Category: News

Nighttime Coffee May Increase Impulsive Behavior, Study Finds

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A recent study from researchers at the University of Texas at El Paso suggests that drinking caffeine at night could influence behavior in unexpected ways. The findings indicate that nighttime caffeine consumption may increase impulsivity, potentially leading to riskier actions.

The research, published in iScience, explored how caffeine affects behavioral control depending on the time of day. Scientists conducted experiments using fruit flies (Drosophila melanogaster), a species commonly used in research due to similarities in key biological processes shared with humans.

You may read: The Best Time to Drink Coffee, According to Experts

To test the effects, the team provided fruit flies with caffeine under different conditions, including varying doses, daytime versus nighttime intake, and sleep deprivation. They then evaluated impulsivity by observing how the flies reacted to strong airflow—an unpleasant stimulus that typically causes them to stop moving.

Under normal conditions, the flies avoided movement when exposed to the airflow. However, those that consumed caffeine at night were less able to suppress their reactions, continuing to move despite the discomfort. This behavior was interpreted as increased impulsivity. In contrast, caffeine consumed during the day did not produce the same effect.

Read also: 43 Years of Data: How Coffee Affects the Brain and Memory

The study also revealed notable differences between male and female flies. While both had similar caffeine levels, females showed a stronger increase in impulsive behavior. Researchers believe this difference is likely due to genetic or physiological factors rather than hormones, since fruit flies do not share the same hormonal systems as humans.

Given how widely caffeine is consumed—especially among people who work late or overnight—the findings may have broader implications. The researchers suggest that individuals such as shift workers, including those in healthcare or the military, could be more affected by caffeine intake at night. The results also point to the possibility that females may be more sensitive to these behavioral effects.

The study was led by Erick Saldes, Paul Sabandal, and Kyung-An Han, who emphasize the importance of understanding how timing influences caffeine’s impact on the brain and behavior.

Vietnam Suspends Decree 46, Easing Coffee Trade

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Vietnam’s suspension of Decree 46, a new food safety regulation governing all imported food and ingredients, has brought temporary relief to the coffee industry after weeks of disruption to supply chains.

Introduced at the end of January, Decree 46 tightened how food imports are managed at Vietnam’s borders. It replaced a more flexible framework with stricter approval procedures, including additional certification, registration, and physical inspections before products could enter the market. For many import-reliant sectors, including coffee, the impact was immediate.

Coffee businesses were hit on multiple fronts. Shipments of high‑quality green coffee, roasted products, and key processing inputs began to slow as importers adjusted to the new documentation and inspection requirements. Clearance times that previously took only a few days stretched to several weeks, creating bottlenecks at major ports as containers waited for checks and approvals. For an industry built on tight delivery schedules and thin margins, these delays quickly translated into operational and financial pressure.

Vietnam plays a central role in global coffee flows, not only as the world’s largest robusta producer but also as a processing and re‑export hub. Coffee is imported into the country for blending and processing before being shipped back out to international markets. That system depends heavily on efficiency and predictability at the border. By imposing full food‑safety compliance procedures on a wide range of imports, Decree 46 disrupted both.

One of the most sensitive areas was raw materials imported for re‑export. Under the previous rules, such shipments often benefited from simplified procedures because they were not intended for domestic consumption. Decree 46 removed much of that flexibility, requiring full compliance even for goods destined for re‑export. This added time, cost, and administrative complexity for coffee traders who route beans and semi‑finished products through Vietnam as part of global supply chains.

The specialty coffee segment also felt the strain. Imports of premium green coffee, small‑batch roasted products, flavorings, and other inputs used in high‑value offerings faced additional testing and approval steps. Smaller businesses, which typically operate with lean inventories, reported immediate pressure as delays threatened their ability to meet contracts and serve customers on time. Packaging materials and additives used in roasting, processing, and manufacturing coffee products were similarly drawn into the stricter regime, forcing companies to contend with more extensive compliance demands across their operations.

Industry reaction was swift. Business associations and trade groups representing food and beverage importers warned that the abrupt shift had created serious bottlenecks, with large numbers of shipments held at ports and border gates. They raised concerns about rising storage costs, the risk of contractual penalties, and knock‑on effects on domestic production that depends on imported inputs, including those used in coffee manufacturing and export.

