Dubai Hosts Coffee Break Vol. 2 with Conversations Shaping the City’s Future

Source: Coffee World |
Author: Events Unit |
Date: June 5, 2026

Dubai Hosts Coffee Break Vol. 2 with Conversations Shaping the City’s Future

Key Information:

  • “Coffee Break Vol. 2” takes place at Time Out Market, Souk Al Bahar, Dubai.
  • Organized in collaboration with Mokha 1450 Luxury Specialty Coffee.
  • Theme: “Dubai’s next chapter, told over coffee.”
  • Five prominent speakers from business, media, hospitality, wellness, and food culture.
  • Notable speaker: Garfield Kerr, former President of the Specialty Coffee Association.
  • Tickets start at 59 AED, including coffee and snacks.
  • Premium package at 159 AED includes a 100 AED Time Out Market card.

Dubai will soon host the second edition of “Coffee Break Vol. 2″, offering a new model for community dialogue. The event takes place on Level 3 of Souk Al Bahar, at the Time Out Market stage. It is organized in collaboration with Mokha 1450 Luxury Specialty Coffee.

The event carries a distinctive theme: “Dubai’s next chapter, told over coffee.” It aims to bring together a curated group of thought leaders and experts from multiple fields. They will discuss the ideas, businesses, and communities shaping Dubai’s next chapter.

Prominent Speakers from Five Key Sectors

“Coffee Break Vol. 2” features five speakers representing different sectors. Each brings a unique perspective on Dubai’s evolution. They are:

Name Position / Expertise
Zeena Zalamea Broadcaster, producer, entrepreneur
Garfield Kerr Lawyer, CEO of Mokha 1450, former SCA President
Alexandra Venison Journalist, Founder of Beautilist
JP Anglo Founder of Kooya, Filipino food advocate
Ziad Kamel Founder & CEO of Rosy Hospitality and multiple restaurant brands

In addition, the discussion will explore key themes including Dubai’s evolving economy, the future of hospitality and wellbeing, the role of media in shaping the city’s narrative, and the communities being built within it.

Event Location and Ticket Packages

The event takes place at the Stage Area in Time Out Market Dubai, located on Level 3 of Souk Al Bahar, Downtown Dubai. Guests can access Souk Al Bahar parking and validate their token at Atrium Bar to receive 4 hours of complimentary parking.

Ticket options are as follows:

  • 59 AED: Includes access to the conversation, coffee, and snacks.
  • 159 AED: Includes access, coffee, snacks, and a Time Out Market Dubai Card valued at 100 AED to be redeemed across the Market’s vendors and bars on the same day.

However, please note the terms: smoking is permitted only in designated areas. No refunds will be issued for no-shows or for guests arriving more than 20 minutes after the event starts. Therefore, guests are encouraged to arrive early to avoid any delays.

Strategic Partnership with Mokha 1450

This event is organized in collaboration with Mokha 1450 Luxury Specialty Coffee. This partnership extends the brand’s vision of supporting inspiring community dialogues. Furthermore, the presence of Garfield Kerr, former President of the Specialty Coffee Association, adds deep professional insight to discussions about coffee’s role in shaping urban spaces.

Additionally, the diversity of speakers reflects Dubai’s rapid evolution as a global hub for business, media, and culture. The event confirms that coffee is no longer just a beverage, but a tool for dialogue and for building the future.

Frequently Asked Questions About Coffee Break Vol. 2

Q: When will the event take place?

A: The exact date has not been announced yet. Follow Time Out Market and Mokha 1450’s official channels for updates.

Q: Where exactly is the event located?

A: On Level 3 of Souk Al Bahar, Downtown Dubai, at the Time Out Market Dubai stage area.

Q: How can I purchase tickets?

A: The booking link will be announced soon via official channels. Early booking is recommended due to limited capacity.

Q: Does the ticket price include parking?

A: Guests can get 4 hours of complimentary parking after validating their ticket at Atrium Bar.

Q: Will there be an opportunity to ask questions to the speakers?

A: Yes, the event is designed as an open conversation, and time will be allocated for Q&A.

Do not miss the chance to be part of the conversation shaping Dubai’s new chapter. Tickets are limited. The dialogue begins when you sit down with a cup of coffee. Follow our official channels to know when booking opens.

Prepared by: Coffee World team – in collaboration with Mokha 1450 and Time Out Market Dubai.

All rights reserved. Republishing with attribution is permitted.

Publication date: June 5, 2026

Brazil Coffee Output to Reach Record 71.9M Bags

Author: Qahwa World – Brasília
Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service – Report BR2026-0025
Date: June 1, 2026

Brazil Coffee Output to Reach Record 71.9M Bags

Executive Summary

  • Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee production is forecast at 71.9 million 60‑kg bags, a 14% increase over the previous season.
  • Arabica output is expected to surge 25% to 47.5 million bags, ending five years of low harvests.
  • Robusta (conilon) production is forecast at 24.4 million bags, a slight decline from 25 million bags due to cooler weather and excess rain in some regions.
  • Exports for 2026/27 are projected to jump 30% to 49 million bags, supported by the record crop.
  • However, low stocks and fears of an El Niño event are making exporters cautious and holding back deals.
  • Domestic consumption remains stable at 22.39 million bags, with a 0.5% annual increase.
  • The “Zero Crop, 100% Crop” management technique is helping farmers optimize yields and reduce costs.

Brazil is set to produce a record 71.9 million 60‑kg bags of coffee in the 2026/27 season. This is a 14% increase over the previous cycle. The outlook is especially bright for arabica coffee.

Optimal weather in major growing regions has driven the recovery. The record crop follows five years of low arabica production caused by adverse conditions.

Exports are expected to surge 30% to 49 million bags. However, exporters remain cautious. They are holding back on deals because of low stocks and uncertainties about a possible El Niño event.

El Niño could affect the end of the current harvest and the 2027/28 cycle. These factors are strongly influencing coffee prices in the Brazilian market.

Production Outlook

The positive biennial cycle is a key driver. Arabica trees naturally produce more in alternating years. This year is a high‑yield year.

Favorable weather conditions and rising global prices have also encouraged farmers to expand their coffee areas. Technology has enabled higher planting density per hectare.

As a result, total coffee production is forecast at 71.9 million 60‑kg bags. This is a 14% increase from the 63 million bags estimated for 2025/26.

The National Supply Company (CONAB) projects a slightly lower figure of 66.7 million bags. The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) projects 65.1 million bags.

Both official agencies use different methodologies. They have historically provided lower estimates than the USDA.

Arabica and Robusta Performance

Arabica production is forecast to reach 47.5 million bags. This is a 25% increase over the previous cycle. The growth is driven by the positive biennial cycle and expanded cultivated area.

Technological improvements in crop management also played a role. Milder temperatures before flowering supported good crop development.

In contrast, robusta (conilon) production is forecast at 24.4 million bags. This is a slight decline from the 25 million bags estimated for 2025/26.

Colder weather and periods of excessive rainfall reduced yields in some main producing regions. The strong growth of the 2025/26 harvest also made it difficult to sustain the same level of production.

Producers are increasingly worried about climate change. Many are adjusting their practices, seeking more shaded areas, and looking for resilient varieties.

Regional Performance

Minas Gerais remains Brazil’s largest coffee‑producing state. It is forecast to harvest 34.1 million bags in 2026/27, up from 26.7 million in 2025/26.

The increase is due to the positive biennial cycle and better rainfall distribution. Rainfall was especially good before flowering and through March.

Espírito Santo, the second‑largest producer, is forecast at 21.4 million bags. Arabica production there is expected at 4.4 million bags, while robusta accounts for 17 million bags.

São Paulo, which grows only arabica, saw growth of more than 15% over the previous cycle, despite varied weather conditions.

Bahia has now become the second‑largest robusta producer, surpassing Rondônia. Its growth comes from advanced technology and high‑performance irrigated areas.

Rondônia is expected to see a 19% increase in robusta production. Favorable weather and the renewal of crops with higher‑yielding clonal plants are the main reasons.

Table 1: Brazilian Coffee Production by State (million 60‑kg bags)

State 2025/26 2026/27 Change
Minas Gerais 26.7 34.1 +27.7%
Espírito Santo 20.9 21.4 +2.4%
São Paulo 4.8 5.5 +14.6%
Bahia 4.7 5.2 +10.6%
Rondônia 2.3 2.8 +21.7%

Prices and Production Costs

Arabica prices rose sharply at the end of 2025 due to limited supply. However, prices started to decrease with the forecast of a larger harvest.

In April 2026, arabica coffee averaged BRL 1,811.87 (USD 360.03) per 60‑kg bag. This was a 5% drop from March and a 28% drop from April 2024.

Robusta prices fell even more. In April 2026, robusta traded at BRL 917.05 (USD 182.26). That was a 10% monthly drop and a 46% drop from April 2025.

Fears of an El Niño event have dampened sales activity. Many producers who were liquidating their remaining stocks are now holding back.

Production costs remain high. Fertilizer prices have risen, and freight costs have increased due to higher diesel prices. Diesel climbed about 24% in March 2026.

To cope, many farmers are adopting the “Zero Crop, 100% Crop” technique. This method divides farms into two plots and alternates skeleton pruning.

As a result, farmers focus only on the plot in its high‑yield phase. The system also increases organic matter and reduces fertilizer needs.

Domestic Consumption and Exports

Brazil’s domestic coffee consumption is forecast at 22.39 million bags for 2026/27. This is a slight 0.5% increase over the previous year.

Consumption declined by more than 2% in 2025 due to high prices. However, it recovered in early 2026 as supermarket prices dropped.

In the first four months of 2026, consumption rose 2% compared to the same period in 2025. The average Brazilian drinks about 3.8 cups of coffee per day.

