When Science Says You Should Drink Your Coffee

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Coffee has long been praised for its potential health benefits, but new research suggests that timing may be just as important as quantity. A recent study published in the European Heart Journal found that drinking coffee earlier in the day may offer greater health advantages than consuming it later.

Researchers discovered that people who drank coffee during morning hours—roughly between early morning and noon—experienced better long-term health outcomes compared to those who drank coffee later in the day or not at all.

The study’s lead researcher, Dr. Lu Qi, a public health professor at Tulane University, explained that coffee’s health impact isn’t only about how much you drink. Instead, the time of day coffee is consumed appears to play a meaningful role. The research team analyzed dietary and lifestyle data from tens of thousands of U.S. adults collected over nearly two decades. Participants reported what they ate and drank, including the timing and amount of coffee they consumed.

The findings showed that morning coffee drinkers had a significantly lower risk of death from heart-related conditions. They also showed a reduced risk of death from any cause. Interestingly, these benefits appeared regardless of whether participants drank one cup or several, suggesting that timing mattered more than volume.

While researchers caution that additional studies are needed to confirm the results, the evidence points to a simple takeaway: enjoying coffee earlier in the day may be better for overall health than saving it for later.

  • Why Late-Day Coffee May Be Less Ideal

Coffee is often misunderstood, but its stimulating effects explain why timing matters. Caffeine increases alertness and energy, which can be helpful during the morning when the body is naturally waking up. Increased alertness can lead to better focus and productivity, which are closely linked to mental well-being. Mental health, in turn, plays an important role in physical health, including heart health.

Problems can arise when coffee is consumed later in the day. For people who work night shifts or prefer staying up late, nighttime coffee may feel necessary. However, caffeine can interfere with the body’s internal clock. Nutrition experts note that caffeine can remain in the body for several hours, meaning even an afternoon cup may affect nighttime sleep.

Poor sleep can have a ripple effect, impacting heart rate, breathing, mood, and stress levels. For some individuals, caffeine late in the day may increase feelings of anxiety or restlessness, making it harder to unwind.

Because of these effects, health experts generally recommend limiting coffee consumption to earlier hours whenever possible. Starting the day with coffee may provide benefits, but drinking it too late could do more harm than good.

  • FAQ Questions & Answers

Q1: What is the best time of day to drink coffee?
A: Research suggests that drinking coffee in the morning, between early morning and noon, may provide the greatest health benefits.

Q2: Is morning coffee healthier than afternoon coffee?
A: Yes. Studies indicate that morning coffee consumption is linked to lower risks of heart disease and overall mortality compared to drinking coffee later in the day.

Q3: Does drinking coffee at night affect sleep?
A: Coffee consumed later in the day can interfere with sleep because caffeine stays in the body for several hours and may disrupt the body’s internal clock.

Q4: Does the amount of coffee matter more than timing?
A: According to research, timing appears to be more important than quantity when it comes to long-term health benefits.

Q5: Should night shift workers avoid coffee?
A: Night shift workers may still rely on coffee, but limiting intake closer to sleep time can help reduce negative effects on rest and recovery.

Think Twice Before Ordering Coffee on a Flight, New Study Warns

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For many travelers, a cup of coffee is the first comfort requested after takeoff. But a new U.S. study suggests that the water used to brew that inflight coffee may not always meet the same standards passengers expect on the ground.

An independent review of airline drinking water practices has found wide differences in how U.S. airlines manage the water used for onboard beverages, raising fresh questions about the safety of coffee and tea served during flights.

  • Why inflight coffee is under scrutiny

Unlike bottled drinks, coffee served onboard is typically made using water drawn from an aircraft’s internal tank system. That same system supplies water to lavatory sinks and galleys, making its cleanliness critical.

The findings come from the 2026 Airline Water Study, produced by the nonprofit Center for Food as Medicine and Longevity, which analyzed water testing and compliance data from 21 airlines operating in the United States.

Researchers reviewed three years of data, covering late 2022 through 2025, submitted to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) under federal aircraft drinking water regulations.

  • Not all airlines perform the same

The study ranked airlines using a composite Water Safety Score that reflects bacterial test results, maintenance practices, and regulatory violations across each carrier’s fleet.

According to the results, Delta Air Lines and Frontier Airlines ranked among the strongest performers, suggesting more consistent water safety management. Alaska Airlines also placed near the top.