In response, the government moved to stabilize the situation. On 4 February, authorities suspended the effectiveness of Decree 46 and temporarily reinstated the previous regulatory framework. This decision effectively returned import procedures to the more familiar rules that had been in place before the decree, allowing stuck shipments to begin moving again and easing congestion at key ports. For coffee traders and processors, the suspension has provided short‑term relief and a chance to clear backlogs.

However, the issue is far from settled. Officials have framed the suspension as a temporary measure while they review implementation challenges and consider adjustments to the regulation. Trading partners and industry groups have called for clearer guidance, more transparency, and adequate transition periods before any new rules take effect. The government has indicated that tighter control over food imports remains a strategic goal, suggesting that some form of stricter regime will likely return once technical and procedural issues are addressed.

For the coffee sector, this pause is being treated as a preparation window rather than a return to business as usual. Companies are reassessing their documentation workflows, compliance systems, and supply chain structures in anticipation that more demanding requirements will come back in some form. Import‑dependent roasters and exporters are also exploring options to diversify logistics routes, adjust contract terms, or build greater buffer stocks to cope with potential future disruptions.

The recent experience has highlighted just how sensitive the coffee trade is to regulatory shifts at key origin and transit points. Delays at Vietnam’s ports can quickly cascade into late deliveries, contract disputes, and price volatility along the supply chain. While the suspension of Decree 46 has eased immediate pressure, it has also sent a clear message: the operating environment for food and coffee imports in Vietnam is changing, and adaptation will be essential to maintain a smooth flow of trade.

You can adjust this text by shortening the background on regulation if your audience already knows Decree 46, or by expanding the “industry reaction” and adding quotes if you have direct sources from coffee companies or associations.

Coffee rallies hard as supply tightens and money flows back into the market

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You can feel it again—the market is tightening, and coffee is responding exactly the way it tends to when physical supply starts to disappear.

Over the past week, coffee prices pushed sharply higher, and this wasn’t just a technical move. It’s a combination the industry knows well: weaker exports from origin countries and fresh speculative money stepping back in. That mix rarely stays quiet for long.

Arabica for May delivery jumped 8.6% to around $6,828 per tonne, while robusta added another 6%, reaching $6,664. Both markets are moving in sync, which usually tells you this isn’t a localised issue—it’s systemic.

You may like to read: Indonesia’s Top 9 Coffees in 2026

At the same time, the broader commodity space is sending mixed signals. Silver dropped heavily under the weight of high interest rates, while coffee moved the other way. That divergence says a lot about where capital is going: away from passive holdings and into markets where supply risk is real and immediate.

  • And right now, coffee has plenty of that.

The geopolitical backdrop isn’t helping. Tensions in the Middle East have started to interfere with shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, pushing oil prices higher. For coffee producers, that translates directly into higher costs — fuel, fertilisers, transport — everything gets more expensive. Eventually, those costs show up in the price of coffee.

But the bigger story is still supply.

Exports from the major producers are clearly slowing:

Brazil saw green coffee exports drop 27% year-on-year in February
Vietnam was down 20%
Colombia fell even harder, down 32%

Those are not small adjustments — that’s a meaningful contraction across all key origins at the same time.

You can also read: The Best Time to Drink Coffee, According to Experts

What’s more telling is what’s happening on the exchange. ICE stocks — the market’s safety cushion — are still about 30% below last year, sitting just above 552,000 bags. And Brazilian coffee makes up only a tiny share of that, roughly 4%.

That’s important. When Brazil isn’t showing up in exchange stocks, it usually means producers aren’t satisfied with current price levels — or simply don’t feel pressure to sell. Either way, it tightens the market further.

On top of that, funds are coming back in. Managed money increased its net long position in arabica by nearly 30% in just one reporting period. That kind of move doesn’t happen unless confidence — or urgency — is building.

Locally, in Vietnam’s Central Highlands, prices followed the global trend, climbing to around 94,000 dong per kilo. That’s a strong move in a short time, and it reflects how quickly international pressure feeds into domestic markets.

Read also: 43 Years of Data: How Coffee Affects the Brain and Memory

  • Meanwhile, silver drops — and capital rotates

While coffee is climbing, silver is going through the opposite cycle.

