USDA Report: Record World Coffee Production in 2026/27

Posted on July 23, 2026 by Qahwa World

Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) – Coffee: World Markets and Trade
Author: Qahwa World
Date: July 23, 2026This article covers important findings from the world coffee market report 2026.

USDA Report: Record World Coffee Production in 2026/27

World coffee production forecast at a record 189.7 million bags in 2026/27, up 10.8 million from the previous year.
Brazil leads the surge with a record 71.9 million bags, driven by a 9.5 million bag Arabica rebound.
Global consumption rises to a record 179.7 million bags, with the European Union and United States leading gains.
World bean exports forecast at a record 131.4 million bags, up 11.9 million from 2025/26.
Ending stocks rise for a second consecutive year to 26.3 million bags.
Coffee prices have fallen 25% over the last seven months as additional supplies become available.
Vietnam, Colombia, Ethiopia, and Uganda all post production increases, while Indonesia declines.

The USDA Foreign Agricultural Service released its latest Coffee: World Markets and Trade report. Global coffee production for 2026/27 is forecast at a record 189.7 million bags. This represents an increase of 10.8 million bags from the previous year.

Record output in Brazil, Ethiopia, Uganda, and Vietnam drives this growth. These gains more than compensate for losses in India and Indonesia. World coffee bean exports are expected to reach a record 131.4 million bags. Global consumption is forecast to rise to a record 179.7 million bags.

World Production at Record High

World coffee production for 2026/27 is forecast 10.8 million bags higher than the previous year. Production is expected to reach a record 189.7 million bags. Brazil accounts for the largest share with a record 71.9 million bags. The rebound in Arabica production is particularly notable after five years of underperformance.

**World Coffee Production 2026/27 (Million 60-kg Bags)**
Category	2025/26	2026/27 Forecast	Change
Total Production	178.8	189.7	+10.8
Arabica Production	94.4	105.9	+11.4
Robusta Production	84.4	83.8	-0.6

Brazil: Record Production and Arabica Rebound

Brazil’s combined Arabica and Robusta harvest is forecast at a record 71.9 million bags in 2026/27. This represents an increase of 8.9 million bags from the previous year. Arabica output is expected to rebound 9.5 million bags to 47.5 million, ending a five-year period of underperformance due to adverse weather conditions.

Timely rainfall during flowering in September and October ensured favorable fruit development. Near-record yields were achieved in Minas Gerais, where over 70% of Arabica coffee is grown. Robusta production is forecast to retreat 600,000 bags to 24.4 million following last year’s record harvest. Cooler temperatures combined with elevated rainfall lowered yields in Espirito Santo, where approximately 70% of Robusta is grown.

Brazil accounts for nearly 40% of world production and exerts significant influence on global supplies and prices. Brazil’s role in Arabica markets is even more pronounced, typically supplying between 40% and 50% depending on the biennial crop production cycle.

**Brazil Coffee Production Outlook 2026/27**
Category	2025/26	2026/27 Forecast	Change
Arabica Production	38.0 million bags	47.5 million bags	+9.5 million
Robusta Production	25.0 million bags	24.4 million bags	-0.6 million
Total Production	63.0 million bags	71.9 million bags	+8.9 million
Bean Exports	34.0 million bags	45.0 million bags	+11.0 million
Ending Stocks	3.9 million bags	4.4 million bags	+0.5 million

Global Consumption and Trade

World coffee bean exports are forecast 11.9 million bags higher to a record 131.4 million bags. This is driven by higher output in major producing countries. Global consumption is expected to rise to a record 179.7 million bags. The largest gains are occurring in the European Union and the United States.

Ending stocks are expected to rise for a second consecutive year to 26.3 million bags. This follows a significant drawdown between 2020/21 and 2024/25, when global ending stocks fell 15.5 million bags. While stocks are recovering, they remain below the long-term average.

**World Coffee Summary 2026/27 (Million 60-kg Bags)**
Category	2025/26	2026/27 Forecast	Change
World Production	178.8	189.7	+10.8
World Bean Exports	119.5	131.4	+11.9
World Consumption	173.5	179.7	+6.3
Ending Stocks	24.4	26.3	+1.9

Country-by-Country Production Highlights

Vietnam production is forecast to increase 800,000 bags to a record 32.5 million. Expanding area and higher yields drive this growth. Recent high prices allowed growers to increase expenditures on fertilizers. Bean exports are forecast up 300,000 bags to 25.4 million. Domestic consumption is expected to reach a record 5.0 million bags.

Colombia output is expected to rise 900,000 bags to 13.4 million. Adequate soil moisture from last year’s excessive rains supports this growth. Increased utilization of fertilizers and pesticides also contributes. Bean exports, mostly to the United States and European Union, are forecast up 500,000 bags to 12.2 million.

Ethiopia is forecast to increase output by more than 500,000 bags to a record 12.1 million. Higher area and yield drive this growth. Over the last four years, growth has been driven by replacement of over half of the cultivated area with higher-yielding varieties. Bean exports are forecast up nearly 200,000 bags to 7.1 million.

Central America and Mexico production is forecast to rise nearly 600,000 bags to 17.7 million. Rebounding output in Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, and Panama contribute to this growth. Honduras is expected to account for nearly all the region’s growth, rebounding 500,000 bags to 6.0 million.

Indonesia production is forecast to drop 1.0 million bags to 11.4 million. Robusta output is expected to decrease 1.0 million bags to 10.0 million due to lower yields. Excessive rainfall disrupted flowering and cherry formation in Southern Sumatra and Java. Reduced output is expected to cut bean exports by over 800,000 bags to 7.0 million.

**Key Country Production 2026/27 (Million 60-kg Bags)**
Country	2025/26	2026/27 Forecast	Change
Brazil	63.0	71.9	+8.9
Vietnam	31.7	32.5	+0.8
Colombia	12.5	13.4	+0.9
Ethiopia	11.6	12.1	+0.5
Indonesia	12.4	11.4	-1.0
Honduras	5.5	6.0	+0.5
Uganda	7.1	7.2	+0.1

Price Impact of Rising Supplies

Coffee prices have dropped 25% over the last seven months as additional supplies became available. This is measured by the International Coffee Organization monthly composite price index. The improving supply situation reflects record production and rising ending stocks.

However, ending stocks remain below the long-term average. Weather developments in key producing regions, particularly Minas Gerais in Brazil, remain the primary indicator for world market conditions. The biennial production cycle in Brazil continues to shape global supply and price expectations.

Revisions to 2025/26 Estimates

World production is unchanged from the December 2025 estimate of 178.8 million bags. Vietnam is raised 900,000 bags to 31.7 million on higher yields. Peru is up nearly 600,000 bags to 4.8 million. Colombia is lowered 1.3 million bags to 12.5 million due to excessive rain and cloud cover. Guatemala is reduced nearly 400,000 bags to 3.2 million due to coffee cherry borer and coffee rust.

World bean exports are revised down 4.3 million bags to 119.5 million. Brazil is lowered 3.0 million bags to 34.0 million due to lower shipments to the EU and United States. Ethiopia is reduced over 800,000 bags to 6.9 million on higher-than-anticipated domestic consumption. Vietnam is up 500,000 bags to 25.1 million on higher output.