Exports for 2026/27 are forecast to jump 30% to 49 million bags. This is based on the record harvest. However, low stocks have prevented even higher volumes.

Between January and April 2026, Brazil exported 11.5 million bags, a 24% decrease from the same period in 2025. April exports increased 1.2%, signaling a gradual recovery.

Germany remains the top buyer of Brazilian coffee, followed by the United States, Italy, Japan, and Belgium. The United States holds over 30% of the market share for Brazilian coffee imports.

Specialty coffees accounted for almost 18% of total exports in early 2026, though that volume was 36% lower than the same period in 2025.

Policy and Minimum Prices

The government has allocated BRL 7.37 billion for the 2026/27 Coffee Economy Defense Fund (FUNCAFE). The fund supports crop management, marketing financing, and working capital.

Minimum guaranteed prices for the 2026/27 harvest have been increased. Arabica now has a minimum price of BRL 792.53 per 60‑kg bag, a 20% rise from the previous season.

Robusta’s minimum price was set at BRL 556.97 per bag, a 12% increase. These prices are valid from April 2026 through March 2027.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much coffee will Brazil produce in 2026/27?

Production is forecast at 71.9 million 60‑kg bags, a 14% increase over the previous season.

Why is arabica production expected to surge?

The positive biennial cycle, expanded planted area, technological advances, and favorable weather are the main drivers.

Which Brazilian state produces the most coffee?

Minas Gerais is the largest producer, forecast at 34.1 million bags in 2026/27.

How will El Niño affect Brazilian coffee?

There is a 60% chance of El Niño between May and July 2026. It could negatively impact the 2027/28 harvest through higher temperatures and altered rainfall.

What is the “Zero Crop, 100% Crop” technique?

It is a management method that divides a farm into two plots and alternates skeleton pruning, allowing farmers to focus on high‑yield areas and reduce costs.

What are the main export destinations for Brazilian coffee?

Germany, the United States, Italy, Japan, and Belgium are the top buyers.


Author: Qahwa World – Brasília | Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service – Report BR2026-0025 | Date: June 1, 2026

“Your Senses Belong Only to You” – Fuki Kanamori on Her Journey from Government Clerk to Japanese Coffee Expert

This Fuki Kanamori interview explores the world of Japanese coffee.

Interview: Qahaw World |
Interviewer: Ali AlZakary |
Date: June 2, 2026

“Your Senses Belong Only to You”: Fuki Kanamori on Her Journey from Government Clerk to Japanese Coffee Expert

Key Takeaways from the Interview:

  • “Coffee moves you” – a philosophy that reflects a man who started her journey after age 40.
  • Language barriers and lack of information were the biggest obstacles to professional growth.
  • Kanamori Coffee Lab: a lighthouse for those who want to avoid detours in specialty coffee education.
  • Science is just a tool. Never forget the person you are serving.
  • Japanese consumers blend old Kissaten craftsmanship with modern specialty coffee.
  • Ambition to collaborate with the Gulf region to share sensory education expertise.

As part of “Qahwa World’s” mission to explore inspiring coffee experiences around the globe, we now come to Japan. This is our first interview with one of the most prominent specialty coffee figures in the Land of the Rising Sun.

Fuki Kanamori was not always an expert in roasting and sensory analysis. He started her career as a local government employee. Then, in her late thirties, everything changed. He suddenly realized that he wanted a career where he could truly create and feel.

Thus, she embarked on the journey of founding “Kanamori Coffee Lab.” Today, she is a renowned educator and a certified Q Grader.

In this in-depth interview conducted by writer and specialist analyst Ali Al Zakary, Fuki Kanamori reveals her unique philosophy summarized by her beautiful slogan: “Coffee moves you.”

He talks about language challenges, her vision to close the information gap in Japan, and her passion for transferring sensory knowledge to new generations. He also offers golden advice to anyone starting their coffee journey today.

Do not miss the opportunity to learn from this inspiring Japanese experience.

Your philosophy is captured by the beautiful slogan, “Coffee moves you!” How did coffee personally move you in your early days, and what was the turning point that inspired you to pursue this career professionally, specifically focusing on roasting, brewing, and sensory analysis?

It all began in my late 30s when I had a sudden realization: “I want a career where I can truly create and feel.” Until then, I was working as a local government employee at a city office. Driven by this new passion, I taught myself by reading every coffee book I could find.

However, no matter how much I read, I simply could not grasp the complex flavor descriptions written on the pages. It was incredibly frustrating. I became determined to capture those professional sensory perceptions with my own five senses and verify the “right answers” for myself.

That was the true turning point that led me to immerse myself completely in studying to become a Q Grader. It was a late-blooming challenge, starting well after I turned 40.

Transitioning from a passionate coffee lover to a recognized Coffee Educator and Sensory Professional requires an intense journey of training. What were the most significant challenges you faced in refining your skills in roasting and advanced sensory perception?

The greatest obstacles I faced were the language barrier and a severe lack of accessible information. While certain aspects of the Japanese coffee scene are highly advanced, it is completely polarized. Japan has lagged behind global trends in cutting-edge roasting theories and advanced sensory education.

The vast majority of truly valuable primary information is published in English and originates from overseas. If you try to learn solely through Japanese accessible data, you quickly hit a wall. Navigating that language barrier to directly grasp global standards and core theories was an immense challenge.

You founded “Kanamori Coffee Lab” as an all-encompassing platform. What is the core mission and vision that the lab aims to achieve within both the Japanese and global coffee communities?

Our mission is twofold: to be a space where anyone who wants to learn can access genuine skills and knowledge without getting lost, and to convey the pure joy of trusting one’s own senses and expressing them freely.

In Japan’s polarized information landscape, I want the lab to be a lighthouse, the shortest route for people who, just like my former self, yearn to dive deeper but want to avoid unnecessary detours.

By delivering authentic, vivid information, we aim to contribute deeply to the Japanese community. Globally, our vision is to share Japan’s unique, delicate craftsmanship while creating an experimental space where professionals can connect and inspire one another through sensory perception, transcending language barriers altogether.

As a Sensory Professional, how do you bridge the gap between rigid, precise science and the emotional, human experience when training students and professionals at your lab?

Science and data are merely tools; they are never the end goal. At my lab, I instill a deep, foundational understanding of theory rather than just handing out superficial recipes.

If you master the core theory, you can adapt flexibly using your own five senses, no matter how the environment, machinery, or brewing tools change.

At the same time, I always remind my students: “The language used between professionals is entirely different from the language used with customers. No matter how deeply or professionally you specialize, you must never forget the person you are serving.”

You must hold rigid scientific theory within yourself, but translate it into a shared, emotional experience and language for the customer. Teaching the balance of these two pillars is the only way to bridge that gap.

The coffee education and training sector is evolving rapidly. What unique methodologies or principles distinguish Kanamori Coffee Lab from other training centers focused on specialty coffee?

The biggest distinction is that we do not offer generic, one-size-fits-all lectures. Instead, we clarify each student’s unique dream and ideal future, and provide unwavering, side-by-side mentorship to get them there.

Because I took a long detour and achieved my own dream later in life, I understand exactly where students stumble and face difficulties. Age, gender, and previous career background do not matter.

“Anyone can make coffee their professional career, no matter when they start.” I want to prove this through my own actions.

Our core strength lies in this completely personalized mentorship designed to turn individual dreams into reality, rather than just teaching standard “correct answers.”

Our readers and specialty coffee professionals love getting a glimpse into the daily routines of experts. What is your personal, go-to protocol for evaluating your morning coffee? Furthermore, what is your favorite Japanese brewing/dripping tool, and why do you prefer it?

To me, morning coffee is “a legal stimulant that moves my mind and soul.” As someone who struggles with mornings and tends to be indecisive early in the day, coffee is the essential element that puts me on the starting line and grants me the power of decisiveness.

My protocol is simple: I drink a single glass of water, and right after, I drink my coffee without thinking about anything at all.

Doing this allows my day to truly begin, much like putting on a final touch of perfume before leaving the house. Drinking coffee in this flat, neutral state is how I face my physical condition and the bean’s potential head-on.

My favorite Japanese tool is the “Tarachine Dripper.” Crafted with traditional Arita ware porcelain, it beautifully depicts Katsushika Hokusai’s Thirty-Six Views of Mount Fuji, embodying a distinct Japanese aesthetic.

Functionally, its sharp conical design engineered at an angle below 30 degrees maximizes extraction consistency. For brewing a clean, energetic cup that awakens my mind and soul, there is simply nothing better.

Japan’s coffee culture beautifully harmonizes tradition, like the historic Kissaten shops, with the cutting-edge modernism of specialty coffee. How do you view this balance, and what uniquely defines the modern Japanese consumer’s approach to coffee appreciation?

I believe Japanese consumers possess an extraordinarily high level of appreciation and attentiveness toward micro-details. On one hand, you have the traditional Kissaten culture, defined by the meticulous care of brewing a single cup over time and the comfort of the space.

On the other hand, you have modern specialty coffee, characterized by clean, cutting-edge flavor profiles. While these two worlds might seem contradictory at first glance, Japanese consumers beautifully bridge them through a shared “profound respect for craftsmanship.”

Instead of merely chasing trends, they value the underlying story and the minute details within a single cup. This unique perspective allows a new standard like “Neo-Kissaten” to emerge naturally, evolving and integrating modern technology without destroying the old culture.

Japanese roasters and baristas are globally renowned for their meticulous attention to micro-details in both roasting and extraction profiles. In your opinion, how has this distinct Japanese philosophy shaped the global specialty coffee community?

This artisan philosophy, which you could call an obsession with micro-details, has elevated the overall precision and consistency of the global specialty coffee community to a higher level. The way Japanese baristas and roasters constantly refine their craft down to a single second, 0.1 grams, or one degree has served as massive inspiration to professionals worldwide.

