Luckin Coffee Explores Potential Acquisition of Blue Bottle Coffee

Dubai – Qahwa World

Chinese coffee chain Luckin Coffee is reportedly evaluating a potential acquisition of Blue Bottle Coffee, the specialty coffee brand majority-owned by Nestlé, as part of its strategy to strengthen its presence in the premium coffee segment.

Sources indicate that Luckin and its main investor, Centurium Capital, are pursuing moves to build a portfolio of premium coffee brands and expand their global footprint. This potential bid follows reports that Nestlé was considering selling its stake in the California-based Blue Bottle, which it acquired in 2017 for $425 million, valuing the company at roughly $700 million. Current estimates suggest the brand could now be sold at a lower price.

Blue Bottle Coffee operates over 100 boutique cafés in the United States and East Asia, including 12 locations in mainland China and four in Hong Kong.

In addition to Blue Bottle, Luckin and Centurium are said to be exploring a bid for Lucky Ace International Ltd., the holder of master franchise rights for Japanese specialty chain % Arabica in China and Hong Kong. % Arabica currently runs 84 outlets in mainland China and 15 in Hong Kong.

Centurium Capital, which had previously shown interest in Coca-Cola’s Costa Coffee, appears to have shifted focus toward the Luckin expansion strategy.

Luckin Coffee, China’s largest coffee chain with more than 29,000 stores nationwide, significantly outpaces its nearest competitor, Cotti Coffee. Centurium became Luckin’s controlling shareholder in January 2022, holding over 50% of voting rights, following previous investments that helped the company recover from accounting issues and restructure debt.

Beyond China, Luckin has expanded internationally with 68 stores in Singapore, 45 in Malaysia, and five in the United States. CEO Jinyi Guo announced in November 2025 that the company is preparing for a new public listing in the United States.

Historic Sale at Cerrado Mineiro: Coffee Bag Fetches $38,500

Patrocínio, Brazil – Qahwa World

A bag of specialty coffee from Brazil’s Cerrado Mineiro region has reached a record price of US$38,500 at the 13th Cerrado Mineiro Regional Award in Uberlândia, Minas Gerais. The lot, winning the Pulped Cherry category, was cultivated by Eduardo Pinheiro Campos of Fazenda Dona Nenem in Presidente Olegário and purchased by a consortium led by Expocacer, in collaboration with Veloso Green Coffee, Marex, and Nucoffee.

The runner-up bid of US$19,250 went to Louis Dreyfus Company for the champion of the Natural category. The strong competition reflects growing worldwide interest in Cerrado Mineiro coffees.

The Cerrado Mineiro Coffee Growers Federation confirmed that this is the highest amount ever paid for a coffee bag at an auction in Brazil. The auction raised a total of US$108,500 across nine lots, averaging US$12,000 per bag.

Eduardo Pinheiro Campos commented: “This achievement honors our hardworking team. It reflects years of dedication, awards, and excellence. Over the thirteen editions of this competition, we have reached the podium eleven times, showing consistent quality and commitment.”

Simão Pedro, President of Expocacer, added: “When buyers compete at this level, it demonstrates the global recognition of our quality, sustainability, and innovation. Expocacer is proud to lead Brazil’s coffee sector, proving that our specialty coffee sets benchmarks internationally.”

The 13th Cerrado Mineiro Regional Award showcased the best coffees of the 2025–2026 harvest in four categories: Natural, Pulped Cherry, Fermented, and Sweet Cerrado Mineiro. Expocacer members won first place in Pulped Cherry and shared first place in Sweet Cerrado Mineiro.

Forty percent of the auction proceeds (US$43,400) will benefit the Escola de Atitude project, which supports youth education and personal development in coffee-growing communities.

Highlights of Expocacer at the 13th Cerrado Mineiro Regional Award

Eduardo Pinheiro Campos – First place, Pulped Cherry (90.59 points)

Maria Soraia Guimarães – Third place, Pulped Cherry (89.18 points)

Guima Café – First place (shared), Sweet Cerrado Mineiro

About Expocacer
Founded in 1993 in Patrocínio, Minas Gerais, Expocacer is a cooperative of coffee producers supporting over 740 members. With modern facilities, including warehouses holding over one million coffee bags, the cooperative exports specialty coffee to more than 35 countries while promoting social and environmental initiatives.

UK Becomes Joe & The Juice’s Largest Global Market, Surpassing Denmark

Dubai – Qahwa World

Joe & The Juice has positioned the United Kingdom as its biggest market worldwide after an accelerated store rollout over the past year, overtaking its home market of Denmark.

The Copenhagen-founded brand added 16 new locations across the UK in 2025, bringing its total to 89 outlets nationwide. This places the UK ahead of Denmark, where the company operates 78 stores, and the United States with 74 locations.

The expansion includes a new flagship store in Manchester, along with first-time openings in cities such as Cambridge, Bath, and Bristol. Since entering the UK market in 2009 with a debut store on London’s Regent Street, the brand has steadily strengthened its presence across the country.

Jon James, Managing Director for the UK, said customer demand has exceeded expectations, with newly opened stores delivering strong performance. He noted that the positive response has reinforced confidence in further regional expansion across the UK.

Joe & The Juice now operates more than 460 stores in 23 international markets. In 2024, CEO Thomas Nørøxe stated that the UK could ultimately support up to 500 locations as part of the company’s broader ambition to reach 1,000 global outlets by 2029. Recent market entries include Turkey, Morocco, and Mexico.