Key Takeaways for the Coffee Industry

Record global production is expected to boost supplies significantly. Brazil’s Arabica rebound after five years of underperformance is particularly notable. This could help replenish global inventories that were drawn down in previous years.

Ending stocks are forecast to rise for a second consecutive year. However, they remain below the long-term average. Weather developments in Minas Gerais remain the primary indicator for world market conditions. Coffee prices have fallen 25% in seven months, reflecting improved supply. Producers and traders should monitor Brazil’s production cycle closely, as it heavily influences global market conditions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the forecast for global coffee production in 2026/27?World production is forecast at a record 189.7 million bags, up 10.8 million from the previous year.

What is Brazil’s production forecast?Brazil is forecast at a record 71.9 million bags, driven by a 9.5 million bag Arabica rebound.

What is the global consumption forecast?Global consumption is expected to rise to a record 179.7 million bags, with the largest gains in the EU and US.

What are ending stocks expected to be?Ending stocks are expected to rise for a second consecutive year to 26.3 million bags.

How have coffee prices responded to increased supply?Coffee prices have dropped 25% over the last seven months as additional supplies became available.

Which countries are driving production growth?Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, Ethiopia, and Uganda are all posting production increases, while Indonesia declines.

Coffee Drinkers Shift to Whole Beans as Prices Soar

Posted on July 21, 2026 by Qahwa World

Source: Qahwa World / Lavazza Group
Author: Editorial Team
Date: July 21, 2026

Coffee Drinkers Shift to Whole Beans as Prices Soar

Consumers are buying less but better coffee as global prices remain elevated.
Whole bean demand surged 46% year-over-year, according to consumer data.
Home brewing equipment sales jumped: drip coffee makers up 66%, espresso machines up 50%.
Lavazza reported strong 2025 revenue of €3.9 billion, up 15.7%.
Lavazza plans to launch Tablì, a sustainable single-serve system using compressed coffee tablets.
Nielsen data shows whole bean sales outpacing overall coffee category across UK and Europe.
Price volatility is expected to persist, with no retail price cuts in sight.

Global coffee prices have remained elevated for four consecutive years. Consumers are adapting by buying less but better. This trend toward whole bean coffee and bean-to-cup machines represents a significant market shift.

Giuseppe Lavazza, Chairman of the Lavazza Group, called it the sector’s most important trend. “People are looking for beans,” he said. “They enjoy replicating the coffee shop experience at home. Maybe they prefer to consume a little less but of better quality.”

The Trend Emerged in 2024

This shift did not appear overnight. Early indicators were visible in 2024, well before the price peaks of 2025 intensified the movement. Pattern, a consumer demand analysis firm, reported whole bean coffee demand surged 46% year-over-year. This growth was accompanied by strong increases in home brewing equipment.

Drip coffee makers rose 66%. Espresso machines increased 50%. Accessories such as bean storage also grew 20%. The report highlighted a broader move toward serious at-home coffee preparation. Whole beans serve as the starting point for better freshness and flavor.

Multiple National Coffee Association surveys showed sustained high levels of at-home coffee consumption. Around 81% of past-day drinkers consumed coffee at home in some periods. Out-of-home consumption recovered post-pandemic, but the at-home habit remained strong. Consumers continued seeking premium experiences and better value.

**2024 Early Indicators – Consumer Demand Growth**
Category	Growth
Whole bean coffee demand	+46%
Drip coffee makers	+66%
Espresso machines	+50%
Bean storage accessories	+20%

Current Reality: Price Surge Accelerates Change

Record-high coffee prices in 2025 pushed the trend into the mainstream. Poor harvests in Brazil and Vietnam drove the price surge. Climate change impacts, geopolitical disruptions, and financial speculation also contributed.

Nielsen data for the year to May 2026 shows the shift clearly. In the United Kingdom, whole-bean sales rose 20.3% by volume. This far outpaced the overall at-home coffee category, which grew just 2.8%. Value sales jumped 36.8%, while bean-to-cup machine sales increased 33.5%.

In Europe, France saw 35% growth by value. Italy recorded 33% growth. Germany, Europe’s largest coffee market, saw 31.2% growth. Whole beans have now surpassed traditional roast-and-ground coffee in volume in Germany.

In the United States, the shift was more modest but consistent. Whole-bean unit sales rose 3.2% over 52 weeks to June 2026. Meanwhile, pod sales fell 4.9% and ground coffee declined 3.9%.

**Nielsen Data – Whole Bean Sales Growth (Year to May 2026)**
Market	Growth
United Kingdom (volume)	+20.3%
United Kingdom (value)	+36.8%
France (value)	+35.0%
Italy (value)	+33.0%
Germany (value)	+31.2%
United States (unit sales)	+3.2%

Why Prices Soared

The coffee market has faced four years of upheaval. Adverse weather and weak harvests in Brazil and Vietnam were key factors. Climate change impacts, including El Niño risks, added pressure. Geopolitical disruptions, higher shipping costs, and financial speculation in futures markets also played a role.

In the UK, at-home coffee prices rose another 6.3% in the year to May 2026. Roasters found it harder to manage costs by blending cheaper Robusta with Arabica. Both varieties hit record levels simultaneously.

Lavazza noted that futures prices have eased from 2025 peaks. However, the market remains too volatile for widespread retail price cuts. “We think there is not time to think about a possible cut in prices,” he said. “The possibility of another increase is not totally over.” At least two strong harvests in Brazil and Vietnam will be needed to rebuild global inventories.

Lavazza’s Performance and Strategic Response

Despite industry challenges, Lavazza reported strong 2025 results. Revenue reached €3.9 billion, up 15.7%. EBITDA rose 8.8% to €340 million. The company is innovating to stay ahead.

Lavazza plans to launch Tablì in the UK in September 2026. This is a single-serve system using compressed coffee tablets. It addresses waste and recycling concerns associated with plastic and aluminum pods. “Capsule is over,” Lavazza declared. “This is a new benchmark.”

Broader Implications and Future Outlook

Consumer behavior is evolving. Coffee remains recession-resistant. However, buyers are trading down in volume while trading up in quality and experience. The “less but better” philosophy reflects economic pressure and a desire for premium at-home rituals.

The pandemic-initiated home-brewing boom has become structural. Demand for whole beans rewards freshness, flavor complexity, and better value per cup. Persistent climate risks, cautious buying by roasters, and farmers holding stock in hope of higher prices continue to shape the market.

Volatility is now “the new constant,” according to Lavazza. Opportunities remain in premium home equipment, sustainable packaging innovations, and single-origin and specialty offerings.

“People are looking for beans and they enjoy maybe to replicate at home the experience of the coffee shop. Maybe they prefer to consume a little less but of better quality.”

— Giuseppe Lavazza, Chairman, Lavazza Group

Conclusion

What began as a noticeable trend in 2024 has evolved into a major market shift in 2026. Soaring prices amplified the movement. Consumers are not abandoning coffee. They are redefining how they enjoy it. As Lavazza observed, this represents a “fundamental transformation in terms of supply and demand.”

