Iran War Drives Up Coffee Production Costs and Threatens Future Supply

Dubai – Qahwa World

The ongoing war involving Iran is increasing production costs in the global coffee sector, mainly due to rising fertilizer prices. These higher costs are raising concern among producers, analysts, and financial institutions about future supply and added pressure on smallholder farmers.

Recent industry assessments indicate that the current harvest cycle is mostly secure because key inputs have already been applied. However, the bigger risk is for the 2026/27 season if disruptions continue.

The situation is closely linked to instability in energy and fertilizer markets. The conflict has disrupted trade routes such as the Strait of Hormuz, an important passage for oil, gas, and agricultural inputs. This has contributed to higher global prices for fuel and fertilizers, both essential for coffee farming.

Fertilizer markets are under strain. Prices for key inputs like urea have increased significantly since the conflict began. Because fertilizer production depends heavily on natural gas, rising energy costs are making the situation worse.

For coffee farmers, especially smallholders, these increases are serious. Fertilizer represents a large part of production costs, and many farmers do not have strong financial protection against price swings. This directly affects their profitability.

In major coffee-producing countries, many growers rely on imported inputs, which makes them vulnerable to global supply shocks. At the same time, they are also dealing with currency changes, climate pressures, and labor shortages.

If the conflict continues to disrupt supply chains and energy markets, coffee production costs may keep rising, which could affect future harvest levels and global coffee supply.

Indonesia coffee output falls for second year as heavy rain disrupts harvest

Dubai – Qahwa World

Indonesia’s coffee production is set to decline for a second consecutive year in 2025–26 as excessive rainfall disrupts key growing regions, although industry participants say cup quality has remained stable due to reduced pressure on processing. Experts are closely watching the Indonesia coffee harvest 2026 to assess its impact on supply and quality.

Arabica and Robusta volumes are both expected to fall from last year’s levels, with Sumatra among the most affected origins after flooding and landslides restricted access to producing areas and disrupted harvest flows, according to Sucafina Indonesia. In addition, stakeholders are keenly monitoring how the Indonesia coffee harvest 2026 may influence these changes.

In Sumatra, the Arabica harvest has shown an unusual seasonal pattern, with the first phase producing less than the later months, reversing typical output trends. Other origins, including Java, Sulawesi, Bali and Flores, are expected to follow normal harvesting schedules but continue to face weather-related disruptions. Furthermore, the Indonesia coffee harvest 2026 is expected to show diverse patterns across these regions.

Despite lower production, quality has been supported by improved post-harvest attention. For coffee traders, the Indonesia coffee harvest 2026 outcomes will be essential to forecast quality and supply for the next cycle.

“Quality has been very good so far. With less production, processing capacity is less strained and each batch can receive full attention,” said Daniel Shewmaker, Managing Director at Sucafina Indonesia. On another note, coffee experts continue to anticipate fresh details about the harvest for Indonesia in 2026.

Robusta harvesting is underway in Sumatra at lower and mid elevations, with other regions to follow in the coming months. Output is also expected to decline due to persistent rainfall, an unusually large fly crop and an earlier-than-usual start to the season. Heavy rains are also complicating drying conditions across key areas, which could affect the Indonesia harvest for coffee in 2026.

Shewmaker said frequent rainfall was creating challenges for post-harvest processing. Indonesian coffee harvest 2026 analysis will be vital for understanding these processing difficulties.

At the same time, input costs are expected to rise later in the year, particularly fertiliser prices, which are being affected by volatility in global energy markets and geopolitical tensions. Notably, these factors may converge during the Indonesia 2026 coffee harvest season.

Sucafina Indonesia said it has expanded direct sourcing in Aceh, northwest Sumatra, increasing access to traceable coffee lots as part of efforts to strengthen supply chain coverage. This expansion is linked to the company’s response to the anticipated Indonesia coffee harvest trends in 2026.

The company also highlighted ongoing sustainability initiatives in Java and other producing regions, including farmer income programmes, savings groups, composting projects and access to agricultural inputs. Indonesia’s coffee harvest for 2026 will serve as a benchmark for these initiatives.

Early indicators from Sumatra suggest improved flowering conditions earlier this year, which could support a stronger main Arabica harvest beginning in October 2026, the company said. Overall, the Indonesia coffee harvest 2026 is likely to be memorable for its challenges and opportunities.

 

Global Coffee Leaders Launch First-Ever Deforestation Mapping Initiative

Amsterdam – Qahwa World

Leading global coffee companies have launched a landmark industry initiative aimed at transforming how deforestation risks are identified and managed across coffee-producing regions worldwide, through a unified satellite-based mapping system.