The company has been majority-owned by New York–based investment firm General Atlantic since November 2023. Reports indicate that the firm is assessing the possibility of a US stock market listing for Joe & The Juice as early as 2026.

Coca-Cola Makes Last-Minute Effort to Revive Costa Coffee Sale Talks

London – Qahwa World

Coca-Cola is reportedly making a final attempt to keep negotiations alive over the potential sale of Costa Coffee, as discussions with its preferred buyer have slowed due to disagreements on valuation.

According to international media reports, talks between the US beverage group and London-based private equity firm TDR Capital have reached an impasse. TDR, the owner of UK supermarket chain Asda, was recently named the leading contender to acquire Costa Coffee. The proposed transaction would reportedly cover Costa’s UK and global operations, while excluding its approximately 300 stores in China.

Sources familiar with the matter indicate that Coca-Cola is seeking a valuation close to $2 billion for the 4,200-store coffee chain. This figure represents a significant reduction from the $4.9 billion the company paid when it acquired Costa Coffee in early 2019. A final decision on the future of the brand is expected before December 21, 2025.

In an effort to secure an agreement, Coca-Cola is said to be open to alternative deal structures, including the sale of a controlling stake rather than a complete exit.

The company began formally reviewing strategic options for Costa Coffee in August 2025. The move followed comments from outgoing Chief Executive James Quincey, who acknowledged to investors that the performance of the coffee business had fallen short of expectations and had not delivered the returns initially anticipated.

Several investment groups have previously expressed interest in Costa Coffee. These include US-based Bain Capital and China’s Centurium Capital, which owns Luckin Coffee. Other major private equity firms, including Apollo and KKR, are understood to have withdrawn from the process in recent months.

Coffee Quality Institute CEO Delivers Key Message to Global Coffee Community

DUBAI – Qahwa World

Michael Sheridan, CEO of the Coffee Quality Institute (CQI), delivered an important message to the coffee community and CQI members, reviewing the organization’s key achievements during 2025 and outlining future plans for 2026.

In his message, which coincides with the approaching year-end, Michael Sheridan highlighted a busy fourth quarter of 2025, marked by extensive educational outreach and strategic planning for the organization’s future.

Sheridan noted that the closing quarter was highly active, emphasizing CQI’s role in supporting a growing network of CQI Educators who are conducting coffee processing courses worldwide. The primary focus was on collaborating with both long-time and new partners on projects specifically designed to empower coffee producers.

Sheridan stated: “The three initiatives highlighted below delivered coffee education to more than 350 women coffee producers in Mexico and Colombia, and they don’t even tell the full story of our Q4 project work.”

These efforts underscore CQI’s core mission of creating educational opportunities for the producers who represent the heart of the industry.

Behind the scenes, the CQI team has been intensely focused on strategic planning for the next phase of its work. The organization expressed deep gratitude to its community for generous contributions, which are critical in determining the course for the future.

Consultation efforts spanned the globe, including:

Conversations with producers in El Salvador, Indonesia, Mexico, and Peru.

Hundreds of online surveys completed by producers, processors, traders, roasters, Q Graders, CQI Educators, and other stakeholders.

Dozens of personal interviews.

Sheridan affirmed: “We look forward to reporting back to you on what we heard and how we believe we can best serve CQI’s worthy mission together.”

Despite historic market volatility and massive disinvestment in economic development in coffee-growing regions, Sheridan reaffirmed CQI’s unwavering commitment to its foundational mission.

He said: “The year behind us has been marked by plenty of change and disruption in the coffee sector, and it hasn’t always been easy… Through it all, we have returned again and again for inspiration and orientation to our mission to improve the quality of coffee and the lives of the people who produce it. Against this backdrop, this work has never felt more important.”

Sheridan announced that the team will take a necessary rest period at the end of this month but plans to “hit the ground running in the New Year.”

Sheridan concluded the message by extending warm wishes on behalf of the Institute’s staff and board, saying: “I want to wish you all joy, good health, and peace this holiday season, and a great start to the New Year. And I know I also speak for everyone on the team when I say that I look forward to seeing you and working with you in 2026 to advance our mission together.”

It is worth noting that the Coffee Quality Institute is a non-profit organization dedicated to improving the quality of coffee and the lives of the people who produce it.

CQI CEO Michael Sheridan: 2026 Plans & 350 Women Producers Trained in 2025

World of Coffee Dubai 2026 Announces Largest Origin Participation in Event History

Key Highlights

  • Record-Breaking Participation: A record 76 producers are confirmed for the 2026 edition, marking the largest origin participation in the event’s history.

  • Most Diverse International Line-Up: Eight national pavilions will headline the most internationally diverse World of Coffee Dubai to date, including first-time participation from Kenya and Peru.

  • Export Growth Momentum: The announcement follows strong export performance, with Kenya’s coffee export volumes rising by 12% and Ethiopia generating USD 2.65 billion in revenue, reflecting strengthening Middle Eastern demand.

Dubai – Qahwa World

World of Coffee Dubai 2026 is set to deliver its most diverse and internationally representative edition to date, welcoming an expanded roster of origins, national pavilions, and producer organisations from across Africa, Latin America, and Asia.

Taking place from 18–20 January 2026 at Dubai World Trade Centre (DWTC), the fifth edition—organised by DXB LIVE, DWTC’s integrated event management and experiential agency, in collaboration with the Specialty Coffee Association (SCA)—reinforces Dubai’s position as the MENA region’s leading specialty coffee hub.