At the lower end of the rankings, American Airlines and JetBlue recorded the weakest scores among major carriers. Several regional airlines scored even lower, with the study identifying higher rates of bacterial indicators in some regional aircraft water systems.

  • What the tests revealed

Across more than 35,000 water samples analyzed in the study, a small but notable percentage tested positive for total coliform bacteria — organisms that are not necessarily harmful themselves but can indicate conditions that allow other pathogens to grow.

While E. coli was detected far less frequently, its presence was treated as the most serious warning sign. The study documented more than 30 E. coli-related regulatory violations, which significantly affected airline rankings.

Because inflight coffee is prepared using this same water supply, the authors argue that beverage service deserves closer attention.

  • Regulation exists — but concerns remain

U.S. airlines are required to follow the Aircraft Drinking Water Rule, which mandates routine testing and regular disinfection of onboard water systems. Airlines must take corrective action when contamination is detected, including repeat testing or shutting down affected systems.

However, the study argues that regulatory compliance does not always translate into consistently clean water. The researchers also raised concerns about enforcement, noting that penalties for violations appear to be rare.

  • Why aircraft coffee water is hard to control

Aircraft water tanks are filled at airports using ground equipment such as hoses and service carts, often drawing from different water sources. According to the study, contamination can be introduced during servicing and persist if tanks and pipes are not thoroughly cleaned — particularly on aircraft used for frequent short-haul flights.

Once onboard, that water may be heated for coffee and tea, but heat alone does not guarantee the elimination of all contaminants.

  • What passengers who love coffee should know

The study does not claim that inflight coffee is unsafe across the board, nor does it assess individual flights. Still, for passengers who want to reduce risk, the authors recommend simple precautions.

These include choosing sealed bottled beverages, opting for canned coffee or espresso-based drinks made with bottled water, or waiting until after landing for a fresh cup brewed on the ground.

For many travelers, inflight coffee will remain a routine part of flying. But as this latest research suggests, what’s in your cup may depend more on the airline than you realize.

Forecast and Outlook for Decaffeinated Coffee Demand in the USA

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Demand for decaffeinated coffee in the United States is estimated at USD 8.3 million in 2025 and is forecast to increase to USD 16.0 million by 2035, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 6.8 percent over the forecast period.

Growth is driven by a rising number of consumers seeking to reduce caffeine intake due to concerns related to anxiety, sleep disturbances, and lifestyle preferences. Coffee roasters are expanding their decaffeinated offerings by adopting improved extraction methods that help preserve aromatic compounds and reduce bitterness.

Organic decaffeinated coffee leads demand, supported by health-oriented consumption patterns and expectations for clean-label products. Producers emphasize chemical-free decaffeination methods, including water-based processing and carbon dioxide extraction.

Regional Demand Structure

Demand is strongest in the western, southern, and northeastern regions of the United States. These areas show higher penetration of specialty cafés and a greater share of consumers purchasing artisanal whole-bean and single-origin products.

Distribution channels include:

  • grocery retail,

  • e-commerce subscription services,

  • direct-to-consumer sales from roasters.

Foodservice operators are also expanding decaffeinated beverage menus to cater to a broader audience sensitive to caffeine.

Key Market Indicators

  • Decaffeinated coffee demand value (2025): USD 8.3 million

  • Forecast demand value (2035): USD 16.0 million

  • Compound annual growth rate (2025–2035): 6.8 percent

  • Leading category: organic decaffeinated coffee

  • Key growth regions: western, southern, and northeastern United States

Demand Structure by Category

By Product Nature

Organic decaffeinated coffee accounts for 65.0 percent of total demand, driven by trust in chemical-free processing, clean-label preferences, and sustainability-oriented purchasing behavior. Conventional decaffeinated coffee represents 35.0 percent, supported by competitive pricing and broad availability in mass retail and foodservice channels.

By Roast Type

  • regular roast: 35.0 percent

  • dark roast: 30.0 percent

  • other roast styles: 20.0 percent

  • medium roast: 15.0 percent

Growth in dark roast demand reflects consumer efforts to offset perceived flavor loss historically associated with decaffeination.

Growth Drivers and Constraints

Key growth drivers include:

  • increasing health awareness,

  • expansion of specialty coffee culture,

  • demand for evening-friendly beverage options,

  • growth of ready-to-drink formats.