The fact that highly sophisticated tools like the Tarachine Dripper are born in Japan is a testament to this mindset. This precise approach and dedication to mindfulness have become essential puzzle pieces in shaping what is now considered the global standard.

Every market has its hurdles. What are the most pressing challenges currently facing the coffee sector in Japan, whether regarding supply chains, climate change, or evolving consumer tastes among the younger generation?

I feel the most pressing challenge is the polarization of information and the resulting barriers to entry. While climate change and supply chain disruptions are global issues, Japan faces a unique hurdle: access to accurate, cutting-edge theories and information is restricted to a limited group.

Because of this information gap, passionate amateurs and the younger generation trying to enter the industry often get trapped by outdated conventional wisdom or rigid recipes, leading to early frustration.

Eliminating this information disparity and building an environment where the next generation can enjoy and explore coffee freely on a global standard is what Japan needs most right now.

The Arab world, particularly the Gulf region, is experiencing unprecedented, massive growth in the specialty coffee sector and sensory education. How do you view this rapid expansion, and are there any future plans for Kanamori Coffee Lab to collaborate or offer educational programs in the Middle East?

I have immense respect for the sheer passion and breathtaking speed of evolution within the specialty coffee sector in the Arab world, particularly the Gulf region.

Their dedication to hungrily pursuing authentic education and achieving the absolute pinnacle of quality resonates deeply with the philosophy of our lab.

While we do not have any concrete plans at the moment, I would absolutely love the opportunity to connect with their vibrant community and collaborate by bringing our sensory education and hands-on mentorship to the Middle East.

In closing, what golden piece of advice would you offer to emerging roasters and young cuppers who are just beginning their journeys in the coffee industry today?

My golden piece of advice is this: “Your five senses belong to you and you alone. No one has the right to deny or invalidate what you perceive.” The coffee world is flooded with “correct answers,” data, and the opinions of experts. However, the flavors you personally perceive as delicious and the moments you define as beautiful are where everything truly begins. Knowledge and technical skills can always be acquired later.

Trust your own senses and never be afraid to express them. That single courageous step will eventually lead to a cup of coffee that genuinely moves someone else’s heart.

This interview was conducted by Ali Al Zakary as part of the “Qahwa World” series exploring distinctive coffee experiences worldwide. We hope that Fuki Kanamori’s journey inspires every Arab who aspires to turn their passion for coffee into a refined profession. Share your thoughts and questions with us, and stay tuned for our upcoming interviews from the coffee capitals of the world.

Interview by: Ali Al Zakari – Edited and produced by the “Coffee World” team – in collaboration with Kanamori Coffee Lab, Tokyo, Japan.

Publication date: June 2, 2026

Chinese Study: Sweetened Coffee Linked to Lower Risk of Early Death

Source: American College of Physicians / Annals of Internal Medicine |
Date: June 3, 2026

Chinese Study: Sweetened Coffee Linked to Lower Risk of Early Death

Key Findings:

  • Study from Southern Medical University in Guangzhou tracked over 171,000 people for 7 years.
  • Unsweetened coffee reduced death risk by 16 to 21 percent.
  • Coffee sweetened with one teaspoon of sugar per cup reduced risk by 29 to 31 percent.
  • Results for artificial sweeteners were inconclusive.
  • The study is observational, not experimental. It does not prove direct cause and effect.
  • Warning: Ready-made coffee drinks from chains contain much higher amounts of sugar.

Researchers from Southern Medical University in Guangzhou, China, published a new study in the journal Annals of Internal Medicine. The study examined the effect of sweetened coffee on the risk of early death. It included more than 171,000 participants from the UK Biobank project. The average follow-up period was about seven years.

As a result, the study found that drinking moderate amounts of coffee, whether sweetened or unsweetened, is associated with a lower risk of death. This research is one of the first large-scale studies to directly compare the effect of adding sugar to coffee on long-term health outcomes.

Key Results: Up to 31 Percent Lower Death Risk

The researchers divided participants into groups based on their coffee consumption. These groups included non-drinkers, unsweetened coffee drinkers, sugar-sweetened coffee drinkers, and artificially sweetened coffee drinkers. After seven years of follow-up, the results were clear.

First, people who drank any amount of unsweetened coffee were 16 to 21 percent less likely to die compared to non-drinkers. Second, those who drank 1.5 to 3.5 cups per day of sugar-sweetened coffee were 29 to 31 percent less likely to die. The researchers noted that these participants added only about one teaspoon of sugar (approximately 4 grams) per cup on average.

In contrast, the results for those who used artificial sweeteners were inconclusive. The reduced risk applied to deaths from cancer and cardiovascular disease as well.

Summary of Results

Coffee Type Daily Amount Reduction in Death Risk
Unsweetened coffee Any amount 16% to 21%
Sugar-sweetened coffee (1 tsp per cup) 1.5 to 3.5 cups 29% to 31%
Coffee with artificial sweeteners Varies Inconclusive

Why Is Coffee Beneficial? Possible Mechanisms

Coffee contains biologically active compounds that offer potential health benefits. The most important are antioxidants and polyphenols, especially chlorogenic acids. These compounds fight oxidative stress and inflammation. They also improve blood vessel function and glucose metabolism. In addition, caffeine enhances cognitive function and may reduce the risk of neurodegenerative diseases.

As a result, moderate coffee consumption has been linked to a lower risk of type 2 diabetes, stroke, heart disease, certain cancers, liver disease, and depression. However, the question remains: why did coffee with a small amount of sugar show even better results? Researchers believe that a small amount of sugar (one teaspoon) is not enough to cancel out the large benefits of coffee. But this needs further confirmation.

Important Caveats: Not a License to Add Excess Sugar

The researchers emphasize that these results do not mean adding sugar to coffee is beneficial in itself. The study observed an association, not a direct causal relationship. It is possible that people who regularly drink sweetened coffee also have a generally healthier lifestyle. Furthermore, the amount of sugar used in the study was very small (one teaspoon per cup).

In contrast, ready-made coffee drinks from major chains contain much larger amounts of sugar. A single drink can contain 20 to 50 grams of sugar. This far exceeds health recommendations. The World Health Organization recommends that free sugars should be less than 10 percent of daily calories. For an average adult, that is about 50 grams (12 teaspoons) per day. The ideal amount is less than 5 percent (25 grams or 6 teaspoons).

Therefore, researchers advise drinking coffee black or with a very small amount of sugar (no more than one teaspoon per cup). Avoid heavily sweetened drinks, heavy cream, and flavored syrups. Home brewing is preferable for better control of ingredients. Individuals with insomnia, anxiety, or stomach issues should consult their doctor.

Frequently Asked Questions About the Sweetened Coffee Study

Q: Does this study prove that adding sugar to coffee is healthy?

A: No. The study found a statistical association, not a causal relationship. The amount of sugar used was very small (one teaspoon per cup). A generally healthy lifestyle may also play a role.

Q: What is the optimal amount of coffee per day according to the study?

A: The optimal range is 1.5 to 3.5 cups per day. This amount was linked to the largest reduction in death risk.

Q: Do the results apply to instant coffee?

A: Yes, the study included various types of coffee. However, benefits are usually greater with filtered or freshly ground coffee.

Q: What is the daily sugar limit according to global guidelines?

A: The WHO recommends less than 10 percent of daily calories (about 50 grams or 12 teaspoons). The ideal is less than 5 percent (25 grams or 6 teaspoons).

Q: What about coffee with artificial sweeteners?

A: The results were inconclusive. There is not enough evidence of benefits or harms from this study.

Q: Can I drink sweetened coffee from commercial coffee shops?

A: Most coffee shop drinks contain very high amounts of sugar (20 to 50 grams). This may cancel out potential benefits and increase health risks. It is better to order black coffee or add a small amount of sugar yourself.

Prepared by: Scientific News Unit – Qahwa World – based on a study published in Annals of Internal Medicine on May 31, 2022, and the accompanying press release from the American College of Physicians.

Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes and does not replace medical advice.

Publication date: June 3, 2026

The Coffee That Brought Ronaldinho and Messi Together

Source: Spanish Press (HProject Podcast) |
Date: June 3, 2026

The Coffee That Brought Ronaldinho and Messi Together

Key Takeaways:

  • Former Barcelona player Andrea Orlandi reveals the unique relationship between Ronaldinho and a young Messi.
  • Ronaldinho would jokingly ask Messi to prepare coffee for him.
  • Messi obediently made the coffee, showing respect and affection.
  • The Brazilian star supported Messi, saying, “One day you will sit at my table.”
  • Ronaldinho assisted Messi’s first official goal for Barcelona with a brilliant pass.
  • Their bond went beyond teammates to a special connection between two geniuses.

Andrea Orlandi, a former Barcelona player, has revealed touching and amusing details about the relationship between two legends: Lionel Messi and Ronaldinho. These memories date back to the early days of the Argentine star at the Catalan club.

Orlandi played three seasons at Barcelona. Two of those seasons were with the reserve team, and one was with the first team. During this period, he witnessed Ronaldinho at his peak. He also saw the very beginnings of Messi at the club. Orlandi now works as a football agent. He recalled those days during an appearance on the “HProject” podcast. There, he spoke about the special bond between the Brazilian star and his young teammate.

The Coffee Request: Joke or Mentorship?

Orlandi said on the podcast: “Ronaldinho would ask Messi to make him coffee.” He added that the Brazilian would jokingly say: “How many World Cups have you played in, kid?” Orlandi then explained that Messi actually complied with Ronaldinho’s requests. He confirmed that it was all within the framework of joking and affection inside the team.

