Russian Coffee and Roasted Coffee Market 2026

MOSCOW – QAHWA WORLD

The Russian coffee market continues to reach record sales levels, driven by strong domestic demand and rising per capita coffee consumption. According to analysis by Roif Expert, the market volume increased by approximately 300 billion rubles in recent periods, marking the highest level recorded since monitoring began.

Analysts note that this growth is supported by increased domestic production of both regular and roasted coffee. Major Russian producers are expanding their production capacities to meet rising consumer demand. At the same time, coffee imports continue to show a stable upward trend, making the Russian market attractive to foreign companies, while exports, despite some international restrictions, have potential for expansion.

Growth in Roasted Coffee Production

The roasted coffee sector has seen a significant increase in production, driven by rising local demand and the need to partially replace imported products. Production is concentrated in key regions, and the market shares of major companies remain relatively stable compared to previous periods.

Roif Expert highlights that the entry of new players intensifies competition, especially for companies with the resources to expand geographically and increase production volumes. Additionally, the market is directly influenced by the overall economic situation, regional factors, and geopolitical conditions, making adaptability crucial for companies to maintain their market share.

Imports and Exports of Roasted Coffee

  • Imports: Determined by domestic demand and price fluctuations between Russian and foreign producers, imports show a steady growth trend.

  • Exports: Primarily directed to international markets, although global restrictions can affect the attractiveness of Russian roasted coffee abroad.

Key Market Trends

According to Roif Expert, the main trends in the Russian coffee market include:

  • Growth in production of both regular and roasted coffee to meet domestic demand.

  • Continued increase in per capita coffee consumption.

  • Steady import growth with potential for expanding exports.

  • Stability in market shares of major producers alongside rising competition from new entrants.

  • Coffee prices are increasing faster than sales volumes.

Market Outlook

Analysts expect the Russian coffee market to continue its growth in the coming years, driven by increasing domestic production and expanding roasted coffee exports. The market remains attractive to investors due to high profitability and growing consumption, particularly in the roasted coffee segment, where competition among major players is strong.

Roif Expert’s analysis confirms that the Russian coffee and roasted coffee market is flexible and capable of adapting to changes in demand and pricing, enhancing its growth potential both domestically and internationally in the medium and long term.

Roasted and Soluble Coffee Exports Decline in July 2025

Dubai, September 6, 2025 (Qahwa World) – The International Coffee Organization’s (ICO) August 2025 report has revealed a significant decline in exports of both roasted and soluble coffee in July, underscoring new challenges facing the global coffee sector as it navigates volatile prices, shifting demand, and rising production costs. The data highlights not only pressure on green coffee but also on finished products that reach consumers directly, raising concerns about structural changes in the industry.

According to the report, roasted coffee exports fell by a dramatic 63%, reaching only 30,000 bags compared to 81,000 bags in July 2024. This steep contraction marks one of the sharpest drops in recent years for a category that reflects direct consumer demand for value-added coffee products. Soluble coffee exports also registered a decline, albeit more modest, down 5% to 1.08 million bags from 1.13 million bags a year earlier. While less severe, the slowdown in soluble exports is significant because this category has long been considered one of the most resilient and widely consumed segments in global markets, particularly in emerging economies.

Analysts attribute the decline in roasted coffee exports to several interlinked factors. The most immediate is the surge in global coffee prices, with the ICO Composite Indicator Price (I-CIP) climbing by 14.6% in August to 297.05 US cents per pound, its highest level since 2024. Such historic price levels have curbed demand for high-cost roasted products, especially in advanced markets such as Europe and North America, where consumers are already grappling with inflation and higher living expenses. At the same time, exporters face mounting challenges from rising production and shipping costs. Energy, labor, and logistics expenses have all increased in recent months, eroding margins and forcing some companies to scale back international shipments in favor of local markets where conditions are more stable.