The Coffee Canopy Partnership brings together major players in the global coffee value chain, including JDE Peet’s, Louis Dreyfus Company, Sucden, Neumann Kaffee Gruppe, Touton, Sucafina, and Tchibo, in an unprecedented pre-competitive collaboration designed to create the first comprehensive and openly accessible global map of coffee production landscapes.

Developed in partnership with Airbus, the initiative will use very high-resolution satellite imagery combined with artificial intelligence and ground verification to map coffee farms, detect forest loss, and distinguish between natural forests and agroforestry systems such as shade-grown coffee, which have historically been misclassified in land-use datasets.

The program is designed to address one of the sector’s most persistent structural challenges: the lack of reliable, harmonized geospatial data on coffee cultivation. This data gap has contributed to inconsistencies in sustainability monitoring and, in some cases, the unintended exclusion of smallholder farmers from regulated markets.

The initiative launches with a large-scale pilot across East Africa, covering Ethiopia, Tanzania, Kenya, Uganda, Burundi, and Rwanda. The pilot will map approximately 1.2 million square kilometers of coffee-growing landscapes and serve as the foundation for a global rollout planned for 2027.

At the core of the project is the creation of two key geospatial datasets. The first will reconstruct a baseline of coffee cultivation for 2020–2021, correcting historical misclassifications of agricultural land as forest. The second will provide an updated view of coffee production landscapes for 2024–2025, enabling the detection of land-use change and potential deforestation over time.

The initiative comes as the industry prepares for stricter regulatory enforcement under the European Union Deforestation Regulation (EUDR), which restricts market access for commodities linked to deforestation after December 2020. Industry participants warn that without accurate mapping, agroforestry-based coffee systems risk being incorrectly classified, potentially affecting millions of smallholder farmers.

Speaking at the launch, Laurent Sagarra of JDE Peet’s said the initiative represents a shift away from fragmented sustainability efforts toward a shared, landscape-level approach. He emphasized that the goal is not to create another certification scheme, but to build a collaborative infrastructure capable of reducing deforestation risk across the entire sector.

Airbus Defence and Space highlighted the role of satellite technology and artificial intelligence in enabling this transformation, noting that high-resolution Earth observation data can provide the transparency required to strengthen both environmental protection and supply chain resilience.

Supporting institutions, including the UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office and the UN Food and Agriculture Organization, have endorsed the pilot phase. FAO representatives noted that the initiative aligns with broader efforts to promote transparent and inclusive data systems for sustainable commodity production.

Industry participants described the project as a shift toward shared infrastructure for sustainability, arguing that collective data systems can reduce duplication, improve consistency, and enable more effective decision-making across governments, producers, and traders.

If successfully scaled, the Coffee Canopy Partnership is expected to become a global reference system for monitoring coffee-related land use change, supporting deforestation-free supply chains while protecting the livelihoods of smallholder farmers and strengthening long-term climate resilience in coffee-producing regions.

 

Record Brazil Crop Expectations Weigh on Coffee Prices Despite Supply Tightness

Dubai – Qahwa World

Coffee markets are drifting lower, weighed down by mounting expectations of a very large crop in Brazil, even as supply-side tensions prevent sharper declines.

Arabica futures have slipped to their weakest levels in several weeks, reflecting growing confidence among analysts that Brazil’s next harvest could reach record territory. Forecasts from firms such as Marex Group, Sucafina, and StoneX all point toward a historically large 2026/27 crop clustered in the mid-70 million bag range. If realized, that would mark a significant year-on-year increase and help expand the global coffee surplus.

The supply outlook is also being shaped by developments in Vietnam, the world’s leading robusta producer. Export volumes have surged, with early-year shipments showing strong annual growth. Production is likewise expected to rise, potentially reaching a multi-year high, adding further pressure on prices.

Yet the market narrative is not entirely bearish. Tight inventories are offering some support, particularly for robusta, where exchange-monitored stockpiles have dropped to their lowest level in over a year, highlighting ongoing short-term supply constraints.

Geopolitical tensions are adding another layer of complexity. Disruptions linked to the Strait of Hormuz have pushed up freight and insurance costs, complicating global trade flows and increasing expenses for coffee importers and roasters.

Meanwhile, export data from Cecafé and Brazil’s trade authorities show a decline in March shipments compared to last year, lending some support to prices. Weather concerns also persist in key regions such as Minas Gerais, where below-average rainfall could still impact yields.