For roasters, retailers, and consumers alike, the message is clear. Quality, freshness, and thoughtful preparation are winning out in an era of higher costs and greater awareness.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the “less but better” coffee trend?Consumers are buying less coffee in volume but choosing higher quality whole beans and premium home brewing equipment to replicate café experiences at home.

How much did whole bean demand surge?Whole bean coffee demand surged 46% year-over-year, according to consumer demand analysis from Pattern.

What are the key market data highlights?In the UK, whole-bean sales rose 20.3% by volume. France saw 35% value growth, Italy 33%, and Germany 31.2%.

Why are coffee prices so high?Poor harvests in Brazil and Vietnam, climate change, geopolitical disruptions, and financial speculation have driven prices to record levels.

What is Lavazza’s new Tablì product?Tablì is a single-serve system using compressed coffee tablets instead of plastic or aluminum pods, addressing waste and recycling concerns.

Will coffee prices come down soon?Lavazza says prices remain too volatile for retail cuts. At least two strong harvests in Brazil and Vietnam are needed to rebuild inventories.

AHA Says Five Cups of Coffee Daily Safe for Adults

Posted on July 20, 2026 by Qahwa World

Source: Qahwa World
Author: Qahwa World
Date: July 20, 2026

AHA Says Five Cups of Coffee Daily Safe for Adults

American Heart Association statement says up to five cups of coffee daily is safe for most adults.
Three to five 8-ounce cups (about 400 mg caffeine) linked to lower risk of heart disease and stroke.
The statement published in Circulation journal analyzed dozens of studies on coffee and heart health.
Coffee may help heart health through increased exercise, diuretic effects, and reduced inflammation.
Some decaf coffee studies also show benefits due to polyphenols acting as antioxidants.
Energy drinks contain higher caffeine levels and may pose health risks, researchers warn.
Sugar, syrups, and saturated-fat creamers can dilute or eliminate coffee’s benefits.

There is good news for coffee drinkers. Up to five cups of coffee daily are safe for most adults. The brew may even have benefits for heart health. This comes from a new scientific statement by the American Heart Association.

Drinking three to five 8-ounce cups daily is linked to lower health risks. These include heart disease, heart failure, stroke, and Type 2 diabetes. The statement was published Monday in the journal Circulation.

Mixed Research Gets Much-Needed Clarity

Research on coffee and caffeine has been very mixed. Some studies show benefits. Others show health risks. The new statement provides much-needed clarity.

Dr. Eugenia Gianos is a cardiologist at Northwell Health in New York. She was not involved in the statement. She noted that the public is confused. Many clinicians also do not know how to guide their patients. She added that it is great that coffee might even have benefits. “We could even be recommending soon that people have coffee,” she said.

What the Study Found

The statement’s authors analyzed dozens of studies. They looked at the impact of coffee and caffeine on heart health. Researchers came from the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health. George Washington University and other institutions also participated.

Dr. Gregory M. Marcus is the statement’s lead author. He is a cardiologist at UC San Francisco. He said evidence for coffee’s safety and benefits has been building over time. Most studies are observational. They cannot prove cause and effect. However, there have been more randomized controlled trials in recent years. These show that coffee consumption can be beneficial for heart health.

**Key Findings from AHA Coffee Statement**
Finding	Detail
Safe daily intake	Up to five 8-ounce cups (approx. 400 mg caffeine)
Health benefits linked	Lower risk of heart disease, stroke, heart failure, Type 2 diabetes
Optimal range	Two to four cups daily
Decaf benefits	Also linked to lower diabetes and heart disease risk
Warning	Sugar, syrups, creamers dilute benefits
Energy drinks	Higher caffeine, potential health risks

Why Coffee Might Help the Heart

Scientists are still studying why caffeine might help the heart. People tend to exercise more on days they drink caffeinated coffee. Coffee acts as a diuretic and can lower blood pressure. Caffeine also blocks a substance that causes atrial fibrillation. This arrhythmia can lead to strokes.

Coffee contains other beneficial substances. These include polyphenols that act as antioxidants. They may reduce inflammation. This could explain why decaf coffee is also linked to lower risks of Type 2 diabetes and heart disease in some studies.

The Sweet Spot for Coffee Consumption

Research suggests the sweet spot for caffeinated coffee is two to four cups daily. This amount is enough to have a biological effect. It is not so much that it reaches toxic levels.

People have different responses to caffeine. Genetics and consumption habits play a role. “We all metabolize caffeine at different speeds,” Marcus said.

What to Avoid

The benefits of coffee can be diluted or eliminated by additives. Sugar, syrups, and creamers with saturated fat are problematic. The statement advises caution with these additions.

The AHA statement also examined other caffeine sources. Energy drinks often contain much higher caffeine levels than coffee. Some research has found they can lead to health problems. These include irregular heartbeats and high blood pressure. Marcus advises people to avoid energy drinks.

“Not only is the lay public confused about this topic, but many clinicians out there don’t know how to guide their patients. It is great that a drink so many people enjoy daily might even have benefits. We could even be recommending soon that people have coffee.”

— Dr. Eugenia Gianos, Northwell Health

“We all metabolize caffeine at different speeds.”

— Dr. Gregory M. Marcus, UC San Francisco

Implications for Public Health

The AHA statement offers clear guidance for consumers and clinicians. It suggests that moderate coffee consumption can be part of a heart-healthy lifestyle. The evidence supports coffee’s safety and potential benefits. However, individual responses vary. People should be mindful of additions like sugar and cream. Energy drinks should be avoided due to higher risks.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is it safe to drink five cups of coffee daily?Yes, according to the American Heart Association. Up to five 8-ounce cups daily (about 400 mg caffeine) are safe for most adults.

What are the health benefits of coffee?Moderate coffee consumption is linked to lower risk of heart disease, heart failure, stroke, and Type 2 diabetes.

What is the optimal number of cups per day?Research suggests the sweet spot is generally between two and four cups daily for cardiovascular benefits.

Is decaf coffee also beneficial?Yes, some studies show decaf coffee is also linked to lower risk of Type 2 diabetes and heart disease due to polyphenols.

Can additives reduce coffee’s benefits?Yes, sugar, syrups, and creamers with saturated fat can dilute or eliminate the health benefits of coffee.

Are energy drinks safe?Researchers advise avoiding energy drinks. They often contain much higher caffeine levels and have been linked to irregular heartbeats and high blood pressure.

Kazakhstan Coffee Culture: Rising Consumption and Health Effects

Posted on May 17, 2026 by Qahwa World

Author: Coffee World
Source: El.kz
Date: May 17, 2026

Executive Summary:

Coffee consumption in Kazakhstan rose by approximately 24 percent over the past year.
In the capital Astana, sales increased by 31 percent, while Almaty recorded a 16 percent rise.
The most coffee-consuming age group is between 18 and 40 years old.
Cappuccino and latte account for 77 percent of coffee shop sales.
The average price of a cappuccino is now 1160 tenge, an 8 percent increase from last year.
Scientific studies suggest coffee may protect against chronic diseases by interacting with NR4A1 receptors.
Doctors warn against excessive coffee consumption due to effects on sleep and the nervous system.