The 2026 event will host eight national pavilions, including Ethiopia, India, Saudi Arabia, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Panama, and Brazil, with Kenya and Peru joining the show for the first time. Returning origins such as Colombia, Guatemala, Indonesia, Mexico, and Rwanda will also participate with strengthened delegations, underscoring the event’s reputation as one of the world’s most comprehensive showcases of global coffee origins.

Record Producer Engagement and Direct Trade Focus

This year’s edition will welcome more than 76 producers, the highest number in the event’s history, reflecting the growing importance of Middle Eastern markets in shaping global coffee trade.

The Producers Village, a dedicated meeting hub where farmers, buyers, roasters, and importers connect directly, will feature 14 curated spaces highlighting a wide range of terroirs, processing methods, and farm-level perspectives from across the coffee belt. Several of these producers will also be featured in three daily coffee auctions, offering buyers access to rare micro-lots, experimental processes, and distinctive coffees not previously available in the region.

Complementing this strong producer presence, the exhibition will also welcome participation from leading national coffee boards and export bodies, including:

  • Associação Brasileira de Cafés Especiais

  • Instituto del Café de Costa Rica

  • Specialty Coffee Association of Panama

  • PROMPERÚ

  • Ethiopian Coffee and Tea Authority

  • Kenya Coffee Directorate

  • Saudi Coffee Company

Their involvement further enriches the show’s depth of origin representation and reflects growing global interest in the GCC’s specialty coffee landscape.

Middle East Demand Reshaping Global Export Trends

Across several producing nations, recent export trends show increasing alignment with Middle Eastern buyer preferences.

Kenya recorded a 12% rise in coffee export volumes in 2024, one of its strongest-performing seasons in recent years, with exporters reporting increased demand from Gulf-based roasters for both washed and naturally processed Kenyan coffees.

Ethiopia, Africa’s largest coffee producer, generated USD 2.65 billion (approximately AED 10 billion) in coffee export revenues during the 2024/2025 fiscal year, driven by growing demand for naturally processed and honey-processed coffees in both the UAE and Saudi Arabia.

Across Africa, coffee export volumes increased by 8% year-on-year in late 2024, reflecting broader international momentum behind the continent’s specialty-grade offerings.

These developments mirror the maturation of the region’s specialty coffee ecosystem, where roasters are increasingly embracing lighter roasting styles, seasonal single origins, and fermentation-led flavour profiles. This evolution has encouraged producers to prioritise Dubai as a long-term entry point into the Middle East, reinforcing the event’s role as a strategic platform where relationships, discovery, and direct trade meaningfully intersect.

Industry Perspectives

Shouq Bin Redha, Exhibition Manager of World of Coffee Dubai, said: “The scale and diversity of origin participation this year reflects a fundamental shift in the global coffee movement. Producers are no longer viewing the Middle East as a peripheral market; they are actively shaping their export strategies around it. The presence of first-time pavilions from Kenya and Peru, alongside expanded delegations from long-established origins, demonstrates how Dubai has become a true crossroads for global coffee trade—where quality, sourcing strategy, and business opportunity converge.”

Khalid Al Mulla, CEO of the Speciality Coffee Association UAE Chapter, added: “The specialty coffee community in the region has grown more sophisticated, more curious, and far more quality-driven. Roasters are seeking meaningful, long-term relationships with origin, while consumers are looking for diversity in flavour and story. Producers are responding with a level of engagement and investment we have never seen before. World of Coffee Dubai 2026 captures this moment, where global origin culture and regional demand are aligning in ways that are reshaping the future of the specialty coffee market across the Middle East.”

With strengthened origin representation, a record number of producers, and rising interest from both heritage and emerging producing regions, World of Coffee Dubai 2026 stands as a defining edition in the Middle East’s growing influence on the global specialty coffee landscape. The event continues to advance a more interconnected future for producers, buyers, and roasters across the value chain, reinforcing Dubai’s position as one of the world’s most significant destinations for specialty coffee.

Exhibitors can now secure their spaces for World of Coffee Dubai 2026, while early bird tickets for visitors are available through the official website.

About World of Coffee Dubai

World of Coffee Dubai (WOC Dubai) is the region’s premier coffee trade show, serving exhibitors and visitors seeking to engage with the Middle East’s rapidly growing coffee industry. The event features flagship attractions such as the Roaster Village, Cupping Room, SCA UAE National Championships, and Producers Village, bringing together producers, roasters, importers, coffee shops, hotels, and industry professionals from around the world.

About the Specialty Coffee Association (SCA)

The Specialty Coffee Association (SCA) is the world’s largest nonprofit, membership-based trade association for the coffee industry. Representing thousands of professionals globally, the SCA works to foster a thriving, equitable, and sustainable specialty coffee sector through collaboration, education, and innovation across the entire value chain.

About DXB LIVE

DXB LIVE is the integrated event management and experiential agency of Dubai World Trade Centre. Leveraging its creative, technical, and operational expertise, DXB LIVE delivers world-class exhibitions, conferences, festivals, and major corporate events, providing services for more than 100 major events annually and reinforcing its position among the world’s leading event companies

Arabica Coffee Prices Rise as Brazil Ships Fewer Beans

Dubai – Qahwa World

Arabica coffee futures finished the session higher, supported by a notable slowdown in Brazilian export activity and limited rainfall in major producing regions. Meanwhile, robusta prices edged lower as strong supply expectations continued to weigh on the market.