Global institutions, including the International Coffee Organization and the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, continue to point to a nuanced outlook: overall production may rise, but with diverging trends between arabica and robusta, and tightening stock levels.

Taken together, the coffee market is navigating a delicate balance between expectations of abundant future supply and the realities of present-day constraints.

Brazil’s Coffee Reality: When Climate Pressure Collides With Market Demand

Dubai – Qahwa World

This analysis is based on reporting first published by Dialogue Earth and written by Kevin Damasio. It has been adapted and republished by Qahwa World.

In the hills of Minas Gerais, where much of the world’s Arabica coffee is grown, a quiet transformation is underway. What was once a cycle of seasonal uncertainty has become a continuous struggle shaped by climate instability and shifting global demand.

This is no longer just a farming challenge. It is a defining moment for the future of coffee.

From Climate Variability to Climate Disruption

For generations, Brazilian coffee farmers adapted to occasional droughts, frosts, and irregular rains. Today, those events are no longer exceptions. They are part of a persistent pattern.

Longer dry periods, rising temperatures, and unpredictable rainfall are disrupting the biological rhythm of coffee itself. Flowering cycles are affected. Bean development becomes uneven. Yields lose consistency.

In regions like southern Minas Gerais, farmers are not asking if the weather will affect production. They are asking how severe the impact will be each year.

Scientific projections reinforce what farmers already experience on the ground. A significant share of Brazil’s Arabica-growing land faces the risk of becoming economically unviable in the coming decades if warming trends continue.

High Prices, Fragile Foundations

At the global level, coffee prices have surged as supply tightens. Brazil continues to generate record export revenues, even as shipment volumes fluctuate.

But this apparent strength hides a more fragile reality.

Higher prices are not translating into long-term security for producers. The cost of keeping coffee trees productive is rising. Irrigation systems, soil management, and climate-resistant varieties require investment. Losses from extreme weather events reduce financial resilience.

For many farmers, especially smallholders, the margin between survival and loss is narrowing.

The market is rewarding scarcity, but the conditions behind that scarcity are weakening the system that produces coffee.

The Retreat From Organic

One of the most telling shifts is happening in the field. Organic coffee production, once a growing segment, is under pressure.

Organic methods demand more labor, stricter management, and often higher costs. Under stable conditions, these systems can deliver value through quality and certification premiums. Under climate stress, they become harder to sustain.

As a result, some farmers are returning to conventional practices to secure more predictable yields. Even when they continue to limit chemical use, the shift reflects a deeper tension between sustainability and economic survival.

This raises an important question for the global coffee industry. Can sustainability commitments hold when producers face increasing climate risk and financial pressure?

Adaptation Becomes a Daily Practice

Across Minas Gerais, adaptation is no longer a long-term strategy. It is part of daily decision-making.

Farmers are replanting with more resilient Arabica varieties. They are improving soil cover to retain moisture. They are installing protective systems against hail and excessive sun.

Tree planting is gaining ground as a practical response. Shade reduces heat stress, stabilizes production, and creates microclimates that are more forgiving under extreme conditions.

Yet adaptation comes at a cost. Not every producer has equal access to credit, technical knowledge, or time to experiment. This creates a widening gap between those who can adjust and those who struggle to keep up.

Agroforestry and the Search for Balance

Among the emerging approaches, agroforestry stands out as both a return to coffee’s origins and a potential path forward.

By integrating trees, crops, and ecological processes, agroforestry systems aim to recreate the natural environment in which Arabica evolved. These systems can improve soil health, regulate water cycles, and reduce exposure to extreme weather.

Early results suggest strong potential in terms of resilience and quality. However, productivity gains are not always immediate, and management is more complex.

For many farmers, the question is not whether agroforestry works, but whether it is economically viable in the short term.

Without stronger institutional support, technical guidance, and market incentives, adoption is likely to remain limited.

A Changing Demand Landscape

While production faces mounting pressure, demand continues to expand.

Asia is becoming an increasingly influential force in global coffee consumption. Countries such as China, India, Indonesia, and Vietnam are reshaping how coffee is consumed, marketed, and valued.

For Brazilian producers and cooperatives, this shift offers new opportunities. It also introduces new expectations around volume, consistency, and price competitiveness.

This creates a delicate balance. Expanding into new markets may require scaling production, while climate realities are pushing toward more cautious and diversified farming systems.

The Future Is Being Rewritten in the Field

What is happening in Minas Gerais reflects a broader transformation across the global coffee sector.