Prices fell more than 14% last week, extending a steady run of losses. The main driver here isn’t supply — it’s macroeconomics.

With inflation in the U.S. still stubborn, interest rates remain elevated. That pushes bond yields higher and makes non-yielding assets like silver less attractive. Money simply moves elsewhere.

You can also see it in ETF flows. Holdings dropped by 225 tons in a single week — a clear sign that institutional investors are reducing exposure.

What’s interesting, though, is that the physical market is telling a different story. China imported over 790 tons of silver in the first two months of the year, with February hitting a record. At the same time, exchange inventories in both Shanghai and COMEX are shrinking fast.

So, while paper markets are selling, physical demand hasn’t gone away.

  • The bigger picture

What we’re seeing now is a classic divergence.

Coffee is being driven by real-world constraints — supply, logistics, and producer behavior.
Silver is being driven by financial conditions — rates, yields, and capital flows.

For coffee, the key question isn’t whether prices can move — they already are. The real question is how long supply remains tight and whether producers step in at these levels.

Until that happens, the market stays vulnerable to further upside.

Indonesia’s Top 9 Coffees in 2026

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New ranking highlights leading producers and coffee traditions

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A newly updated ranking published on March 18, 2026 by TasteAtlas highlights nine of the most notable coffees and producers across Indonesia, offering a snapshot of one of the world’s most diverse coffee landscapes.

Spanning regions such as Sumatra, Bali, Java, and Sulawesi, the list reflects a wide range of production methods, flavor profiles, and traditions—from high-end civet coffee to everyday robusta staples.

The Top 9 Indonesian Coffees

1. Gayo Kopi – Wild Kopi Luwak (Sumatra)
Topping the list is Gayo Kopi, known for its wild-sourced Kopi Luwak from the highlands of northern Sumatra. The coffee is often associated with a smooth texture and reduced bitterness, with deep, earthy flavor characteristics.

2. Akasa Coffee – Honey Process (Bali)
From the Kintamani region, Akasa Coffee focuses on full control over production. Its honey-processed Arabica is typically described as balanced, with gentle sweetness, floral notes, and a clean finish.

3. Wahana Estate – Sidikalang (North Sumatra)
Situated at elevations between 1,300 and 1,500 meters, Wahana Estate is recognized for its focus on experimentation and variety development, contributing to layered and complex flavor profiles.

4. Seven Bika Coffee – Java Preanger
This brand draws from several Indonesian coffee regions, offering both single-origin Arabica and blends. Its small-batch approach aims to preserve the character of each origin.

5. Toarco Toraja – Sulawesi
Produced in the Toraja Highlands, this coffee is processed using washed methods that highlight clarity and balance, often resulting in a refined and structured cup.

6. Puntang Coffee – Arabica Wine Process (West Java)
Grown on Mount Puntang, these coffees benefit from volcanic soil and high elevations. The use of experimental processing methods contributes to fruit-forward and aromatic profiles.

7. El’s Coffee – Lampung
Based in southern Sumatra, this brand focuses on locally grown beans, including robusta from Lampung, known for its full body and strong flavor.

8. Kopi Luwak Coffee – Central Java
A long-established producer of civet-processed coffee, offering cups commonly associated with smoothness and notes of chocolate and caramel.

9. Mandailing Estate Coffee – Sumatra
Originating from northern Sumatra, this coffee reflects a traditional profile with a full body and flavors often described as dark chocolate, spice, and dried fruit.

Traditional Coffee Styles Still Shape the Culture

Alongside these producers, Indonesia’s coffee culture remains deeply connected to traditional preparation methods.

Kopi luwak continues to attract global attention for its unique processing method. Kopi tubruk remains a daily staple, prepared by mixing ground coffee directly with hot water and allowing it to settle in the cup. In Yogyakarta, kopi joss is known for its unusual preparation involving hot charcoal, while kopi terbalik from Aceh is served upside down as part of a distinctive local ritual. Ginseng coffee represents a more modern variation, blending coffee with herbal elements.

A Snapshot of a Changing Industry

The ranking reflects broader developments in Indonesia’s coffee sector, where traditional practices continue to coexist with modern approaches to cultivation and processing. Specialty Arabica is gaining international attention, while robusta remains essential to local consumption and identity.