Market support for arabica strengthened after Brazil’s coffee export sector reported a sharp contraction in outbound shipments during November. Export volumes of green coffee dropped significantly compared with the same period last year, signaling tighter near-term availability from the world’s largest producer.

Weather conditions in Brazil added to price support. Rainfall in Minas Gerais, the country’s primary arabica-growing state, remained well below seasonal norms in early December, raising concerns about moisture levels during a critical stage of crop development.

In contrast, robusta prices faced downward pressure amid rising supply from Southeast Asia. Vietnam recorded a substantial increase in coffee exports in November, with cumulative shipments for the year also showing solid growth. These figures reinforced expectations of abundant robusta availability in the global market.

Recent price weakness earlier in the week was driven by revised production forecasts. Brazil’s official crop agency increased its outlook for the 2025 coffee harvest, pointing to higher overall output compared with earlier estimates.

Regulatory developments in Europe also influenced sentiment. Lawmakers approved a postponement of the European Union’s deforestation-related import rules, a move that is expected to allow continued coffee flows from several producing regions and ease short-term supply constraints for European buyers.

Stock movements offered mixed signals. Certified arabica inventories monitored by the ICE exchange rebounded from recent lows, while robusta stock levels declined further. In the United States, coffee inventories remain tight following reduced purchases of Brazilian coffee earlier in the year during a period of trade disruptions.

Looking ahead, production forecasts suggest robusta supplies will remain ample. Vietnam’s coffee output is projected to rise in the upcoming season, potentially reaching its highest level in several years if weather conditions remain favorable.

At the global level, export data indicate a slight slowdown in shipments for the current marketing year. However, international agricultural forecasts continue to point toward record worldwide coffee production in the next season, driven by expanding robusta output despite a modest decline in arabica production.

Coffee as Destination: Positioning Ethiopia’s Origins for Experiential Tourism

An interview with Musa Kedir CEO, Tourism Attraction and Product Development, Ministry of Tourism – Ethiopia

By Qahwa World × Buna Kurs

Coffee has long been Ethiopia’s most visible global export, yet its potential as a tourism experience remains largely untapped. While several coffee-producing countries have successfully transformed farms, processing sites, cupping rituals, and café culture into immersive visitor journeys, origin countries themselves have often underutilized this experiential dimension.

Ethiopia, the birthplace of Coffea arabica, holds a rare advantage. Coffee here is not only an agricultural product but a living culture—woven into daily life, social rituals, landscapes, and identity. Translating this depth into structured and sustainable tourism experiences represents one of the most promising frontiers for destination development.

During the Coffee Origins Trip (COT 2) organized by Kerchanshe and Oromia Tourism Commission, a diverse group of international buyers, roasters, social media storytellers, tourism executives, and sector leaders came together to experience Ethiopia’s coffee landscape firsthand. As part of this journey, Qahwa World and Buna Kurs sat down with CEO, Tourism Attraction and Product Development, Ministry of Tourism – Ethiopia, to discuss how coffee tourism fits into the national tourism agenda and what it will take to elevate coffee into a globally competitive tourism product.

Qahwa × Buna: How does the Ministry currently position coffee within the wider national tourism development agenda, and what opportunities do you see for formalizing coffee as a structured tourism product?

Musa Kedir: The Ministry has already recognized coffee as a key element within Ethiopia’s national tourism brand, “Land of Origins,” which positions the country as the birthplace of Coffea arabica. This recognition is also reflected in the revised National Tourism Development Policy, which explicitly emphasizes the development of niche tourism products.

Within this framework, coffee is viewed both as a core special-interest tourism product and as a supplementary experience that can enhance broader travel itineraries. This policy foundation creates strong opportunities to formalize coffee tourism through structured products, packages, and destination planning.

Qahwa × Buna: From a destination development perspective, what gives Ethiopia a unique competitive edge in coffee tourism compared to other producing countries?

Musa Kedir: Ethiopia’s advantage lies not only in having given the world Arabica coffee, but in the deep cultural attachment to coffee itself. Coffee in Ethiopia is an integral part of daily life.

The way Ethiopians prepare, serve, and share coffee reflects a living culture rather than a staged experience. This cultural intimacy is something no other coffee-producing country can replicate, and it provides Ethiopia with a uniquely authentic foundation for coffee tourism.

Qahwa × Buna: Which parts of the coffee value chain do you believe hold the strongest potential for experience design—farm level, processing, culture, heritage, gastronomy, trade, or a combination?

Musa Kedir: A combination of farm-level experiences, processing, culture, heritage, and gastronomy offers the strongest potential overall. Together, these elements allow visitors to understand coffee as a complete journey rather than a single moment.

Among these, a well-organized and customized combination of farm-level and processing experiences holds particularly strong appeal due to its uniqueness and attraction. These stages allow visitors to witness the transformation of coffee firsthand, which is central to meaningful tourism experiences.

Qahwa × Buna: Is the Ministry working on national guidelines, standards, or policy frameworks to support the growth of coffee tourism experiences such as farm tours, cupping sessions, processing visits, or heritage trails?

Musa Kedir: Based on the recognition of coffee as a potential niche tourism product, the Ministry has previously organized coffee-focused familiarization trips for media outlets and diplomatic communities.

More recently, recognizing the need for deeper strategizing, the Ministry has begun working with partners such as the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) to identify Ethiopia’s major coffee-producing corridors. This work will support the development of well-organized coffee tour packages at the national level.