Orlandi continued: “Messi would indeed prepare the coffee for him. But it was a way to keep him close and surround him with care.” He pointed out that Ronaldinho was trying to support Messi and give him confidence. It was as if he was saying: “You are not Ronaldinho yet, but your future is huge.”

A Relationship Beyond the Locker Room

Orlandi explained that the relationship between the two stars went beyond ordinary teammaturity. A special bond grew between them, built on mutual respect and admiration. He added: “There was a special relationship between them. When two players understand each other and see things the same way, the more experienced player tries to guide the younger one. There was real affection between Ronaldinho and Messi.”

He continued: “Ronaldinho was loved by everyone. But he would tell Messi: ‘One day you will be able to sit at my table.’ He realized the enormous talent this kid had.” Orlandi noted that Ronaldinho was among the first to recognize Messi’s exceptional potential. He added: “These geniuses recognize each other in the end. It was not difficult to spot Messi’s talent, but Ronaldinho was keen to show it to everyone, as if saying: ‘This kid is extraordinary.'”

An Unforgettable Moment: Messi’s First Goal

Ronaldinho’s contribution to Messi’s first official goal for Barcelona is one of the most iconic moments reflecting their relationship. On May 1, 2005, during a La Liga match against Racing Santander, Ronaldinho played a brilliant pass to Messi through three defenders. Messi then delicately lifted the ball over the goalkeeper to score his first official goal for the first team.

Messi was only 17 years old at the time. That was the beginning of a historic journey. A journey that would later lead him to become one of the greatest footballers in the world. For many inside Barcelona, Ronaldinho was not just a huge star at that time. He was also the first mentor who helped Messi integrate and adapt inside the locker room. He then passed the torch to a new generation. That generation, led by Messi, went on to achieve an unprecedented era of success.

Frequently Asked Questions About Ronaldinho and Messi’s Relationship

Q: Who is Andrea Orlandi?

A: He is a former Italian footballer. He played three seasons at Barcelona (two with the reserves and one with the first team). He now works as a football agent.

Q: Was Ronaldinho serious when he asked Messi to make coffee?

A: No, it was done in a joking and affectionate manner. The goal was to keep Messi close and give him confidence and protection.

Q: How did Messi react to Ronaldinho’s requests?

A: Messi actually complied and made the coffee. He did so without complaint, showing respect for the older, more experienced player.

Q: When did Messi score his first official goal for Barcelona?

A: He scored his first goal on May 1, 2005, against Racing Santander. He was only 17 years old.

Q: Who assisted Messi’s first goal?

A: Ronaldinho provided the brilliant pass through three defenders. That assist became an iconic moment in the club’s history.

Q: Was the relationship between Ronaldinho and Messi truly special?

A: Yes, it went beyond normal teammaturity to a unique bond. Ronaldinho acted as a spiritual mentor and older brother to Messi in his early days.

Prepared by: Sports News Unit – Qahwa World – based on statements by Andrea Orlandi on the HProject Podcast (source: Spanish press).

Publication date: June 3, 2026

Russia Mandates Digital Labeling for Coffee and Chicory From June 2026

Source: TASS + Qahwa World |
Date: June 2, 2026

Russia Mandates Digital Labeling for Coffee and Chicory From June 2026

Key Takeaways:

  • Russia launches mandatory “Honest Sign” digital labeling for coffee and chicory from June 1, 2026.
  • Data Matrix codes on every package ensure full traceability from production to shelf.
  • Consumers can verify products instantly using the official mobile app.
  • Retail prices expected to rise 5 to 15 percent during the initial adaptation phase.
  • The Russian system surpasses European standards in consumer accessible real time data.
  • Labeling now covers more than 20 product categories as part of a national anti counterfeiting strategy.

Russia has officially launched mandatory digital labeling for coffee and chicory as of June 1, 2026. The measure is part of the national “Honest Sign” (Честный Знак) system. The initiative aims to enhance supply chain transparency and combat counterfeit products.

At the same time, Russia introduced piece by piece traceability for salmon and sturgeon caviar. This move is part of a broader government strategy that already covers more than 20 product categories. The coffee sector, especially instant coffee, is expected to see significant changes in prices and market structures in the coming period.

How It Works: 2D Codes and a Verification App

According to the government decree published on the official legal information portal, all producers and importers must now apply Data Matrix codes to coffee and chicory products. This applies when introducing products into commercial circulation. Goods manufactured before the deadline can be sold without codes until their expiration date.

The Center for the Development of Advanced Technologies (CRPT), operator of the “Honest Sign” system, stated that consumers can now verify product authenticity and safety with a single scan. This is done using the official mobile app. The app displays manufacturer or importer details, production date, shelf life, and official permits. If any issue is found, the app triggers immediate warnings to the buyer.

Expected Impact on Coffee Prices

Industry experts anticipate moderate price increases in the short term. The cost of applying each Data Matrix code, combined with expenses for labeling equipment, software integration, and staff training, will put pressure on producers. The instant coffee segment, which operates on low profit margins, will be particularly affected.

As a result, analysts estimate potential retail price rises of 5 to 15 percent for certain categories during the initial adaptation phase. However, the Ministry of Industry and Trade has downplayed concerns. It argues that reducing the gray market, estimated at up to 13 percent in the coffee sector, will eventually offset costs. Legitimate producers will then be able to gain market share.

In the medium to long term, greater market transparency could stabilize or even slightly lower prices. Squeezing out counterfeit and smuggled products will foster fairer competition.

Comparison: Russian System vs. European Standards

Criteria Russian “Honest Sign” System EU System (Regulation 178/2002)
Traceability level Centralized, unit by unit One step forward, one step back (direct suppliers and customers)
Consumer access to data Public via mobile app, instant scan of each package Not generally available to the public
Primary focus Anti counterfeiting, tax evasion reduction Food safety, health, environmental sustainability
National database Yes, unified and centralized No centralized public database
Additional initiatives Mandatory for over 20 product categories Digital Product Passport, EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR)

Why This Matters

This development is part of a broader Russian strategy. Moscow has already applied mandatory labeling to more than 20 product categories, including pharmaceuticals, dairy, and bottled water. For consumers, this represents a significant empowerment. Instead of relying solely on brand reputation, they can now verify government backed information.

In addition, the reform is expected to reduce health risks from counterfeit products. It will also protect legitimate businesses, cut tax evasion, and support environmental goals. This is especially important for high value items like caviar, where illegal fishing has long been a concern.

The CRPT noted that a successful voluntary pilot phase allowed businesses to test and optimize the system beforehand. This minimized operational disruption.

As Russia strengthens its digital traceability infrastructure, its standards move closer to, and in some aspects ahead of, evolving international best practices. Consumers in Russia are advised to download the “Honest Sign” app and make scanning a regular habit when purchasing coffee, chicory, or premium caviar.

Frequently Asked Questions About Russia’s Digital Labeling System

Q: When did mandatory coffee labeling take effect in Russia?

A: The system came into force on June 1, 2026. It covers coffee and chicory.

Q: How can consumers verify product authenticity?

A: By downloading the official “Honest Sign” (Честный Знак) mobile app and scanning the Data Matrix code on the package.

Q: Will coffee prices increase because of this system?

A: A temporary increase of 5 to 15 percent is expected during the initial adaptation phase. In the long term, eliminating the gray market could stabilize or lower prices.

Q: What is the difference between the Russian and European traceability systems?

A: The Russian system is centralized and allows consumers to scan each product instantly. The EU system relies on one step forward, one step back traceability between businesses without a public consumer database.

Q: Does the system apply to imported products?

A: Yes, importers must also apply Data Matrix codes to imported products when they enter the Russian market.

Q: What other product categories already have mandatory labeling?

A: The system covers more than 20 categories, including pharmaceuticals, dairy, bottled water, fur, perfumes, tires, cameras, and others.

Prepared by: Qahwa World Specialized News Unit – based on statements from TASS and the Center for the Development of Advanced Technologies (CRPT).

Publication date: June 2, 2026

Specialty Coffee in America Hits Record High in 2026

Source: National Coffee Association (NCA) |
Author: Specialty Reports Unit |
Date: June 2, 2026

Specialty Coffee in America Hits Record High in 2026

Key Takeaways:

  • 47% of American adults drank specialty coffee yesterday. This equals the highest level ever recorded.
  • Specialty coffee surpasses traditional coffee daily (47% vs. 42%).
  • 58% of Americans had specialty coffee in the past week. That is a 10 point increase since 2021.
  • The 25 to 39 age group leads consumption. 69% of them drank specialty coffee in the past week.
  • Espresso based beverages (lattes, cappuccinos) reached 45% weekly penetration.
  • Sweet flavors like chocolate and caramel top the preference list for specialty drinkers.
  • 36% of specialty coffee drinkers had their coffee prepared out of home. Only 23% of traditional drinkers did the same.

The National Coffee Association (NCA) released its 2026 National Coffee Data Trends Specialty Coffee Report today. The report shows that specialty coffee continues to achieve record numbers. Specifically, 47% of American adults drank specialty coffee on the day before the survey. This matches the record high set in 2025.

In addition, specialty coffee outperforms traditional coffee, which stood at 42% daily. The data points to a clear shift in consumer behavior toward quality and diverse flavors. Specialty coffee confirms its position as a favorite drink among new age groups.

Record High Consumption for Specialty Coffee

The Spring 2026 NCDT report found that 66% of American adults drank coffee of any type yesterday. This makes coffee the number one beverage in America, ahead of tap or bottled water. However, the real growth happens in the specialty coffee segment. Daily specialty consumption reached 47%, while traditional coffee remained stable at 42%.

Furthermore, weekly specialty coffee consumption has grown steadily. It increased from 48% in 2021 to 58% in January 2026. This represents a 10 percentage point increase over five years. Espresso based beverages (EBBs) are the main driver of this growth.