Coffee culture in Kazakhstan has seen a notable shift in recent years, becoming part of the daily routine for residents of major cities. Data indicates a rise in coffee consumption of nearly 24 percent over the past year, with even higher figures in major cities. In the capital Astana, sales increased by about 31 percent, while Almaty saw a 16 percent rise, making the capital one of the country’s most active coffee markets.

According to industry sources, a significant portion of urban residents choose coffee daily, especially those between 18 and 40 years old. Many buy at least one cup per day, and some consume several cups. Kazakhs often order coffee in the morning and the first half of the day when they need to focus on work and maintain concentration.

Shifts in Kazakhstan’s Coffee Culture

Coffee shop owners note that the primary audience consists of young and active citizens up to 35 or 40 years old. Drinks are often purchased on the way to work, during working hours, or in the evening after the day ends.

Classic milk-based drinks remain the most popular. Cappuccino and latte sales account for about 77 percent of total sales. Americano and black coffee hold a smaller share, but interest in filter coffee and alternative brewing methods is gradually growing.

Coffee experts confirm that many customers have become regular visitors. People increasingly return to the same coffee shops at specific times, whether in the morning, at lunchtime, or after work.

Coffee Prices in Kazakhstan

Drink prices in coffee shops have increased by about 8 percent over the past year. The average price of a cappuccino is currently about 1160 tenge, while a latte costs approximately 1200 tenge, and an Americano costs about 880 tenge.

Despite the price increase, the number of customers has not decreased. Industry insiders explain this by noting that coffee has become part of many people’s daily rhythm. Even with rising prices, people continue to buy their usual drinks, though some may choose smaller sizes or more affordable establishments.

Coffee from a Scientific Perspective

Interest in coffee from researchers is also growing. Scientists are studying how compounds in coffee can help the body fight age-related changes.

Research suggests that coffee may provide protective effects through interaction with the NR4A1 receptor, a protein associated with stress, inflammation, and cell regeneration. It was previously known that moderate coffee consumption is linked to a lower risk of chronic diseases, but the exact mechanism of this effect remained unclear for a long time.

Researchers at the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences have proven that polyphenols and chlorogenic acid can influence processes related to aging and inflammation. However, specialists emphasize that the effect depends on individual characteristics and is not universal.

Doctors remind about the importance of moderation. In small amounts, coffee can aid concentration and reduce fatigue, but excessive consumption can cause sleep problems, anxiety, and increased stress on the nervous system.

Most Popular Drinks in Kazakhstan

Drink	Sales Rank	Approximate Price (tenge)
Cappuccino	First	1160
Latte	Second	1200
Americano	Third	880

Classic milk-based drinks remain at the forefront in Kazakhstan. Cappuccino holds first place, followed by latte, then Americano, which is preferred by lovers of strong flavors.

Coffee experts note that Americano is especially popular in the morning. Customers often order it to go on their way to work or during short breaks.

Women tend to choose milk-based drinks and seasonal offerings, while men prefer stronger options like Americano and espresso. At the same time, tastes are gradually diversifying, with a growing number of customers trying filter coffee, cold drinks, and alternative brewing methods.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. How much did coffee consumption increase in Kazakhstan over the past year?

Coffee consumption in Kazakhstan rose by approximately 24 percent, with a 31 percent increase in Astana and a 16 percent increase in Almaty.

2. What is the most coffee-consuming age group?

The age group from 18 to 40 years old consumes the most coffee in Kazakhstan.

3. What are current coffee prices in Kazakhstan?

The average price of a cappuccino is about 1160 tenge, a latte is 1200 tenge, and an Americano is 880 tenge, an 8 percent increase from last year.

4. What are the potential health benefits of coffee?

Studies suggest coffee may protect against chronic diseases by interacting with the NR4A1 receptor, a protein associated with stress, inflammation, and cell regeneration.

5. What are the harms of excessive coffee consumption?

Excessive coffee consumption can cause sleep problems, anxiety, and increased stress on the nervous system, so doctors recommend moderation.

6. Which drinks do women prefer and which do men prefer?

Women prefer milk-based drinks and seasonal offerings, while men prefer stronger drinks like Americano and espresso.

Qahwa World – Report based on data from the El.kz.Published: May 17, 2026

Russia Transforms from Tea Country to Coffee Country

Posted on May 17, 2026May 17, 2026 by Qahwa World

Author: Qahwa World
Source: Industry reports and TASS news agency
Date: May 17, 2026

Executive Summary:

Economist Svetlana Ilyashenko announces that Russia has completely transformed from a tea country to a coffee country.
The turning point was 2016, when coffee imports exceeded tea imports for the first time in history by 4 percent.
Russian per capita coffee consumption rose from 200 grams per year to 2.1 kilograms by 2021.
Ready-made coffee sales in retail stores increased by 50 percent in 2025 alone.
The share of large supermarket chains in the hot beverage market jumped from 17 percent in 2023 to 35 percent in 2026.
Coffee history in Russia dates back 360 years to 1665 when it was prescribed as medicine to Tsar Alexis I.
Peter the Great introduced coffee to the Russian court after his trip to Holland and ordered the first cafes to open in 1724.
The Russian “Raf” coffee drink has become a globally recognized achievement within specialty coffee culture.

Economist Svetlana Ilyashenko, Associate Professor in the Trade Policy Department at Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, announced that Russia has completed its historic transformation to become a coffee country in every sense. This transformation comes after Russia remained a traditional tea country for centuries. Ilyashenko confirmed to TASS that statistics prove this fact beyond dispute. The decisive turning point came in 2016, when coffee import volumes exceeded tea imports for the first time in history by 4 percent.

The numbers tell the story of a silent but rapid revolution. At the beginning of the millennium, Russian per capita coffee consumption did not exceed 200 grams per year. Today, that figure has increased more than tenfold. By 2021, consumption reached 2.1 kilograms per person, and growth remained strong in recent years. In 2025 alone, ready-made coffee sales in retail stores increased by 50 percent. The share of large supermarket chains in the hot beverage market jumped from 17 percent in 2023 to 35 percent in 2026.

What is more striking is that coffee is no longer an additional drink. It has replaced tea in its traditional position as the daily morning drink, as well as a drink for business and professional meetings. This transformation is not just a change in numbers. It is a deep cultural shift.

A Long Historical Journey Spanning More Than 360 Years

The beginnings of coffee in Russia go back more than 360 years. In 1665, the English doctor Samuel Collins prescribed coffee to Tsar Alexis I as an effective remedy against headaches, colds, and bloating. Coffee at that time was imported from Persia and the Ottomans. It was very rare and expensive. People did not view it as a daily drink, but rather as a rare medicine.

The pivotal moment came with Tsar Peter the Great. During his grand tour of Europe between 1697 and 1698, and during his stay in Holland, he came to love coffee very much. He returned to Russia determined to spread it. He introduced coffee to the court and to official assemblies known as assemblées. He ordered it to be served for free to visitors in the Kunstkamera, Russia’s first museum. In 1724, he issued an order to open simple coffee houses in Saint Petersburg.