The Ministry also plans to organize a national coffee tourism awareness seminar that will bring together key stakeholders across the value chain, and it is working on comprehensive tourism destination and product development guidelines aligned with the revised tourism policy.

Qahwa × Buna: How does the Ministry view the role of major private-sector actors like Kerchanshe in shaping the future landscape of coffee tourism?

Musa Kedir: The Ministry has a strong belief in the vital role played by private-sector actors affiliated with the coffee industry.

This is why the Ministry collaborated in the recent coffee tour organized jointly by the Oromia Tourism Commission and Kerchanshe. Moving forward, the Ministry has also scheduled consecutive meetings with key coffee sector actors to facilitate brainstorming and discussions focused specifically on developing coffee for tourism.

Qahwa × Buna: What kinds of cross-sector collaborations are needed between tourism, agriculture, culture, trade, and regional governments to build a unified coffee tourism platform?

Musa Kedir: Because the coffee value chain is cross-sectoral by nature, it is critical for all stakeholders to reach a similar level of understanding in order to succeed in positioning coffee for tourism.

The Ministry is taking a catalyst role by creating platforms that bring stakeholders together and laying the foundation for strong collaborations that can endure into the future.

Qahwa × Buna: From what you have observed on this field visit so far, what strengths, innovations, or community stories stand out as directly translatable into tourism offerings?

Musa Kedir: The visit revealed that there are exemplary companies, such as Kerchanshe, that are aligned with national priorities to make coffee one of Ethiopia’s competitive tourism advantages.

These actors are taking the lead in showcasing meaningful experiences within their capacity. However, the visit also highlighted the need to further strengthen local community participation, improve readiness among local authorities, and better organize resources at the local level.

A shared understanding and collaboration among stakeholders is essential for the sustainable creation of a strong national coffee tourism culture.

Qahwa × Buna: How can coffee tourism support local community development, regional economies, and job creation across key coffee districts like Guji, Sidama, Yirgacheffe, Jimma, and Kaffa?

Musa Kedir: At present, coffee primarily serves its traditional commercial role. However, recent familiarization trips—particularly those led by Visit Oromia—have shown how tourism can be developed alongside existing coffee systems.

These initiatives can help create permanent economic advantages through tourism, including job creation and income diversification in key coffee-producing regions.

Qahwa × Buna: What narratives or storylines should Ethiopia prioritize when positioning itself internationally as the birthplace of coffee and a unique tourism destination?

Musa Kedir: It is critical to firmly engage in leveraging Ethiopia’s identity as the birthplace of coffee. Beyond that, creativity is required to transform everyday coffee culture into compelling tourism experiences.

Coffee culture in Ethiopia is deeply rooted and diverse across the country. Interpreting this heritage in a way that resonates with international travelers—both as a special-interest experience and as a complementary offering—is essential.

Narratives should focus on Ethiopia’s local coffee cultures and on organizing their interpretation into well-designed tourism products.

Qahwa × Buna: How does the Ministry plan to ensure that coffee tourism grows in an environmentally and culturally sustainable way?

Musa Kedir: The Ministry has only recently begun to systematically structure programs that position coffee for tourism. To ensure sustainability, it is preparing a comprehensive National Tourism Destination Development and Management Plan.

This plan will guide tourism development across the entire value chain, including coffee-related experiences, and will ensure environmental and cultural sustainability.

Qahwa × Buna: What level of investment or infrastructure development is required to elevate selected coffee-producing areas into international-standard tourism sites?

Musa Kedir: Most coffee corridors are already accessible, but as coffee tourism becomes more competitive, it will require basic infrastructure such as improved access within farms, accommodation facilities, and structured community collaboration.

While coffee farms are well organized for production, additional effort is needed to convert them into tourism experiences. This can best be achieved through collaboration among farm owners, government institutions, and tourism organizations.

Qahwa × Buna: What immediate next steps does the Ministry envision after this trip, and how might these insights shape upcoming MOT programs or national campaigns related to coffee?

Musa Kedir: The Ministry has already begun planning around coffee tourism and similar niche potentials. To ensure long-term and sustainable use, it will focus on redesigning model tourism packages that integrate coffee as both a special-interest experience and a complementary tourism offering.

These insights will directly inform upcoming Ministry programs and national tourism campaigns.

South Roastery: Where Dreams Are Roasted on the Fire of Passion

Sharjah – Ali Alzakary

On Maliha Road in Sharjah, where the spirit of authenticity meets the ambition of the future, and golden sands dance with the dreams of a new era, stands “South Roastery” as a true icon in the world of specialty coffee. My destination was not just a routine journalistic visit; it was an exploratory journey, a profound meeting with a pioneer of the scene, Mr. Ahmed Al Zaabi, Co-Founder and CEO. He welcomed us with his calm smile and a hot cup of coffee, opening a wide window into a world of passion and craftsmanship—a world born from a unique blend of Emirati and Saudi management in 2022.

  • The Coffee Majlis… Where Time Melts in the Cup

In a reception lounge meticulously designed with the architect’s care and the artist’s taste, not to be a loud, bustling cafe, but an intimate space for work and intellectual exchange—where the “rush” of daily life fades behind the warmth of the cup and the aroma of freshly roasted coffee—we held an extended coffee session.