Coffee Type Daily Penetration (Jan 2026) Weekly Penetration (Jan 2026)
Specialty Coffee 47% 58%
Traditional Coffee 42% 62%
Espresso Based Beverages (EBBs) 29% 45%
Cold Specialty Beverages (N EBBs)* 17% 27%

* Includes cold brew, frozen blended coffee, and nitro coffee.

Age Group 25 39 Drives Growth and Demand for Innovation

The data shows that adults aged 25 to 39 are the main engine of the specialty coffee market. Specifically, 69% of this group drank specialty coffee in the past week. This is the highest percentage among all age groups. In contrast, only 46% of those aged 60 and above did the same.

As a result, younger consumers prefer espresso based drinks and cold beverages. For example, 60% of the 25 39 group had an espresso beverage in the past week. Cold brew consumption among them reached 28%. Among seniors, that number was only 6%.

Moreover, younger adults (18 to 24) showed a stronger preference for specialty coffee over traditional coffee. Their weekly specialty penetration was 50% compared to 40% for traditional. This suggests a lasting shift in consumption habits for future generations.

Age Group Specialty Coffee (Weekly) Espresso Beverages Cold Specialty Drinks
18 24 50% 38% 33%
25 39 69% 60% 40%
40 59 60% 47% 27%
60+ 46% 30% 13%

Flavor Preferences: Sweet Dominates, Specialty Drinkers Seek More

The report revealed that 35% of specialty coffee drinkers consider flavor as part of what makes a coffee “specialty.” Therefore, the study tested 22 flavor descriptions to identify the most preferred ones. Sweet flavors topped the list broadly. Chocolate (cocoa, milk chocolate, malt) scored 85% appeal among specialty drinkers. Caramel and brown sugar came second with 78%, followed by vanilla at 79%.

In contrast, specialty coffee drinkers showed greater openness to less common flavors compared to traditional drinkers. For example, the appeal for citrus notes (orange, lemon) rose to 64% among specialty drinkers versus 52% for traditional drinkers. Likewise, liking for rose and spice notes like cinnamon and cardamom increased significantly.

As a result, the study recommends that coffee shops and brands offer a mix of 4 to 5 core flavors. According to a TUR (Total Unduplicated Reach) analysis, offering chocolate, vanilla, and a tropical fruit can reach more than 70% of specialty coffee drinkers. Adding more flavors does not deliver significant additional reach.

Buying Behavior: Out of Home, Cold Drinks, and Sweeteners

The report noted clear behavioral differences between specialty and traditional coffee drinkers. First, 36% of specialty drinkers bought their coffee ready made from outside the home (cafes, restaurants, gas stations). This compares to only 23% for traditional coffee drinkers. This reflects the importance of out of home channels for the specialty segment.

Second, 32% of Americans consumed cold specialty coffee during the past week. This is a large number compared to traditional coffee, where only 13% was consumed cold. Cold brew and frozen blended drinks are key drivers of this trend, even during winter months.

Third, sweetener use increased among specialty coffee drinkers. Specifically, 59% of them added sweeteners or flavored syrup to their daily coffee. This percentage rises to 70% among the 25 to 39 age group. Hispanic Americans are more likely to add white sugar and honey. Meanwhile, 58% of specialty drinkers used whiteners (milk, cream, or milk alternatives).

Frequently Asked Questions About the 2026 Specialty Coffee Report

Q: What percentage of Americans drink coffee daily overall?

A: According to the Spring 2026 report, 66% of American adults drink coffee daily. This makes coffee the most consumed beverage, ahead of tap or bottled water.

Q: How does the NCA define “specialty coffee”?

A: Specialty coffee includes any espresso based beverage (lattes, cappuccinos), non espresso beverages like cold brew and nitro, plus traditional coffee that consumers believe is made from premium beans.

Q: Which age group consumes the most specialty coffee?

A: The 25 to 39 age group is the highest consumer. 69% of them drank specialty coffee in the past week, the highest among all age groups.

Q: What are the most preferred flavors for specialty coffee drinkers?

A: Sweet flavors lead the list. Chocolate has 85% appeal, followed by caramel and brown sugar at 78%, and vanilla at 79%.

Q: Do Americans prefer hot or cold specialty coffee?

A: 43% of specialty coffee drinkers prefer it hot, while 32% consume it cold. Cold beverages show steady growth even during winter months.

Q: Where do specialty coffee drinkers usually get their coffee?

A: 36% buy their coffee ready made away from home (cafes, restaurants, workplaces). The rest prepare it at home using drip makers or espresso machines.

Author: Specialty Reports Unit – Based on the National Coffee Association (NCA) press release issued June 2, 2026, and the 2026 NCDT Specialty Coffee Report.

All rights reserved. This report may be republished with attribution.

Publication date: June 2, 2026

Specialty Coffee Pricing in Dubai: Fair or Overpriced?

Focus Keyphrase specialty coffee pricing Dubai
Slug specialty-coffee-pricing-dubai
SEO Title Specialty Coffee Pricing in Dubai: Fair or Overpriced?
Meta Description (141 chars) Dubai coffee experts clash over pricing. Some say costs justify the price. Others call it greed. A full investigation.
Tags specialty coffee, Dubai coffee, coffee pricing, cafés, Dragoslav Džudović, Sigrid Ballard, Sarah Sahwan, Qussay Al Jabal, Albina Khamidullina

Executive Summary

  • Specialty coffee prices in Dubai have risen significantly, sparking debate among industry experts.
  • Dragoslav Džudović breaks down the real cost of a cup: between AED 15 and AED 35 before profit.
  • Sarah Sahwan argues that some cafés add a “greed” margin, with markups exceeding 200%.
  • Qusai Al Jabal insists that high prices are only fair for rare, exceptional beans.
  • Albina Khamidullina finds prices reasonable from an industry perspective, but admits specialty coffee is a luxury for most consumers.
  • Most experts agree that there is a noticeable gap between price and quality in many cafés.
  • No single business model fits all. Low‑price high‑volume and high‑price curated experiences can both work.

Specialty Coffee Pricing in Dubai: Fair or Overpriced?

Dubai’s specialty coffee scene has expanded rapidly in recent years. Prices have risen just as fast, especially for manual brews like V60 and filter coffee. This growth has opened a wider debate. Is specialty coffee still an everyday product? Or has it become an exclusive, luxury experience?

Qahwa World asked nine leading experts for their views. Their answers range from defending prices as a true reflection of operational costs to condemning them as unjustified. This investigation presents their full responses.

The Cost Reality: A Detailed Breakdown

Dragoslav Džudović, a well‑known barista and coffee consultant, offers a rare numerical breakdown. He insists that most consumers do not understand the real cost of a single cup.

“The real cost of one take‑away cup of coffee with milk, depending on the location in the UAE, ranges from AED 15‑25 to AED 25‑35+. Yes, you are reading that correctly. That is the cost. Let’s break it down per cup: Cost of goods – AED 4‑7 (beans, milk, packaging). Labour – 40% of the cost, which is AED 5‑15 (time to make the drink, service, salary, visa, gratuity, accommodation, insurance, and other benefits). Operating costs – AED 4‑10 (rent, utilities, AC, coffee machine, ice makers, chillers, freezers, etc.). Do not forget license, permits, marketing, insurance, fit‑out, POS, and bank fees.”

Therefore, when a café charges AED 35 for a cup, it may not be excessive. Many cafés, however, set their prices based on competition, not on real costs. Dragoslav warns that this approach is not sustainable. He adds that most small cafés fail in their first year because of miscalculations.

Sigrid Ballard, a specialty coffee expert, supports this view. She explains that Dubai’s pricing is higher than many global markets, but it reflects the city’s operational reality.

“In Dubai, rent and operational costs are the biggest drivers, especially in prime hospitality and lifestyle locations. While green coffee quality matters, the final retail price is more heavily influenced by location costs, staffing, fit‑out investments, and overall brand positioning.”

Samson Kibunja, a seasoned barista, adds that price should never be seen in isolation. He argues that a cup of coffee is the result of a long chain.

“The price of coffee is shaped by an entire ecosystem. Dubai is a market where high operational standards and premium locations significantly affect pricing. A cup of coffee is ultimately the result of a long chain – from farm to roasting, training, equipment, hospitality, and final service.”

Albina Khamidullina, from drinkit, offers a nuanced perspective. She agrees that costs justify prices, but she also acknowledges the consumer’s reality.

“I think specialty coffee is priced pretty reasonably, given the cost of beans, labor, and rent. But I say this as an industry worker, and I understand all the costs that go into the final price of the product. It is reasonably priced, but to the final consumer, it still might be too expensive.

Specialty coffee, unfortunately, is a luxury in most places. The biggest factor is rent, then labor (not only salaries, but visas, insurance, etc.), and of course, the CAPEX, and the coffee shop’s need to get its return on investment. At most specialty coffee places, a V60 cup costs 50‑60 dirhams.

I consider it more of a luxury than an everyday product, given that you can get a decent cup of coffee for 15‑20 dirhams. (We at DrinkIt serve only specialty beans, and you can get an americano for 15 dirhams, a filter for 17, and a V60 for 25 dirhams, which is a very good price considering market benchmarks.)

The current market lacks a consistent place where you get the same great product and service every time. There are a lot of amazing places in Dubai, but no two visits are the same in terms of quality. For sure, there is a big gap between the price and the product’s quality.

But in this case, the surroundings need to be taken into consideration: what’s the interior like, how many people work there, is it a prime location, and do they use loud marketing? It’s all included in the price of the final product. It depends on the business model and the brand’s goals. Both ways have their benefits, so I cannot answer this question without knowing the goals. We at DrinkIt try to find the gold standard between them.”

The Counterview: Overpricing and the “Greed” Factor

Sarah Sahwan, founder of The Optimist café, is blunt. She believes that some cafés charge far more than necessary.