TasteAtlas notes that its rankings are based on audience ratings, with systems designed to identify reliable input and reduce bias. The list is intended to highlight notable local products and encourage exploration, rather than serve as a definitive global classification.

Source

This article is adapted from a ranking published by TasteAtlas (March 18, 2026):
https://www.tasteatlas.com/best-rated-coffees-in-indonesia

The Best Time to Drink Coffee, According to Experts

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For many people, coffee is the first step in starting the day. However, experts suggest that when you drink your coffee may influence how your body responds to it.

After waking up, the body naturally increases production of cortisol, a hormone linked to alertness. This typically peaks within the first 30 to 60 minutes. Some experts suggest that drinking coffee during this period may make caffeine feel less effective, as the body is already in a naturally alert state.

Hydration is another factor to consider. After several hours of sleep without fluids, the body may be slightly dehydrated. Drinking coffee before water may contribute to feelings of fatigue or dryness, particularly in people who are sensitive to caffeine.

Some individuals may also experience stomach discomfort when consuming coffee on an empty stomach, including increased acidity, although responses vary.

A commonly recommended approach is to wait 60 to 90 minutes after waking before having your first cup of coffee. This allows the body’s natural rhythm to settle and may help caffeine provide a more balanced and sustained energy boost.

Other morning habits can also influence energy levels. Diets high in sugar and low in protein may lead to fluctuations in energy, while exercising on an empty stomach may leave some people feeling fatigued. Immediate exposure to emails or screens may also contribute to early mental strain.

A more gradual start to the day may support steadier energy levels. Drinking water first, getting exposure to natural light, and delaying caffeine intake slightly are simple adjustments that [uncertain] may help improve how you feel later in the day.

43 Years of Data: How Coffee Affects the Brain and Memory

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Regular consumption of coffee and tea may do more than boost alertness—it could also play a role in maintaining cognitive health over time. This is suggested by findings from a large-scale analysis of more than 130,000 participants followed over a period of 43 years.

Throughout the study, participants regularly reported their dietary habits, health status, and changes in memory and thinking abilities. Over the course of the observation period, more than 11,000 individuals developed dementia. The analysis found that those who consumed caffeinated coffee in moderate amounts—about two to three cups per day—had an approximately 18% lower risk of developing dementia compared to those who rarely or never drank it. They also reported fewer subjective memory complaints and performed better on certain cognitive tests.

Similar patterns were observed among tea drinkers, with one to two cups per day associated with favourable outcomes. In contrast, decaffeinated coffee did not show a clear association with improved cognitive measures, suggesting that caffeine may play an important role in the observed effects.

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Researchers link these findings to compounds found in coffee and tea, including caffeine and polyphenols, which are believed to help reduce inflammation and protect brain cells from damage. Higher levels of caffeine intake did not appear to have harmful effects in this analysis, showing results comparable to moderate consumption.

Further analysis indicated that the association between caffeine intake and cognitive health was consistent regardless of genetic predisposition to dementia, highlighting the potential influence of lifestyle factors. At the same time, researchers emphasise that coffee and tea consumption represents only one part of a broader picture that includes diet, physical activity, sleep, and overall health.

The findings suggest that moderate, regular consumption of coffee or tea may contribute to maintaining cognitive function with age, though it should not be viewed as a standalone solution for preventing dementia.

Read also: Japanese Scientists: Coffee Protects Gums from Inflammation

Brazil’s Robusta Coffee Expands as Climate Hits Global Crops

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A report published by The Guardian highlights how Brazil’s long-overlooked robusta coffee is gaining new importance as climate change disrupts traditional coffee cultivation worldwide.

In the Brazilian Amazon, the story of robusta is closely tied to the resilience of Indigenous communities. When the Paiter Suruí people regained control of their land in 1981 after expelling invaders, they faced a difficult choice: whether to keep the coffee plantations left behind. While some associated the crop with a painful past and chose to destroy it, others preserved the trees.

Decades later, those surviving plantations have become a source of livelihood and environmental stewardship. Today, coffee is not only an economic activity but also part of a broader effort to protect the forest.