The session was like a private “coffee majlis,” similar to those held in the desert under a sky dotted with stars, characterized by friendliness, transparency, and spontaneous laughter. During it, we discussed the pulse of a sector with a global market value exceeding $130 billion annually, from the remote crop alleys in the highlands of Yemen, Ethiopia, and Colombia, to the clamor of global markets and the New York and London exchanges. Mr. Ahmed presented his deep insights and analyses with utmost humility, insisting it was “just his point of view,” while in reality, it was an accurate and documented testimony from one of the most prominent players in an industry that produces over 10 million tons of coffee annually.

  • Cultural Maturity… From Passing Obsession to Sustainable Awareness

Al Zaabi, stirring his cup with a light, circular motion as tasting experts do, believes that the UAE coffee culture scene has moved past the naive beginnings and blind experimentation, reaching very advanced levels of development and maturity. This evolution, witnessed in the country over the last decade, has created an intensely competitive market with over 4,800 coffee shops in Dubai alone. However, at its core, it holds “immense opportunities for growth, prosperity, and income generation.”

The key, as he asserts with the confident tone of someone experienced, is not in imitating others or blindly replicating successful models, but in the “real and precise understanding of the market’s nature, its requirements, and the influencing factors, from demographic composition to changing consumer behavior.”

Al Zaabi believes that true gain is measured by an entirely different standard: “The important thing is not the amount of direct material gain at the end of the financial quarter, but the extent of people’s trust in the product you offer. This trust is the real capital, the hidden treasure that builds solid loyalty and true long-term success in a market that does not forgive the weak.”

Speaking about the specialty coffee wave that swept the region like a refreshing hurricane since the middle of the last decade, Al Zaabi confirms with the confidence of a seasoned analyst that this wave has “fully matured and reached a stage of stability.” It is no longer a mere “craze” following trends and social media fads; instead, it has transformed into a robust and deeply rooted culture, filtering out the fashion followers who came out of curiosity and retaining “those with genuine taste and an appetite for quality.”

This tangible maturation has clearly reflected on the quality of the coffee shops themselves and the elevation of their standards. Today, the Emirati consumer, especially the educated and well-traveled new generation, is “precisely capable of discerning the quality and true value of the coffee,” shifting from a passive recipient who drinks what is offered, to a conscious and interactive partner in evaluating the product and holding the service provider accountable.

  • Dubai and the Bidding Wars… Strategic, Not Just Marketing, Weight

The conversation smoothly shifted to the media buzz recently created by Dubai in the global coffee market—a buzz that ignited media outlets and social platforms. Starting with paying the most expensive recorded price for a kilogram of the rare ‘Geisha’ crop from Panama, where a Dubai cafe paid $604,080 for 20 kilograms of washed Geisha coffee from Hacienda La Esmeralda farm in Boquete, Panama, and extending to the fierce competition to offer the world’s most expensive cup of coffee, where the price jumped from $680 to $1,000 within two months.

Al Zaabi, smiling knowingly about the city’s nature, believes that for Dubai, as a global destination for excellence and pioneering in various fields from real estate to hospitality, coffee could not be far from this relentless pursuit of record numbers and entry into the Guinness World Records. He does not see any fundamental harm in this competition, despite its occasional oddity, to the spirit or values of the industry. Instead, he views it as a clever kind of marketing and promotional momentum that adds wide fame to the region as a whole, places the UAE on the global coffee lovers’ map, and gives a specific demographic—the one passionate about distinction, exceptional experiences, and financially capable of undertaking these adventures—its private space for enjoyment and showing off.

  • Resilience of Will… Global Balance Challenges and 2026 Preparedness

The discussion did not overlook the immense challenges that have cast heavy shadows over the global scene in the past two years. Specifically, we talked about the confusion of customs tariffs and trade wars between major powers, the severity of climate change that poses an existential threat to major crop regions in Brazil, Vietnam, and Colombia (Brazil’s production dropped by 25% in the 2024 season due to drought), and the consecutive disruptions in supply chains and maritime shipping that raised costs by 30-50% on some routes.

Al Zaabi sees that the UAE, thanks to its unique geographical location as a gateway between East and West, its globally recognized logistical leadership, and the wisdom of its prudent leadership, has managed to build a solid, fortified wall around the local sector: “Thanks to its wise and proactive policy, the availability of a wide and diverse strategic stock of various varieties and crops, and an extended network of commercial relationships, the UAE has managed to overcome the global market storms with superb skill and exceptional flexibility.”

While clearly acknowledging that the overall direct impact of the challenges was relatively limited on the local market and did not leave deep scars on final consumer prices or product availability, as an expert observer who misses no subtle market details, he cautiously pointed out that the accumulated pressures related to climate change and increased shipping and transport costs “may reveal themselves more clearly in the coming year, 2026.”

This is an explicit, implicit signal of the necessity to prepare and anticipate tangible fluctuations in the prices and quality of some major crops, reflecting a deep and well-considered foresight into global market volatility and its delayed effects.

As for the “Matcha” green wave that recently swept cafes and sparked widespread debate about the future of coffee, Al Zaabi, with the confidence of coffee’s deep roots, affirmed an unshakeable truth: “Coffee will remain coffee.” He noted that the Matcha wave, despite its momentary appeal, has already begun to recede and fade, leaving coffee, forever, as the undisputed queen of hot beverages.

  • South… From Roastery to Integrated Factory with Promising Asian Horizons

“South” is not just an ordinary roastery selling bags of coffee; it is, as Al Zaabi proudly describes it, “an integrated factory” focused on high quality and excellence in all stages of production, from selecting green beans to roasting, packaging, and distribution.