Key constraints include:

  • lingering perceptions of inferior flavor compared with caffeinated coffee,

  • limited consumer awareness of modern decaffeination technologies,

  • competition from tea and alternative beverages.

Regional Growth Outlook

The western United States is expected to record the highest growth rate at 7.9 percent, followed by the southern region at 7.0 percent, the northeastern region at 6.3 percent, and the midwestern region at 5.5 percent.

Competitive Landscape

The United States decaffeinated coffee market is characterized by stable consumption across retail and direct-to-consumer channels. Purchasing decisions are primarily influenced by flavor retention, transparency of bean origin, and clarity around decaffeination processes. Leading producers strengthen their positions through chemical-free processing methods, low-acidity offerings, and specialty single-origin products designed for caffeine-sensitive consumers.

The Intersection of Coffee Consumption and Added Sugar

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While clinical research consistently highlights the health-promoting properties of coffee, a critical variable often remains unaddressed in public discourse: the impact of added sugar. A comprehensive study recently published in The Journal of Nutrition has quantified the specific threshold of sweetening that allows the beverage to retain its protective benefits against mortality.

Study Methodology: A Longitudinal Analysis

Researchers utilized a robust dataset from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), tracking 46,222 participants over the age of 20 between 1999 and 2018. The study analyzed detailed dietary records to evaluate the correlation between coffee intake and long-term mortality rates, including deaths attributed to cardiovascular disease and cancer.

The Threshold of Bioactivity

The analysis categorized subjects based on their daily consumption and the concentration of additives per serving. The study defined a “low-sugar” threshold as no more than 2.5 grams of sugar per 240 ml (8 oz) serving—roughly equivalent to less than half a teaspoon.

The findings demonstrated a clear correlation between moderate coffee consumption and reduced mortality risks:

  • < 1 cup/day: 11% reduction in mortality risk.

  • 1–2 cups/day: 16% reduction.

  • 2–3 cups/day: 17% reduction.

  • > 3 cups/day: 15% reduction.

The Impact of Added Sweeteners

Critically, these protective benefits were only observed in individuals who consumed their coffee black or within the strict low-sugar limit of 2.5g. For consumers who follow the common habit of adding two to three teaspoons (11–16.5g) of sugar, the metabolic risks associated with the sweetener may neutralize the beverage’s bioactive advantages.

The study concludes that to fully capitalize on the antioxidant and longevity-linked compounds in coffee, consumers should significantly limit or eliminate added sugar, as even moderate amounts can shift the beverage’s nutritional profile from protective to problematic.

The Intersection of Coffee Consumption and Added Sugar

An Easy Way to Boost Protein in Your Daily Coffee

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Protein is essential for maintaining the body’s structure, supporting muscles, tissues, and overall health. As protein-focused eating habits continue to gain attention, many people are searching for simple ways to increase their intake without overhauling their diets. One surprisingly effective option may already be part of a daily ritual: coffee.

Milk is a common addition to coffee, but the small amount typically used limits its nutritional contribution. For those looking to turn their coffee into a more protein-rich drink, ultra-filtered milk offers a practical alternative. This type of milk is processed in a way that concentrates protein while reducing lactose, resulting in a more nutrient-dense option than standard milk.

Even a modest splash of ultra-filtered milk can noticeably increase the protein content of a cup of coffee. In addition to its nutritional advantages, it also improves texture. The higher protein level gives coffee a fuller body, smoother consistency, and a richer, creamier taste that pairs well with a wide range of roasts.

Expanding beyond basic coffee

Ultra-filtered milk is especially useful in drinks that rely heavily on milk. Beverages such as lattes, cappuccinos, and other espresso-based drinks allow for a larger quantity of milk, making them an ideal vehicle for added protein. Its ability to foam well also makes it suitable for milk foam and cold foam toppings.

It can be used in whipped coffee preparations, blended iced drinks, and flavored foams, offering versatility without sacrificing creaminess. In many cases, it can replace heavier dairy ingredients, simplifying recipes while maintaining a smooth finish.

Outside of coffee, the same milk can be incorporated into smoothies alongside yogurt and fruit, providing another easy way to increase protein intake during the day.