You may read: Brazil Crop Expectations Pressure Global Coffee Prices

Celeste Paytxayeb Suruí, an Indigenous barista and producer, has become one of the leading voices promoting what is now known as “Amazonian robusta,” grown in Rondônia, in Brazil’s western Amazon. Around 140 Suruí families cultivate coffee on small plots within the Sete de Setembro Indigenous territory, where high temperatures and abundant rainfall provide ideal conditions for the crop—similar to its origins in Central Africa.

A Changing Role for Robusta

For decades, robusta coffee was widely viewed as inferior to arabica, often criticized for its bitterness and relegated to low-cost blends. However, as The Guardian reports, this perception is shifting.

Researchers and farmers are working to improve robusta’s quality, while its natural tolerance to heat is making it increasingly important in a warming world. Its share of global coffee production has risen significantly, reaching 44% in 2023 compared to 28% in the early 1990s.

Climate change is a key driver behind this shift. Rising temperatures are affecting all major coffee-producing regions, including Brazil, which now experiences significantly more extreme heat days each year.

You may also read: Brazil’s Specialty Coffee Sector Gains Global Momentum

Yet robusta is not immune. In 2024, drought conditions in Rondônia reduced production on Suruí lands by 40%, reflecting the crop’s dependence on rainfall. Similar weather events in Brazil and Vietnam contributed to sharp increases in global coffee prices.

Looking ahead, research suggests that the land suitable for growing coffee could shrink by at least half by 2050, affecting both arabica and robusta.

Science and Innovation

To address these challenges, Brazilian researchers have been working to develop more resilient coffee varieties. The country’s agricultural research body, Embrapa, has spent over two decades improving robusta, significantly increasing its productivity.

Read also: Coffee Prices Drop on Brazil Weather and Rising Stocks

Amazonian robusta itself is the result of natural crossings between conilon and robusta plants. Scientists are now testing dozens of new hybrids designed to withstand higher temperatures, resist drought, and deliver improved flavor.

Experts also emphasize the importance of proper harvesting and post-harvest techniques. Selecting ripe cherries and carefully processing them can dramatically enhance the final cup quality, helping reposition robusta in specialty markets.

Coffee and Forest Conservation

The report underscores the close relationship between coffee cultivation and forest ecosystems. Coffee plants benefit from shaded environments, stable temperatures, and natural pollinators—all of which forests provide.

Despite this, large areas of Rondônia were cleared in past decades for cattle ranching, leaving coffee to occupy only a small portion of the land. In contrast, the Suruí community has followed a different path, implementing a long-term environmental management plan since 2004 that prioritizes reforestation and sustainable land use.

A Model from Family Farms

The report also highlights the example of the Bento family near the city of Cacoal. On their 12-hectare farm, they manage the entire coffee process—from cultivation to roasting—and welcome visitors to learn about their methods.

Their approach includes water-efficient irrigation, tree planting to protect water sources, beekeeping to support pollination, and crop rotation to maintain soil health. These practices have earned them repeated sustainability awards and demonstrate how small-scale farming can remain both productive and environmentally responsible.

Read Also: Coffee Pulp in Brazil: When the Coffee Cherry Refuses to Be Waste

Balancing Opportunity and Risk

Rising coffee prices and growing demand for robusta present new opportunities, but also potential risks. Some experts warn that expansion could lead to large-scale monoculture plantations, increasing pressure on forests.

They stress that sustainable outcomes depend on careful planning, strong environmental policies, and support for small farmers. There are also calls for consumers to make more informed choices when purchasing coffee.

Redefining Taste and Value

Another challenge lies in changing how robusta is evaluated. Traditionally judged by standards developed for arabica, robusta has often been misunderstood.

Researchers are now developing new tasting frameworks tailored specifically to canephora coffees, recognizing that robusta has its own distinct flavor profile rather than being a lower-quality alternative.

A Broader Vision for the Amazon

Beyond coffee, scientists and advocates are calling for a broader shift toward valuing forest-based products such as Brazil nuts, açaí, cocoa, and cupuaçu. They argue that Indigenous knowledge—historically overlooked—should play a central role in shaping sustainable economic models.

As Paytxayeb Suruí emphasizes in The Guardian’s report, protecting the Amazon must also mean supporting the people who live within it.