Climate change is no longer a distant threat. It is actively redefining how coffee is grown. At the same time, market dynamics continue to evolve, creating both opportunity and pressure.

Farmers are responding with a mix of resilience, experimentation, and compromise. Some invest in new technologies. Others return to conventional methods. A few explore more complex ecological systems.

There is no single path forward.

What is clear is that the future of coffee will not be shaped by price alone. It will depend on how well the industry supports those at its foundation, the farmers who are adapting in real time to an increasingly uncertain environment.

For coffee, this is not just a moment of challenge. It is a moment of redefinition.

Rising Heat Threatens the Future of Coffee

New York – Qahwa World

A new analysis by Climate Central (an independent group of scientists and communicators that studies and reports on climate change and its impacts on people’s lives, operating as a policy-neutral nonprofit) is raising a clear warning for the global coffee industry.

Data shows that coffee-growing regions across Latin America, Africa, and Southeast Asia are experiencing rising temperatures at an accelerated pace, faster than at any time in the modern agricultural era. An analysis of daily temperatures across coffee-producing areas reveals that plants are increasingly exposed to heat levels beyond their natural limits, placing significant pressure on yields, bean quality, and farm sustainability.

The findings indicate that extreme heat events exceeding critical thresholds for coffee plants are becoming more frequent in major producing countries such as Brazil, Colombia, Vietnam, Ethiopia, and Indonesia. These conditions are negatively affecting both major types of coffee, including those known for higher quality and those considered more resilient, impacting both quantity and quality of production.

This trend is occurring alongside broader climate instability, including irregular rainfall patterns and longer periods of drought. Farmers are reporting noticeable disruptions in flowering seasons, faster development cycles, and sudden weather shifts that damage flowers and coffee cherries. These changes make it increasingly difficult to predict key production stages and raise the risks of lower yields and soil stress.

 

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The impact is not limited to farms. It is also affecting global markets, where reduced harvests have led to sharp price volatility. These conditions have contributed to elevated coffee prices in recent periods, driven by tighter supply and growing uncertainty in the market.

The analysis also points to a possible shift in coffee-growing geography, with production gradually moving toward higher elevations or areas previously considered unsuitable. While this may create new economic opportunities, it also poses environmental risks, particularly deforestation as farming expands into cooler and ecologically sensitive regions.

At the same time, experts stress the importance of adaptation. Proposed solutions include the use of shade trees, improving soil health, adjusting farming practices, and supporting smallholder farmers to strengthen their resilience to rising temperatures. There is also a strong emphasis on adopting long-term strategies rather than short-term fixes.

The message is clear. Coffee-growing regions around the world are entering a period of profound climate change. Adaptation is no longer optional. It is becoming a decisive factor in determining the future of coffee production and its sustainability in the years ahead.

Coffee Prices Drop on Brazil Weather and Rising Stocks

Dubai – Qahwa World

Coffee markets fell on Wednesday amid favorable weather forecasts in Brazil and rising inventories monitored by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).

May arabica futures (KCK26) were down 8.70 points (-2.94%), while May ICE robusta (RMK26) declined 137 points (-3.71%). Showers expected in key Brazilian coffee-growing regions supported the recent price drop.

ICE data shows that arabica inventories, which fell to a 1.75-year low of 396,513 bags in November, recovered to a five-month high of 564,626 bags on Tuesday. Robusta inventories also rose to a 3.5-month peak before falling slightly to 4,563 lots as of Wednesday.

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Coffee prices had partially retraced last week’s rally triggered by the Iran conflict and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which increased global shipping rates, fuel, and insurance costs.

Brazil’s exports also influenced the market. According to Cecafe, February green coffee shipments fell by 27% year-on-year, while the Trade Ministry reported a 17.4% decline to 142,000 metric tons. Conversely, recent rains in Minas Gerais—the country’s largest arabica-producing state—amounted to 14.9 mm last week, about 35% of the historical average, offering some support to crop expectations.

Earlier in February, coffee prices hit multi-month lows amid forecasts of a record Brazilian crop. Conab projected Brazil’s 2026 coffee output at 66.2 million bags, with arabica rising 23.2% to 44.1 million bags and robusta up 6.3% to 22.1 million bags. Global production for 2026/27 is expected to reach 180 million bags, according to Rabobank.

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Vietnam’s coffee exports further pressured robusta prices. The National Statistics Office reported a 14% year-on-year rise to 366,000 MT for January–February 2026, while 2025 exports jumped 17.5% to 1.58 million MT. Production in 2025/26 is forecast to reach 1.76 million MT, a four-year high.