Dairy-free options

For those following a plant-based diet, soy milk stands out as a reliable protein-rich alternative. While other plant-based milks are popular for flavor, soy milk offers a balance of creaminess and protein that works well in both hot and cold coffee drinks.

With the right milk choice, coffee can serve not only as an energy boost but also as a convenient addition to a protein-conscious routine.

How to Add More Protein to Your Coffee with the Right Milk

Global Coffee Market: Record Production Amid Supply Challenges

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The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) has released its semi-annual report, “Coffee: World Markets and Trade,” revealing a historic milestone for the industry. While global production is projected to reach an all-time high for the 2025/26 season, the market remains under significant structural pressure. A relentless growth in consumption continues to outpace supply recovery, driving global ending stocks to their lowest levels in years and keeping prices near record peaks.

A Milestone in Global Production

World coffee production for the 2025/26 season is forecast to reach a historic high of 178.8 million bags (60 kilograms each), an increase of 3.5 million bags from the previous year. This surge is primarily driven by a remarkable recovery in Southeast Asia and Africa, which has managed to offset the climate-related losses in traditional Arabica hubs like Brazil and Colombia.

Divergent Fortunes: The Rise of Robusta and Arabica’s Struggle

The report highlights a significant shift in the production landscape:

  • Indonesia’s Rebound: Robusta production is set to surge by 1.7 million bags to reach 11.0 million, thanks to favorable weather and improved labor utilization.

  • Ethiopia’s Transformation: Following a massive three-year initiative to plant higher-yielding varieties, Ethiopia is poised for a record output of 11.6 million bags.

  • Brazil’s Climate Battle: The world’s largest producer faces a split reality. While its Robusta harvest hit a record 25 million bags, its Arabica crop was slashed by 6 million bags due to severe drought and extreme heat in Minas Gerais and São Paulo, bringing total output down to 63 million bags.

  • Vietnam’s Recovery: Production is expected to rebound to 30.8 million bags as high market prices encouraged farmers to invest more in fertilizers and infrastructure.

Consumption Growth and the “Stock Crisis”

Global coffee consumption continues its unrelenting upward trajectory, reaching a projected record of 173.9 million bags. This persistent demand—driven by the European Union, the United States, and emerging markets like China—is outstripping the pace of production.

Consequently, global ending stocks are forecast to decline for the fifth consecutive year, dropping to just 20.1 million bags. This “tight” supply situation explains why the International Coffee Organization’s (ICO) composite price index has nearly tripled during this period. The market currently has very little “cushion” to absorb any future weather shocks.


Top 20 Coffee Producing Countries (2025/2026 Forecast)

(Data in 1,000s of 60kg bags)

Rank Country Total Production (Arabica + Robusta)
1 Brazil 63,000
2 Vietnam 30,800
3 Colombia 13,800
4 Indonesia 12,450
5 Ethiopia 11,560
6 Uganda 6,875
7 India 6,050
8 Honduras 5,800
9 Peru 4,200
10 Mexico 3,903
11 Guatemala 3,540
12 Nicaragua 2,580
13 China 1,900
14 Malaysia 1,500
15 Tanzania 1,450
16 Cote d’Ivoire 1,300
17 Costa Rica 1,170
18 Papua New Guinea 950
19 Thailand 900
20 Kenya 850

Top 10 Global Coffee Consumers (2025/2026 Forecast)

(Data in 1,000s of 60kg bags)

Rank Country / Statistical Entity Domestic Consumption
1 European Union 41,870
2 United States 26,550
3 Brazil 22,162
4 Japan 7,550
5 Philippines 6,780
6 China 5,500
7 Indonesia 4,900
8 Canada 4,800
9 Vietnam 3,750
10 Russia 3,610

Global Coffee Market: Collapsing Inventories and a Fragile Price Truce

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The global coffee market is currently resting in a precarious calm, according to the International Coffee Organization’s (ICO) November 2025 Market Report. Despite major geopolitical and climatic events, the ICO Composite Indicator Price (I-CIP) showed only a marginal rise of 1.2%, averaging 330.44 US cents/lb.

This unexpected stability is not a sign of market health, but rather the result of a dramatic “offsetting effect” between two powerful, opposing forces: a historical US decision to soften tariffs on Brazilian coffee imports (a bearish signal), and devastating floods that struck Vietnam’s Central Highlands (a bullish factor).