Her message reflects a wider call for collective responsibility: safeguarding the future of coffee, and the forests that sustain it, will require coordinated action from producers, governments, and consumers alike.

China’s Oddities: Coffee Made from Urine and Eggs

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China’s reputation for unusual food and beverage creations has once again drawn attention, this time from a coffee shop in Dongyang, in Zhejiang Province.

According to Jiupai News, the café has introduced an unconventional drink that pairs Americano coffee with “virgin boy eggs,” a traditional local delicacy prepared using children’s urine.

Staff at the shop say the product sells around 100 cups a day, with some customers traveling from other cities specifically to try it. At the same time, many first-time visitors find the idea surprising or difficult to accept.

The eggs are prepared using a long-standing local method. They are first boiled, then roasted over charcoal, giving them a slightly charred surface and a salty, roasted flavor. They are typically served separately on a skewer placed on the rim of the coffee cup, although some customers request that they be crushed and mixed into the drink.

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The café presents the beverage as a fusion of traditional Dongyang food culture and modern coffee trends. It has also introduced other experimental drinks inspired by regional cuisine, including a latte made with preserved vegetables and cheese.

The eggs themselves are a seasonal specialty in Dongyang and are recognized locally as part of the city’s intangible cultural heritage. They are traditionally consumed during the spring and have long been associated with local customs.

Public reaction has been mixed. While some people express curiosity and a willingness to try the drink, others—particularly those unfamiliar with the tradition—have voiced criticism.

Medical opinions also differ. Some practitioners point to historical uses of such ingredients in traditional remedies, while others raise concerns about hygiene and question any potential health value.

Despite the controversy, the drink continues to attract attention, highlighting how local traditions and modern coffee culture can intersect in unexpected ways.

Coffee Prices Rise on Supply Concerns

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Coffee futures rose on Monday, recovering from earlier losses as concerns over global supply disruptions supported the market.

May arabica gained 2.52 percent, rising 7.20 points, while May robusta edged up 0.46 percent, adding 16 points.

The rebound followed reports that the Strait of Hormuz has been closed, disrupting a key global shipping route. The development has pushed up freight rates, insurance costs, and fuel prices, increasing pressure on coffee importers and roasters worldwide.

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Earlier in the session, prices had moved lower as improved weather conditions in Brazil eased concerns about crop stress. Rainfall in Minas Gerais, the country’s main arabica-growing region, reached 57.7 millimeters last week, about 139 percent of the historical average.

Expectations of a large Brazilian harvest also continue to weigh on the market. StoneX recently raised its forecast for Brazil’s 2026 to 2027 coffee production to a record 75.3 million bags, up from 70.7 million.

Export data, however, provided some support. Figures from Cecafé showed Brazil’s green coffee exports fell 27 percent year on year in February to 2.3 million bags. Data from the country’s Trade Ministry also showed total coffee exports declined 17.4 percent to 142,000 metric tons.

Read also: Coffee Markets Rise Amid Middle East Shipping Disruptions

At the same time, rising inventories continue to weigh on prices. Arabica stocks monitored by Intercontinental Exchange climbed to 572,004 bags last week, the highest level in five and a half months. Robusta inventories also reached a three and a half month high earlier this month before easing slightly.

Coffee markets have been under pressure in recent weeks. In February, arabica fell to its lowest level in more than 15 months, while robusta dropped to a seven month low, largely due to expectations of a strong Brazilian crop.

Brazil’s crop agency Conab estimates 2026 production will rise 17.2 percent to 66.2 million bags. Arabica output is expected to increase 23.2 percent, while robusta production may grow 6.3 percent.

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Globally, Rabobank projects coffee production will reach a record 180 million bags in the 2026 to 2027 season, up by around 8 million bags from the previous year.

Strong supply from Vietnam has also added pressure to the market. Coffee exports from the country rose 14 percent in the first two months of 2026 to 366,000 metric tons, while full-year 2025 exports increased 17.5 percent. Production is expected to rise 6 percent to 1.76 million metric tons.

According to the International Coffee Organization, global coffee exports for the current season edged down 0.3 percent to 138.66 million bags. Meanwhile, the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service forecasts global production will increase 2 percent to a record 178.85 million bags, even as ending stocks are expected to decline by 5.4 percent to 20.15 million bags.