The elite continued to monopolize coffee throughout the 18th century. Empress Anna Ivanovna opened the first real coffee house in 1740. Catherine the Great was one of coffee’s biggest fans. She drank 4 to 6 cups per day, and often prepared them herself.

The 19th Century: Coffee Houses Become Cultural Centers

In the 19th century, coffee houses transformed into important cultural centers in Moscow and Saint Petersburg. People gathered at famous places like the Wolf and Beranger coffee house in Petersburg. It is said that the poet Alexander Pushkin visited this coffee house before his final duel. Coffee’s popularity increased after the War of 1812, when Russian soldiers returned from Europe loving this drink. Despite that, tea remained the most popular drink. This was due to its extensive trade with China and its low price compared to coffee.

During the Soviet era, coffee became a luxury and rare commodity. It was sometimes viewed as a bourgeois drink. Tea, however, remained the daily drink for all people due to its availability and low price.

The Real Revolution After 1991

After the collapse of the Soviet Union, doors opened wide. 1996 saw the opening of the first modern coffee chain called Coffee Bean. Then major Russian chains emerged such as Coffee House, Shokoladnitsa, and Kofemania. In 2007, Starbucks entered the Russian market.

Since 2010, the second and third waves of coffee culture have spread across Russia. Specialty coffee spread, along with high-quality beans and alternative brewing methods. The Russian “Raf” drink became a globally recognized achievement. In 2016, the historic turning point that Ilyashenko spoke about occurred, with coffee imports exceeding tea imports for the first time.

Coffee to Go: The New Lifestyle

Today, the “coffee to go” style rules in Russia. In Moscow, the number of fast coffee points increased by 5 percent in 2025. In contrast, traditional coffee houses declined by 12 percent. Large supermarket chains such as Pyaterochka, Magnit, Lenta, and others have entered the coffee market strongly. These stores use coffee to attract customers and increase the average check. They also benefit from their massive scale to offer competitive prices.

A Deep Cultural Shift, Not Just Numbers

This is no longer just an increase in consumption. It is a change in lifestyle and daily rituals. Coffee has become a symbol of the new generation, specifically the age group from 25 to 45 years. Coffee has become the drink of productivity, work, quick meetings, and fast-paced urban life. Tea, meanwhile, remains associated with family warmth and classical traditions.

Russia has not only imported coffee culture. It has developed its own version of coffee culture. This unique blend combines American speed, European quality, and traditional Russian hospitality.

Key Data: Russia’s Transformation into a Coffee Country

Indicator	Value
Per capita consumption in 2000	200 grams per year
Per capita consumption in 2021	2.1 kg per year
Ready-made coffee sales increase 2025	50 percent
Supermarket chain share of hot beverages 2023	17 percent
Supermarket chain share 2026	35 percent
Turning point for coffee vs tea imports	2016
Fast coffee point increase in Moscow 2025	5 percent
Traditional coffee house decline in Moscow 2025	12 percent

Future Forecast for the Russian Coffee Market

Svetlana Ilyashenko expects continued strong growth in the coming years. Growth will be noticeable especially in several areas. First is cold coffee, which is growing in popularity during summer. Second is specialty coffee, which attracts lovers of unique flavors. Third is home coffee subscriptions, which offer convenience to consumers. Fourth is luxury coffee machines, which have become a symbol of upscale homes and offices.

The conclusion that can be drawn from the expert’s statements is that coffee has won in Russia. The transformation has become an irreversible reality. The only remaining question now is: what will the Russian coffee culture look like in the next two or three decades?

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. When did coffee imports exceed tea imports in Russia for the first time?

That happened in 2016, when coffee import volumes exceeded tea imports by 4 percent, according to expert Svetlana Ilyashenko.

2. What was Russian per capita coffee consumption in 2021?

Russian per capita coffee consumption reached 2.1 kilograms per year by 2021, compared to just 200 grams at the beginning of the millennium.

3. Who first introduced coffee to Russia?

Tsar Peter the Great introduced coffee to Russia after his trip to Europe and Holland, where he loved the drink and ordered it to be served at court and in coffee houses.

4. What is the Russian “Raf” coffee drink?

The “Raf” drink is a Russian innovation in the coffee world that has become globally recognized. It falls within specialty coffee culture.

5. How has coffee consumption style changed recently in Russia?

The “coffee to go” style has spread significantly. Fast coffee points in Moscow increased by 5 percent in 2025, while traditional coffee houses declined by 12 percent.

6. What areas does the expert expect to grow in the Russian coffee market?

Svetlana Ilyashenko expects strong growth in cold coffee, specialty coffee, home subscriptions, and luxury coffee machines.

Qahwa World – Report based on statements by economist Svetlana Ilyashenko to the TASS news agency, with data from Plekhanov Russian University of Economics.
Published: May 17, 2026. Figures subject to updates based on latest official releases.

International Coffee Organization Releases 2024/25 Annual Report

Posted on May 11, 2026May 11, 2026 by Qahwa World

Author: Qahwa World – Dubai | Source: International Coffee Organization | Date: May 11, 2026The following article provides an overview of the International Coffee Organization annual report 2024 2025 and its key findings. Moreover, this analysis highlights the importance of the International Coffee Organization annual report 2024 2025 for industry professionals and stakeholders.

The International Coffee Organization has released its Annual Review for coffee year 2024/25, a comprehensive official document covering sector performance and institutional developments from October 2024 to September 2025. This Annual Review forms a core part of the International Coffee Organization annual report 2024 2025 series.

The report serves as the primary reference for policymakers, researchers, and coffee industry stakeholders, documenting key developments in the global coffee sector alongside the Organization achievements at both international and institutional levels.

Key Highlights from the Report

ICO composite indicator price rose 52 percent to 306.6 US cents per pound
Organization granted UN General Assembly observer status in December 2024
G7 recognized coffee as strategic sector for first time since 1970s
World coffee production estimated at 177.5 million bags, up 5.2 percent
Global consumption increased 1.4 percent to 175.1 million bags
ICO membership comprises 75 countries

Market Data

According to the report, the ICO composite indicator price averaged 306.6 US cents per pound during the coffee year, a 52 percent increase from the previous year. This average remains 118.3 percent higher than the ten-year average. Prices ranged between 250.5 and 354.4 US cents per pound during the period, as detailed in the International Coffee Organization annual report 2024 2025.

Brazilian Naturals saw the strongest growth among Arabica groups, rising 67 percent to 342.2 US cents per pound. Colombian Mids and Other Mids increased 57.9 percent and 58.9 percent respectively. The Robusta group indicator grew 29 percent to 225.7 US cents per pound.

World coffee production for 2024/25 is estimated at 177.5 million bags, up 5.2 percent. This comprises 102.1 million bags of Arabica and 75.4 million bags of Robusta. Global coffee consumption increased 1.4 percent to 175.1 million bags.