“I believe the two biggest factors are rent, and greed. A coffee cup costs range  5 – 10  dirhams and that’s excluding the cost of labor and other expenses such as the rent, utilities and inflation  , which means there is room to mark up the price – but not by 200%. In malls, a cup of coffee now ranges between AED 25 and AED 50, and not all of them offer good quality.”

Hassa bint Ghuwaifa, an Emirati journalist and coffee enthusiast, also finds prices too high. She compares Dubai to other Gulf markets and sees a clear gap.

“Prices are high, especially compared to the Gulf region. It has become normal for a single cup to exceed AED 45. Specialty coffee is still a daily product for many, but at an abnormally high price. There is a clear gap between price and quality. I have paid over AED 70 for a cup that was worth every dirham. But I have also paid half that price for cups I regretted drinking.”

Stefan Kica, an industry observer, summarises his position even more sharply.

“As a regular consumer, prices are very high. As a B2B user, they are very affordable. That difference is the problem. Specialty coffee has become a luxury product. The market misses affordable coffee for everyone. There is a gap between price and quality – overpriced with no reason.”

A Conditional View: Quality and Rarity as Justification

Qusai Al Jabal, co‑founder of JabalBon Coffee Farm in Yemen and founder of Mokha Roots in Dubai, offers a more nuanced perspective. He does not reject high prices outright. Instead, he ties them to quality.

“It depends on the quality. It is too expensive if a café serves average coffee but charges a premium price. However, the high price is fair when you are drinking rare, high‑quality beans that are hard to grow, harvest, and ship. The biggest factors in Dubai are high rent in prime locations and luxury shop fit‑outs. Specialty coffee is moving fast toward luxury. It has become a luxury ritual.”

Qussai also warns about the gap between appearance and substance. “If coffee is expensive, the quality in the cup must match the price. It is wrong to buy cheap, low‑grade coffee, mark up the price ten times just because the shop is trendy.”

Syed Naveed, a well‑known coffee blogger and photographer, takes a middle position. He finds pricing fair compared to commercial coffee. But he admits that some extremes are hard to defend.

“Against commercial coffee, I find it fair. The quality in the cup, the sourcing story, the experience inside a specialty café – all of it adds up. But pricing can get out of hand fast when you move into micro‑lots and nano‑lots. The most extreme example recently has to be the Nido 7, priced at a thousand dollars. That is not a cup of coffee anymore. That is a statement.”

Syed also notes that green coffee prices have been climbing, and roasters can no longer absorb the increase. Rent, electricity, water, logistics, and labour have all gone up. As a result, a cappuccino can easily hit AED 30 or more in some places.

Where Do the Experts Stand? A Quick Summary

Expert Stance on Pricing Most Sustainable Model
Dragoslav Džudović High, but reflects real costs (AED 15‑35 cost) Low price with high volume after correct cost calculation
Sigrid Ballard High but justified by rent and operations Balanced: quality + efficiency + repeatable price
Samson Kibunja Fair when seen as part of a whole ecosystem Both models can work with integrity
Albina Khamidullina Reasonable from industry side, but luxury for consumers Depends on brand goals; drinkit seeks middle ground
Sarah Sahwan Unreasonable; greed is a major factor Lower pricing with higher volume
Hassa bint Ghuwaifa Too high compared to Gulf neighbours Lower prices with special higher‑priced options
Stefan Kica Very high as a consumer Low price with high volume
Qusai Al Jabal Fair only for rare, high‑quality beans Higher pricing with curated experience
Syed Naveed Fair vs commercial, but extreme micro‑lots overpriced Both work if the concept is strong

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: Why is specialty coffee in Dubai so expensive compared to other cities?
A: According to experts, the main reasons are high commercial rents, operational costs, staffing expenses, imported beans, and business models that focus on premium experiences. Dragoslav’s breakdown shows that the real cost per cup can reach AED 35 before any profit.
Q: Do all experts agree that prices are unfair?
A: No. Opinions are divided. Some, like Dragoslav and Sigrid, say prices reflect a high‑cost environment. Others, like Sarah and Stefan, call them excessive. Qussay and Albina argue that high prices can be fair if the coffee quality is exceptional, but Albina adds that for consumers it remains a luxury.
Q: What does Sarah Sahwan mean by “greed” as a factor?
A: She believes some cafés mark up prices by more than 200% without a corresponding increase in quality. In her view, a cup that costs AED 5 – 10 excluding the cost of labor, other expenses such as the rent utilities and inflation, to make should not be sold for AED 45 unless there is a real reason, such as rare beans or a unique experience.
Q: Is specialty coffee in Dubai an everyday product or a luxury?
A: It is both, depending on the café and the customer. Some experts say it remains accessible through various price points. Albina notes that while industry workers see reasonable pricing, for most consumers it is a luxury, especially when V60 costs 50‑60 dirhams at many places.
Q: Which business model is most sustainable according to the investigation?
A: There is no single answer. Dragoslav and Sarah favour lower prices with higher volume. Qusai prefers higher prices with a curated experience. Albina says it depends on brand goals, and DrinkIt tries to find a middle ground.
Q: What is missing from the current Dubai coffee market?
A: Experts point to a lack of transparency, consumer education, and a real connection to coffee farms. Albina adds that consistency is lacking: no two visits to the same café guarantee the same quality.

Climate Resilient Coffee: Excelsa and Liberica Offer Hope

Author: Qahwa World
Source: Mongabay (Meena Menon)
Date: June 1, 2026

Climate Resilient Coffee: Excelsa and Liberica Offer Hope

Executive Summary:

  • Mongabay published this story. Arabica and Robusta face growing threats from rising temperatures and erratic rainfall.
  • Lesser known coffee species like Excelsa and Liberica are gaining attention for their resilience and adaptability.
  • British planter Colonel Benson introduced Excelsa to India in the 1800s, but growers never commercialised it widely.
  • In 2025, the South India Coffee Company sold over four tonnes of Excelsa. Demand for saplings is now rising.
  • Researchers at Kew Gardens are studying underutilised species. They have proposed a new hybrid called Libex.
  • Ugandan farmers have grown hundreds of acres of Excelsa since the early 2000s as a climate adaptation.
  • For a sustainable future, the coffee industry must diversify by blending traditional and alternative species.

Mongabay published this story about climate resilient coffee. Rising temperatures and erratic rainfall increasingly threaten the two dominant coffee species, Arabica and Robusta. Pest pressures add to their vulnerability. Consequently, researchers and farmers are turning to lesser known species such as Excelsa and Liberica. These forgotten plants offer new hope for the industry.

Excelsa Gains New Relevance

Excelsa (Coffea dewevrei) grows naturally in parts of Tropical Africa and Southeast Asia. In India, farmers traditionally planted it as a boundary marker or for shade. However, they never commercialised it widely. According to an unpublished paper, a British planter named Colonel Benson introduced Excelsa to India in the late 1800s. He saw it as an alternative to Arabica after pest outbreaks. Nevertheless, its height, which can reach fifteen metres, made estate management impractical.

Today, climate change is prompting a revaluation. Akshay Dashrath, co founder of the South India Coffee Company, maintains 60 year old Excelsa trees on his estate in Karnataka. Interestingly, his grandfather used to drink only Excelsa at home. In 2024 and 2025, the company began revaluating Excelsa across five estates. As a result, they sold over four tonnes of green coffee in 2025. For 2026, they estimate sales will reach five tonnes.

Indian Growers Face Climate Instability

Across India’s coffee growing regions, farmers report increasing climate instability. Kerehaklu Estate in Karnataka has grown Excelsa and Liberica since 1953. Pranoy Thipaiah, the managing partner, told Mongabay that rainfall has become longer and more intense. He also noted that plants’ biological clocks have shifted. Pest pressure has increased as well. Excelsa and Liberica, he explained, handle climate variations better than traditional species. Their long gestation period means harvest occurs after the unseasonal rains pass. Thipaiah is now expanding his trials. He has seven different varieties from Vietnam growing in his nursery. Next year, he plans to transplant them into the main estate.

Global Research on Resilient Species

The search for climate resilient coffee extends far beyond India. Researchers have identified 133 different coffee species worldwide. Aaron Davis of the Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, told Mongabay that Arabica and Robusta may soon lose their dominance. Arabica requires a cool tropical climate with distinct dry periods. Robusta needs warmth and moisture but cannot tolerate drought. Therefore, neither species can survive the coming changes. Davis advocates for diversification. “We need a portfolio of coffee crop species to adapt to altered climates,” he stated.

Excelsa is already scaling up in Uganda and Vietnam. Farmers there have grown hundreds of acres since the early 2000s. Kiwuka Catherine, a Ugandan research officer, explained that smallholders and large farmers are adopting Excelsa as a climate adaptation. At least 200 farms in Uganda and several in India, Vietnam, and South Sudan now produce Excelsa for export. This trend shows no signs of slowing.

New Hybrids and Future Possibilities

Species Climate Resilience Current Status
Arabica Low, heat sensitive Dominant but vulnerable
Robusta Moderate, not drought tolerant Widely grown, under pressure
Excelsa High, heat and drought tolerant Gaining commercial interest
Liberica High, adaptable Under research
Libex (hybrid) Very high, disease resistant Proposed new hybrid

Researchers have also investigated a hybrid between Liberica and Excelsa. They named it Coffea X libex, or Libex coffee. This hybrid resists heat, excess moisture, and disease effectively. According to Dashrath, this finding could prove crucial for the future of coffee. Hybrids offer a sustainable option for growers facing unpredictable weather. In India, Excelsa is slowly moving from obscurity into the mainstream. SICC has received requests for more than 4,000 saplings for 2026. Davis believes Ugandan Excelsa could appear in supermarkets within a decade. For a sustainable future, the coffee industry must embrace diversification, regenerative agriculture, and multiple alternative species.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. Why are Arabica and Robusta vulnerable to climate change?