Despite these factors, the International Coffee Organization (ICO) noted a slight 0.3% year-on-year decline in global coffee exports for the current marketing year. The USDA’s Foreign Agriculture Service projects 2025/26 global production at 178.848 million bags, with arabica down 4.7% to 95.515 million bags and robusta up 10.9% to 83.333 million bags. Brazil’s production is expected to fall 3.1% to 63 million bags, while Vietnam rises 6.2% to 30.8 million bags. Ending stocks are forecast to decline 5.4% to 20.148 million bags.

Analysts say the combination of Brazilian rainfall, rising ICE inventories, and record production in Vietnam is likely to maintain downward pressure on coffee prices in the near term.

Ethiopia Launches Strategic New Phase for Tea Development

Addis Ababa – Qahwa World

In the Jimma Zone of Oromia, a major tea development initiative has been launched under the leadership of Dr. Meles Mekonnen and Dr. Adonya Debela, with participation from senior government officials, aiming to enhance national agricultural productivity.

Prime Minister Dr. Abiy Ahmed highlighted that this initiative represents a strategic effort to elevate Ethiopia’s tea production, strengthening the national economy and expanding domestic and international market reach.

Dr. Adonya Debela, Director General of the sector, noted that over 13,000 hectares are currently planted with tea, with plans to expand to 30,000 hectares in the near future, focusing on fertile lands in Oromia and southwestern Ethiopia.

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Officials emphasized that the project leverages natural resources and local human capacity, supported by continuous monitoring from the regional agriculture office, ensuring high productivity and quality.

Gitu Gemechu, head of Oromia’s Agriculture Bureau, added that tea development receives “strategic priority,” and the expansion will not only increase production but also enhance product quality and the region’s role in local and global markets.

Overall, the Jimma project marks a transition from traditional farming practices to organized industrial development, reflecting Ethiopia’s ambition to strengthen its position as a leading global tea producer, while engaging investors and farmers to secure long-term sustainability and economic success.

Climate Crisis Threatens Global Coffee Production

DUBAI – QAHWA WORLD

New analysis shows the world’s top five coffee-producing nations are experiencing dozens of additional high-heat days annually — putting global supply, prices, and farmer livelihoods at risk.

The global coffee industry is entering a critical phase as climate change intensifies across the tropical “coffee belt” between the Tropic of Cancer and the Tropic of Capricorn. A recent analysis by Climate Central found that the five largest coffee-producing countries — responsible for 75% of global supply — have experienced an average of 57 additional days per year above 30°C between 2021 and 2025 due to climate change.

Temperatures above this threshold are particularly harmful to coffee trees, especially Arabica, the premium variety that dominates specialty markets.

  • Ethiopia: Coffee’s Birthplace Under Growing Pressure

In Ethiopia — widely recognized as the birthplace of coffee — more than four million households depend on coffee as their primary source of income. The sector contributes nearly one-third of the country’s export earnings.

Officials from the Oromia Coffee Farmers Cooperatives Union report that rising heat is already affecting yields and increasing tree vulnerability to disease. Reduced shade cover and stronger direct sunlight are compounding the stress on farms.

  • El Salvador and Brazil Among the Hardest Hit

The analysis found that El Salvador recorded 99 additional days of coffee-damaging heat during the 2021–2025 period — the highest among major producers.

Meanwhile, Brazil — the world’s largest coffee producer, accounting for roughly 37% of global output — experienced 70 additional days above 30°C. Given Brazil’s dominant role in global supply, prolonged heat stress raises concerns about market stability and price volatility.

  • Why 30°C Is a Critical Threshold

Coffee trees require stable temperature ranges and balanced rainfall patterns. Arabica, in particular, begins to suffer productivity losses when temperatures consistently exceed 30°C. Prolonged heat can result in:

  1. Lower cherry production
  2. Reduced bean quality
  3. Increased pest and disease outbreaks
  4. Higher production costs

These factors directly affect both yield and cup quality, creating ripple effects throughout the supply chain.

  • Record Prices Reflect Climate Strain

Globally, approximately two billion cups of coffee are consumed daily. Any disruption in producing countries quickly impacts international markets.

According to the World Bank, prices for Arabica and Robusta nearly doubled between 2023 and 2025, reaching record highs in February 2025.

The surge reflects tightening supply conditions, climate-driven production challenges, and structural vulnerabilities within the coffee value chain.