Institutional Achievements

In December 2024, the ICO was officially granted observer status in the UN General Assembly. Observer status recognizes the Organization relevance and enables it to contribute to international dialogue and policymaking while advocating for the global coffee sector at the highest level.

The G7 recognized coffee as a strategic sector during the Development Ministers Meeting in Pescara, Italy, in October 2024. This recognition will lead to the launch of a Global Coffee Fund aimed at leveraging blended finance solutions to catalyze private investments as outlined in the International Coffee Organization annual report 2024 2025.

Sustainability Initiatives

The Coffee Public-Private Task Force continued its work on living and prosperous income, developing a Process Guide to help Member countries understand coffee farmer incomes and implement collective action.

The Coffee Sustainability Support Database was relaunched in June 2025 with improved interface, currently tracking nearly 500 projects supporting coffee sustainability in areas including climate action, regenerative agriculture, and farmer prosperity.

2025/26 Priorities

The report identifies seven strategic priorities: strengthening governance, enhancing data transparency, promoting coffee as part of the solution to global challenges, advancing sustainability, scaling innovation, strengthening partnerships, and elevating coffee in global policy agendas including COP31.

ICO membership currently includes 75 countries, comprising 42 exporting members and 33 importing members. The Organization operates in four official languages: English, French, Spanish, and Portuguese.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the ICO Annual Report?
It is an official document published annually by the International Coffee Organization reviewing global coffee sector performance and institutional developments.

What period does the 2024/25 report cover?
It covers October 2024 to September 2025. The report was released in May 2026. For further context, refer to the International Coffee Organization annual report 2024 2025.

What was the average coffee price according to the report?
The ICO composite indicator averaged 306.6 US cents per pound, a 52 percent increase from the previous year.

What are the key institutional achievements documented?
UN General Assembly observer status and G7 recognition of coffee as a strategic sector.

How many countries are ICO members?
75 countries, including 42 exporting members and 33 importing members.

Author: Qahwa World – Dubai | Source: International Coffee Organization | Date: May 11, 2026

Yannis Apostolopoulos: Rising Coffee Consumption Reshapes Global Market Dynamics

Posted on May 7, 2026May 7, 2026 by Qahwa World

Bangkok – Qahwa World

Chief Executive of the Specialty Coffee Association, Yannis Apostolopoulos, told the Bangkok Post that the global coffee market is undergoing a structural transformation, as coffee-producing countries are no longer limited to exporting but are also emerging as major consumption markets, reshaping global demand dynamics.

He noted that this shift is clearly visible in countries such as Brazil, which combines its position as one of the world’s largest coffee producers with being one of the fastest-growing consumption markets. Brazil currently ranks just after the United States in coffee consumption, with expectations that it could eventually become the world’s largest coffee-consuming nation, significantly influencing global supply and demand balance.

Apostolopoulos also highlighted the rapid growth of Thailand’s coffee market, both in terms of consumption and service quality development. He pointed to the expansion of specialty coffee shops and rising consumer awareness, alongside the emergence of local producers delivering high-quality coffee with distinctive sensory profiles. He added that Thailand’s development trajectory resembles the earlier evolution of South Korea’s coffee culture.

Regarding the concept of specialty coffee, he explained that it involves transforming coffee from a traditional commodity into a value-based product that can be measured through precise criteria. These include origin, variety, processing method, and sensory characteristics, all of which enhance transparency and increase market value.

He further noted that the sector is supported by global training programmes reaching around 80,000 participants annually, covering brewing, roasting, and sensory skills, as well as specialised programmes in sustainability, equipment maintenance, and coffee shop management. New initiatives have also been launched to support the retail sector and entrepreneurs.

Commenting on rising global coffee prices, Apostolopoulos said the increase is driven by multiple factors, including climate change, production disruptions, and imbalances between supply and demand. He stressed that current prices more accurately reflect market realities compared to previous years, particularly as past prices had fallen below production costs before climate pressures, supply chain disruptions, and the Covid-19 pandemic significantly altered the market.

The remarks come as World of Coffee Bangkok 2026 is being held at BITEC, Halls 98–99, from Thursday to Saturday, bringing together global stakeholders from across the coffee industry in a professional platform aimed at strengthening trade, partnerships, and the development of the specialty coffee sector.

Brazil’s Coffee Market Growth: How Domestic Consumption Strengthens the Industry

Posted on May 6, 2026May 6, 2026 by Qahwa World

Dubai – Qahwa World

Brazil continues to lead the global coffee industry, not only as the largest producer but also as one of the biggest consumers. This balance between production and domestic demand has created a resilient coffee sector that can adapt to global market shifts.

Key Insights

Brazil is a top global coffee producer and consumer.
Specialty coffee accounts for approximately 5–10% of the domestic market.
Urban demand is driving growth in premium and traceable coffee.
Strong local consumption helps offset export market risks.

Brazil’s Coffee Production and Domestic Demand

Brazil’s coffee production continues to expand, with forecasts pointing to record output in the coming seasons. At the same time, domestic consumption remains strong, supporting the industry from within.

Coffee is deeply embedded in Brazilian culture, consumed daily across all regions and social groups. This widespread consumption provides stability, even during periods of global trade uncertainty.

In recent years, specialty coffee has emerged as a fast-growing segment. More consumers are seeking higher-quality beans, better traceability, and unique flavour profiles, contributing to a shift in purchasing behaviour.

The Historical Roots of Coffee Culture in Brazil

Coffee has been part of Brazil’s identity for centuries. Since its introduction in the 18th century, cultivation has expanded across major regions such as Minas Gerais, São Paulo, and Rio de Janeiro.

As Brazil became a dominant force in global coffee production, it also developed a strong domestic coffee tradition. One of the most iconic examples is cafezinho, a small, sweetened coffee that remains a staple of daily life.

Historically, higher-quality beans were exported, while domestic consumption focused on darker roasts. However, industry efforts in the early 2000s helped improve quality awareness among consumers, encouraging a more refined approach to coffee drinking.

The Rise of Specialty Coffee in Brazil

Brazil’s specialty coffee sector has grown steadily over the past two decades. Industry initiatives, competitions, and educational programs have encouraged producers to prioritise quality alongside volume.

Consumers are now more interested in origin, processing methods, and sensory characteristics. This shift is particularly evident in major cities, where independent cafés and roasters are shaping modern coffee culture.

While traditional brewing methods remain popular, espresso-based drinks and manual brewing techniques such as pour-over are becoming more common in homes and cafés.

Balancing Volume and Quality

Brazil’s strength lies in its ability to produce coffee at scale while improving quality standards. Many producers are expanding their roles, investing in technology, and developing new strategies to differentiate their products.

A strong domestic market supports these efforts by creating opportunities to sell higher-value coffee locally, increasing profitability and reducing reliance on exports.

Responding to Global Market Challenges

Global trade disruptions have highlighted the importance of domestic consumption. In recent years, uncertainty in export markets has encouraged Brazilian producers to diversify their strategies.

Some are focusing more on local sales, strengthening internal supply chains and supporting long-term industry stability.

Future Outlook for Brazil’s Coffee Industry

Brazil’s coffee sector remains one of the most advanced and adaptable in the world. Its combination of large-scale production, strong domestic consumption, and a growing specialty segment positions it for continued success.

