICE-certified stocks, reinforced the upward price pressure. Thin liquidity made the market more susceptible to sharp movements.

Weather and El Niño Concerns

Weather factors were a key driver of July’s price movements. Unusually wet conditions in parts of Brazil disrupted harvesting and drying operations. This raised concerns about coffee quality.

On July 17, Safras & Mercado reported that Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee harvest was only 64% complete as of July 15. This compared to 77% a year earlier and a five-year average of 70%.

Wet conditions also caused uneven maturation. Multiple flowering cycles led to cherries at different stages of ripeness. This required more selective picking and sorting, making harvesting slower and more costly.

Meanwhile, the El Niño outlook strengthened significantly. On July 9, the US Climate Prediction Center reported a 97% probability that El Niño would persist through early spring 2027.

There was also an 81% probability of a very strong event during October-December 2026. This could rank among the most intense El Niño events recorded since 1950.

This outlook pointed to increased risks of regional rainfall and temperature anomalies. These could affect coffee production in Asia and South America in late 2026 and 2027.

Certified Stocks and Supply Tightness

London certified Robusta stocks rose 2.5% to 0.69 million bags in July. In contrast, US certified Arabica stocks fell 30% to 0.29 million bags. This was their lowest level since January 2024.

This divergence indicated significantly tighter immediately deliverable supplies of Arabica. This supported higher Arabica prices relative to Robusta. It also contributed to the widening differentials between the two markets.

Combined ICE-certified stocks fell to 0.98 million bags on July 31. This decline signaled limited buffers against unforeseen supply disruptions. It amplified the market’s response to weather and El Niño concerns.

Table 1: ICO Indicator Prices and Futures (US cents/lb)

Indicator June 2026 July 2026 Change
ICO Composite 248.90 287.26 +15.4%
Colombian Milds 324.60 383.39 +18.1%
Other Milds 307.83 358.65 +16.5%
Brazilian Naturals 272.01 320.69 +17.9%
Robustas 169.39 184.78 +9.1%
New York ICE (Arabica) 256.75 310.34 +20.9%
London ICE (Robusta) 155.90 172.73 +10.8%

Green Bean Exports: Mixed Performance by Group

Global green bean exports totaled 10.48 million bags in June 2026. This was a 0.8% increase compared to 10.4 million bags in June 2025.

Brazilian Naturals exports rose 7.1% to 2.76 million bags. This was the first month of positive growth after 15 consecutive months of decline. The increase was driven by Brazil, where exports rose from 1.82 million to 2.01 million bags.

Colombian Milds exports increased 1.2% to 1.09 million bags. This was the group’s first positive growth in the current coffee year. Kenya was the main driver, with exports rising 39.2% to 0.11 million bags.

Other Milds exports fell 1.3% to 2.66 million bags. Nicaragua and Mexico were the main drivers of the decline, with combined exports falling 42.9% to 0.34 million bags.

Robusta exports fell 2.1% to 3.97 million bags. This was only the second instance of negative growth in the first nine months of the coffee year. Indonesia and Uganda drove the decline, with combined exports falling 36.1% to 0.98 million bags.

Total Arabica exports rose 2.5% to 6.51 million bags. However, the Arabicas’ share of cumulative green bean exports fell to 60.4% from 63.7% a year earlier.

Table 2: Green Bean Exports by Group (million 60‑kg bags)

Coffee Group June 2025 June 2026 Change
Robustas 4.05 3.97 -2.1%
Colombian Milds 1.08 1.09 +1.2%
Other Milds 2.70 2.66 -1.3%
Brazilian Naturals 2.57 2.76 +7.1%

Exports by Region: South America Leads

Global exports of all forms of coffee rose 0.3% to 11.88 million bags in June 2026. Exports declined in three of the four regions. South America recorded the only increase.

South America’s exports rose 17.3% to 4.8 million bags. Brazil led the increase, with exports up 17.4% to 3.09 million bags. Peru also contributed, with exports rising 50% to 0.49 million bags.

Asia & Oceania exports fell 2.4% to 3.63 million bags. Indonesia led the decline, with exports falling 33.3% to 0.58 million bags. However, India and Vietnam partly offset this with increases of 14.6% and 6.1% respectively.

Africa’s exports fell 13.5% to 1.79 million bags. Uganda was the main driver, with exports falling 30.6% to an estimated 0.7 million bags.

The Caribbean, Mexico & Central America fell 15.3% to 1.66 million bags. Mexico and Nicaragua drove the decline, with combined exports falling 44% to 0.41 million bags.

Soluble coffee exports fell 1.3% to 1.35 million bags. Roasted bean exports fell 32.3% to 0.05 million bags.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the ICO composite price in July 2026?

The I-CIP averaged 287.26 US cents/lb in July 2026, a 15.4% increase from June 2026, the largest monthly gain since 2021.

What caused the record daily price gains in July?

On July 6 and 9, the I-CIP rose 8.2% and 9.3% respectively, marking the largest daily increases in 21 years. This was driven by El Niño fears, falling stocks, wet weather in Brazil, and ICE margin hikes affecting liquidity.

How did ICE margin requirements affect the market?

ICE raised margin requirements for Coffee “C” futures from $5,685 to over $21,000 in early July. This reduced liquidity, forced position closures, and amplified price volatility.

What happened to certified coffee stocks in July?

US certified Arabica stocks fell 30% to 0.29 million bags, the lowest since January 2024. London Robusta stocks rose slightly to 0.69 million bags. The divergence tightened Arabica supplies.

What is the El Niño outlook?

There is a 97% probability of El Niño persisting through early spring 2027, with 81% chance of a very strong event during October-December 2026, potentially one of the most intense on record.

How is Brazil’s 2026/27 harvest progressing?

As of July 15, the harvest was only 64% complete, compared to 77% a year earlier and a five-year average of 70%, due to wet conditions that slowed harvesting and drying.


Author: Qahwa World – London | Source: International Coffee Organization – Coffee Market Report, July 2026 | Date: August 2026