Traditional Cafés Decline in Russia

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Russia’s coffee landscape is undergoing a noticeable shift. While coffee consumption in the country remains relatively stable, the number of traditional coffee shops has been shrinking as consumer habits evolve and competition intensifies.

Data from 2GIS shows that the number of classic cafés across Russia declined by 13% over the past year, reaching approximately 7,700 locations by February 2026.

The decline has been especially visible in the country’s largest urban centers. In Moscow, the number of cafés fell by 12% to about 2,600, while Saint Petersburg experienced an even sharper drop of 23%, leaving roughly 1,600 establishments.

You may read: Russia Updates Instant Coffee Standards for the First Time in 32 Years

At the same time, other coffee formats are expanding. The number of takeaway coffee points increased by about 4%, reaching around 9,300 locations, indicating that faster and more convenient service models are gaining ground among consumers.

  • Changing daily routines

Coffee culture in Russia has grown rapidly over the past decade, reflecting a broader global expansion of café culture. However, recent consumer behavior suggests that some daily habits are shifting.

  • According to Ramaz Chanturia, director general of Roschaikofe, many consumers have begun practicing what he describes as “reasonable savings.” Some customers who once bought coffee on the way to work now prepare their drinks at home more frequently.
  • More than just the price of beans

The price of a cup of coffee in a café reflects more than the cost of raw coffee. Customers are also paying for a range of services and operational expenses, including rent, equipment, utilities, staff salaries, and the atmosphere that cafés provide.

Read also: Russia’s Imports of Brazilian Coffee Fall to Six-Month Low

These costs can place pressure on independent coffee shops, particularly when competition from lower-priced alternatives increases.

  • Retail becomes a coffee competitor

Another factor reshaping the market is the growing role of retail chains in coffee sales. Large supermarket operators are expanding ready-to-drink coffee offerings and installing coffee stations or café-style corners inside their stores.

According to Stanislav Bogdanov, chairman of the presidium of the Association of Retail Companies, demand for ready-made coffee in retail continues to grow steadily.

Industry estimates suggest that hot beverages account for up to 3% of the fast-moving consumer goods market, with coffee becoming one of the category’s key growth drivers in recent years.

Read also: Russian Instant Coffee Exports Rise 28% to $366 Million

Retailers benefit from high customer traffic, competitive prices, and convenient locations. For many consumers, buying a cup of coffee during a grocery trip is becoming an easy alternative to visiting a traditional café.

A changing coffee ecosystem

The decline in traditional cafés does not necessarily indicate a fall in coffee drinking in Russia. Instead, it highlights a transformation in how and where people consume coffee.

As takeaway formats, home brewing, and retail coffee points continue to expand, the country’s coffee market is gradually shifting toward convenience-driven models—reshaping the role of the traditional café within Russia’s evolving coffee culture.

AI and Gas Chromatography Identify Coffee Origins

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Researchers have developed a new method that can help identify the country of origin of coffee by analyzing its aromatic compounds. The approach combines gas chromatography with artificial intelligence (AI) to create chemical fingerprints capable of distinguishing coffees from different producing regions.

Volatile compounds play a major role in shaping coffee’s aroma and flavor. These compounds are responsible for many of the subtle sensory notes found in brewed coffee and are often discussed in professional coffee competitions and sensory evaluations.

Scientists are now exploring how these same compounds can also serve as indicators of geographic origin.

According to a report highlighted by Chromatography Online, researchers from Italy and the United States conducted a study that will be published in the Journal of Chromatography. The team analyzed 32 roasted coffee samples provided by the Italian coffee company Illy.

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The samples represented several major coffee-producing countries: five from Brazil, six from Colombia, and seven each from Ethiopia, Guatemala, and India.

Instead of focusing on specific chemical markers, the researchers created what they describe as an “untargeted fingerprint.” This approach generates a comprehensive chemical profile of each coffee sample, allowing both known and unknown volatile compounds to contribute to the identification process.

To build these fingerprints, the scientists used two-dimensional gas chromatography, a technique that separates and measures numerous volatile compounds present in roasted coffee. The analysis produced detailed visual maps showing the distribution and intensity of these compounds.