  • Smallholder Farmers on the Front Line

Smallholder farmers produce between 60% and 80% of the world’s coffee. Yet climate adaptation funding reaching these producers remains limited, leaving many with constrained capacity to respond to rising temperatures.

Without stronger climate adaptation strategies — including shade management, climate-resilient varieties, and financial support — suitable growing areas may shrink or shift to higher elevations, increasing long-term production risks.

  • The Future of Coffee at a Crossroads

Coffee is more than a commodity; it is a cultural and economic pillar supporting millions of livelihoods worldwide. As heat extremes intensify across major producing regions, the industry faces structural transformation driven by climate realities.

The central question is no longer whether climate change affects coffee — but how quickly producers, governments, and markets can adapt to safeguard the future of one of the world’s most consumed beverages.

 

Robusta: A Climate-Resilient Future

Dubai – Qahwa World

As climate change and escalating environmental pressures create unprecedented challenges for global coffee production, the industry is facing a critical turning point that threatens the sustainability of the entire supply chain. In response, World Coffee Research (WCR) is spearheading a massive international effort to develop high-performing, climate-resilient varieties designed to thrive in an increasingly volatile environment. A major strategic shift occurred in late 2025 when WCR integrated Robusta breeding into its Innovea Global Coffee Breeding Network. This expansion recognizes that relying solely on Arabica is no longer a viable long-term strategy in the face of rapid global warming. As a committed member of WCR, Sucafina has expressed its pride in supporting this essential research, emphasizing that investing in variety development is the only definitive way to safeguard the future of coffee and secure the livelihoods of millions of farmers who form the backbone of the industry.

Coffee-growing conditions worldwide are undergoing forced evolution, requiring farmers at origin to adapt to weather patterns that no longer follow traditional predictability. Additionally, they must battle new strains of pests and diseases that thrive in rising temperatures. Strengthening the long-term resilience of the coffee supply has become a top priority, as high-performing varieties act as a vital shield, helping farmers mitigate climate stress while ensuring reliable, high-quality yields. However, the industry faces a significant temporal challenge: the process of developing, scientifically testing, and commercially releasing a new variety typically spans several decades—a timeframe the world cannot afford given the acceleration of climate change. Addressing these challenges requires practical, long-term collaboration, which is the core mission of WCR as an industry-driven research organization dedicated to identifying and developing the coffee varieties of tomorrow.

The launch of the Innovea program in 2022 marked a revolution in coffee breeding, designed to accelerate development by uniting national research institutes, governments, and the private sector across 11 countries in Latin America, Africa, and Asia. Operating under standardized trial protocols, the network coordinates breeding efforts on a global scale, testing candidates across diverse soils, climates, and disease pressures. By pooling massive datasets and cross-border expertise, promising varieties are identified far more rapidly than through traditional methods, while ensuring they are perfectly suited for local farming systems. This innovative approach received global acclaim when Innovea was named one of TIME’s Best Inventions of 2025, recognizing its power to provide tangible solutions to one of agriculture’s most complex challenges.

Vern Long, CEO of WCR, explains that the program’s structure allows for a step change in variety performance faster than ever before, shortening development timelines from 30 years down to just eight. As climate challenges intensify, a continuous global pipeline of improved varieties will provide farmers with the tools needed to reduce risk and stabilize their income. Historically, breeding efforts focused almost exclusively on Arabica, despite the rise of Robusta, which now accounts for approximately 40% of global production. This shift is driven by Robusta’s natural heat tolerance and market dynamics. Robusta possesses greater genetic diversity than Arabica, yet its breeding is more complex as it cannot self-pollinate, requiring sophisticated management of parent plants. By late 2025, Robusta was fully integrated into the Innovea network, bringing in major producers like Vietnam and Ghana alongside enhanced programs in India, Indonesia, Rwanda, and Uganda. Together, these nations represent 64% of global Robusta production. The ultimate goal is to move these varieties from the lab to the field, evaluating thousands of candidates to identify the best performers that will secure a stable and sustainable foundation for the future of coffee.