As other coffee-producing countries aim to expand their domestic markets, Brazil provides a clear example of how internal demand can support sustainable growth.

Brazil Breeds New Coffee to Face Climate Threat

Brazil’s Robusta Coffee Expands as Climate Hits Global Crops

Asia-Pacific Coffee Consumption Trends Report

Posted on April 22, 2026April 23, 2026 by Qahwa World

Dubai – Qahwa World

Sucafina published an important report today titled “Inside Asia Pacific’s Evolving Coffee Consumption Landscape.” Due to its relevance for understanding shifting global coffee demand, Coffee World is republishing the findings to help raise awareness of the key trends shaping the region’s coffee markets.

Coffee consumption across the Asia-Pacific region is undergoing rapid transformation, shaped by premiumization, evolving lifestyles, and the parallel growth of convenience-driven and specialty coffee segments. Markets including Taiwan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand, China, and Japan are each following distinct development paths while sharing broader regional dynamics.

Taiwan: A Dual-Track Consumption Market

Taiwan’s coffee market is strongly influenced by young urban consumers and fast-paced city lifestyles. Convenience-store chains such as 7-ELEVEN (CITY CAFÉ and CITY PRIMA) and FamilyMart (Let’s Café) dominate daily consumption, offering consistent quality and accessible pricing.
At the same time, specialty cafés are expanding, driven by consumer interest in origin, processing methods, and brewing techniques. Domestic specialty production is also emerging, particularly in regions such as Alishan, though limited supply and high prices remain constraints.
The result is a dual-market structure where convenience-driven and experience-focused consumption coexist. Taiwan imported around 726,000 bags in 2025, reflecting steady growth supported by premiumization and stable commercial demand.

South Korea: A Highly Polarized “Barbell” Market

South Korea remains one of the highest per-capita coffee-consuming markets in Asia, with annual consumption estimated at 400–420 cups per person. The market is increasingly polarized between low-cost franchise chains and high-end specialty cafés, with limited space for mid-tier operators.
Industry standards have risen significantly, with many chains now avoiding lower-scoring commercial beans and instead emphasizing higher-quality offerings. Specialty cafés are differentiating through rare origins, unique varieties, and enhanced in-store experiences.
Ready-to-drink coffee continues to grow at a steady rate, supported by office workers and home café culture. Decaf consumption has also expanded consistently over the long term, while demand for African and Latin American specialty coffees continues to rise.

Australia & New Zealand: Shift Toward At-Home Consumption

In Australia and New Zealand, rising living costs are reshaping coffee consumption patterns. While overall demand remains strong, more consumers are shifting away from cafés toward supermarkets, e-commerce, subscription services, and ready-to-drink formats.
The market is becoming increasingly polarized between value-driven private label products and premium, traceable specialty offerings, particularly in New Zealand. Fresh coffee is showing strong supermarket growth, while instant coffee and pods are stabilizing.
New trends include iced and infused coffee formats, as well as growing demand for premium decaf and alternative beverages. Despite cost pressures across the supply chain, daily coffee consumption remains high across both markets.

China: Rapid Expansion Driven by Low Prices and Scale

China continues to be one of the fastest-growing coffee markets globally, supported by rapid consumer adoption and highly efficient supply chains. Large coffee chains dominate the market through extensive store networks and price-competitive offerings.
Average cup prices remain low, contributing to strong mass-market accessibility but also increasing pressure on premium positioning. Consumer preferences continue to lean toward milk-based and blended beverages, driving continuous menu innovation.
Import demand remains strong and evolving, with shifts in sourcing origins reflecting the market’s rapid development.

Japan: Mature and Stable Consumption Market

Japan’s coffee market is highly mature, with long-established consumption habits and relatively stable demand. While demographic aging has contributed to slight declines, overall consumption remains steady.
The country imports significant volumes of green coffee and soluble coffee annually. A strong ready-to-drink culture persists, supported by widespread vending machine distribution and convenience store expansion.
Specialty coffee remains a smaller segment but continues to grow through curated and experiential offerings. One emerging format is the “coffee omakase,” a highly curated tasting experience that emphasizes exclusivity and craftsmanship.

Regional Outlook: Fragmentation and Innovation

Across Asia-Pacific, coffee demand remains structurally strong, with continued expansion in both commercial and specialty segments. However, markets are increasingly fragmented, with clear separation between value-driven and premium consumer behavior.
Innovation in both product development and café concepts is becoming a defining factor in competitiveness. Across the region, operators are adapting to increasingly distinct local demand patterns, reinforcing Asia-Pacific’s role as a key driver of global coffee market evolution.

Russia’s Green Coffee Market Records Historic Growth in 2026

Posted on April 15, 2026April 15, 2026 by Qahwa World

Mocow-QahwaWorld

Russia’s green coffee market posted significant growth in 2026, supported by rising global prices and sustained domestic demand, according to a recent analysis by ROIF Expert. The expansion reflects not only higher market value but also increased import volumes and consumption levels, reinforcing Russia’s position as a key destination for global coffee exporters.

Market Value Jumps by 92 Billion Rubles

The market value of green coffee increased by approximately 92 billion rubles between its lowest and highest recent levels, marking one of the strongest gains in the sector. The growth is largely attributed to higher global coffee prices, influenced by weather-related challenges in major producing countries such as Brazil and Vietnam.

While import volumes continued to rise, value growth outpaced physical expansion, reflecting sustained price pressure across global supply chains.

Imports Remain the Core Driver

Russia relies almost entirely on imports to meet its green coffee demand. Between 2025 and 2026, total import volumes reached around 286,000 tons.

Import value increased by 45.5% in the first nine months of 2025, reaching $924.7 million
Vietnam recorded a 1.5x increase in exports
Brazil nearly doubled its export volumes
Indonesia strengthened its position among top suppliers with 1.6x growth

Despite ongoing sanctions, supply flows remained stable. The primary challenge involved payment restrictions, prompting companies to adapt through alternative channels, including intermediary countries such as Turkey, China, and the UAE, as well as increased direct shipping routes.

Consumption Reaches Record Levels

Consumption indicators show continued growth, with per capita coffee consumption reaching its highest recorded levels. Approximately 70% of the population consumes coffee daily, while a majority consider it an essential part of their routine.

Home consumption is expected to grow by 15% by the end of 2026, alongside increasing demand for specialty coffee and whole beans.

Shifts in Supply Chains

Supply chains are gradually shifting toward Asian producers, particularly Vietnam and Indonesia, while overall trade flows remain relatively stable. At the same time, the market continues to face pricing pressures and logistical risks linked to geopolitical factors.

Outlook Through 2033

The baseline scenario outlined in the report suggests steady growth over the coming years, supported by consistent demand and expanding import activity.

Projected annual growth between 3% and 5.5%
Moderate increase in global price levels
Continued rise in per capita consumption
Further diversification of import sources

The market is expected to maintain positive momentum, demonstrating resilience in the face of external pressures.