For soluble coffee, the 5% drop highlights a different dynamic. Traditionally, this segment has thrived in developing and price-sensitive markets due to its affordability and convenience. Yet even here, demand appears to be shifting. In mature markets, growth has slowed as consumers gravitate toward specialty coffee and fresh roasted options, reflecting a broader trend toward quality and experience rather than convenience alone. In competitive producing countries such as Vietnam and India, rising production capacity has intensified rivalry, putting pressure on exporters to maintain prices and market share. Younger generations in many countries are also seeking more diverse coffee experiences, leading to gradual erosion in the dominance of instant coffee.

The decline in both roasted and soluble exports has broader economic implications. It signals that pressure in the coffee sector is not limited to green coffee or raw supply but extends throughout the value chain. Combined with the ICO’s data showing global coffee stocks at their lowest level since April 2024, the contraction in finished product exports adds another layer of vulnerability to a market already characterized by price volatility and supply uncertainty. Experts warn that if these trends persist, the industry could face an extended period of turbulence, with higher prices for consumers and tighter margins for producers.

Still, opportunities remain in certain regions. Demand for soluble coffee continues to expand in parts of Africa and Asia, albeit at a slower pace, offering some relief for exporters. However, regulatory challenges such as the upcoming EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR), set to take effect at the end of 2025, are expected to add new hurdles for suppliers attempting to maintain access to key European markets. For roasted coffee, niche segments such as specialty blends and locally branded products may offer pathways to sustain growth, but producers will need to adapt quickly to changing consumer preferences.

The ICO emphasized that roasted and soluble coffee exports should be monitored closely as indicators of global consumption trends. If the declines seen in July extend over the coming months, it could mark the beginning of a deeper shift in how coffee is traded and consumed worldwide. In that scenario, volume alone would no longer be the main metric of success; value-added innovation, consumer engagement, and adaptability to regulatory and market changes would become critical to survival. For now, the combined 63% plunge in roasted coffee exports and the 5% drop in soluble shipments serve as a stark reminder that the challenges facing the coffee sector go beyond farms and warehouses and reach all the way to the consumer’s cup.

Roasted Arabica Coffee Contains Natural Compounds That Fight Diabetes

Dubai, September 3, 2025 (Qahwa World) – A new scientific study has revealed that roasted Arabica coffee beans contain natural compounds with powerful blood sugar–lowering effects, stronger than the widely used antidiabetic drug acarbose.

Researchers successfully identified three novel diterpene esters, named Caffaldehyde A, B, and C, which showed significant inhibition of the enzyme α-glucosidase, a key factor in blood sugar regulation. In addition, three more diterpenes with similar effects were discovered, reinforcing coffee’s role as a functional food with health benefits beyond basic nutrition.

Coffee as a Functional Food

Functional foods are those that contain biologically active compounds providing added benefits such as antioxidant protection, neuroprotection, lipid regulation, and blood sugar control. Coffee is not only one of the most consumed beverages worldwide but also one of the most economically valuable crops.

More than 70 diterpenes have been documented in coffee so far. Among them, kahweol and cafestol stand out for their anticancer and antidiabetic properties. However, roasted coffee remains chemically complex, making the discovery of new active compounds a challenging yet essential task.

Research Methodology

The research team employed advanced techniques combining Nuclear Magnetic Resonance (NMR) with Liquid Chromatography–Mass Spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). This innovative approach enabled faster detection of bioactive molecules while reducing solvent use, making the process more efficient and eco-friendly.

Findings

The diterpene extract was divided into 19 fractions. Fractions 9–13 exhibited the highest α-glucosidase inhibitory activity, leading to the discovery of three novel compounds – Caffaldehyde A, B, and C. These were structurally confirmed and shown to lower blood sugar effectively.

Additionally, three other compounds were identified: magaric acid, octadecenoic acid, and nonadecanoic acid, which also showed promising inhibitory activity.

Conclusion

This discovery demonstrates that roasted Arabica coffee beans are more than a daily beverage – they are a rich source of natural compounds with strong therapeutic potential. The identification of six novel compounds represents a significant step in understanding coffee’s health role and opens the door for developing innovative nutritional and medical approaches to diabetes management.

As coffee continues to hold its place as a cultural and economic staple, it also reveals itself as a functional food with the potential to support better public health and inspire further natural treatment research.