The Coffee Leaf’s Second Life

By Dr. Steffen Schwarz, Coffee Consulate

There is a peculiar irony in the coffee business: we have spent more than a century perfecting how we roast, grind, extract, foam, chill, carbonate, nitrogen-infuse and brand a seed, while the plant that produces it has been standing all along as a far larger, greener biomass—photosynthesising, defending itself, interacting with shade trees, fungi and insects, and repeatedly regenerating its canopy after pruning. The leaf is the coffee plant’s true working organ: an engine of carbohydrates and a chemical laboratory that negotiates sunlight and drought, pests and pathogens, growth and recovery. And yet, in most producing countries, coffee leaves have been treated as little more than compost, mulch, or a nuisance swept aside during canopy management. That is now changing, and not simply because the world enjoys novelty. Coffee leaf tea is emerging at the intersection of ethnobotany and modern food law, of phytochemistry and sensory design, and—most importantly for decision makers—of farm economics and operational resilience.

Coffee leaf infusions are not an invention of the wellness era. They are older than espresso, older than filter coffee, older than the first international coffee prices. In several coffee-producing regions, leaves have long been infused, decocted, mixed with milk, or combined with spices and herbs to create beverages that sit somewhere between nourishment, social ritual and folk medicine. The scientific and cultural value of this heritage is easy to underestimate, especially if one’s mental map of coffee begins at the port and ends at the café. Yet the ethnographic record is clear: leaf-based coffee drinks have been prepared and consumed in places as varied as Ethiopia, South Sudan, Indonesia, Jamaica and India, often under local names that signal not a substitute for coffee, but a beverage category of its own.

In Ethiopia, coffee leaf brew is widely known in multiple regions and languages—Chemo, Kuti, Hayta Tuke, Kitel Buna—each name carrying the weight of daily habits and community meanings. The leaves are not merely steeped; they are processed through cleaning, crushing or chopping, boiling, spicing, straining, serving. The result is a drink that can be mild or intense, pale gold or deep brown, lightly herbal or richly aromatic, depending on leaf maturity, drying, brewing time, and the chosen constellation of botanicals.

One of the most detailed recent documentations of these practices comes from the Gofa Zone in South Ethiopia, where Eyasu Yohannis and colleagues recorded indigenous coffee leaf brew and a related preparation called Engere, a blend of coffee leaf brew and cow’s milk. Their work does something crucial for our industry: it moves the conversation away from vague stories of “traditional use” and towards measurable patterns of ingredients, processes and consumption. In their community-based survey, the authors found that coffee leaf brew is not an occasional curiosity; it is embedded in daily life. A majority of respondents described it as a staple, stimulating beverage, while others linked it explicitly to medicinal value and cultural ceremonies. Engere, meanwhile, occupies a different functional niche: it is widely perceived as strength-enhancing, supportive for physically demanding work, and beneficial for lactating women, postpartum recovery and stamina.

The brewing practices described in Gofa are remarkably concrete. Coffee leaves are harvested by cutting terminal portions of the plant—precisely the same anatomical zone that farm managers already target in canopy control—then cleaned and washed, crushed with mortar and pestle or a traditional wooden grinder, and boiled in water typically in the range of 85–100 °C. The documented spice and herb palette is extensive—Ruta chalepensis, coriander fruit, garlic leaf, ginger, basil, lemongrass, chilli, Ethiopian cardamom, fennel, salt—an aromatic architecture that resembles a culinary broth more than a minimalist tea. This matters because it tells us that coffee leaf beverages in their indigenous context have already undergone centuries of consumer testing: bitterness has been managed, aroma has been amplified, mouthfeel and perceived warmth have been engineered through botanical synergy.

For modern markets, this ethnographic depth is more than storytelling. It is a starting point for applied product development. The Gofa data reveal three distinct brewing logics: a combined boiling method where leaf and minor ingredients meet in one pot; a separated boiling method where components are brewed individually and combined later; and a leaf-only approach used particularly for Engere without added botanicals. These are, essentially, three different extraction strategies.

This is where Europe enters the narrative in a decisive way. Coffee leaf infusion is no longer merely an indigenous beverage; it is now a legally defined food category within the European Union. On 1 July 2020, the EU authorised the placing on the market of infusion from coffee leaves as a traditional food from a third country through Commission Implementing Regulation (EU) 2020/917. The regulatory framing is not trivial. By treating coffee leaf infusion as a traditional food under the Novel Food Regulation, the EU effectively acknowledged that a long history of safe consumption outside Europe can form part of a safety argument.

For coffee businesses, EU authorisation changes the strategic landscape. It reduces regulatory uncertainty for importers, roasters and beverage developers. It invites investment in leaf supply chains, not only for niche “novelty teas” but for scalable beverage categories: ready-to-drink formats, sparkling botanical blends, functional infusions, cold brews, and milk-based variants.