  • The Damp Squib of US Tariff Relief

The most significant political event of the month was the US administration’s move to phase out the additional 40% tariff previously imposed on Brazilian coffee imports. This action should have triggered a sharp price correction downward, given Brazil’s status as the world’s largest producer.

The Professional Read: The market reaction was surprisingly muted. The I-CIP did dip to its monthly low (320.39 cents/lb) following the announcement, but the effect dissipated within three days. Analysts concur that the market had “priced in” the removal of the tariffs beforehand, drastically reducing the impact.

Compounding the lack of immediate bearish pressure, Brazil’s export performance remains subdued. Exports of Brazilian Naturals declined by 8.2% in October, marking the eighth consecutive month of negative growth for this key group, highlighting underlying challenges linked to the Arabica production cycle and not just trade barriers.

  • Vietnam’s Catastrophe: The Unlikely Price Stabilizer

As the US news failed to exert sustained downward pressure, a major climatic shock in Asia provided the necessary counter-balance. Severe flooding hit Vietnam’s Central Highlands, the global nucleus for Robusta coffee production.

• Destruction Estimates: Initial reports from Dak Lak indicated that an estimated 10% to 15% of the 2025/26 coffee crop, which was already harvested and undergoing the drying process, was significantly damaged.
• Price Resilience: This dire news provided crucial support, preventing Robusta coffee prices from sliding (they contracted only a negligible 0.1%). Furthermore, the supply concerns emanating from Asia helped push all Arabica groups (including Brazilian Naturals and Colombian Milds) higher, with increases ranging from 1.4% to 1.8%, contributing strongly to the overall I-CIP stability.

  • The Red Flag: Global Inventory Collapse

The most alarming data point in the ICO report is the state of exchange-certified stocks, which are rapidly depleting and indicate a severe structural vulnerability in the global supply chain.

• Robusta Stocks Crash: Certified Robusta coffee stocks at the London exchange plunged by a dramatic 28.3% in November, settling at a precarious 0.73 million bags.
• Arabica Drawdown: Arabica stocks in New York also drew down by 5.9%.

This inventory collapse means the market is quickly losing its buffer capacity. It is becoming almost entirely reliant on continuous, smooth flows of new harvests, making it exceptionally sensitive to any disruptions (like the future fallout from the Vietnam floods) and highly susceptible to sharp, upward price spikes.

  • Shifting Tides: The Decline of Latin American Dominance

While total global green coffee exports saw a slight rise of 1.9% in October 2025, the geographical distribution reveals a critical strategic shift.

• South America Retreats: Exports from South America (driven mainly by Brazil) declined by 13.0%, marking the eleventh consecutive month of negative growth for the region.
• Africa and Asia Surge: This gap was aggressively filled by other origins: Asia and Oceania exports jumped 23.9% (fueled by Vietnam), and African exports soared by 21.9% (led by Ethiopia and Uganda).
• Arabica Share Shrinks: The total share of Arabica coffee in green exports fell to 68.8% from 70.2% the previous year, underscoring the market’s increasing dependence on Robusta coffee to meet overall global demand.

  • The Bottom Line

The price stability observed in November was a fluke, a result of powerful forces cancelling each other out. The true economic background—collapsing exchange inventories and the sustained export decline from the world’s largest producer—suggests the market is in a highly precarious state of “active waiting.

The coffee sector is now dangerously exposed. Any further negative climate report or logistical disruption will likely shatter the current equilibrium, immediately unleashing a sharp, acute wave of price volatility. Buyers should prepare for potential supply shocks and the associated upward pricing pressure in the coming months.

 

Swiss Study: Coffee Reduces Sleep Duration But Enhances Its Quality

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The impact of coffee on our nightly rest has long been a fiercely debated topic in scientific circles. However, groundbreaking new research from Swiss scientists at the University of Zurich is redefining this relationship, unveiling a sophisticated and surprising adaptation mechanism employed by the human brain when faced with chronic caffeine consumption. The study, published in the Journal of Psychopharmacology, confirms a dualistic paradox: while heavy daily coffee intake slightly reduces sleep time, it simultaneously increases the depth and quality of the restorative phase.

  • Unveiling the Compensatory Mechanism

The key finding reached by the research team, led by scientist Benjamin Stucky, was a precise measurement of this paradoxical effect. Individuals with high habitual consumption—defined as four or more caffeinated beverages per day—experienced a small, specific decrease in total night sleep duration, averaging just 11 to 13 minutes per night.