After achieving remarkable and astonishing success in the local market in just two and a half years, the company is now seriously considering possibilities for geographical expansion outside the UAE borders. Surprisingly, Al Zaabi clearly indicated that the expansion is not primarily targeting neighboring Gulf markets, as some might expect, but is ambitiously heading toward the rising and promising Asian markets and some emerging East African markets, where Al Zaabi sees huge growth potential and a consumer segment hungry for quality.

With cautious and measured optimism, he predicted a tangible presence for “South” in these new markets perhaps by the end of 2026 or early 2027 at the latest, with a clear plan for gradual opening and building trusted local partnerships.

  • South Academy… Investing in Minds Before Machines

As a true investment in the distant future, Al Zaabi stressed with clear enthusiasm the importance of continuous training and development, considering it “an urgent need, not a luxury or an optional extra that can be postponed,” especially in a fast-paced world witnessing continuous evolution in modern technologies, barista skills, and the arts of preparation and addition (over 20 new methods for preparing specialty coffee have emerged in the last five years).

It is for this precise reason, and from this deep belief in knowledge, that the “South Training Academy” was established—an ambitious initiative whose main goal is not direct profit, but a higher, more comprehensive objective: “to enhance genuine craftsmanship, spread the culture and respect of the profession, and strengthen knowledge and experience exchange among sector workers.”

The academy, which opened in early 2025, has so far welcomed over 300 trainees of various nationalities and backgrounds, offering internationally accredited specialized programs ranging from foundational courses for beginners to advanced workshops for roasting and tasting professionals.

  1. Major Events… Civilizational Convergence and Elevating Collective Taste

In conclusion of this rich and engaging interview, which extended for over three continuous hours, Al Zaabi affirmed with a voice full of passion the pivotal and decisive role of the large-scale coffee events generously hosted annually by the UAE, foremost among them the “World of Coffee Dubai” exhibition, and the national and regional coffee championships that witness fierce competitions among the brightest names.

He bets, with all the confidence of a strategic planner, on these periodic gatherings as “one of the most important factors for the prosperity of the local market and the development of the industry in general on both the regional and global levels.”

These vital platforms far surpass being mere commercial marketplaces or exhibitions for buying and selling; they become radiant focal points for knowledge, culture, and creativity. They are genuine arenas for the convergence of different civilizations and the exchange of rich experiences among the elite of the global coffee industry, a forum where public taste is enriched and elevated, and young baristas’ skills are honed to confidently keep pace with the latest trends and the finest arts of preparation and creativity in the ever-renewing world of coffee.

These events, with their majestic international presence and high-caliber professional organization, confirm to the whole world that the UAE is not just a commercial transit point or a consumer market, but a living intellectual laboratory and a center of civilizational radiation that continuously raises the status of coffee, transforming it from a mere commodity into a deep-seated cultural value and a human heritage worthy of celebration and appreciation.

“Smile, Roasted in Sharjah” – this simple, yet profound, slogan accurately summarizes the spirit of the roastery that innovates daily and bravely redefines the coffee experience through a magical blend of high craftsmanship, intense passion, and insistence on excellence, confirming to everyone that coffee in the UAE is not just a passing morning drink, but a mature, deeply rooted culture and a promising future whose chapters are being written today on the land of Sharjah, one coffee at a time, one cup at a time.

Click here to visit South Roastry site

 

Lablibell Crowned UAE Lavazza Barista Champion

Dubai – Qahwa World

Lablibell has been crowned the UAE Lavazza Barista Champion for this year, achieving a well-deserved victory that qualifies her to represent the nation at the Lavazza World Barista Championships in Italy in February 2026.

The finals were held on Thursday, December 11th, at the Grosvenor House Hotel in Dubai Marina, where the competition showcased the talent and passion of the nation’s top baristas.

Lablibell impressed the judges with her signature drink titled “Beyond Times,” inspired by her professional journey and continuous development in the art of coffee preparation. The champion used the distinguished Lavazza Kafa Forest Beans as the base for her espresso, presenting a winning cup that combined heritage, passion, and high skill.

The champion expressed her delight and deep gratitude to everyone who contributed to supporting her throughout the intense competition journey. Lablibell affirmed that the road to the title was filled with challenges and learning, which only deepened her passion for the craft she loves. She also commended the strong spirit of competition among all participants, appreciating their creativity and commitment.

This victory is the culmination of significant effort. Lablibell extended her thanks to everyone who assisted her in training and refining her skills, highlighting the support received from the local coffee community and the competition organizers.

Global Coffee Market: Collapsing Inventories and a Fragile Price Truce

Dubai – Qahwa World

The global coffee market is currently resting in a precarious calm, according to the International Coffee Organization’s (ICO) November 2025 Market Report. Despite major geopolitical and climatic events, the ICO Composite Indicator Price (I-CIP) showed only a marginal rise of 1.2%, averaging 330.44 US cents/lb.

This unexpected stability is not a sign of market health, but rather the result of a dramatic “offsetting effect” between two powerful, opposing forces: a historical US decision to soften tariffs on Brazilian coffee imports (a bearish signal), and devastating floods that struck Vietnam’s Central Highlands (a bullish factor).

  • The Damp Squib of US Tariff Relief

The most significant political event of the month was the US administration’s move to phase out the additional 40% tariff previously imposed on Brazilian coffee imports. This action should have triggered a sharp price correction downward, given Brazil’s status as the world’s largest producer.