The scientific literature suggests that coffee leaves are not simply “coffee without beans”. They contain a complex set of phytochemicals, including phenolic compounds with antioxidant capacity and bioactivities that have been discussed in relation to anti-inflammatory and antihypertensive effects. A crucial commercial insight lies in caffeine itself. Many consumers want the ritual and complexity of coffee-like beverages, but with less stimulant load. Coffee leaf infusions typically contain caffeine, but the overall experience can be positioned differently from espresso-driven intensity.

However, no beverage category survives on sensory novelty alone. The deeper business relevance of coffee leaf tea lies in what it can do at origin. For decades, the coffee sector has discussed farmer income, price volatility, and the fragility of livelihoods. Coffee leaf tea, if commercialised responsibly, can shift part of this debate into operational economics: it can create an additional product stream from the same farm, using a biomass that is already generated in canopy management. That is not merely “extra income”; it is income diversification, and diversification is one of the most reliable ways to increase resilience in agricultural systems.

If we approach coffee leaf tea with the seriousness it deserves—honouring its origins, applying rigorous process science, designing compelling sensory styles, and building supply chains that reward farmers for better agronomy—we will not merely sell another beverage. We will create a mechanism through which coffee farms can become more stable employers, more productive agricultural systems, and more resilient businesses. In a world where coffee’s future is increasingly shaped by climate stress and economic uncertainty, a leaf may seem like a small thing. But in biology and in business, small things are often the levers that change the whole system.

Ethiopia and China Strengthen Coffee Sector Cooperation

Addis Ababa – Qahwa World

Ethiopia is strengthening its coffee sector by expanding value-added exports and deepening strategic cooperation with China, particularly in agriculture and coffee, according to senior government officials.

Ethiopia and China are elevating their agricultural cooperation beyond trade into a strategic partnership, with coffee emerging as a central pillar of collaboration. China has rapidly become one of the top destinations for Ethiopian coffee, rising from 33rd to 4th place among export markets within the past five years.

A trade and economic cooperation forum aimed at promoting Ethiopian coffee in the Chinese and global markets was recently held in Jujiao City, China. The forum brought together government officials, buyers, and private-sector stakeholders and resulted in new market linkage agreements.

Officials said the strengthening of cooperation is driven by several factors, including China’s expanding role as a coffee destination, duty-free tariff privileges for African exports, technology and knowledge transfer, growing e-commerce linkages, and Hunan Province’s position as a key trade hub.

State Minister of Agriculture Dr. Efrem Mulleta said Ethiopia is implementing wide-ranging reforms to make its agricultural products competitive in international markets. These reforms focus on increasing production quality and quantity through modern technologies, innovation, and improved agricultural inputs.

He added that the conference in China is part of broader efforts to boost export earnings not only from coffee but also from livestock products, fisheries, and other agricultural outputs.

Ethiopian Coffee and Tea Authority Director General Dr. Adugna Debela said Ethiopia’s strong focus on coffee productivity, quality, and value addition has brought significant improvements in export performance.

In the last fiscal year alone, Ethiopia exported 470,000 tons of coffee, generating USD 2.6 billion in revenue. To further enhance earnings, the country is prioritizing the export of value-added coffee rather than raw beans.

Dr. Adugna noted that a 15-year coffee sector strategy has been developed and implemented to address structural challenges, improve productivity, and expand market access. Old, low-yield coffee trees have been replaced, while millions of new seedlings have been planted under the Green Legacy Initiative.

He emphasized that quality is critical for global competitiveness and said strict monitoring systems are in place to ensure high standards. Policy reforms have also streamlined the coffee marketing system, reduced losses, and minimized quality deterioration.

A newly approved directive now allows domestically roasted and ground coffee to be sold in foreign currency, creating new opportunities for exporters. As a result, several Ethiopian coffee companies have begun selling value-added products through Ethiopian Airlines, major hotels, and tourist destinations.

Dr. Adugna added that Ethiopian specialty coffee is gaining popularity among Chinese consumers, driven by rising demand and China’s duty-free market access for African countries.

State Minister of Government Communication Services Tesfahun Gobezay said China’s large population and rapidly growing coffee consumption make it a reliable and expanding market for Ethiopian coffee.

He also noted that the recent forum introduced Ethiopian coffee culture—from production to consumption—to Chinese audiences and opened a new chapter for expanding bilateral coffee trade and cooperation.

Officials stressed that Ethiopia’s combined focus on value addition, quality improvement, and strategic partnerships—particularly with China—is expected to further strengthen foreign exchange earnings and create sustainable growth in the coffee sector.