Temperatures above 30°C reduce yields. Arabica cannot tolerate heat, while Robusta cannot handle drought. Changing rainfall patterns and pests add more stress.

2. What exactly is Excelsa coffee?

Excelsa (Coffea dewevrei) is a lesser known coffee species native to Africa and Southeast Asia. It grows tall and shows strong resistance to heat and drought.

3. Where can farmers grow Excelsa today?

Growers cultivate Excelsa in India, Uganda, and Vietnam. Ugandan farmers have grown hundreds of acres since the early 2000s as a climate adaptation.

4. What is Libex coffee?

Libex (Coffea X libex) is a hybrid between Liberica and Excelsa. It demonstrates strong resistance to heat, moisture stress, and disease.

5. Can consumers buy Excelsa coffee now?

Yes, but only in small quantities. In India, producers sold over four tonnes in 2025. Ugandan Excelsa may soon reach supermarket shelves.

6. What does the future of coffee look like?

Diversification. Growers will need a portfolio of species including Excelsa, Liberica, Stenophylla, and hybrids like Libex alongside improved Arabica and Robusta.

Qahwa World – Mongabay published this story. Reporting by Meena Menon.
Published: June 1, 2026

Ethiopian Coffee Arrives in Shetland via Honesty Box

Author: Qahwa World
Source: Based on reporting by Iona Nicol, BBC Scotland News
Date: May 31, 2026

Ethiopian Coffee Arrives in Shetland via Honesty Box

Executive Summary:

  • The BBC published this story about Netsanet Sori, who moved from Ethiopia to Shetland and brought her coffee tradition with her.
  • She now sells hand roasted Ethiopian coffee beans through an honesty box on the island of Whalsay.
  • Netsi was raised on a family coffee farm in rural Ethiopia after her mother died young.
  • She lived in Orkney for nine years before moving to Shetland in October 2025.
  • Traditional Ethiopian coffee ceremonies involve community gatherings, sharing news, and building belonging.
  • Netsi roasts the beans in a pot, constantly shaking them for even roasting, and then uses a small electric grinder.
  • Locals appreciate having a local source of real coffee instead of instant, and the honesty box adds to Shetland’s tradition of trust based sales.

The BBC published this story about a woman who moved from Ethiopia to Shetland and brought her coffee culture with her. Shetland is known for its honesty boxes.

These boxes usually contain fresh eggs, home baked goods, or pies.

However, the island of Whalsay recently received something different. A new honesty box now offers hand roasted Ethiopian coffee beans.

The coffee comes from Netsanet Sori, also known as Netsi. She moved to Whalsay in October 2025. Before that, she lived in Orkney for nine years. Netsi was raised on a family coffee farm in rural Ethiopia. Her mother died when she was young.

Therefore, her grandmother and great grandmother raised her on the farm. She says she had to grow up fast.

Staying Connected Through Coffee

Since moving to Scotland, Netsi has used coffee to stay connected to her home country. She imports coffee beans from the farm where she grew up. The BBC reported that she considers this tradition very important. She also plans to teach her children about it.

In Ethiopia, preparing and drinking coffee is a daily ritual. Community members, mainly women, gather for a traditional ceremony. Netsi told the BBC that neighbours and villagers meet once or twice a day.

They share information, good news, bad news, and love. She added that coffee is also about community belonging. “If you make a coffee, you can’t drink it alone,” she said. “You have to share what you have and help others.”

From Farm to Honesty Box

Hand roasting coffee beans is a slow and careful process. When the beans arrive in Whalsay, they are light green and have a subtle, earthy aroma. Netsi cleans them and roasts them in a pot. She constantly shakes the beans to ensure even roasting. As they cook, the beans darken to a rich brown. They also begin to release oil. Netsi says this is a sign of good quality coffee.

Traditionally, Ethiopians grind the beans with a tool that resembles a mortar and pestle. However, Netsi now uses a small electric grinder for speed.

While living in Orkney, she roasted coffee only for herself, friends, and charity events. After moving to Whalsay, she decided to turn her passion into a business. She told the BBC that after some research, she realized nobody else was roasting coffee like this in Shetland. She thought she could do it, and it has worked brilliantly. People seem to really like it.

Local Appreciation for Real Coffee

Ingrid Sutherland lives on Whalsay and has been buying the coffee. She first discovered it at a Christmas fair. She told the BBC that she is a coffee drinker who loves a good cup in the morning. She prefers real coffee, not instant. She was blown away by how cool it is. She added that the coffee is local, so she can just go along the road and get a bag instead of leaving the island. Shetland already has plenty of egg boxes and cake fridges, she said, but did not have a coffee box. She thinks it is fantastic to have one now.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. Who is Netsanet Sori?

She is an Ethiopian woman who moved to Shetland after living in Orkney for nine years. She was raised on a coffee farm in Ethiopia and now sells hand roasted coffee beans on Whalsay island.

2. What is an honesty box?

An honesty box is a trust based sales system common in Shetland. Customers take products and leave payment in a box. They are typically used for eggs, baked goods, and now coffee.

3. How does Netsi roast her coffee?

She roasts the beans in a pot, constantly shaking them for even roasting. The beans turn from light green to rich brown and release oil, which indicates good quality.

4. What is the traditional Ethiopian coffee ceremony?

It is a daily ritual where community members, mainly women, gather to share coffee, news, and love. It emphasizes community belonging and sharing.

5. Why did Netsi start selling coffee in Shetland?

After moving to Whalsay, she realized nobody else was roasting Ethiopian style coffee in Shetland. She turned her passion into a business, and local residents appreciate having real coffee available locally.

6. What do locals think of the coffee box?

Ingrid Sutherland, a local resident, said it is fantastic. She enjoys having a local source of real coffee instead of relying on instant coffee or leaving the island to buy beans.

Qahwa World – The BBC published this story. Reporting by Iona Nicol, BBC Scotland News.
Published: May 31, 2026

Turkish Coffee Culture: From Kahvehane to Specialty Bars

Author: Qahwa World
Source: Original reporting on Turkish coffee culture
Date: May 30, 2026

Turkish Coffee Culture: From Kahvehane to Specialty Bars

Executive Summary:

  • Turkish coffee culture is one of the world’s oldest. UNESCO recognizes it for its brewing rituals and social traditions.
  • Key features include very fine grind, brewing in a cezve, and serving with water and a sweet treat.
  • Turkish and Lebanese coffee are similar but different. Lebanese coffee often contains cardamom.
  • Specialty coffee arrived in Turkey in the early 2010s. Kronotrop was a pioneer in Istanbul.
  • At first, consumers disliked lighter roasts. They found them too sour compared to traditional coffee.
  • By 2015, a coffee renaissance took hold. Today, specialty coffee coexists with traditional kahvehane.
  • Turkey’s coffee story now blends heritage with innovation. The cezve and V60 share the same tables.

Coffee is more than just a drink. In many countries, it has become a ritual. It is a language of social interaction. It also expresses national identity. Some people drink coffee slowly during long conversations. Others grab it on the go in paper cups. Some build entire philosophies around its preparation. Turkey is often the first country that comes to mind for old coffee traditions. However, modern coffee trends have reached Turkey as well. This article looks at the history of Turkish coffee culture. It also examines how specialty coffee is changing it.

A Tradition Rooted in the Ottoman Empire

Turkish coffee culture is among the oldest in the world. Historians agree that coffee arrived in the Ottoman Empire during the sixteenth century. It came from Yemen. During the reign of Sultan Suleiman the Magnificent, coffee became part of court life. By the mid-1550s, the first coffeehouses opened in Istanbul. They were called kahvehane, which means houses of coffee. These places quickly became more than just coffee shops. Men gathered there to play backgammon. They listened to poetry and music. They also discussed current events. Through the Ottoman Empire, coffee spread to Europe in the seventeenth century. It reached Venice, Paris, London, and Vienna. From there, it continued its journey across the world.

Forty Years in One Cup

UNESCO recognizes Turkish coffee culture on its Intangible Cultural Heritage list. The recognition includes the rituals of preparation and service. The defining feature of Turkish coffee is its very fine grind. The coffee is ground almost into powder. It is brewed in a cezve, which many know as a Turkish coffee pot. The coffee is not filtered. Therefore, the grounds remain in the cup. This produces a dense, rich, and full-bodied drink.

Turkish coffee is never made in haste. It heats slowly over low heat. Another traditional method uses hot sand. This allows the cezve to heat evenly from all sides. As a result, the extraction is smoother. The flavor profile becomes distinctive. Foam is considered essential. In Turkey, a thick foam layer shows the brewer’s skill. Serving coffee is also part of the ritual. A glass of water and a sweet treat usually accompany the coffee. The sweet treat is often Turkish delight or baklava. The water cleanses the palate before the first sip. The sweetness complements the coffee’s bitterness.

People order Turkish coffee according to sweetness levels. Sade means no sugar. Orta means medium sweetness. Şekerli means sweet. Another tradition is fortune-telling from coffee grounds. After finishing the coffee, the cup is turned upside down onto a saucer. Once the grounds settle, patterns on the cup’s walls are interpreted as symbols. For many Turkish families, this remains a popular social activity. A famous Turkish proverb says: “The memory of a cup of coffee lasts forty years.” In Turkish, it is “Bir kahvenin kırk yıl hatırı vardır.” This emphasizes that sharing coffee creates lasting bonds of friendship and respect.