Crucially, this reduction in time was counterbalanced by a significant increase in quality. Objective brain recordings, taken via Polysomnography, showed stronger activity in the Delta frequency range (the slow, high-amplitude brain waves). These Delta waves are the hallmark of the deepest, most restorative stage of non-rapid eye movement (NREM) sleep.

Scientists interpret this finding as evidence of a compensatory mechanism or homeostatic regulation in the brain. The central nervous system essentially works harder to compress the process of recovery and maximize the efficiency of the available sleep time, resulting in deeper, higher-quality rest.

  • Methodological Rigor and Robust Findings

The study achieved its high degree of certainty by moving beyond simple observational data. The researchers combined two massive datasets: genetic and behavioral information from nearly half a million participants (the UK Biobank), and objective sleep measurements from over 1,700 individuals in Switzerland.

To firmly establish a causal link, the team utilized advanced statistical techniques, including Mendelian Randomization and Causal Matching. These methods were essential for isolating the effect of caffeine from other potentially confounding lifestyle factors, lending unparalleled robustness to the conclusions.

Stucky explained that this adaptive response explains why heavy consumers did not report feeling significantly less rested, despite their slightly shorter sleep time.

  • The Cautionary Note on Sleep Debt

Despite these fascinating insights, the researchers stressed that their findings should not be misinterpreted as an endorsement for heavy consumption. While the study dispels the notion of “very detrimental consequences for sleep quality,” scientists cautioned that the increased depth could potentially reflect an “ongoing sleep debt,” meaning the body is constantly struggling to catch up. Such continuous striving for recovery might lead to strain on the nervous system over the long term.

Therefore, general health advice remains critical: experts continue to recommend limiting coffee intake to no more than three cups per day, and maintaining the optimal sleep duration of seven to nine hours for overall adult health and cognitive function.

East Asia’s Coffee Shop Landscape Surges as China Alone Adds 20,000 Stores in One Year

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A new edition of Project Café East Asia 2026 by World Coffee Portal reveals an exceptional year for the branded coffee chain sector across East Asia, with the region’s total number of outlets jumping 18.4% to reach 180,268 stores. The strongest momentum came from China, Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam, and the Philippines, all of which posted double-digit expansion in store counts.

  • China Leads the Region with Record-Breaking Growth

China registered the fastest acceleration, expanding its branded coffee shop network by 31.5% over the past year to reach 87,505 outlets—nearly half of all branded cafés in East Asia and almost double the size of the U.S. market. It also became the first national market ever to add more than 20,000 net new stores within a single calendar year.

The main force behind this surge came from domestic champions Luckin Coffee and Cotti Coffee, which together contributed over 12,000 new locations, representing half of the country’s entire branded segment.

China’s competitive landscape is being shaped heavily by pricing battles, most notably the RMB 9.9 (US$1.40) rivalry between Luckin and Cotti. This emphasis on affordability has also propelled the rise of budget-forward chains such as Lucky Cup, operated by Mixue, and KCOFFEE under Yum China.

As local operators increasingly dominate, several international brands have been pushed to reconsider their strategies. A striking example is Starbucks’ agreement to sell a majority stake in its 8,000-store Chinese business to Hong Kong–based Boyu Capital in a deal valued at $4 billion.

  • China Emerges as a Global Lab for Beverage Innovation

While 80% of surveyed Chinese consumers drink hot coffee at least once a week and a quarter consume it daily, operators are aggressively expanding their cold, flavored, and fruit-infused offerings—turning China into a leading testing ground for new flavors.

Matcha, palm sugar, and coconut were rated among the most appealing additions by consumers. Luckin Coffee’s Coconut Latte, introduced in 2017, continues to dominate its sales charts. The brand is known for launching experimental drinks weekly, resulting in items like jelly lattes and cheese lattes.

KCOFFEE has taken novelty even further, releasing products such as Egg Tart Dirty Coffee, a fried-chicken-inspired latte, and even a sparkling black vinegar Americano.

  • Homegrown Chains Strengthen Positions Across East Asia

East Asia’s coffee chain ecosystem is increasingly being shaped by domestic players that emphasize local traditions, accessible pricing, and menus tailored to national tastes. According to World Coffee Portal’s consumer survey, 57% of Chinese respondents prefer homegrown chains over international brands—a trend replicated across the region.