The Professional Read: The market reaction was surprisingly muted. The I-CIP did dip to its monthly low (320.39 cents/lb) following the announcement, but the effect dissipated within three days. Analysts concur that the market had “priced in” the removal of the tariffs beforehand, drastically reducing the impact.

Compounding the lack of immediate bearish pressure, Brazil’s export performance remains subdued. Exports of Brazilian Naturals declined by 8.2% in October, marking the eighth consecutive month of negative growth for this key group, highlighting underlying challenges linked to the Arabica production cycle and not just trade barriers.

  • Vietnam’s Catastrophe: The Unlikely Price Stabilizer

As the US news failed to exert sustained downward pressure, a major climatic shock in Asia provided the necessary counter-balance. Severe flooding hit Vietnam’s Central Highlands, the global nucleus for Robusta coffee production.

• Destruction Estimates: Initial reports from Dak Lak indicated that an estimated 10% to 15% of the 2025/26 coffee crop, which was already harvested and undergoing the drying process, was significantly damaged.
• Price Resilience: This dire news provided crucial support, preventing Robusta coffee prices from sliding (they contracted only a negligible 0.1%). Furthermore, the supply concerns emanating from Asia helped push all Arabica groups (including Brazilian Naturals and Colombian Milds) higher, with increases ranging from 1.4% to 1.8%, contributing strongly to the overall I-CIP stability.

  • The Red Flag: Global Inventory Collapse

The most alarming data point in the ICO report is the state of exchange-certified stocks, which are rapidly depleting and indicate a severe structural vulnerability in the global supply chain.

• Robusta Stocks Crash: Certified Robusta coffee stocks at the London exchange plunged by a dramatic 28.3% in November, settling at a precarious 0.73 million bags.
• Arabica Drawdown: Arabica stocks in New York also drew down by 5.9%.

This inventory collapse means the market is quickly losing its buffer capacity. It is becoming almost entirely reliant on continuous, smooth flows of new harvests, making it exceptionally sensitive to any disruptions (like the future fallout from the Vietnam floods) and highly susceptible to sharp, upward price spikes.

  • Shifting Tides: The Decline of Latin American Dominance

While total global green coffee exports saw a slight rise of 1.9% in October 2025, the geographical distribution reveals a critical strategic shift.

• South America Retreats: Exports from South America (driven mainly by Brazil) declined by 13.0%, marking the eleventh consecutive month of negative growth for the region.
• Africa and Asia Surge: This gap was aggressively filled by other origins: Asia and Oceania exports jumped 23.9% (fueled by Vietnam), and African exports soared by 21.9% (led by Ethiopia and Uganda).
• Arabica Share Shrinks: The total share of Arabica coffee in green exports fell to 68.8% from 70.2% the previous year, underscoring the market’s increasing dependence on Robusta coffee to meet overall global demand.

  • The Bottom Line

The price stability observed in November was a fluke, a result of powerful forces cancelling each other out. The true economic background—collapsing exchange inventories and the sustained export decline from the world’s largest producer—suggests the market is in a highly precarious state of “active waiting.

The coffee sector is now dangerously exposed. Any further negative climate report or logistical disruption will likely shatter the current equilibrium, immediately unleashing a sharp, acute wave of price volatility. Buyers should prepare for potential supply shocks and the associated upward pricing pressure in the coming months.

 

Demand for Home Coffee Machines in Russia Rises by 10% in 2025

Moscow – Qahwa World

The market for home coffee machines and brewers in Russia saw significant growth during the first nine months of 2025. The number of appliances sold increased by 10% compared to the same period in 2024, reaching approximately 1.7 million units. However, the total market value grew more modestly by 7%, totaling 25.5 billion rubles, according to data shared with “Vedomosti” by Nikolai Semenov, head of the small household appliances department at the retailer “M.video.”

This growth, which confirms Russia’s transition from a traditionally “tea” country to a “coffee” country, is attributed to the rising trend of preparing coffee at home. A representative for “Wildberries” noted that the turnover of coffee makers on their platform doubled (+107%) during the first three quarters of the current year compared to the previous year, with an average price of about 4,000 rubles per device.

The majority of sales are concentrated in budget-friendly devices, with appliances costing up to 5,000 rubles accounting for about half of all unit sales. Overall, the average price of coffee machines dropped by 13% in 2025 compared to 2024. Experts explain this shift by consumers opting for cheaper models, the increased share of sales through online marketplaces offering competitive prices, and the proliferation of various Chinese brands.

In terms of market share by brand, the Italian brand Delonghi remains the leader in terms of revenue, capturing about a third of total revenue and 15% of units sold. The mass segment is dominated by Russian brands such as Vitek, Kitfort, Lumme, and Redmond, as well as the American brand Polaris, with models typically priced up to 10,000 rubles.

By appliance type, automatic coffee machines account for about 25% of all sales. Espresso portafilter machines hold a share of 20–22%, while traditional filter coffee makers form 21–23% of the market. Capsule coffee makers maintain a stable share of about 14–15%.

It is worth noting that prices for natural coffee (beans and ground) have also risen sharply, increasing by 29.4% compared to the previous year, reaching 2030 rubles per 1 kg, according to “Izvestia.” However, this increase has not deterred consumers from continuing to consume coffee. Instead, it has encouraged many to invest in home machines as a more economical long-term alternative to purchasing beverages at coffee shops, where the prices for ready-made coffee have increased by 13–25%.