Turkish Coffee and Its Lebanese Cousin

At first glance, Turkish and Lebanese coffee look almost identical. Both are brewed in a cezve. Neither is filtered. Both belong to the broader Middle Eastern coffee tradition. However, notable differences exist. Turkish coffee is generally denser. Its flavor is more straightforward. Traditional recipes rarely include spices. This allows the coffee’s own characteristics to take center stage. Lebanese coffee, in contrast, is often more aromatic. Cardamom is frequently added, sometimes generously. This creates a warm, spicy aroma with subtle citrus notes.

The cultural context also differs. In Turkey, coffee is closely linked to extended conversations, family gatherings, and coffeehouse culture. In Lebanon, coffee often serves as a symbol of hospitality. It is offered to guests as a matter of etiquette. Despite these differences, coffee represents far more than caffeine in both countries. It remains a slow, thoughtful ritual embedded in everyday life.

The Rise of Specialty Coffee

The twentieth century made coffee widely available. The twenty-first century has, in some ways, made it more exclusive again. This is due to the rise of specialty coffee. The term “specialty coffee” emerged in the 1970s. However, it became a global phenomenon only in recent decades. The Third Wave Coffee movement transformed how people view coffee quality and origin. Specialty coffee emphasizes transparency. Consumers are encouraged to know not only the variety and country of origin. They also learn about the specific region, farm, and altitude. Like wine, coffee is now appreciated for its terroir and flavor complexity.

Instead of bitterness alone, drinkers now seek fruity, floral, and tea-like characteristics. An Ethiopian coffee may exhibit jasmine-like notes. A Kenyan coffee may suggest red currant or pomegranate. The specialty movement has also popularized alternative brewing methods. These include V60, AeroPress, Chemex, siphon brewing, and various pour-over techniques. Baristas are seen as skilled professionals. Coffee shops have become destinations for culinary experiences.

Turkey’s Third Wave Coffee Revolution

Turkey has deep-rooted coffee traditions. Therefore, it might seem unlikely for specialty coffee to flourish there. Nevertheless, the Third Wave movement has established a significant presence over the past fifteen years. The first specialty cafés appeared in Istanbul in the early 2010s. Among the pioneers was Kronotrop Coffee Bar, founded in 2012. It introduced many Turkish consumers to alternative brewing methods and modern coffee culture.

Initially, reactions were mixed. Turkish tastes had been shaped by dark, strong coffee for centuries. Lightly roasted beans with bright acidity seemed unfamiliar. Many customers described such coffees as “too sour.” They simply differed from traditional expectations. However, by the middle of the decade, Istanbul was experiencing a genuine coffee renaissance. Independent roasters emerged. Baristas began training according to international standards. Coffee shops evolved into modern social spaces with minimalist design and open brewing stations.

Today, specialty coffee is part of everyday urban life in cities such as Istanbul, Ankara, and Izmir. Modern cafés offer pour-overs, filter coffee, cold brew, and sophisticated espresso blends. They serve these alongside traditional Turkish coffee. Outside the largest cities, specialty coffee remains relatively niche. In tourist destinations such as Antalya, specialty cafés are becoming more common. However, traditional Turkish coffee culture continues to dominate. Even so, new coffee trends are steadily taking root. This creates a unique coexistence between centuries-old traditions and contemporary specialty coffee culture.

Turkey’s coffee story is no longer defined solely by the cezve and the kahvehane. Instead, it reflects an ongoing dialogue between heritage and innovation. Traditional Turkish coffee and modern specialty coffee increasingly share the same table.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. What makes Turkish coffee unique?

Very fine grind, brewing in a cezve, no filtration, slow heating, essential foam, and serving with water and sweets.

2. What is a kahvehane?

A traditional Turkish coffeehouse from the 16th century. It was a social gathering place for men to play games, listen to music, and discuss news.

3. Is Turkish coffee the same as Lebanese coffee?

No. Turkish coffee is denser and without spices. Lebanese coffee often includes cardamom and uses lighter roasts.

4. When did specialty coffee arrive in Turkey?

Early 2010s. Kronotrop Coffee Bar (founded 2012) was a pioneer of the third wave movement in Turkey.

5. How did Turkish consumers react to specialty coffee at first?

Reactions were mixed. Many found lighter roasts too sour compared to traditional dark Turkish coffee.

6. Where can you find specialty coffee in Turkey today?

Major cities like Istanbul, Ankara, and Izmir. Traditional kahvehane culture still dominates in rural areas.

Qahwa World – Original reporting on Turkish coffee culture.
Published: May 30, 2026

Coffee Prices Fall on Forecasts for Dry Weather in Brazil

Author: Qahwa World
Source: Barchart (Rich Asplund)
Date: May 29, 2026

Coffee Prices Fall on Forecasts for Dry Weather in Brazil

Executive Summary:

  • July arabica coffee futures closed down 2.70% on dry weather forecasts for Brazil, allowing the harvest to resume after rain delays.
  • July robusta coffee fell 2.14% amid improved global supply outlook and rising Vietnam exports.
  • Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee harvest is projected to increase 12% to 71.4 million bags, with some forecasts as high as 75.9 million bags.
  • StoneX expects the 2026 global coffee surplus to reach 10 million bags, the largest in six years.
  • Vietnam coffee exports rose 15.8% in January-April 2026 to 810,000 metric tons.
  • ICE arabica inventories fell to a 3.25-month low of 440,785 bags, supporting prices.
  • El Niño risks and dry conditions in Vietnam remain supportive for prices, while the US dollar weakness added support.

Coffee prices retreated sharply on Thursday after updated weather forecasts called for dry conditions next week in Brazil’s coffee growing regions.

The dry weather will allow the coffee harvest to resume after being delayed this week by heavy rains. July arabica coffee futures closed down 2.70%, while July robusta coffee fell 2.14%.

Brazil Crop Outlook and Global Surplus

Coffee prices have trended lower over the past month, with arabica falling to a one and a half year low last Tuesday amid an improved global supply outlook.

On May 7, the Coffee Trading Academy projected Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee harvest would increase 12% year on year to 71.4 million bags.

On March 19, Marex Group projected a record Brazilian crop of 75.9 million bags, surpassing Sucafina’s forecast of 75.4 million bags.

On March 12, StoneX raised its estimate to a record 75.3 million bags. StoneX also projected the 2026 global coffee surplus would expand to 10 million bags from 1.8 million bags in 2025, the largest surplus in six years.

Vietnam Exports and Inventory Trends

Soaring coffee exports from Vietnam, the world’s largest robusta producer, are bearish for robusta prices.

On May 9, Vietnam’s National Statistics Office reported that the country’s coffee exports in the first four months of 2026 rose 15.8% year on year to 810,000 metric tons.

Vietnam’s 2025 coffee exports jumped 17.5% to 1.58 million metric tons. Production for the 2025/26 season is projected to climb 6% to a four year high of 1.76 million metric tons, equivalent to 29.4 million bags.

ICE coffee inventories have trended lower over the past two months, which typically supports prices. ICE arabica coffee inventories fell to a 3.25-month low of 440,785 bags on Thursday.

ICE robusta inventories fell to a two year low of 3,631 lots on May 15, but recovered to a six week high of 3,968 lots last Friday.

Weather Risks and Other Factors

Global weather risks remain supportive for coffee prices. Excessive dryness in Vietnam is raising concerns about the robusta coffee crop.

Weather forecaster Vaisala said recent showers in Vietnam’s Central Highlands have been spotty, and more rain is needed to aid cherry growth.

Concerns that an El Niño weather pattern could hurt Brazil’s coffee crop next year are also supportive for prices.

Coffee trader Commercial said El Niño may delay rains in Brazil during September and October, when tree flowering normally occurs, potentially hurting the 2026/27 crop.

NOAA estimates an 82% probability of El Niño between May and July, with a 67% chance of a Super El Niño.

Smaller exports from Brazil are supportive of coffee prices.

On May 12, Cecafe reported that Brazil’s April green coffee exports fell 1.3% year on year to 2.76 million bags.

The ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted global coffee supplies, increasing shipping rates, insurance, and fuel costs, which is bullish for prices.

USDA Production Forecasts

Indicator 2025/26 Forecast
World coffee production 178.848 million bags (+2.0% record)
Arabica production 95.515 million bags (-4.7%)
Robusta production 83.333 million bags (+10.9%)
Brazil production 63 million bags (-3.1%)
Vietnam production 30.8 million bags (+6.2%, 4-year high)
Ending stocks 20.148 million bags (-5.4%)

The USDA’s Foreign Agriculture Service bi-annual report of December 18 projected world coffee production in 2025/26 would increase 2.0% to a record 178.848 million bags.

Arabica production is expected to decrease 4.7% to 95.515 million bags, while robusta production is forecast to rise 10.9% to 83.333 million bags.

The USDA also forecast Brazil’s coffee production to decline 3.1% to 63 million bags, while Vietnam’s output would rise 6.2% to a four year high of 30.8 million bags.

Ending stocks are projected to fall 5.4% to 20.148 million bags.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. Why did coffee prices fall on Thursday?

Prices fell due to forecasts of dry weather in Brazil, allowing the coffee harvest to resume after being delayed by heavy rains.

2. How much did arabica and robusta drop?

July arabica fell 2.70%, and July robusta fell 2.14%.

3. What is the projected Brazilian coffee crop for 2026/27?

The Coffee Trading Academy projects 71.4 million bags, while Marex Group and StoneX project record crops above 75 million bags.

4. How much did Vietnam’s coffee exports increase?

Exports rose 15.8% in January-April 2026 to 810,000 metric tons.

5. What is the expected global coffee surplus for 2026?

StoneX projects a surplus of 10 million bags, the largest in six years.

6. How does El Niño affect coffee prices?

El Niño could delay rains in Brazil during the flowering season, potentially reducing the 2026/27 crop, which supports prices.

Qahwa World – Based on Barchart commodity bulletin by Rich Asplund.
Published: May 29, 2026