Key examples include:

Jinji Jawa in Indonesia,

ZUS Coffee in Malaysia,

Pickup Coffee in the Philippines, and

Milano Coffee in Vietnam—

each of which added hundreds of new stores in the last year. Their rapid expansion outpaced Western competitors like Starbucks, Costa Coffee, and Dunkin’.

Thailand showed similar dynamics: Café Amazon and PunThai Coffee accounted for 80% of all new cafés opened in the country this year, highlighting the region’s increasing focus on localization, digital engagement, and culturally relevant branding.

  • Industry Leaders Expect Continued Growth

The majority of operators surveyed remain optimistic about the sector’s direction:

71% reported higher sales over the past year.

68% expect trading conditions to further improve in the next 12 months.

World Coffee Portal forecasts that East Asia will become the first region to surpass 200,000 branded coffee shops by the end of 2026. By November 2030, the regional market is projected to exceed 263,000 outlets, reflecting a five-year compound annual growth rate of 7.9%.

  • China is expected to maintain strong momentum with:

20% outlet growth in 2026, and

10.3% average annual growth over the following five years,
bringing its store count to over 142,500 outlets by 2030.

Other markets—including Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Vietnam—are also predicted to achieve double-digit outlet expansion over the next year.

  • Expert Insight

Commenting on the findings, Jeffrey Young, Founder and CEO of Allegra Group, highlighted East Asia’s rising global influence. He described China’s addition of more than 20,000 stores in a single year as “astonishing” and emphasized that the region is poised to drive the majority of global coffee market growth in the coming decades. Young added that the entry of East Asian chains into Western markets—along with their distinctive approaches to technology and product innovation—could reshape international trends.

Coffee Consumption Significantly Lowers Risk of Multiple Sclerosis

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Multiple Sclerosis (MS), a severe and currently incurable autoimmune disease of the central nervous system, may have a new mitigating factor: coffee.

A rigorous systematic review and meta-analysis of multiple prior studies—combining data from over 4,500 participants—has found that individuals who regularly consume coffee are 22% less likely to develop MS compared to non-drinkers. This finding, published recently in the journal Neurodegenerative Disease Management, suggests a significant association between this common beverage and reduced risk for the debilitating condition.

  • Understanding the Disease

MS is defined by the immune system mistakenly attacking the protective myelin sheath surrounding nerve fibers in the brain and spinal cord. This damage disrupts communication between the brain and the rest of the body, leading to a host of symptoms including chronic fatigue, vision problems, numbness, and severe mobility issues.

While the precise cause of MS remains unknown, researchers believe it involves a complex interplay of genetic predisposition and environmental/lifestyle factors, such as smoking, diet, and Vitamin D deficiency. This new research suggests that simple dietary choices may play a crucial role in prevention.

  • The Strength of the Evidence

The meta-analysis, which combined the results of numerous papers, included a cohort of 2,193 individuals with MS and 2,344 people in the control group. Of the participants diagnosed with MS, 1,072 were identified as regular coffee drinkers.

Researchers suggest the neuroprotective effects of coffee—particularly the compounds found within—could be the mechanism behind the correlation. These compounds have been demonstrated to:

  1. Reduce systemic inflammation, a key driver of autoimmune attacks.
  2. Limit oxidative stress, protecting neural tissues from cellular damage.
  3. Decrease the activation of immune cells within the brain, potentially slowing the autoimmune response.
  • Important Caveats for Readers

Despite the compelling 22% reduction figure, the authors of the study urge caution in interpretation. They noted that the individual studies included in their review had heterogeneous results—some showing benefits, others showing no effect, and a few suggesting negative associations.

Therefore, while the pooled data suggests a strong protective link, it is impossible to draw generalized, causal conclusions at this time. The researchers stressed that more targeted, prospective research is essential to establish a definitive cause-and-effect relationship or to determine the optimal consumption levels for risk mitigation.

Nonetheless, these results align with a growing body of evidence linking the consumption of coffee to positive health outcomes in conditions where chronic inflammation is a major contributing factor.