These chemical maps were then analyzed using computer vision, a form of artificial intelligence designed to interpret visual patterns in complex datasets. By combining the results from samples originating from the same country, the researchers created composite templates representing typical volatile compound patterns for each origin.

Read also: Study Links Moderate Coffee Consumption to Brain Health

When additional coffee samples were compared with these templates, the system was able to identify their country of origin based on their chemical signatures.

The researchers note that the study has certain limitations, as factors such as coffee variety and post-harvest processing methods may also influence the volatile compounds present in roasted coffee. Further research may be needed to determine how these variables affect the reliability of the origin templates.

Despite these limitations, the findings could offer new tools for the coffee industry. In addition to helping verify origin, the technology may contribute to more objective assessments of coffee characteristics based on measurable chemical properties.

While traditional cupping remains the primary method for evaluating coffee quality, analytical techniques such as gas chromatography combined with artificial intelligence could provide complementary scientific insights into coffee composition and origin.

Coffee Prices Rise as Iran Conflict Disrupts Global Shipping

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Coffee prices climbed on Thursday as escalating tensions in the Middle East raised concerns about global supply chains and shipping routes.

May arabica coffee futures increased by 6.75 points (2.35%), while May robusta contracts gained 82 points (2.31%), reflecting market reactions to geopolitical developments affecting maritime trade.

The rise follows reports that the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global shipping corridor, could face disruption due to the ongoing conflict involving Iran. Statements from Iranian leadership suggested the strategic waterway could be used as leverage, while defense officials in the United Kingdom indicated evidence that mines may be placed in the strait.

The potential closure of the route has pushed up global shipping rates, insurance costs, and fuel expenses, increasing operational costs for coffee importers, traders, and roasters worldwide.

You may read: Global Coffee Exports Surge Amid Asian Growth and Latin American Decline

However, gains in coffee prices remain limited due to favorable weather conditions in Brazil. Forecasts indicate rainfall in major coffee-growing regions, which could support crop development and ease supply concerns.

Adding further pressure on prices, commodity analytics firm StoneX raised its forecast for Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee production to a record 75.3 million bags, compared with its previous estimate of 70.7 million bags.

Meteorological data from Somar Meteorologia also showed that Brazil’s largest arabica-producing region, Minas Gerais, received 14.9 mm of rainfall last week, equivalent to about 35% of the historical average.

Meanwhile, Brazilian export data offered some support to the market. According to Cecafe, Brazil’s green coffee exports fell 27% year-on-year in February, while the country’s Trade Ministry reported a 17.4% annual decline, bringing total shipments to 142,000 metric tons.

Inventory movements are also shaping market sentiment. Stocks of arabica monitored by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) recently reached a five-month high of 564,626 bags before easing slightly to 552,192 bags. Robusta inventories also rose to a 3.5-month high earlier this month before declining modestly.

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Earlier in February, coffee prices dropped sharply amid expectations of a strong Brazilian crop. Brazil’s agricultural supply agency Conab projected the country’s 2026 coffee production at 66.2 million bags, including 44.1 million bags of arabica and 22.1 million bags of robusta.

On a global scale, Rabobank estimates coffee production could reach 180 million bags in the 2026/27 season, an increase of roughly 8 million bags compared with the previous year.

Vietnam, the world’s largest robusta producer, continues to influence market dynamics. Government statistics show Vietnam’s coffee exports rose 14% year-on-year in January–February 2026 to 366,000 metric tons, while exports in 2025 climbed 17.5% to 1.58 million metric tons. Production in the 2025/26 season is projected to reach 1.76 million metric tons, the highest level in four years.

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Despite these supply signals, the International Coffee Organization (ICO) reported that global coffee exports for the current marketing year have declined 0.3% year-on-year to 138.658 million bags.

Looking ahead, the USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service forecasts global coffee production in 2025/26 at 178.848 million bags, with arabica output expected to decline 4.7% and robusta production projected to increase 10.9%. Ending global stocks are expected to fall 5.4% to 20.148 million bags.

Market analysts say the coffee sector remains caught between geopolitical risks affecting trade routes and expectations of strong global production, creating a volatile outlook for prices in the months ahead.