Implications for Industry Stakeholders

The Russian market offers strong opportunities for global exporters, given its full dependence on imports. Domestic players are increasingly focused on higher-quality offerings and cost management, while consumers benefit from a broader range of products.

From an investment perspective, the sector shows the ability to convert price pressures into growth drivers, enhancing its medium-term appeal.

Conclusion

Russia’s green coffee market in 2026 reflects a mature and resilient sector. The sharp increase in market value and sustained demand indicate a continued upward trajectory, with growth expected to extend through the end of the decade.

Coffee Still Leads US Beverage Choices in 2026, NCA Finds

Posted on April 14, 2026April 15, 2026 by Qahwa World

Dubai – Qahwa World

According to the Spring 2026 National Coffee Data Trends (NCDT) report released by the National Coffee Association (NCA), coffee continues to rank as the most popular beverage among American adults. Nearly 195 million U.S. adults — roughly 73% of the adult population — drink coffee each week, maintaining its position at the top of the country’s beverage hierarchy.

Past-day consumption remains steady at 66% of American adults, consistent with levels observed since 2022. Weekly drinking habits show similar stability. This confirms coffee’s enduring role in daily life, surpassing other beverages such as bottled water, tea, soda, and juice in long-running surveys dating back to 1950.

Key highlights from the Spring 2026 NCDT report

The data, collected between January 5 and 20, 2026, from a nationally representative sample of 1,850 U.S. adults who consumed a beverage other than tap water in the previous day, reveals several consistent and evolving patterns:

Morning rituals and home brewing dominate: Among past-day coffee drinkers, 82% prepare their coffee at home, while 28% have it prepared away from home. Consumption remains highly habitual: 86% drink coffee first thing in the morning, followed by 38% later in the morning, 22% in the afternoon, and 11% in the evening. These patterns have shown little change since 2022, underscoring coffee’s deep integration into daily routines.
Traditional coffee holds firm: 62% of American adults consumed traditional coffee in the past week, unchanged from 2022.
Specialty coffee sees notable growth: Past-week specialty coffee consumption has risen by 9.4% since 2022, increasing from 53% to 58% of American adults. This growth is largely driven by espresso-based beverages, which rose from 40% to 45% in past-week consumption. Specific increases include:
- Lattes: from 17% to 21%
- Straight espresso: from 16% to 20%

This shift reflects growing consumer interest in café-style drinks, likely supported by the rise of at-home espresso machines, premium pods, and broader engagement with specialty coffee culture.

NCA leadership on coffee’s lasting role

NCA President and CEO Bill Murray said:

“Coffee has long been a touchstone in Americans’ daily lives and a powerhouse in our economy, adapting to fit different tastes, trends, budgets, and routines over time. We expect that to continue for many decades to come.”

This adaptability is reflected in coffee’s economic impact. The industry supports 2.2 million U.S. jobs, operates in every state and territory, and contributes nearly $350 billion to the economy annually.

Why this matters

The 2026 findings highlight coffee’s resilience. While overall consumption has plateaued at historically high levels since 2022, the rise in specialty and espresso-based drinks points to a maturing market in which consumers increasingly prioritize quality, variety, and experience, whether at home or on the go.

As the longest-running study of its kind, conducted twice yearly since 1950, the NCDT remains a key benchmark for the coffee industry.

For the full Spring 2026 NCDT report, visit ncausa.org/NCDT. Media highlights are also available for download. The National Coffee Association, founded in 1911, represents businesses accounting for 90% of U.S. coffee commerce.

Top Coffee Consumers 2026

Posted on April 9, 2026 by Qahwa World

Dubai – Qahwa World

As of April 2026, global coffee consumption continues to grow despite earlier price volatility. According to the USDA’s December 2025 Coffee: World Markets and Trade report, world consumption for the 2025/26 coffee year (October 2025 to September 2026) reached a record 173.85 million 60-kg bags, up 1.3 percent year on year.

This steady rise comes as supply begins to recover, yet global stocks remain tight at around 20.1 million bags for the fifth consecutive year. The result is a more balanced market, though still sensitive to price movements.

Demand growth is driven by both mature and emerging markets. The United States, Brazil, and Europe continue to anchor global consumption, while Asia is rapidly expanding, led by the Philippines, China, Vietnam, and Indonesia. At the same time, early 2026 price easing has helped maintain strong consumption momentum.

Top 20 Coffee-Consuming Countries and Regions (2025/26 Forecast)

Rank	Country / Region	Consumption (M bags)	% Global
1	European Union	41.87	24%
2	United States	26.55	15%
3	Brazil	22.28	13%
4	Philippines	6.75	3.9%
5	Japan	6.72	3.9%
6	China	5.85	3.4%
7	Canada	5.20	3.0%
8	Vietnam	4.90	2.8%
9	Indonesia	4.81	2.8%
10	Russia	4.58	2.6%
11	United Kingdom	4.33	2.5%
12	Ethiopia	3.70	2.1%
13	South Korea	3.40	2.0%
14	Mexico	3.10	1.8%
15	Australia	2.60	1.5%
16	Colombia	2.27	1.3%
17	Algeria	2.05	1.2%
18	Turkey	1.75	1.0%
19	Saudi Arabia	1.50	0.9%
20	India	1.36	0.8%

Top 10 total: ~129.5 million bags (around 74% of global consumption).
Top 20 total: ~160.3 million bags (about 92% of global consumption).

Key Market Insights

Europe remains the largest consuming bloc, accounting for nearly a quarter of global demand, led by Germany, Italy, and France. Espresso culture and premium coffee continue to dominate.

The United States holds second place, driven by strong demand for specialty coffee, cold brew, and ready-to-drink beverages. It also remains the world’s largest coffee importer.

Brazil stands out as both a top producer and consumer, supported by a large domestic market and deeply rooted coffee culture.

Asia is the fastest-growing region. The Philippines, China, Vietnam, and Indonesia are expanding rapidly, fueled by urbanization, rising incomes, and café culture.

Emerging markets are gaining importance, including South Korea, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and India, where younger consumers and modern retail formats are accelerating coffee adoption.

Trends Shaping Coffee Consumption

Asia’s rapid expansion: The region now accounts for over a quarter of global demand and continues to grow quickly.
Premiumization: Consumers are increasingly choosing specialty, organic, and traceable coffees.
RTD and cold brew growth: Ready-to-drink products are among the fastest-growing segments globally.
Sustainability: Certifications and ethical sourcing are becoming standard expectations in many markets.
Price sensitivity: While coffee remains a daily habit, demand reacts to price changes, especially in emerging markets.

2026 Outlook

With global production expected to increase further, consumption is projected to continue rising toward 175 million bags or more. Growth will be led by Asia, alongside steady demand in Europe and North America.

For industry players, the focus is shifting toward value, innovation, and sustainability. From specialty cafés to ready-to-drink formats, the global coffee market in 2026 offers strong opportunities across both mature and emerging regions.

Summary

2026 marks another record year for global coffee consumption. Traditional markets provide stability, while emerging economies drive growth. The balance between supply recovery and rising demand is shaping a more dynamic and opportunity-rich global coffee landscape.