 

The Morning Brew and Youth: Study Uncovers Coffee’s Major Impact on Biological Aging

Moderate Coffee Intake May Slow Cellular Aging in Severe Mental Illness

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Groundbreaking research published in BMJ Mental Health suggests that consistent, moderate coffee intake could offer significant cellular anti-aging benefits for individuals grappling with major psychiatric disorders. Scientists found that consuming three to four cups of coffee daily was associated with notably longer telomeres—the core markers of biological aging—potentially translating to years of cellular protection.

Telomeres are the protective caps found on the ends of chromosomes. While the natural shortening of telomeres is a fundamental part of the aging process, this deterioration is often accelerated in people diagnosed with severe mental illnesses (SMI), including psychosis, schizophrenia, and bipolar disorder.

The Telomere Link: An Equivalent of 5 Younger Biological Years
The observational study, which included 436 adult participants, measured telomere length from white blood cells and analyzed self-reported daily coffee consumption, finding a distinct J-shaped curve correlation.

Specifically, participants who consumed 3 to 4 cups of coffee per day exhibited telomere lengths comparable to being five biological years younger than their non-coffee-drinking counterparts. This significant finding held true even after rigorous statistical adjustment for influential factors such as age, gender, ethnicity, specific type of mental illness, drug treatment, and extensive tobacco use history.

Why Moderation is Key: Antioxidants vs. Overdose Risk
It is a critical finding that the protective effects did not continue for participants who reported drinking five or more cups daily.

Researchers noted that this is consistent with international public health guidelines, which recommend limiting daily caffeine intake to a maximum of 400 mg (approximately four cups of coffee). They caution that exceeding this limit may, conversely, cause cellular damage and telomere shortening through the formation of reactive oxygen species.

The protective mechanism is attributed to the rich presence of powerful antioxidant and anti-inflammatory compounds found in coffee. Since telomeres are highly susceptible to oxidative stress and inflammation, these compounds may help mitigate the core biological processes that accelerate aging in this vulnerable population.

This study highlights a potential, biologically plausible pathway for how a globally popular beverage—with estimated consumption reaching 10.56 billion kilos in the 2021-2022 period—might support cellular integrity and combat accelerated aging in major mental illnesses.

Low-Emission Concrete Production from Coffee Waste

Dubai – Qahwa World

Researchers at RMIT University are developing new ways to reduce the carbon footprint of construction materials by converting spent coffee grounds into biochar for use in concrete. A life-cycle analysis conducted by RMIT University has shown, for the first time, that biochar made from used coffee grounds can help produce a lower-carbon concrete while maintaining the strength gains observed in earlier laboratory trials.

Previous experiments by the RMIT team involved heating spent coffee grounds at about 350°C without oxygen to create a fine biochar. When this material replaced 15% of sand in concrete, the 28-day strength increased by roughly 30%, offering a practical way to ease pressure on natural sand resources.

Building on these findings, a new study led by Dr. Jingxuan Zhang and Dr. Mohammad Saberian presents a full cradle-to-grave assessment measuring carbon emissions, resource consumption, and environmental impacts from production through to end-of-life. The analysis recorded CO₂ reductions of 15%, 23%, and 26% when biochar replaced 5%, 10%, and 15% of sand, along with up to 31% lower fossil-fuel use and improved impacts on waterways.

RMIT University notes that the research supports Australia’s shift toward a circular economy and net-zero ambitions by turning abundant organic waste into functional materials, reducing reliance on natural sand, and encouraging greater public engagement with resource recovery.

Low-Emission Concrete Production from Coffee Waste

Zhang said the findings strengthen the case for real-world applications. Professor Chun-Qing Li, who guided the research team, said the innovation demonstrates how organic waste can become a practical ingredient for lower-carbon infrastructure.

Saberian said the next steps include larger pilot projects, mix optimisation, and alignment with construction standards so the approach can be adopted confidently across future projects. RMIT and its partners have already advanced public demonstrations, including a footpath pilot and the first use of coffee-biochar concrete on the Victorian Big Build, and presented the concept through the National Gallery of Victoria’s Making Good: Redesigning the Everyday exhibition.

The study, “Carbon footprint reduction in concrete using spent coffee grounds biochar: a life cycle perspective,” is published in the International Journal of Construction Management (DOI: 10.1080/15623599.2025.2584549). Authors include Jingxuan Zhang, Mohammad Saberian, Rajeev Roychand, Jie Li, Chun-Qing Li, Guomin Zhang, and Dilan Robert.